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Organized Crime, a [mini-Phalla]: Game Over. Mafia Victory

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    vertrouevertroue I am Female Totes Not a SithRegistered User regular
    do eet

    Blood and Fire
    From the Desk of Darth Vertroue Diplomat to the USA.
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    jdarksunjdarksun Struggler VARegistered User regular
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    MrTLiciousMrTLicious Registered User regular
    Vote Closed

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    MrTLiciousMrTLicious Registered User regular
    edited March 2013
    Day 4: Evading Capture

    UV1 23:18:14 – No, but Farangu’s the best lead we got.
    UV2 23:18:17 – Remind me exactly what you’re thinking.
    UV1 23:18:19 – Well, ever since we brought him on we’ve been getting hit by the fuzz. He hasn’t completed a single mission yet.
    UV2 23:18:26 – Could it be coincidence?
    UV1 23:18:28 – Yeah, of course. We’ve got other guys that you can say the same thing about. All came around the same time, no inflows, no reference.
    UV2 23:18:32 – Jesus, we’re taking guys without a word now?
    UV1 23:18:35 – Yeah, well the boss is desperate. Cash is low. We need an influx bad, or we ain’t gonna make it.
    UV2 23:18:39 – Okay, well then do what you have to.
    UV1 23:18:42 – Understood.


    The Dead
    Farangu (Lackey) – Mob Justice

    MrTLicious on
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    MrTLiciousMrTLicious Registered User regular
    Mission Results

    The boss is pleased to see that none of his men managed to get nabbed by the police.

    He is less pleased with the continual police presence at your perfectly legitimate activities.

    The current pot is $80,000

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    PhyphorPhyphor Building Planet Busters Tasting FruitRegistered User regular
    Hahaha the mafia finally figured out they don't need to kill us to win. Good for them

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    MrTLiciousMrTLicious Registered User regular
    Mission Assignments
    The room seems lighter than usual. You instinctively reach for your lighter but find that you can read the notices without it. Maybe you are getting used to this place after all.

    The first:
    Grim prognosis. Send gift basket. Need 4 - $35,000.

    The second:
    Roxy signed #10. This was inadvisable. $25K and 5.

    The third:
    Listening post crypted. Mop up and find source. 4 for $35,000.

    For the first time, the temperature inside the room is the same as that outside.

    Choose a mission by mentioning the flyer number in limegreen

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    LanglyLangly Registered User regular
    We succeeded.

    Also uh?

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    MrTLiciousMrTLicious Registered User regular
    @KetBra and @Invictus, this is your 1 and only inactivity warning.

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    jdarksunjdarksun Struggler VARegistered User regular
    We were at, what, $25k? Mission 4 was $20k, so that leaves $35k mission.

    I'm guessing Mission 1 succeeded as well. Implying 2 and 3 failed.

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    LanglyLangly Registered User regular
    Wait why didn't we get farangu's role

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    Bliss 101Bliss 101 Registered User regular
    Judging by the total earnings, mission #2 must have been the only one that failed.

    So either mafia weren't sabotaging any others, in order to hide, or the quarantine was a resounding success.

    MSL59.jpg
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    Bliss 101Bliss 101 Registered User regular
    Oh wait it says current pot, not tonight's earnings.

    MSL59.jpg
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    CesareBCesareB Registered User regular
    Bliss 101 wrote: »
    Judging by the total earnings, mission #2 must have been the only one that failed.

    So either mafia weren't sabotaging any others, in order to hide, or the quarantine was a resounding success.

    No, we already had 25k. Mission 3 failed as well.

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    LanglyLangly Registered User regular
    jdarksun wrote: »
    R-r-repost!
    jdarksun wrote: »
    Mission 1: Langly, Retaba, Obifett, Ketbra, GrimmyTOA
    Mission 2: vertroue, Baidol, IW, Farangu, kime
    Mission 3: CesareB, Cythraul, T_A, Invictus, OL, and Phyphor
    Mission 4: Bliss, jdark, Mikey, premium
    Cythraul wrote: »
    @jdarksun your list says Cythraul on 3! And that's what I signed up for! What's the dealio? :P
    Oh snap, I totally missed your post at 3pm. My bad.

    So we have a short list of kime baidol iw and Vertroue

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    Iron WeaselIron Weasel Dillon! You son of a bitch!Registered User regular
    jdarksun wrote: »
    What's our monetary goal again?
    $300K, I think.

    And group 2 got a Mission Failed message.

    Currently Playing:
    The Division, Warframe (XB1)
    GT: Tanith 6227
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    Bliss 101Bliss 101 Registered User regular
    Updated CesareB's suspiciousness chart. Someone please check that I got it right.

