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State of the Union thread - Tuesday (January 25th) at 9 PM

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    SiernanSiernan Registered User regular
    edited January 2011
    So, is anyone hopeful that after Bachmann doesn't get the Republican presidential nomination, she'll decide to run anyway as a candidate for the Tea Party?

    Siernan on
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    Raiden333Raiden333 Registered User regular
    edited January 2011
    Siernan wrote: »
    So, is anyone hopeful that after Bachmann doesn't get the Republican presidential nomination, she'll decide to run anyway as a candidate for the Tea Party?

    That would be the greatest thing in the world.

    Raiden333 on
    There was a steam sig here. It's gone now.
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    President RexPresident Rex Registered User regular
    edited January 2011
    So someone wanted basic points from both sides, so here are the two side-by-side (when they both talked about similar topics). Excerpts from the State of the Union Address and Ryan's Rebuttal Speech (and nothing from Bachmann because I don't speak crazy):


    Stimulus and Job creation:
    Obama wrote:
    Thanks to the tax cuts we passed, Americans' paychecks are a little bigger today. Every business can write off the full cost of the new investments they make this year. These steps, taken by Democrats and Republicans, will grow the economy and add to the more than one million private sector jobs created last year.

    ...

    Over the last two years, we have begun rebuilding for the 21st century, a project that has meant thousands of good jobs for the hard-hit construction industry. Tonight, I'm proposing that we redouble these efforts.

    We will put more Americans to work repairing crumbling roads and bridges. We will make sure this is fully paid for, attract private investment, and pick projects based on what's best for the economy, not politicians.

    ...

    Before I took office, I made it clear that we would enforce our trade agreements, and that I would only sign deals that keep faith with American workers, and promote American jobs.
    Ryan wrote:
    The facts are clear: Since taking office, President Obama has signed into law spending increases of nearly 25 percent for domestic government agencies — an 84 percent increase when you include the failed stimulus.

    All of this new government spending was sold as "investment." Yet after two years, the unemployment rate remains above 9% and government has added over $3 trillion to our debt.

    ...

    Our forthcoming budget is our obligation to you — to show you how we intend to do things differently … how we will cut spending to get the debt down… help create jobs and prosperity … and reform government programs. If we act soon, and if we act responsibly, people in and near retirement will be protected.
    (ed: I have no idea where his numbers came from)

    jobgainslosses.gif

    An important distinction on this issue is that the stimulus package created many temporary jobs and many complain that it didn't create additional jobs. However, after implementation the number of jobs being lost gradually decreased until we reach the point where we are now that we're gaining jobs again (the graph is a bit inaccurate in that we didn't stop losing permanent jobs until about 4 months later).


    Closing tax and procedure loopholes:
    Obama wrote:
    To reduce barriers to growth and investment, I've ordered a review of government regulations. When we find rules that put an unnecessary burden on businesses, we will fix them. But I will not hesitate to create or enforce commonsense safeguards to protect the American people.

    ...

    In fact, the best thing we could do on taxes for all Americans is to simplify the individual tax code. This will be a tough job, but members of both parties have expressed interest in doing this, and I am prepared to join them.

    ...

    We live and do business in the information age, but the last major reorganization of the government happened in the age of black and white TV. There are twelve different agencies that deal with exports. There are at least five different entities that deal with housing policy. Then there's my favorite example: the Interior Department is in charge of salmon while they're in fresh water, but the Commerce Department handles them in when they're in saltwater. And I hear it gets even more complicated once they're smoked.
    Ryan wrote:
    The President mentioned the need for regulatory reform to ease the burden on American businesses. We agree — and we think his health care law would be a great place to start.



    Budgeting and Debt Reduction:
    Obama wrote:
    We are living with a legacy of deficit-spending that began almost a decade ago. And in the wake of the financial crisis, some of that was necessary to keep credit flowing, save jobs, and put money in people's pockets.

    But now that the worst of the recession is over, we have to confront the fact that our government spends more than it takes in. That is not sustainable.

    ...

    But let's make sure that we're not doing it on the backs of our most vulnerable citizens. And let's make sure what we're cutting is really excess weight. Cutting the deficit by gutting our investments in innovation and education is like lightening an overloaded airplane by removing its engine. It may feel like you're flying high at first, but it won't take long before you'll feel the impact.
    Ryan wrote:
    As chairman of the House Budget Committee, I assure you that we want to work with the President to restrain federal spending. In one of our first acts in the new majority, House Republicans voted to cut Congress's own budget. And just today, the House voted to restore the spending discipline that Washington sorely needs.

