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Video Game Sales Numbers 3: We <3 Analysts

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    slash000slash000 Registered User regular
    edited December 2007
    The_Scarab wrote: »
    So seriously. Ill make a new thread when they hit if people want. This old one is so bloated now and new NPDs is a perfect opportunity for a new thread. This thread could potentially hit 200 pages before the november dicussion is over. we need a new one.

    Go ahead, once the numbers come out.


    We need a new thread.

    slash000 on
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    bruinbruin Registered User regular
    edited December 2007
    Aw crap GAF is dead

    bruin on
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    slash000slash000 Registered User regular
    edited December 2007
    galenblade wrote: »
    .....aaand Neogaf shudders under the strength of 10,000 F5s.


    bruin wrote: »
    Aw crap GAF is dead






    This made me laugh much harder than it should have :lol:


    :P

    slash000 on
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    GuekGuek Registered User regular
    edited December 2007
    bruin wrote: »
    Aw crap GAF is dead

    the ps3 outsold everything and the server exploded from shock

    Guek on
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    LunkerLunker Registered User regular
    edited December 2007
    galenblade wrote: »
    .....aaand Neogaf shudders under the strength of 10,000 F5s.

    lolffive.gif

    Lunker on
    Tweet my Face: @heyitslunker | Save money at CheapAssGamer (not an affiliate link)
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    galenbladegalenblade Registered User regular
    edited December 2007
    No, it was just pining for the fjords. It's back. No #s yet though.

    galenblade on
    linksig.jpg
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    KhavallKhavall British ColumbiaRegistered User regular
    edited December 2007
    Maybe if we all go to NeoGaf and refresh like crazy it'll come up for us.

    Khavall on
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    GuekGuek Registered User regular
    edited December 2007
    how much time left?

    Guek on
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    bruinbruin Registered User regular
    edited December 2007
    Negative seven minutes

    bruin on
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    0blique0blique Registered User regular
    edited December 2007
    I like how the list of active users on the forum takes up a full page. That, and the fact that there's 2000+ guests on.

    0blique on
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    slash000slash000 Registered User regular
    edited December 2007
    Our guestimations for NPD numbers started somewhere around pg 134.

    Mine were:


    Wii: 1M
    DS: 1.2M
    360: 650k
    PSP: 500k
    PS3: 400k



    0blique wrote: »
    I like how the list of active users on the forum takes up a full page. That, and the fact that there's 2000+ guests on.

    Hahahah.. good God.. this is hilarious.

    slash000 on
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    GuekGuek Registered User regular
    edited December 2007
    how big are the PA forums compared to other gaming forums on the net? like, does neoGAF outnumber us 10:1?

    I lurked there for awhile...didn't really like it.

    Guek on
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    0blique0blique Registered User regular
    edited December 2007
    Apparently, it's already up
    http://www.1up.com/do/newsStory?cId=3165014

    0blique on
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    The_ScarabThe_Scarab Registered User regular
    edited December 2007
    And new thread is up. Post away.

    Also: holy fucking shit at the numbers.

    Dont post here. go there.

    The_Scarab on
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    bruinbruin Registered User regular
    edited December 2007
    Guek wrote: »
    how big are the PA forums compared to other gaming forums on the net? like, does neoGAF outnumber us 10:1?

    I lurked there for awhile...didn't really like it.

    Right now about 500 people are viewing G&T and 3,000 are on the GAF video game forum

    bruin on
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    slash000slash000 Registered User regular
    edited December 2007
    our guesses:



    Wyborn:
    Wii: 1,100k
    360: 800k
    PS3: 500k
    PSP: 600k
    DS: uh... 1,800k?


    Scarab:


    Im predicting

    [360]600k

    [PS3]450k

    [PSP]200k

    [Wii] 1000k

    [DS] Trinidad and Tobago




    myself, slash000:
    Wii: 1M
    DS: 1.2M
    360: 650k
    PSP: 500k
    PS3: 400k


    Xagarath:
    Wii: 900k
    DS: 1,100K
    360: 550K
    PS3: 300K
    PSP: 500K



    Urahonky
    Wii: 860K
    DS: 1M
    360: 530K
    PS3: 280K
    PSP: 410K
    PS2: 280K


    Dr Mario Kart

    [360]700k
    [PS3]400k
    [PS2]401k
    [PSP]450k
    [Wii] 1000k
    [DS] 1200k


    jean

    [360]750k
    [PS3]375k
    [PS2]500k
    [PSP]500k
    [Wii] 1100k
    [DS] 1350k



    bigwah
    [DS] 1400k
    [Wii] 1200k
    [360] 700k
    [PSP] 600k
    [PS3] 400k

    slash000 on
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    galenbladegalenblade Registered User regular
    edited December 2007
    Guek wrote: »
    how big are the PA forums compared to other gaming forums on the net? like, does neoGAF outnumber us 10:1?

    I lurked there for awhile...didn't really like it.

    GAF is gigantic, probably one of the biggest ones out there.

    I believe the PA forums are on the low end of "big".

    galenblade on
    linksig.jpg
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    GuekGuek Registered User regular
    edited December 2007
    hahahaha...galaxy outsold AA. :D

    where's scarab?

