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[Presidential Election Thread] All Hail the Liberty Rooster.
Posts
Any southern state that has a heavy Latino population would be worth making a play for, whether there is a realistic chance of winning or not. Just because you can't win this time doesn't mean it won't be competitive a couple of elections from now.
With the exception of NH/WI/PA/TX last cycle, and Texas in general, all of these states have been contested in the last decade. These are not new swing states.
Wasn't there governor a Dem before obama tapped her to be head of the dhs?
I'd just really like to saw out Arizona, Bugs Bunny style, and push it out to sea.
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Too early to tell. Has anyone even polled it?
Texas is not in play.
Or just kick out Brewer.
QEDMF xbl: PantsB G+
Anyway, if you do the math and have the Latino vote in Arizona go like it did nationally and grow to their expected proportion this year, suddenly you're within the margin of error. And that's without the impressive Obama field operation really contesting the state or having a primary or anything like that.
Except that while people who vote in Ohio have a reason to vote for Obama, they don't in Texas, unless the latino vote can actually be motivated much more than I imagine that it will be.
Well, everywhere, but you get my point.
They're introducing a bill to allow stay at home mom's to call stay at home mothering count as work activity for the purposes of TANF. The GOP can put their money where their mouth is, Hillary Rosen wise, or they can do what we'd all expect them to do and tell poor women to fuck right off.
EDIT: It's worth nothing they should have done this in '09 anyway. That's good policy.
Hilarious.
STEAM: Gasman1220 | My Backloggery
The response will include some or all of the following:
1.) Welfare Queens
2.) Anchor Babies
3.) Dignity of Work
I might have missed it, but who were some of your picks for the Veep slot?
If they have the money for it, I say keep up the 50 state strategy. New Mexico has either been really razor close or has gone blue the last few presidential elections. Arizona has a sorta-kinda-close-ish set of demographics as NM. New Mexico is 45% Hispanic and Arizona is 29% Hispanic. Even with massive voter disenfranchisement I would expect more latinos to come out and vote against the GOP this time. Hell, McCain only won the state by 8% and its his own state. Even if Obama doesn't win it I would imagine they could get that to within 2-3% and would be more in play the next go round.
No, I am not really communist. Yes, it is weird that I use this name.
I wonder if Georgia will actually be in play this year. I remember in 2008 it didn't get much focus from the Obama ground game but ended up being fairly close (4-5 points I think). A concerted effort could flip it as soon as this cycle.
Amazing.
More Mormons in Arizona (think it's second to Utah) and they're conservative plus obviously Mitt. But yeah, if you can make the GOP defend Arizona, you've basically won.
Georgia did actually get some attention as a sleeper much like Indiana did. Its just Indiana actually did flip while Georgia actually was slightly more McCain-ish than polls suggested.
QEDMF xbl: PantsB G+
Ah, didn't know that part about the Mormons. That will certainly make it harder.
No, I am not really communist. Yes, it is weird that I use this name.
Keep up? More like create one. And fuck yes do they need that.
The '08 Obama campaign had a pretty good presence even in deep red states.
No, I am not really communist. Yes, it is weird that I use this name.
Fair enough.
I do remember a smarmy gay couple that opened an Obama HQ in an ice cream shop in my hometown.
They were really stuck up and kept talking about how they moved here from California so their vote would count more.
I'm so clueless right now. I think Rubio is high on the list but I'd rather he stay a Senator for at least one full term. Pawlenty would be on my list. Condi Rice as well, though I know she wouldn't accept it. Ryan is a great communicator, as much as you guys have a hate on for him I think his budget is a marginally decent starting point, assuming it gets pulled to the left in negotiations, and I think he'd take Biden to the woodshed. I also think the establishment wants him where he is, and he won't get chosen.
I think Christie isn't on the list because he highlights the things Romney is bad at, rather than complementing him. They should be looking for somebody calm, articulate, and businesslike.
Rubio won't get it, he's a freshmen senator with a ton of baggage that hasn't been outweighed by experience yet.
Pawlenty is an interesting choice, if they go the route you said, picking a moderate (rest of board, by Republican standards, Pawlenty counts) I could see him getting the nod.
I sort of hope they pick Ryan, because he's got some interesting issues with his budget (namely that it creates a bigger deficit than Obama's).
Christie wouldn't take it if offered, imo. He's waiting for his chance at the big chair and Republicans don't really reward VP nominees.
Ahhhhh the coveted Mormon/Mormon ticket.
I doubt they'll go in that direction.
Edit: Wait, did I get my dropouts confused? Huntsman was the other mormon, wasn't he? My bad
Yes, and even when the CBO took it as read it creates a bigger deficit than Obama's budget would. So, moral imperatives and all.
Romney could easily pick a moderate. Tea Partiers would rather vote for a moderate than re-elect Obama.
No, I am not really communist. Yes, it is weird that I use this name.
Or they'd just not vote.
Or compel Paul to try another third party run.