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The American Presidency: Obama 207 - McCain 142

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Posts

  • geckahngeckahn Registered User
    From Sullivan - via a reader:
    I voted here in San Francisco's Noe Valley neighborhood about two hours ago. It took about an hour to get through the line, and while standing there I was chatting with the 75-year-old retired cop in front of me, and the young 30-something gay couple in front of him, who had their two little girls in tow.

    Everyone was in good spirits as the conversation moved from the Obama-McCain contest to the farce that is Sarah Palin, and then on to non-political matters, like the road work being done on the next block. The conversation between the cop and the couple started to get animated toward the end of our hour in line as the three men began to discuss the current football season, wagering bets for this weekend's games and making predictions for the Super Bowl.

    And then, as we entered the firehouse that doubled as our polling place, as the couple and their daughters stepped out of line and up to the table to receive their ballots, I observed the cop in front of me. He opened his sample ballot, took out his pen, scribbled out his "yes" vote on Proposition 8, and filled in the ballot line for "no."

    I don't think he knew that I observed him. And since it was such a private moment I held back my tears of joy and my overwhelming desire to pat him on the back and say "thank you, sir." Instead, I left the polling place muttering to myself those two words you have repeated over and over during this election cycle, Andrew:

    KNOW.

    HOPE.

  • DacDac Registered User regular
    Duki wrote: »
    Zoolander wrote: »
    Guam goes for Obama.

    No EVs though.

    I wonder how it feels to vote, but not have your vote matter at all.

    The majority of the U.S. population felt that way in 2000.

    Only 48%, actually.

    He's right, but it probably wasn't any consolation to the 5% who voted Nader that their vote really did matter after all.

    Gold. Win. Legendary. Etc.

    Beadvised.jpg
  • NakedZerglingNakedZergling King Penis of Fuck Mountain. Portland OregonRegistered User regular
    Better than voting for anyone was being able to vote AGAINST Patrick Kennedy in Rhode Island....uuuuhhh yeah too good.


    1) As a small side note, one day, I really hope to be King Penis of Fuck Mountain.

    2) No shitty anime or wolf-people, take that crap to deviant art
  • IntangirIntangir Registered User
    Anyone know of a Comedy Central/Daily Show/Colbert Report stream?

  • khainkhain Registered User regular
    Duki wrote: »
    Zoolander wrote: »
    Guam goes for Obama.

    No EVs though.

    I wonder how it feels to vote, but not have your vote matter at all.

    The majority of the U.S. population felt that way in 2000.

    Only 48%, actually.

    Only 48%, but still a majority. Gore had over 500,000 votes more than Bush on a national level. Nader had 2.8 million, which throws off that statistic (48% doesn't look like the majority, but it was given that).

    EDIT: I see what you mean. I should've been more clear. I meant a majority as in the majority popular vote. I wasn't clear enough.

    EDIT 2: Actually, now that I'm thinking about it, both the Gore and Nader votes came to nothing... so combining that gives you the actual population majority as well if I'm not mistaken.

    A majority is when a candidate gets more than half the votes, Gore had a plurality in 2000.

  • SlapdashSlapdash Registered User
    I didn't catch the name of the Republican Senator that was just on MSNBC, but he was a gigantic fearmongering douchebag.

    I caught a few moments of Glenn Beck on the radio today during lunch. They're no longer merely taking about Socialism as a hypothetical.

    [SIGPIC][/SIGPIC]
  • deowolfdeowolf Registered User regular
    Intangir wrote: »
    Anyone know of a Comedy Central/Daily Show/Colbert Report stream?

    Are they on all day?

    [SIGPIC]acocoSig.jpg[/SIGPIC]
  • Monolithic_DomeMonolithic_Dome Registered User
    Well hell if we're going for predictions, might as well post mine here as well

    21ff866e90.png

    [SIGPIC][/SIGPIC]
  • mcdermottmcdermott Registered User regular
    Houn wrote: »
    Just as a reminder, my money is on 354 EVs.

    If I had to pick a number, going by what I said earlier (Nate's predictions minus Florida) I'll go 322. I'd almost guarantee it's 322 +/- 10, depending which state he misses.

  • narvinyenarvinye Registered User
    Another sign of hope:

    My 13 year old sister is begging for an Obama T-Shirt.

    13. Years. Old.

    Don't know about you, but when I was 13, a politician was the furthest thing from my mind, let alone my friends. And we don't really talk politics a lot around her.

  • MarlorMarlor Registered User
    Duki wrote: »
    Zoolander wrote: »
    Guam goes for Obama.

    No EVs though.

    I wonder how it feels to vote, but not have your vote matter at all.

    The majority of the U.S. population felt that way in 2000.

    Only 48%, actually.

    Well, the third-party candidates' votes didn't matter either.