    0 failures, 2 successes: Langly
    1 failure, 2 successes: Retaba, Obifett, Ketbra, GrimmyTOA
    1 failure, 1 success: jdarksun, Bliss 101, MikeyCTS,
    2 failures, 1 success: premium
    1 failure, 0 successes: CesareB, Cythraul, The_Anonymous
    2 failures, 0 successes: Invictus, OminousLozenge, Phyphor
    3 failures, 0 successes: vertroue, Baidol, IW, kime

    MSL59.jpg
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    Iron WeaselIron Weasel Dillon! You son of a bitch!Registered User regular
    Looks right to me.

    Currently Playing:
    The Division, Warframe (XB1)
    GT: Tanith 6227
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    jdarksunjdarksun Struggler VARegistered User regular
    Day 1 - $145k available
    Day 2 - $125k available
    Day 3 - $100k available
    Day 4 - $95k available

    Pretty sure we're boned on the money front. Even assuming we pull in all the money from today, we'd still be $125k away from what we need (if $300k is the goal), and the pot has been decreasing each day.

    Now, the big question is if the undercover agents must sabotage any mission they're on. The OP indicates not ("The agents (“mafia”) have the option to sabotage any mission for which they have a member enrolled. If a mission is sabotaged, the mission fails, and no money is gained by the syndicate."). Emphasis mine. So we can't totally rule out folk who have been on successful missions.

    One sec, I need to math.

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    CesareBCesareB Registered User regular
    Bliss 101 wrote: »
    Updated CesareB's suspiciousness chart. Someone please check that I got it right.

    0 failures, 2 successes: Langly
    1 failure, 2 successes: Retaba, Obifett, Ketbra, GrimmyTOA
    1 failure, 1 success: jdarksun, Bliss 101, MikeyCTS,
    2 failures, 1 success: premium
    1 failure, 0 successes: CesareB, Cythraul, The_Anonymous
    2 failures, 0 successes: Invictus, OminousLozenge, Phyphor
    3 failures, 0 successes: vertroue, Baidol, IW, kime

    It's right if everyone went where they were supposed to. Did they?

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    The AnonymousThe Anonymous Uh, uh, uhhhhhh... Uh, uh.Registered User regular
    I dunno, did I? I think I did.

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    OminousLozengeOminousLozenge Registered User regular
    No, I'm 0 for 3. I belong down at the bottom, on the chopping block :\

    Sometimes I have ideas for things.
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    Bliss 101Bliss 101 Registered User regular
    Didn't one of your mission fail due to number of players? Those don't count.

    MSL59.jpg
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    CesareBCesareB Registered User regular
    No, I'm 0 for 3. I belong down at the bottom, on the chopping block :\

    We're not counting the failure of your night 1 mission because INANTP was on it. His presence means we have no information on whether or not you sabotaged on night 1.

    I mean I'll vote for you if you want me to but no reason to throw yourself under the bus. There are plenty of us here willing to do it for you.

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    OminousLozengeOminousLozenge Registered User regular
    CesareB wrote: »
    No, I'm 0 for 3. I belong down at the bottom, on the chopping block :\

    We're not counting the failure of your night 1 mission because INANTP was on it. His presence means we have no information on whether or not you sabotaged on night 1.

    I mean I'll vote for you if you want me to but no reason to throw yourself under the bus. There are plenty of us here willing to do it for you.

    Oh, gotcha! I wasn't sure if you were still going with that rubric after the dots debacle from premium's awesome infographic. In that case, nothing to see here fellas! Who wants more chicken parm?

    Sometimes I have ideas for things.
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    RetabaRetaba A Cultist Registered User regular
    So... are we basically boned? This is the idea that I am getting.

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    PhyphorPhyphor Building Planet Busters Tasting FruitRegistered User regular
    Yup

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    RetabaRetaba A Cultist Registered User regular
    Oh ok.

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    premiumpremium Registered User regular
    I'll make a new/better infographic sometime tonight so everyone can be on the same page without having to read all these words and numbers

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    The AnonymousThe Anonymous Uh, uh, uhhhhhh... Uh, uh.Registered User regular
    I don't minds the words, but the numbers?

    Fuck numbers, man.

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    jdarksunjdarksun Struggler VARegistered User regular
    edited March 2013
    Day 1
    Mission 1: blahmcblah, Cayrus (killed), Phyphor, The Anonymous. Failure, not enough participants (3<4). No data.
    Mission 2: Farangu, KetBra, kime, Mikey CTS, premium, Retaba, vertroue. Failure, enough participants (7>4). Sabotage.
    Mission 3: Baidol, GrimmyTOA, Iron Weasel, jdarksun, ObiFett. Failure, enough participants (5>4). Sabotage.
    Mission 4: BradicusMaximus (killed), I needed a name to post., Langly, OminousLozenge, Smasher Zombie Hero. Failure, enough participants (4==4). Sabotage.
    Mission 5: Assuran, CesareB, Locus, Mill (vote), TheRoadVirus (killed). Failure, not enough participants (3<4). No data.

