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Sigil City of [Phalla] - Day Seven: Be Sure to Visit Scenic Carceri!

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Posts

  • TayaTaya Registered User regular
    Hey, remember that one mini where I got everyone to decorate me? And then I turned out to be a man-eating Christmas tree that ate anyone who decorated me?

    Man, those were fun times. :P

    That sounds like a fun game.

  • BedlamBedlam Registered User regular
    I think its hilarious that ahava pings Stevers dumb theory but ecco hasnt attracted one single vote. Also that they live together and came in on the same day

  • GrimmyTOAGrimmyTOA Registered User regular
    If the rest of you could make a post in green we can get a second half day victory... for me... please? Or maybe don't, might be better I stay in.

    I'd love to, but we're sort of in the situation where giving a friendly neutral a free pass out of the game is the same as giving the mafia a free kill. You know?

  • BedlamBedlam Registered User regular
    GrimmyTOA wrote:
    If the rest of you could make a post in green we can get a second half day victory... for me... please? Or maybe don't, might be better I stay in.

    I'd love to, but we're sort of in the situation where giving a friendly neutral a free pass out of the game is the same as giving the mafia a free kill. You know?
    Well they're nuetrals. So they could just as easily help out the mafia as the village. Especially if the village refuses to help them with their win condition.

  • romanqwertyromanqwerty Registered User regular
    Taya wrote:
    Hey, remember that one mini where I got everyone to decorate me? And then I turned out to be a man-eating Christmas tree that ate anyone who decorated me?

    Man, those were fun times. :P

    That sounds like a fun game.

    I don't remember any of that. Also its totally happening again this year.

  • RetabaRetaba A Cultist Registered User regular
    A christmas phalla with trees that eat people sounds like a lot of fun

  • MrTLiciousMrTLicious Registered User regular
    Bedlam wrote:
    I think its hilarious that ahava pings Stevers dumb theory but ecco hasnt attracted one single vote. Also that they live together and came in on the same day

    Because ecco came in because the person literally couldn't be bothered to post at all. Ahava came back to someone who actively withdrew.

    I haven't been around long enough to have a real time series, but the basic argument for withdrawals being more likely to be mafia is sound, and not at all ridiculous.

  • M.D.M.D. and then what happens? Registered User regular
    I dont like any of the votes so im going with taya unless she revealed and I missed it under the mass reveals

  • immortal squishimmortal squish Registered User regular
    edited October 2011
    If the rest of you could make a post in green we can get a second half day victory... for me... please? Or maybe don't, might be better I stay in.

    Fly to heaven little bird!

    (Also, I think stever777 is a decent vote until somebody comes forward with some of all that seer data that was handed out last night.)

    immortal squish on
    <3
  • Shiny New ToysShiny New Toys where am i? its dark in hereRegistered User regular
    oh all right then

  • TayaTaya Registered User regular
    A little curious...

  • LanglyLangly Registered User regular


    sure why not

  • FlarneFlarne Registered User regular
    I want to be one of the cool green kids.

  • anomalousvandalanomalousvandal Registered User regular
    It is suspicious that Darian is so quiet.

    You can take letters off my username, but you cannot take my FREEDOM!!
  • M.D.M.D. and then what happens? Registered User regular
    never posting in green sorry void slayer only deserves death

  • CelebrimCelebrim Registered User regular
    Bedlam wrote:
    I think its hilarious that ahava pings Stevers dumb theory but ecco hasnt attracted one single vote. Also that they live together and came in on the same day

    My opinion on this argument is that one of them was probably special in some way (not necessarily mafia) and the host was nice enough to replace in bulk to not paint a complete bullseye on the replacement. Also, I thought that one of the replacement was sought out byt he host (vs just a reserve signup), although cj could have PM'd his resignation. I can see the argument, but I don't think its strong enough to vote for either of them.


    Darian for very low activity since nothing seems to have come from the seer purchases. Was also looking at INANTP, but Darian already has some votes. The thread switching has made it hard for me to track activity so feel free to correct me.


  • BedlamBedlam Registered User regular
    CJ didnt even realise he had be replaced and tried to post after the fact. I didnt catch the resignation, so that might be a good call or it could be bullshit. Maybe a seer should aim at either stever or ahava to put this stupid nonsense to bed.

  • LanglyLangly Registered User regular
    edited October 2011
    ok all this talk about the replacement thing made go and do serious research of the past 10 mains and 10 minis

    Phallaclave: Replacement from what I can tell was not mafia (flarne replaced by wildcat)
    Echo Bazaar: Replacement was mafia (Mrblarney for Wildcat)
    Ace Attorney: Replacement was mafia (kime replaced wildcat)
    Post Phallaism: Two replacements, one mafia and one neutral angel
    House of Phalla: Replacement was mafia (Mrblarney for someone I don't know whatever)
    Loxley Phalla: Two replacements, both villagers
    TVTropes: Null
    Kamen Rider Phalla: Null
    Phallakinetic: Null
    Salty Phalla: Null
    Elementalist: Null
    Asylum: Null
    PHA/LLA: Null


    Minis:
    Phalla Club: Null
    Phalla of Angels: Replacement was Mafia
    LoL Phalla: Replacement was village
    Time Phalla: Null
    Dream Phalla: Replacement was village
    Newbie Phalla: Null
    Biology Phalla: Null
    Reality Phalla: Two Replacements both village
    Brass Phalla: Replacement was village
    Death of Phalla: Replacement was mafia (Ringo for zandracon)
    WoT Phalla: Replacement was mafia
    Psych Phalla: Replacement was village

    So the data is a little skewed in that not every game even has replacements, but for the past 6 mains, 4 games out of 6 had the replacements turn up mafia, while in the past minis only 3 out of 7 was mafia.