    Oh... wait. They did matter. Just not in the way they intended.

    Mario Kart Wii: 1332-8060-5236 (Aaron)
  • KilroyKilroy Seer of Heart Registered User regular
    Slapdash wrote: »
    I didn't catch the name of the Republican Senator that was just on MSNBC, but he was a gigantic fearmongering douchebag.

    I caught a few moments of Glenn Beck on the radio today during lunch. They're no longer merely taking about Socialism as a hypothetical.

    Glenn Beck has been ranting about socialism since the Dems took control of Congress. He hasn't seemed to realize that no one gives a fuck about him or his issues.

    Steam brotimes Xbox Live: DigitalGravitas
  • JragghenJragghen Registered User regular
    Well hell if we're going for predictions, might as well post mine here as well

    21ff866e90.png

    My exact prediction

    sig.gif
  • NickTheNewbieNickTheNewbie Registered User regular
    Jragghen wrote: »
    Well hell if we're going for predictions, might as well post mine here as well

    21ff866e90.png

    My exact prediction

    ditto

  • Nimble CatNimble Cat Registered User regular
    geckahn wrote: »
    From Sullivan - via a reader:
    I voted here in San Francisco's Noe Valley neighborhood about two hours ago. It took about an hour to get through the line, and while standing there I was chatting with the 75-year-old retired cop in front of me, and the young 30-something gay couple in front of him, who had their two little girls in tow.

    Everyone was in good spirits as the conversation moved from the Obama-McCain contest to the farce that is Sarah Palin, and then on to non-political matters, like the road work being done on the next block. The conversation between the cop and the couple started to get animated toward the end of our hour in line as the three men began to discuss the current football season, wagering bets for this weekend's games and making predictions for the Super Bowl.

    And then, as we entered the firehouse that doubled as our polling place, as the couple and their daughters stepped out of line and up to the table to receive their ballots, I observed the cop in front of me. He opened his sample ballot, took out his pen, scribbled out his "yes" vote on Proposition 8, and filled in the ballot line for "no."

    I don't think he knew that I observed him. And since it was such a private moment I held back my tears of joy and my overwhelming desire to pat him on the back and say "thank you, sir." Instead, I left the polling place muttering to myself those two words you have repeated over and over during this election cycle, Andrew:

    KNOW.

    HOPE.

    That is fantastic.

  • AngelHedgieAngelHedgie Registered User regular
    Duki wrote: »
    Duki wrote: »
    Hah, just heard a great way to refer to the new President. "America's next CEO."

    Yeah, because the last guy who said he's going to run the US like a CEO would worked out SO well, right?

    President != CEO.

    Calvin Coolidge was alright, actually.

    Why do I get the feeling that you and American history have only a passing acquaintance?

    We're talking about the President that spent a month fishing while there were financial crises going on.

    XBL: Nox Aeternum / PSN: NoxAeternum / NN:NoxAeternum
    Spoiler:
  • GoslingGosling Team Monica Watertown, WIRegistered User regular
    A big section of turf in Monona, followed by a big drive out to Sun Prairie, means there's no time for my ground team to bang out any more land in time.

    So I return to you for the moment of truth. Let's see how we did.

    I'm trying, through my blog, to break into the journalism industry. Any eyes and ears that pick up on any leads towards that end are greatly appreciated. PM me if you happen to hear anything.
  • jkylefultonjkylefulton Registered User regular
    I might eat my own cock if Georgia doesn't go blue for Obama - I think turnout is going to be underestimated.

    126elj6.jpg
  • JragghenJragghen Registered User regular
    How Early Voting Changed the Game in 2008

    Michael McDonald’s great early voting website has the totals.

    31,268,357 voters have cast votes early in America, which represents 25.3% of the total of all ballots cast in 2004. Nobody doubts we are headed for an absolute record turnout in this election.

    22.5% of Americans cast their vote early in 2004, and if that number held true for this election, then 138,970,474 Americans will end up casting ballots.

    Here are battleground states with early voting, followed by the percentage of the total 2004 vote that represents:

    CO: 1,704,280; 79.3% of 2004
    FL: 4,377,774; 57.3% of 2004
    GA: 2,020,829; 60.9% of 2004
    IA: 481,179; 31.6% of 2004
    IN: 668,868; 26.6% of 2004
    MT: 184,632; 40.5% of 2004
    NM: 192,229; 73.2% of 2004
    NC: 2,623,838; 73.9% of 2004
    NV: 561,776; 67.6% of 2004
    ND: 76,496; 24.2% of 2004
    OH: 1,456,364; 25.2% of 2004
    VA: 465,962; 14.5% of 2004
    WV: 166,353; 21.6% of 2004

    The numbers for Colorado, New Mexico, North Carolina, Nevada, Georgia and Florida are eye-popping, all of these states have had more than half the vote from 2004 in. All of these states were won by George Bush, and they account for 74 electoral votes. We know that Barack Obama has placed an overwhelming ground force in place to generate early voting, and we can be confident that the early voters in these states are banking a large lead for Barack Obama.

