So it's a possible vote manipulation lead on (just?) one of 4 persons. Keep in mind that doesn't really give us a better mafia guess rate (than a completely random guess) in itself. It's good to combine with other facts and/or suspicions and cross the lists.
I like the Mikey wagon more because less people are pushing it.
This is dumb. You're basically advocating a close vote when we know that vote manipulation caused a tie last night. The winner of the vote, by definition, will have more people "pushing it." Are you just conceptually against someone winning the vote, then?
The larger the odds of us hitting a mafia, the larger a percentage of the village the mafia is. As such they are more capable of putting weight behind a vote that will not harm them as long as a few villagers think "hmm yes that sounds plausible".
The number of people willing to go "Yup blahmcblah that sounds good to me kay bye I'll check this thread tomorrow" intrigues me.
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Garret Dorigan"Why can't I be DLC for UMvC3?"Registered Userregular
Ok, we can assume that there are anywhere between 3-6 mafia total against us. That fits in the 10-20% range normal for phalla. So, for arguments sake, let's assume the worst and say that there are 6 and we haven't gotten any of them. The "haven't gotten any of them" is almost assured due to previous narration results, but I guess the SK idea isn't completely outside the realm of possibility, just exceedingly unlikely.
So, with that in mind... why is SLyM still alive?
He revealed as a lovers mason, hasn't (to my knowledge/publicly) been confirmed by a seer or a guard (assuming either of those are left), and the mafia hasn't killed/tried to kill him? Why wouldn't they?
Then, you have Bradicus. He deliberately tied up the vote between SeGaTai and SLyM, then right at vote close changes it to SeGaTai, kept hounding the Invictus vote almost making too much of a stink about it, tied (on paper) the vote last night then convinced/hauranged blaze_zero into changing leading into shenanigans tie, then today right as SLyM makes a vote on MikeyCTS he changes over. Now, all of this disconnected doesn't really show anything... but when you factor in the above about SLyM it seems sketch to me.
Now, don't get me wrong, I'm of the same mind as Assuran on this current vote. Mikey and blah both seem like good targets, but shenanigans and vote manip. Factor it in with the above about SLyM and Bradicus though, and I'm wary.
"Never Hit"
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AnialosCollies are love, Collies are life!Shadowbrook ColliesRegistered Userregular
This has certainly been an interesting day so far. Don't really like either of the vote leads, so I'll stay put.
For what its worth, I tied the Sega/Slym vote up when there was still an hour left and was constantly staying upated with the thread in case nobody else pulled through. We were lacking like 4-5 votes when I made that vote. I swapped votes during the same minute everyone else did when he made that supposed reveal. As for convincing blaze_zero to vote for vagrant_winds, he was already wanting to, he just didn't want to end up with another vote tie. After he did end up swapping over vagrant was already up by one. I can see being iffy on Slym considering he made that reveal and is still alive but I think you're questioning my allegiance because we have next to nothing to go on.
There was not much keeping us in Lehoboth. The survivors were sent back eastwards, to hopefully keep them out of harm’s way, while we went the opposite direction, towards Phuntua. We have sustained heavy casualties in this march, the infiltrators are really taking a toll.
The distance between Phuntua and Lehoboth was twice a long as the distance between Tubulk and Lehoboth, so we had a long journey on our hands. The road is also much more dangerous. At dusk we were attacked by a gang of Ravenmen. The Golem Lucedes tried its best to defend its master, Dollmage SLyM, but could not protect him from attacks from the skies. A ravenman caught the dollmage in the head with an axe. SlyM fell dead in the middle of the road, and Lucedes collapsed into a lifeless heap of clay.
We fought the rest of the ravenmen back without further notable casualties, and found a safe place off the road to set up a camp. The morale of the troops is dire at this point, and it doesn’t take much suspicion to be killed as a possible infiltrator, as Blahmcblah found out.
Tomorrow we will arrive at Phuntua. Maybe we will find good news there.
-Hugo
The Dead
Blahmcblah - Revolutionary Soldier - Executed by Kime’s Army SLyM - Dollmage (Mason, Animator) - Massive Ax Headwound Lucedes - Golem (Mason, Animated, Tough, Resistant) - Returned to a pile of clay
Inactivus Warnings: MikeyCTS , SirFabulous
There are a few PM’s that need to go out. Day 6 will begin as soon as I post a message confirming that those have been sent. Vote close will be tomorrow at 11PM EST/8 PST.
Hey a member of the mafia contact me, I'll tell the thread who you are so we can kill you. Maybe then the village will play mafia instead of waiting for someone to lead them around.
Also apparently I'm lightheaded and "don't feel like myself" today? If anyone knows what that's about feel free to let me know.