    ...

    We face a crushing burden of debt. The debt will soon eclipse our entire economy, and grow to catastrophic levels in the years ahead

    ...

    There is no doubt the President came into office facing a severe fiscal and economic situation. Unfortunately, instead of restoring the fundamentals of economic growth, he engaged in a stimulus spending spree that not only failed to deliver on its promise to create jobs, but also plunged us even deeper into debt.

    Note most of the debt attributed to Obama for 2009 is a continuation of Bush's policies with regard to the stimulus.


    Healthcare Reform coverage and costs:
    Obama wrote:
    What I'm not willing to do is go back to the days when insurance companies could deny someone coverage because of a pre-existing condition. I'm not willing to tell James Howard, a brain cancer patient from Texas, that his treatment might not be covered. I'm not willing to tell Jim Houser, a small business owner from Oregon, that he has to go back to paying $5,000 more to cover his employees.

    ...

    This means further reducing health care costs, including programs like Medicare and Medicaid, which are the single biggest contributor to our long-term deficit. Health insurance reform will slow these rising costs, which is part of why nonpartisan economists have said that repealing the health care law would add a quarter of a trillion dollars to our deficit.
    Ryan wrote:
    Costs are going up, premiums are rising, and millions of people will lose the coverage they currently have. Job creation is being stifled by all of its taxes, penalties, mandates and fees. Businesses and unions from around the country are asking the Obama Administration for waivers from the mandates.

    ...

    Last week, House Republicans voted for a full repeal of this law, as we pledged to do, and we will work to replace it with fiscally responsible, patient-centered reforms that actually reduce costs and expand coverage.

    (graph stolen from Huffpost and edited so the graph actually begins at 0 instead of 20 million)

    huffpostREPEAL-EFFECTS-at-0.gif



    (I tried to be fair and cull the important points from both parties, but since one was basically 10x as long as the other, Obama obviously has more to draw from...and a whole thing on education and innovation that Ryan's spending-focused rebuttal doesn't touch on.)

    President Rex on
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    DoctorArchDoctorArch Curmudgeon Registered User regular
    edited January 2011
    Krugman winning the Nobel has been one of the greatest boons to progressives as far as economic arguments go. He knows his shit, has the bonafides and accolades to prove it, and cannot be cowed by halfwits from the other side.

    Edit: Plus the fact that he used a lolcats image in his NY Times blog without irony is fantastic.

    DoctorArch on
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    TheOtherHorsemanTheOtherHorseman Registered User regular
    edited January 2011
    Bachmann should absolutely get the nomination for whatever party she wants, assuming it's the mainstream one I still belong to out of laziness but don't vote for.

    TheOtherHorseman on
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    QuidQuid Definitely not a banana Registered User regular
    edited January 2011
    For your viewing pleasure:

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1fRxO_Yx99I

    Edit: I just noticed when it cuts to the first, very dark graphic you can see the cameraman's reflection.

    Quid on
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    lonelyahavalonelyahava Call me Ahava ~~She/Her~~ Move to New ZealandRegistered User regular
    edited January 2011
    what what.

    ohgod Quid! why'd you have to go and do that for?

    lol

    now i'm going to be hunting tea party cameramen in every shot. like the munchkin in the apple trees

    lonelyahava on
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    QuidQuid Definitely not a banana Registered User regular
    edited January 2011
    It's pretty much just that graphic. That they throw up twice.

    Quid on
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    lonelyahavalonelyahava Call me Ahava ~~She/Her~~ Move to New ZealandRegistered User regular
    edited January 2011
    now you took the fun out of the game. :P

    lonelyahava on
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    GoslingGosling Looking Up Soccer In Mongolia Right Now, Probably Watertown, WIRegistered User regular
    edited January 2011
    So from what I'm reading, the reason Bachmann wasn't looking at the camera was that... she was looking at the camera.

    The webcam. Which was a completely different camera from the one CNN was using.

    Gosling on
    I have a new soccer blog The Minnow Tank. Reading it psychically kicks Sepp Blatter in the bean bag.
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    CouscousCouscous Registered User regular
    edited January 2011
    Safety net becoming a safety hammock
    HE SAID THIS UNIRONICALLY?