    In Georgia, for example, African-Americans represented 35% of the early vote, and 25% is the historical high. If Georgia winds up with 30% of the vote remaining African-American, Obama wins Georgia.

    In Nevada, Clark County has seen a 21.4-point gap between Dems and Reps. Washoe, which turned blue due to the tremendous organizing effort, has a 16.8-point gap between Dems and Reps.

    In New Mexico, the Dem-Rep gap is 20 points in early voting. In West Virginia, 24 points. In Iowa, 18 points. In Florida, where Republicans held a 2.8% edge in 2004 early and absentee voting, Dems now hold an 8.3% edge.

    Only in Colorado is the gap somewhat closer, with Dems holding a mere 1.8% lead in early voting figures. However, unaffiliateds/independents have produced a fairly high 26.4% portion of the early vote, and Obama has dominated the ground game in Colorado to get early voting accomplished; a lot of those undeclared voters are likely Obama-ID'd voters from all the contacts.

    Early voting has changed the game this year; every day was election day. Obama's verdict: "Come and catch me, Senator McCain."

    sig.gif
  • CouscousCouscous Registered User regular
    I might eat my own cock if Georgia doesn't go blue for Obama - I think turnout is going to be underestimated.

    You're lucky that isn't a bet.

  • DacDac Registered User regular
    I might eat my own cock if Georgia doesn't go blue for Obama - I think turnout is going to be underestimated.

    Uh.

    Is there any way to hold you to that? Just... curious.

    Beadvised.jpg
  • ScalfinScalfin __BANNED USERS regular
    Cantido wrote: »
    Scalfin wrote: »
    Wait, if there's not going to be another politics thread, where are we going to go to discuss the next stage of the election, when Obama fights Kamina in The Big O and Gurren Lagann, respectively?

    Been there, done that. I picture Obama piloting GL.

    What's missing is Photoshops.

    I still don't know how to combine pictures, just how to edit single ones.

    I imagine one of those two-on-two vs screens, you know:
    ***/**
    **/***
    with the message "Big O Team vs. Team Gurren Lagann" or "Big O Team Fight! Team Gurren Lagann" with Obama and The Big O on one side and Kamina and Gurren Lagann on the other.

    [SIGPIC][/SIGPIC]
    The rest of you, I fucking hate you for the fact that I now have a blue dot on this god awful thread.
  • SpeakerSpeaker Registered User regular
    I am so proud to have been part of this. I could have been the canvasser that spoke to this woman or hung the door knocker.

    http://andrewsullivan.theatlantic.com/the_daily_dish/2008/11/the-ground-game.html

    Being walkers with the dawn and morning,
    Walkers with the sun and morning, we are not afraid of night,
    Nor days of gloom, nor darkness -
    Being walkers with the sun and morning.
  • wazillawazilla Registered User regular
    First time voters went 72% for Obama according to CNN. Fuck yeah.

  • PantsBPantsB Registered User regular
    My prediction:
    Spoiler:
    ed
    wazilla wrote: »
    First time voters went 72% for Obama according to CNN. Fuck yeah.
    Fuck yeah with all the caveats about reliability

    11793-1.png
    Spoiler:
  • NerissaNerissa Registered User
    geckahn wrote: »
    From Sullivan - via a reader:
    I voted here in San Francisco's Noe Valley neighborhood about two hours ago. It took about an hour to get through the line, and while standing there I was chatting with the 75-year-old retired cop in front of me, and the young 30-something gay couple in front of him, who had their two little girls in tow.

    Everyone was in good spirits as the conversation moved from the Obama-McCain contest to the farce that is Sarah Palin, and then on to non-political matters, like the road work being done on the next block. The conversation between the cop and the couple started to get animated toward the end of our hour in line as the three men began to discuss the current football season, wagering bets for this weekend's games and making predictions for the Super Bowl.

    And then, as we entered the firehouse that doubled as our polling place, as the couple and their daughters stepped out of line and up to the table to receive their ballots, I observed the cop in front of me. He opened his sample ballot, took out his pen, scribbled out his "yes" vote on Proposition 8, and filled in the ballot line for "no."

    I don't think he knew that I observed him. And since it was such a private moment I held back my tears of joy and my overwhelming desire to pat him on the back and say "thank you, sir." Instead, I left the polling place muttering to myself those two words you have repeated over and over during this election cycle, Andrew:

    KNOW.

    HOPE.