The only time I've seen 'lightheaded' used as an after narration condition (as that's what I'm assuming you're talking about) was in Mass Ephalla (I think) which meant you'd been targeted by a kill but had been guarded.
I have no idea if that even makes sense in this game or why you would not "feel like myself" today, though.
Posts
Blahmcblah: 4 (Langly, lucedes, blaze_zero, BradicusMaximus, Warban)
MikeyCTS: 3 (Slym, BradicusMaximus, Megafrost)
Langly: 1 (Blahmcblah)
Bradicusmaximus: 1 (Anialos)
Warban: 1 (INANTP)
Will be back in a few to actually talk about stuff, but first is aspirin and beer.
Let's see here
Blahmcblah needs a bigger lead. Unless we're trying to tie it again because we're that stupid.
I'll go for Mickey CTS to add to the suspense
This is dumb. You're basically advocating a close vote when we know that vote manipulation caused a tie last night. The winner of the vote, by definition, will have more people "pushing it." Are you just conceptually against someone winning the vote, then?
We've had enough deaths without publicly hitting a mafia that 1/4 seems about the same as random chance. Unless the fire-guy hit some mafia for us.
Yes that is the logical conclusion from my statement.
The number of people willing to go "Yup blahmcblah that sounds good to me kay bye I'll check this thread tomorrow" intrigues me.
So, with that in mind... why is SLyM still alive?
He revealed as a lovers mason, hasn't (to my knowledge/publicly) been confirmed by a seer or a guard (assuming either of those are left), and the mafia hasn't killed/tried to kill him? Why wouldn't they?
Then, you have Bradicus. He deliberately tied up the vote between SeGaTai and SLyM, then right at vote close changes it to SeGaTai, kept hounding the Invictus vote almost making too much of a stink about it, tied (on paper) the vote last night then convinced/hauranged blaze_zero into changing leading into shenanigans tie, then today right as SLyM makes a vote on MikeyCTS he changes over. Now, all of this disconnected doesn't really show anything... but when you factor in the above about SLyM it seems sketch to me.
Now, don't get me wrong, I'm of the same mind as Assuran on this current vote. Mikey and blah both seem like good targets, but shenanigans and vote manip. Factor it in with the above about SLyM and Bradicus though, and I'm wary.
mafia mafia mafia mafia mafia
Nintendo ID: Pastalonius
Smite\LoL:Gremlidin \ WoW & Overwatch & Hots: Gremlidin#1734
3ds: 3282-2248-0453
Hugo’s Journal, Deus 19:
There was not much keeping us in Lehoboth. The survivors were sent back eastwards, to hopefully keep them out of harm’s way, while we went the opposite direction, towards Phuntua. We have sustained heavy casualties in this march, the infiltrators are really taking a toll.
The distance between Phuntua and Lehoboth was twice a long as the distance between Tubulk and Lehoboth, so we had a long journey on our hands. The road is also much more dangerous. At dusk we were attacked by a gang of Ravenmen. The Golem Lucedes tried its best to defend its master, Dollmage SLyM, but could not protect him from attacks from the skies. A ravenman caught the dollmage in the head with an axe. SlyM fell dead in the middle of the road, and Lucedes collapsed into a lifeless heap of clay.
We fought the rest of the ravenmen back without further notable casualties, and found a safe place off the road to set up a camp. The morale of the troops is dire at this point, and it doesn’t take much suspicion to be killed as a possible infiltrator, as Blahmcblah found out.
Tomorrow we will arrive at Phuntua. Maybe we will find good news there.
-Hugo
The Dead
Blahmcblah - Revolutionary Soldier - Executed by Kime’s Army
SLyM - Dollmage (Mason, Animator) - Massive Ax Headwound
Lucedes - Golem (Mason, Animated, Tough, Resistant) - Returned to a pile of clay
Inactivus Warnings: MikeyCTS , SirFabulous
There are a few PM’s that need to go out. Day 6 will begin as soon as I post a message confirming that those have been sent. Vote close will be tomorrow at 11PM EST/8 PST.
Nintendo ID: Pastalonius
Smite\LoL:Gremlidin \ WoW & Overwatch & Hots: Gremlidin#1734
3ds: 3282-2248-0453
OH WOW
i'm sorry village
you can do it, maybe!
OoooOOOoOOooOOOooOO
FAAAAAAAAARRRRRRRRT
oOoOoOoOoOoOoOoOo
I believe in you! Or do I? Nah, I believe in you. Oh, and Bradicus.
The only time I've seen 'lightheaded' used as an after narration condition (as that's what I'm assuming you're talking about) was in Mass Ephalla (I think) which meant you'd been targeted by a kill but had been guarded.
I have no idea if that even makes sense in this game or why you would not "feel like myself" today, though.