    People consider him not crazy?
    So from what I'm reading, the reason Bachmann wasn't looking at the camera was that... she was looking at the camera.

    The webcam. Which was a completely different camera from the one CNN was using.
    So how did she not notice that looking at that camera meant she had to look somewhere other than foreword at the teleprompter and therefor it was probably not the one she should be looking at?

    Couscous on
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    GoslingGosling Looking Up Soccer In Mongolia Right Now, Probably Watertown, WIRegistered User regular
    edited January 2011
    What I'd like to know is something more like, why were there two different cameras in the first place. It's a rebuttal. One is sufficient.

    Gosling on
    I have a new soccer blog The Minnow Tank. Reading it psychically kicks Sepp Blatter in the bean bag.
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    enlightenedbumenlightenedbum Registered User regular
    edited January 2011
    People consider him not crazy?

    Prominent members of the media worship (Andrea Mitchell, hello!) Ayn Rand.

    Plus he wants to make the poor suffer.

    enlightenedbum on
    Self-righteousness is incompatible with coalition building.
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    EgoEgo Registered User regular
    edited January 2011
    Quid wrote: »
    For your viewing pleasure:

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1fRxO_Yx99I

    Edit: I just noticed when it cuts to the first, very dark graphic you can see the cameraman's reflection.

    The way she isn't looking at the camera and her eyes never move creeps me out.

    Ego on
    Erik
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    CouscousCouscous Registered User regular
    edited January 2011
    http://cnn.com/video/?/video/politics/2011/01/25/ac.kth.bachmann.history.cnn
    How can a person listen to this without going bullshit and remembering basic shit from high school history class?

    Couscous on
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    jimbo034jimbo034 Registered User regular
    edited January 2011
    In the grim darkness of the far future there is only Paul Ryan.

    jimbo034 on
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    shrykeshryke Member of the Beast Registered User regular
    edited January 2011
    Quid wrote: »
    For your viewing pleasure:

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1fRxO_Yx99I

    Edit: I just noticed when it cuts to the first, very dark graphic you can see the cameraman's reflection.

    OMG, she really did just blatantly remove the year 2008 from that graph.

    shryke on
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    shrykeshryke Member of the Beast Registered User regular
    edited January 2011
    dojango wrote: »
    It's funny how everyone turned to [Nobel Prize winning economist] Paul Krugman to answer the economics question. Why doesn't anyone else seem to listen to him?

    Because American Government hasn't been listening to real economists since the Laffer Curve.

    Seriously, you've got entire huge powerful swaths of one of the two major political parties who believe in shit Milton Fucking Friedman proved was bullshit 50 years ago. It's insane to watch.

    shryke on
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    Pi-r8Pi-r8 Registered User regular
    edited January 2011
    shryke wrote: »
    Quid wrote: »
    For your viewing pleasure:

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1fRxO_Yx99I

    Edit: I just noticed when it cuts to the first, very dark graphic you can see the cameraman's reflection.

    OMG, she really did just blatantly remove the year 2008 from that graph.

    actually I think it is on there. I count 11 bars on that graph.

    Pi-r8 on
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    azith28azith28 Registered User regular
    edited January 2011
    Gee. what a shock. 30 minutes before he enters full campaign mode for 2012 reelection he suddenly becomes a 'centrist' again.

    Sorry, not falling for it.
    Sure, Republicans, try and take advantage of it but watch as he dances and prances around actually signing anything before the election then finds some way to say its 'flawed'.

    azith28 on
    Stercus, Stercus, Stercus, Morituri Sum
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    iTunesIsEviliTunesIsEvil Cornfield? Cornfield.Registered User regular
    edited January 2011
    "He was a centrist on the campaign trail! Then he got into office and went all Marxy Marx and the Fuckmuppet Bunch on our asses!"

    :whistle: Someone wasn't listening during the last presidential campaign. :whistle:

    iTunesIsEvil on
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    azith28azith28 Registered User regular
    edited January 2011
    Not exactly. I knew he was a liberal, he just was at least decently convincing during the campaign that he could lean if not right to the middle occasionally. Proved wrong.

    azith28 on
    Stercus, Stercus, Stercus, Morituri Sum
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    Pi-r8Pi-r8 Registered User regular
    edited January 2011
    azith28 wrote: »
    Not exactly. I knew he was a liberal, he just was at least decently convincing during the campaign that he could lean if not right to the middle occasionally. Proved wrong.