    Guek on
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    slash000slash000 Registered User regular
    edited December 2007
    # Hardware Sales PlayStation 2 -- 496,000
    # PlayStation 3 -- 466,000
    # PlayStation Portable -- 567,000
    # Xbox 360 -- 770,000
    # Wii -- 981,000
    # Nintendo DS -- 1,530,000

    slash000 on
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    slash000slash000 Registered User regular
    edited December 2007
    1. Call of Duty 4: Modern Warfare (Xbox 360) -- 1,570,000
    2. Super Mario Galaxy (Wii) -- 1,120,000
    3. Assassin's Creed (Xbox 360) -- 980,000
    4. Guitar Hero III: Legends of Rock (PlayStation 2) -- 967,000
    5. Wii Play w/ Remote (Wii) -- 564,000
    6. Mass Effect (Xbox 360) -- 473,000
    7. Call of Duty 4: Modern Warfare (PlayStation 3) -- 444,000
    8. Guitar Hero III: Legends of Rock (Wii) -- 426,000
    9. Halo 3 (Xbox 360) -- 387,000
    10. Assassin's Creed (PlayStation 3) -- 377,000




    Guek wrote: »
    hahahaha...galaxy outsold AA. :D

    where's scarab?


    Got'em. :P

    slash000 on
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    Unco-ordinatedUnco-ordinated NZRegistered User regular
    edited December 2007
    cloudeagle wrote: »
    Wait wait wait. So the PS3 is probably in the 400,000 range?

    Wasn't there a Sony exec loudly saying they were selling 200,000 per week this month?

    Were his pants on fire when he said that, by any chance?

    In other news, goddamn that's a lotta consoles.

    Nope, the person that quoted the article was an idiot and didn't even read it properly. Sony said they're selling 200k a week in Europe, the only US-related sales news was that they sold 200k after Black Friday.

    Also, jesus christ you guys are getting as bad as Neogaf. The numbers are pretty interesting but you guys are anticipating it as if it's the highlight of your week or something. :|

    Unco-ordinated on
    Steam ID - LiquidSolid170 | PSN ID - LiquidSolid
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    LunkerLunker Registered User regular
    edited December 2007
    :O From 1up:

    HARDWARE:
    Nintendo DS -- 1,530,000
    Wii -- 981,000
    Xbox 360 -- 770,000
    PlayStation Portable -- 567,000
    PlayStation 2 -- 496,000
    PlayStation 3 -- 466,000

    SOFTWARE:
    1. Call of Duty 4: Modern Warfare (Xbox 360) -- 1,570,000
    2. Super Mario Galaxy (Wii) -- 1,120,000
    3. Assassin's Creed (Xbox 360) -- 980,000
    4. Guitar Hero III: Legends of Rock (PlayStation 2) -- 967,000
    5. Wii Play w/ Remote (Wii) -- 564,000
    6. Mass Effect (Xbox 360) -- 473,000
    7. Call of Duty 4: Modern Warfare (PlayStation 3) -- 444,000
    8. Guitar Hero III: Legends of Rock (Wii) -- 426,000
    9. Halo 3 (Xbox 360) -- 387,000
    10. Assassin's Creed (PlayStation 3) -- 377,000

    Lunker on
    Tweet my Face: @heyitslunker | Save money at CheapAssGamer (not an affiliate link)
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    slash000slash000 Registered User regular
    edited December 2007
    COD4 sold 1.57M for the 360 alone? Holy shit.

    Also, Galaxy did awesome. So there, take that, Japan!

    A's Creed did well as expected.

    Gh3 Wii... did well but I was expecting around 400k personally.

    COD4 on the PS3 only did 444k sales? Ooph... it's no wonder a lot of devs are turning multiplatform..

    slash000 on
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    slash000slash000 Registered User regular
    edited December 2007
    I think a 3:1 ratio of sales for the 360 multiplatform titles compared to the PS3's sales is going to be a pretty standard figure for a while.


    COD4? 3:1
    A's Creed? 3:1
    Guitar hero 3? ... at least 3:1 based on the first NPD..
    Madden? Something like 4:1 or 3:1.




    Also, yeah - DS sales are through the roof!

    But there hasn't been a single big hit released in Nov/Dec. Has there? Was Phantom Hourglass released within this NPD scope?

    Or before it?

    I know it did at least 500k sales on its first .. week or two..

    slash000 on
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    darleysamdarleysam On my way to UKRegistered User regular
    edited December 2007
    darleysam on
    forumsig.png
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    WickerBasketWickerBasket Registered User regular
    edited December 2007
    I dont know how you guys feel about VGchartz but according to their main page the PS3 outsold the 360 last week by a slim margin. (worldwide sales)
    Do they say where they're getting their Europe numbers from?

    WickerBasket on
    "please get on point coward baby magets."

    PSN = Wicker86 ________ Gamertag = Wicker86
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    Chris FOMChris FOM Registered User regular
    edited December 2007
    So the November numbers are in, and honestly they’re rather unexciting. I was hoping for more surprises, but oh well, there’s always December. NPD’s November is a four week retail month covering the time period from Sunday, November 4th through Saturday, December 1st. That makes the numbers directly comparable to October’s, although given that December is a five week month I still prefer working with weekly averages. As a reminder, here are October’s numbers, with the weekly averages in parentheses.