    I think this story is sufficiently awesome to be reported. :)

    Personally, I like D&D because I find OCD much more interesting than ADD.
  • werehippywerehippy Registered User regular
    OptimusZed wrote: »
    Clevinger wrote: »
    Couscous wrote: »
    I feel like I'm in the last huzzah of the DS megathread on G&T all over again.
    Or the chat thread.

    This sucks.

    why exactly is the general politics thread not allowed anymore? they were great
    I'd be curious to know as well. Single issue threads always devolve into "yeah huh," "nuh uh" clusterfucks, with stark divisions between the "sides." It's possible to discuss politics in general without that kind of polarization.

    I imagine it's because the mega-threads are a bitch and a half to mod. Considering at this point we burn through a 100 page thread in roughly 36 hours it must be impossible to keep on top of things. Even given the likely slow down after the election, I can understand the desire to weed this out (which kind of fits in the general philosophy here anyway).

    Though I have to say I'm going to miss this like hell. The general thread has been great for the last couple years.

    theeyeov3.jpg
  • AngelHedgieAngelHedgie Registered User regular
    XBL: Nox Aeternum / PSN: NoxAeternum / NN:NoxAeternum
    Spoiler:
  • DacDac Registered User regular
    When I went and cast my vote this weekend, I was shocked to learn that the polling place had been moved from the office lobby of the local school to the gymnasium.

    Usually we have two machines, and I'm the only one there at 9 am in the morning.

    We had 10 machines, and each was actually in use.

    No wait here, but dayum. That's a change.

    Beadvised.jpg
  • MedopineMedopine __BANNED USERS
    Gosling wrote: »
    A big section of turf in Monona, followed by a big drive out to Sun Prairie, means there's no time for my ground team to bang out any more land in time.

    So I return to you for the moment of truth. Let's see how we did.

    ALL HAIL VOLUNTEERMAN

    But seriously you rock

  • CantidoCantido Registered User regular
    The sound of eight hooves reaches his ears, comes from the heavenly light, two wolves howls fills his heart with fear, and he sees two ravens fly. Down from the sky a warlord rides, like fire his one eye glows, and just before the preacher dies he knows his god is false.
  • PantsBPantsB Registered User regular
    BTW GOTV calling to NH has been stopped. I think that's a good sign.

    11793-1.png
    Spoiler:
  • KetBraKetBra shut up and jamRegistered User regular
    PantsB wrote: »
    My prediction:
    Spoiler:
    ed
    wazilla wrote: »
    First time voters went 72% for Obama according to CNN. Fuck yeah.
    Fuck yeah with all the caveats about reliability

    No Omaha love?

    yA895.png
  • PantsBPantsB Registered User regular
    CorpseRT wrote: »
    PantsB wrote: »
    My prediction:
    Spoiler:
    ed
    wazilla wrote: »
    First time voters went 72% for Obama according to CNN. Fuck yeah.
    Fuck yeah with all the caveats about reliability

    No Omaha love?

    Good call. Throw in the fiefdom of Buffet

    11793-1.png
    Spoiler:
  • CrayonCrayon Registered User regular
    13 minutes until first polls close.

  • SpeakerSpeaker Registered User regular
    I'm going out one more time to the eleven houses that I don't know if the people have voted left. Be back for 7:00.

    Being walkers with the dawn and morning,
    Walkers with the sun and morning, we are not afraid of night,
    Nor days of gloom, nor darkness -
    Being walkers with the sun and morning.
  • JragghenJragghen Registered User regular
    FOX News Ohio white men 51 McCain 47 Obama

    also, Drudge reporting exits have Obama +15 in PA.

    sig.gif
  • DukiDuki Registered User
    Duki wrote: »
    Duki wrote: »
    Hah, just heard a great way to refer to the new President. "America's next CEO."

    Yeah, because the last guy who said he's going to run the US like a CEO would worked out SO well, right?

    President != CEO.

    Calvin Coolidge was alright, actually.

    Why do I get the feeling that you and American history have only a passing acquaintance?

    We're talking about the President that spent a month fishing while there were financial crises going on.

    You get that feeling because you don't realise that I'm kidding.

    And it's a decently historically accurate joke, too. Coolidge was the last of the laissez-faire style Presidents, not including Hoover, because by the end of his term Hoover was intruding into the economy.

    How's your acquaintance with U.S history, then?

  • enlightenedbumenlightenedbum Registered User regular
    Jragghen wrote: »
    FOX News Ohio white men 51 McCain 47 Obama

    also, Drudge reporting exits have Obama +15 in PA.

    Early exits + Obama effect from the primary says that's probably 7 or 8 in reality.

    That Ohio number is insanely good.

    My cousin made this game: Gem Pop. It's legitimately fun, particularly for people who enjoy Bejewled, Dr. Mario, Tetris, etc. kinds of games. Only two bucks! If you try it out, PM me with what you think of it.
This discussion has been closed.