    So if you were just looking at trends, you're not wrong to say that in recent history, replacements have turned out to be mafia. Specifically, people who make withdrawal requests and don't just disappear from the game.

    Statistically, though, it isn't a majority.

    Langly on
  • BedlamBedlam Registered User regular
    Alegis withdrew in the angelic mini after killing a teamate. Taya replaced and was mafia

  • RetabaRetaba A Cultist Registered User regular
    So seer results have shown Zandracon to be Evil. Merry Sigilmas everyone!

  • LanglyLangly Registered User regular
    Bedlam wrote: »
    Alegis withdrew in the angelic mini after killing a teamate. Taya replaced and was mafia

    I forgot that one, and missed it because I am stupid.

  • BedlamBedlam Registered User regular
    withdraw stever

    and vote Zandracon

  • TayaTaya Registered User regular
    Zandracon

  • Shiny New ToysShiny New Toys where am i? its dark in hereRegistered User regular
    Who am I to argue with a seer result?

    Zandracon

    I hope someone is looking at the players who have been quiet this game, it may be the broken threads but there are some people I barely remembering posting.

  • LanglyLangly Registered User regular
    kill the zandracon

  • FlarneFlarne Registered User regular
    Zandracon for fun and profit.

  • immortal squishimmortal squish Registered User regular
    Well alright then, Zandracon it is.

    <3
  • CelebrimCelebrim Registered User regular
    Darian

    Zandracon


  • The AnonymousThe Anonymous Uh, uh, uhhhhhh... Uh, uh.Registered User regular
    So the one time we don't kill off Zandracon early, he turns out to be evil? Figures.

  • precisionkprecisionk Registered User regular
    The Sigil Defense Force agrees with Retaba.

    !Zandracon

  • MrTLiciousMrTLicious Registered User regular
    Langly wrote:
    ok all this talk about the replacement thing made go and do serious research of the past 10 mains and 10 minis

    Phallaclave: Replacement from what I can tell was not mafia (flarne replaced by wildcat)
    Echo Bazaar: Replacement was mafia (Mrblarney for Wildcat)
    Ace Attorney: Replacement was mafia (kime replaced wildcat)
    Post Phallaism: Two replacements, one mafia and one neutral angel
    House of Phalla: Replacement was mafia (Mrblarney for someone I don't know whatever)
    Loxley Phalla: Two replacements, both villagers
    TVTropes: Null
    Kamen Rider Phalla: Null
    Phallakinetic: Null
    Salty Phalla: Null
    Elementalist: Null
    Asylum: Null
    PHA/LLA: Null


    Minis:
    Phalla Club: Null
    Phalla of Angels: Replacement was Mafia
    LoL Phalla: Replacement was village
    Time Phalla: Null
    Dream Phalla: Replacement was village
    Newbie Phalla: Null
    Biology Phalla: Null
    Reality Phalla: Two Replacements both village
    Brass Phalla: Replacement was village
    Death of Phalla: Replacement was mafia (Ringo for zandracon)
    WoT Phalla: Replacement was mafia
    Psych Phalla: Replacement was village

    So the data is a little skewed in that not every game even has replacements, but for the past 6 mains, 4 games out of 6 had the replacements turn up mafia, while in the past minis only 3 out of 7 was mafia.

    So if you were just looking at trends, you're not wrong to say that in recent history, replacements have turned out to be mafia. Specifically, people who make withdrawal requests and don't just disappear from the game.

    Statistically, though, it isn't a majority.

    To be significant, it doesn't have to be a majority, just over 20%, which it is (though not statistically significant yet probably).

    Although you're also probably counting all replacements, and not just withdrawals. If someone doesn't do anything and gets replaced, that's a host behavior argument which I think you'd need to then separate by host which is ridiculous. If someone actually withdraws, then you have information about their ability to contribute and it not reaching the threshold required of their role, as was said in the original thread when this first came up.

  • MrTLiciousMrTLicious Registered User regular
    And just in case, though I doubt it matters,

    Zandracon

  • MrTLiciousMrTLicious Registered User regular
    Actually, before I follow blindly, can I ask if Z is a devil or a demon?

  • GrimmyTOAGrimmyTOA Registered User regular
    !Zandracon

    Do we have info on what type of baddie Zandracon is? Do we need to worry about leaving the Demons unopposed by Devils, or would that be too crappy a thing for the host to do to us?

  • RetabaRetaba A Cultist Registered User regular
    Can't you tell by his shadow? Zandracon has a very demonic shadow. Also his laugh.

  • Rawkking GoodguyRawkking Goodguy Registered User regular
    All Stevers may die in time

    But what of the Zandies

    Ask you

    and I

  • CapfalconCapfalcon Tunnel Snakes Rule Capital WastelandRegistered User regular
  • MrTLiciousMrTLicious Registered User regular
    Ok, just making sure.

    This will make one of each baddie for Retaba.

  • CythraulCythraul Registered User regular
    Zandracon it is.

    Steam
    Confusion will be my epitaph
  • GrimmyTOAGrimmyTOA Registered User regular
    My green post for the day.

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