    I'm afraid to ask this but... what did he do in office that strikes you as hardcore liberal?

    Pi-r8 on
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    HounHoun Registered User regular
    edited January 2011
    Every Democratic President is the "Most Liberal Ever". Didn't you know that?

    :P

    Houn on
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    wwtMaskwwtMask Registered User regular
    edited January 2011
    Remember everyone, most conservatives don't actually know what a liberal is, thus anyone to the left of center is a liberal. Witness azith complaining about how liberal Obama is, despite the fact that Obama signed a HCR law that was essentially a 20 year old Republican plan. Oh, and the Obama administration has treated Gitmo and terrorism detainees almost exactly like the Bush administration. And he didn't press for comprehensive immigration reform or the union card check law. But you know, totally liberal, practically to the left of Bernie Sanders.

    wwtMask on
    When he dies, I hope they write "Worst Affirmative Action Hire, EVER" on his grave. His corpse should be trolled.
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    nexuscrawlernexuscrawler Registered User regular
    edited January 2011
    we actually stepped up the war in Afghanistan and started striking into Pakistan something Bush didn't do

    nexuscrawler on
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    iTunesIsEviliTunesIsEvil Cornfield? Cornfield.Registered User regular
    edited January 2011
    we actually stepped up the war in Afghanistan and started striking into Pakistan something Bush didn't do
    LEFTIST AGENDA!

    Wait. Whut?

    iTunesIsEvil on
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    override367override367 ALL minions Registered User regular
    edited January 2011
    azith28 wrote: »
    Not exactly. I knew he was a liberal, he just was at least decently convincing during the campaign that he could lean if not right to the middle occasionally. Proved wrong.

    I'm sorry? How is Obama ultra liberal?

    He's socially liberal, no question, but he's done nothing with gun control, helped pass the Republicans' counter-proposal health care bill from 1993, continuously lowered taxes (seriously, Reagan would be a goddamn socialist compared to this guy fiscally), his stimulus was 50% out of the Ronald Reagan playbook (who he verbally fellates at every opportunity).

    The man is a 1990s Republican, it's maddening to see a president who talks about cutting social security to fix the deficit rather than raising revenues in a period of historically ultra-low taxes be labeled as such. In a nation where the income disparity is the highest it's been since the gilded age, where the poor cant find work but the rich are earning more money than at any other time in history (seriously they're raking the shit in), to sign a bill lowering the taxes on them - This man is a liberal?!

    override367 on
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    Pi-r8Pi-r8 Registered User regular
    edited January 2011
    (seriously, Reagan would be a goddamn socialist compared to this guy fiscally), his stimulus was 50% out of the Ronald Reagan playbook (who he verbally fellates at every opportunity).

    The man is a 1990s Republican, it's maddening to see a president who talks about cutting social security to fix the deficit rather than raising revenues in a period of historically ultra-low taxes be labeled as such

    I was just thinking it would be an interesting exercise to compare Obama to Reagan. They seem to have a few things in common.

    Pi-r8 on
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    override367override367 ALL minions Registered User regular
    edited January 2011
    Obama is a socially progressive version of Reagan so far. The biggest difference, I think, is that Obama would genuinely be more leftist if he thought he could. If congress had pushed for single payer for example he would have backed it.

    He's been a full time centrist/conservative on many issues in the name of bipartisanship. How's that gone? Winning people over? No they still think hes socialist spawn from hell?

    override367 on
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    CouscousCouscous Registered User regular
    edited January 2011
    Obama isn't anti-intellectual like Reagan.

    Couscous on
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    wwtMaskwwtMask Registered User regular
    edited January 2011
    Yeah, generally speaking I wish he'd take a "damned if you do, damned if you don't" attitude and just try to move forward without seeming to worship at the altar of bipartisanship. On balance, though, I'd be pretty happy if he were actually a progressive Reagan, in the sense that Reagan started the rightward shift of the political center in this country.

    wwtMask on
    When he dies, I hope they write "Worst Affirmative Action Hire, EVER" on his grave. His corpse should be trolled.
    Twitter - @liberaltruths | Google+ - http://gplus.to/wwtMask | Occupy Tallahassee
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    override367override367 ALL minions Registered User regular
    edited January 2011
    Yea it's tough for me to judge Obama too harshly given the media climate he's presented with

    I kinda wish he'd just show up wearing traditional african garb and praise allah or something so Fox News would just collapse in on itself- I mean where do you go from there?

    override367 on
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    QuidQuid Definitely not a banana Registered User regular
    edited January 2011
    shryke wrote: »
    OMG, she really did just blatantly remove the year 2008 from that graph.