    Did not participate: bliss101, Cythraul, Invictus

    Day 1 known suspects: Baidol, GrimmyTOA, Iron Weasel, jdarksun, KetBra, kime, Mikey CTS, ObiFett, premium, Retaba, vertroue
    Day 1 probably OK but not totally cleared: Langly, OminousLozenge

    Day 2
    Mission 1: GrimmyTOA, I needed a name to post. (vig), KetBra, Langly, ObiFett, Retaba. Success! No data.
    Mission 2: Baidol, Farangu, Iron Weasel, kime, OminousLozenge. Failure, enough participants (5>4). Sabotage.
    Mission 3: Assuran (killed), blahmcblah (killed), CesareB, Locus (killed), Mikey CTS. Failure, not enough participants (2<3). No data.
    Mission 4: bliss101, Invictus, Phyphor, premium, Smasher Zombie Hero (vote), vertroue. Failure, enough participants (5>4). Sabotage.

    Did not participate: Cythraul, jdarksun, The Anonymous

    Day 2 known suspects: Baidol, bliss101, Iron Weasel, Invictus, kime, OminousLozenge, Phyphor, premium, vertroue.

    Day 1 & 2 union: Baidol, Iron Weasel, kime, premium, vertroue
    Honorable mention: OminousLozenge

    Day 3
    Mission 1: GrimmyTOA, Langly, ObiFett, Retaba. Success! No data.
    Mission 2: Baidol, Farangu (vote), Iron Weasel, kime, vertroue. Failure, enough participants (4==4). Sabotage.
    Mission 3: CesareB, Cythraul, OminousLozenge, Phyphor, The Anonymous. Failure, enough participants (5>3). Sabotage.
    Mission 4: bliss101, jdarksun, Mikey CTS, premium. Success! No data.

    Did not participate: Invictus, KetBra

    Day 3 known suspects: Baidol, CesareB, Cythraul, Iron Weasel, kime, OminousLozenge, Phyphor, The Anonymous, vertroue.

    Day 1 & 3 union: Baidol, Iron Weasel, kime, vertroue.
    Honorable mention: OminousLozenge

    Day 2 & 3 union: Baidol, Iron Weasel, kime, OminousLozenge, Phyphor, vertroue

    Day 1-3 union: Baidol, Iron Weasel, kime, vertroue.

    jdarksun on
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    OminousLozengeOminousLozenge Registered User regular
    @jdarksun it's an honor just being nominated! :p

    Sometimes I have ideas for things.
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    vertrouevertroue I am Female Totes Not a SithRegistered User regular
    Frag me again. No I want to stay out of missions I wish I had. Sighs.

    Blood and Fire
    From the Desk of Darth Vertroue Diplomat to the USA.
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    LanglyLangly Registered User regular
    edited March 2013
    Retaba wrote: »
    So... are we basically boned? This is the idea that I am getting.

    By not killing anyone, they have made it harder to eliminate targets. We only have three days left. Actually I don't know how we can win at all unless the mafia is very small.

    Langly on
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    jdarksunjdarksun Struggler VARegistered User regular
    edited March 2013
    The problem.

    We know at least one of the following in each set is a saboteur:
    Day 1: (KetBra, kime, Mikey CTS, premium, Retaba, vertroue)
    Day 1: (Baidol, GrimmyTOA, Iron Weasel, jdarksun, ObiFett)
    Day 2: (Baidol, Iron Weasel, kime, OminousLozenge)
    Day 2: (bliss101, Invictus, Phyphor, premium, vertroue)
    Day 3: (Baidol, Iron Weasel, kime, vertroue)
    Day 3: (CesareB, Cythraul, OminousLozenge, Phyphor, The Anonymous)

    The Bad Guys have ~5 members. There are six data points, so there is at least one degree of commonality here.

    Who has only showed up once?
    bliss101, CesareB, Cythraul, GrimmyTOA, Invictus, jdarksun, KetBra, Mikey CTS, ObiFett, Retaba, The Anonymous. These people are not cleared, but they're not the most likely.

    The way I figure it, one of the following is definitely a Bad Guy: Baidol, Iron Weasel, kime, OminousLozenge, Phyphor, premium, or vertroue.

    Baidol, Iron Weasel, and kime are especially toxic.

    Next task: go back through and see who picked missions vs. had it assigned to them.


    Edit: Don't post when you're exhausted, folk.

    jdarksun on
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    jdarksunjdarksun Struggler VARegistered User regular
    @MrTLicious How much money do we need? Do we need it by the beginning of the sixth day or the end?

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    kimekime Queen of Blades Registered User regular
    Baidol for being both on the short list and not me

    Battle.net ID: kime#1822
    3DS Friend Code: 3110-5393-4113
    Steam profile
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