    Wii: 519,000 (129,750)
    DS: 458,000 (114,500)
    360: 366,000 (91,500)
    PSP: 286,000 (71,500)
    PS2: 184,000 (46,000)
    PS3: 121,000 (30,250)

    So that’s the warm-up. Now let’s move onto the new material.

    First, I wanted to make a quite note about November. Historically, November has shown an increase of roughly 2.5-3.5 over the previous month’s numbers as purchases ramp up for the holiday shopping season. So keep that in mind as we look at these numbers and their seemingly huge jump over October.

    DS: 1,530,000 (382,500) I could be wrong, but I’m pretty sure this represents the biggest November in history. Simply phenomenal. Although the DS didn’t chart any software in the top 10, this is unsurprising given that it didn’t have any big releases and the top 10 is mostly filled with new software (the immovable Wii Play being the sole exception). I suspect that if you could peak deeper into the software charts you’d see them packed with DS titles.

    Wii: 981,000 (245,250) Frankly, I’m rather underwhelmed. After the announcement that they sold 650,000 Wiis in the two weeks surrounding Black Friday I was expecting them to break a million easily. Instead they sold well over 2/3 of their monthly sales in just two weeks. Don’t get me wrong, these are still some excellent numbers, and the continued legs on Guitar Hero 3 shows that it wasn’t just a flash in the pan, but I expected more. Otherwise, it’s business as usual. The smaller-than-expected boost from November sales come, as usual from the fact that the system is still supply-constrained. Demand is there, but the systems aren’t. And, to the best of my knowledge, even the PS2 only had one November where it broke a million, so maybe I’m asking too much. Maybe I’m quibbling over 19,000 units, and these are great numbers, but despite all of that I can’t help feeling like they should have been higher.

    360: 770,000 (192,500) Again I’m rather underwhelmed. Admittedly the tail end of Halo 3’s launch boosted the 360 above what it otherwise would have been in October, but what we’re seeing here is definitely on the low side of the typical November sales boost. These aren’t bad numbers at all, and software is obviously still selling ridiculously well, but I find it somewhat concerning that the 360 couldn’t beat the supply-constrained Wii in the second biggest month of the year. If MS wants to keep that gap from its inevitable closing as long as possible, this ain’t the way to do it.

    PSP: 567,000 (141,650) If I found the 360’s hardware sales mediocre, that goes double for the PSP. Well not quite double, since the PSP didn’t even double its sales month-to-month. And as usual software is nowhere to be found. My suspicion remains that when this handheld generation plays out, the PSP will find itself relegated to the dustbin of history; a platform whose decent hardware sales can’t hide the fact that software is a black hole.

    PS2: 496,000 (124,000) Under half a million in November. Despite the strong sales of GH 3 showing that the PS2’s installed base can still move software in huge numbers when motivated to do so, the system is definitely on its way out. It’s lasted far longer than anybody could have expected, but at this point in the US the 360 and Wii have clearly taken the torch while the PS2 continues its slow fade into legend.

    PS3: 466,000 (116,500) Under most circumstances, I’d be astonished by these numbers. In a November when most systems landed well under the lost end of the 2.5-3.5 multiplier usually seen, the PS3 managed to nearly quadruple its sales. So why are these numbers still extremely disappointing? Because they’re being influenced by November AND an additional price cut. This isn’t November in a vacuum. There were external influences that helped move those hardware sales higher still, and the combined impact was impressive only when compared to the absolute disaster that previous sales had been. In the larger market it was still the worst-selling system last month, it still can’t beat the system it ostensibly replaced, and it’s didn’t even sell 60% as much as the 360 (much less the Wii). Oh, and its only two software titles to that the top 10 were multiplatform games that sold 3 times as many on the 360. The big 1st party exclusive? Crash and burn. There’s not a lot to like here. The PS3 at best was treading water this month.

    Finally a few other notes on software. What happened to the 360 version of GH 3? After GH 2 on the 360 showed very impressive legs, GH 3 seems to have followed the more common 360 pattern of a huge first month followed by plummeting sales thereafter (also seen with Madden 08 where the 360 version sold best in August but got trounced by the PS2 on September). The Wii version actually INCREASED its sales from last month (although it also had four weeks to sell instead of just a few days) and the PS2’s sales rose astronomically. The PS2 is not the dominant console by any stretch, but it’s still very relevant. Mario Galaxy did very well, charting at number 2, and if New Super Mario Bros. on the DS was any indication, this game will have legs that go into the next time zone. COD4 may well not even chart in December, but I suspect that Galaxy will barely drop off at all. I truly wouldn’t be surprised if it actually sold more in December than November. Mass Effect on the 360 had a nice debut, particularly for a fairly niche title without a huge franchise backing it up. Bioware is definitely big enough to launch a game all on their own. Pity EA had to buy them up. That’s truly a loss for the gaming industry at large.

    Chris FOM on
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