    No she's just using the unemployment rate from the middle of the year. Since using the one at the end of Bush's term would make it 8.5%.

    Quid on
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    HounHoun Registered User regular
    edited January 2011
    wwtMask wrote: »
    Yeah, generally speaking I wish he'd take a "damned if you do, damned if you don't" attitude and just try to move forward without seeming to worship at the altar of bipartisanship. On balance, though, I'd be pretty happy if he were actually a progressive Reagan, in the sense that Reagan started the rightward shift of the political center in this country.

    That's for your second term.

    Houn on
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    ArchArch Neat-o, mosquito! Registered User regular
    edited January 2011
    Quid wrote: »
    shryke wrote: »
    OMG, she really did just blatantly remove the year 2008 from that graph.

    No she's just using the unemployment rate from the middle of the year. Since using the one at the end of Bush's term would make it 8.5%.

    see I was wondering about that because I have seen many different graphs that show either positive, negative, or neutral effects on unemployment in the last few years

    Arch on
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    enc0reenc0re Registered User regular
    edited January 2011
    Yea it's tough for me to judge Obama too harshly given the media climate he's presented with

    I kinda wish he'd just show up wearing traditional african garb and praise allah or something so Fox News would just collapse in on itself- I mean where do you go from there?

    Muhammed be with you and may Allah bless the United States of America.

    He should do it for the lulz.

    enc0re on
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    enc0reenc0re Registered User regular
    edited January 2011
    Quid wrote: »
    shryke wrote: »
    OMG, she really did just blatantly remove the year 2008 from that graph.

    No she's just using the unemployment rate from the middle of the year. Since using the one at the end of Bush's term would make it 8.5%.

    And that's not even as favorable to her argument as she could have been. Had she used the annual average, the 2008 rate would have come in well under 6%.
    fredgraph.png?&chart_type=bar&graph_id=&category_id=&&width=630&height=378&bgcolor=%23B3CDE7&graph_bgcolor=%23FFFFFF&txtcolor=%23000000&ts=8&preserve_ratio=true&fo=ve&id=UNRATE&transformation=lin&scale=Left&range=10yrs&cosd=2000-12-01&coed=2010-12-01&line_color=%230000FF&link_values=&mark_type=&mw=&line_style=&lw=&vintage_date=2011-01-26&revision_date=2011-01-26&mma=0&nd=&ost=&oet=&fml=a&fq=Annual&fam=avg&fgst=lin

    enc0re on
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    NailbunnyPDNailbunnyPD Registered User regular
    edited January 2011
    I am completely fascinated by this. On MSNBC, they have a Democrat and a Republican debating Social Security and they're actually right next to each other and sat next to each other all night and they're being completely civil and not talking over each other. Forget what I just said, THIS is the weirdest fucking thing.

    This actually happens regularly on PBS News Hour. I have spent more time watching this program for the past couple weeks, and it is so much better than any cable news or even the prime time news programs. They bring on civil and intellectual people to comment and discuss relevant topics. Even lawmakers that appear have been civil. It may just be the proximity to the Tuscon shootings, but its been a breath of fresh air.

    NailbunnyPD on
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    NailbunnyPDNailbunnyPD Registered User regular
    edited January 2011
    wwtMask wrote: »
    Yeah, generally speaking I wish he'd take a "damned if you do, damned if you don't" attitude and just try to move forward without seeming to worship at the altar of bipartisanship. On balance, though, I'd be pretty happy if he were actually a progressive Reagan, in the sense that Reagan started the rightward shift of the political center in this country.

    I feel its an easy cop out to claim he is centrist for the sake of bipartisanship. Could he actually be a centrist? Why is that so hard to accept?
    I do think he is more centrist than liberal, and I don't feel that every compromise he has made is for the sake of bipartisanship. He fields advice from all areas, and he's known to side with conservative advisers.

    Also, I did not watch the SotU.

    NailbunnyPD on
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