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[Primary] Threads, Romney Unstoppable? Newton's Law disagrees!

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Posts

  • KetBraKetBra Dressed Ridiculously Registered User regular
    El Paso still hasn't checked in, too.

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  • CouscousCouscous Registered User regular
    edited February 2012
    In addition to El Paso County, Pueblo County and Mesa County, another major county that has yet to report any results is Jefferson County ( View on Map) .

    There are reports that El Paso County will go heavily to Mr. Santorum, but Mr. Romney can retain some hope in Jefferson County, to the west of Denver.

    Jefferson County includes about 12 percent of the state's registered Republicans, and Mr. Romney won 67 percent of the vote there in 2008. His margin will probably be slimmer tonight.

    All in all, both Mr. Santorum and Mr. Romney have a couple counties they can still look to for favorable results.

    - Micah Cohen
    According to the AP, Mesa just went for Santorum.

    Edit:
    Although Mr. Romney and Mr. Santorum are virtually tied in network counts in Colorado right now, those figures do not include El Paso County, home to Colorado Springs, where the Denver Post reported that Mr. Santroum netted about 1,700 votes.

    Meanwhile, most of the remaining areas that have yet to report are rural and look slightly unfavorable on balance for Mr. Romney.

    Couscous on
  • KetBraKetBra Dressed Ridiculously Registered User regular
    Jefferson just checked in 39% Romney 37% Santorum

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  • TehSlothTehSloth Hit Or Miss I Guess They Never Miss, HuhRegistered User regular
    Looks pretty rough for Mitt, I'm guessing he doesn't really stand much of a chance to pull anything good out of tonight now. Except maybe that Newt is even less relevant than he was before.

    FC: 1993-7778-8872 PSN: TehSloth Xbox: SlothTeh
    twitch.tv/tehsloth
  • TaramoorTaramoor Storyteller Registered User regular
    Taramoor wrote:
    Is it too much to hope for Romney to come in behind Santorum AND Paul?

    They called me crazy...

    They LAUGHED at me...

    Well Paul and Santorum are laughing now!

  • Pi-r8Pi-r8 Registered User regular
    Things are looking really bad for Romney in Colorado right now.

  • KetBraKetBra Dressed Ridiculously Registered User regular
    And CNN has called it for Santorum.

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  • QuidQuid Definitely not a banana Registered User regular
    The conservative alternative to Barack Obama. THAT'S MAH BOY!

  • CouscousCouscous Registered User regular
    CNN now has Santorum as the projected winner.

  • RchanenRchanen Registered User regular
    Richy wrote:
    Rchanen wrote:
    moniker wrote:
    Rchanen wrote:
    This was an interesting post from Nate at 538
    Based on the results reported as of 11 P.M., Mitt Romney was leading in no counties in either Minnesota or Missouri.

    Indeed, Mr. Romney is doing quite poorly to date in the Republican race outside of wealthy urban counties, a pattern that, in general elections, is more characteristic of Democrats.

    Among the five states to have voted before tonight, plus the in-progress results from Minnesota and Missouri, Mr. Romney has won only 73 counties from among the 412 to have reported results in the Republican nomination race so far, giving him an 18 percent success rate.



    - Nate Silver

    http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/02/07/live-coverage-colorado-minnesota-and-missouri/

    Perhaps, but it seems like it falls prey to the typical acreage = population thing. The suburbs are going to be where the fight is in part because that's where the people are. Unless he's suggesting that the suburbs that Romney won almost exclusively went for Obama in '08, and by a wide margin, I'm not really seeing the revelation that's supposed to be here.

    I think the point he was trying to make is that Romney seems to be unable to win in Republican areas. He does well in Democratic areas and areas that traditionally swing D, but in areas that are die hard R it does not seem to be his day. It does seem to correlate with the idea that the moderate Republicans like him, but the base and fundies can't fucking stand him.

    That's why Romney is dangerous. The Republican base may dislike him, but they passionately hate Obama, so they'll hold their noses and vote Romney in the general election. Meanwhile, he can actually make gains in traditionally Democratic regions and take votes from Obama in a way Santorum and Gingrich cannot.

    It is also possible that the's bases dislike of Romney may cause them to stay home. Can't count on it, but it is a possibility.

  • shrykeshryke Member of the Beast Registered User regular
    Romney in third in Minnesota? Santorum winning 3 states in one night?

    Fuck yes! Go reality, you crazy fucking looney bin!

  • ElkiElki get busy Moderator, ClubPA mod
    Who's up for making a new OP? Call it.

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  • monikermoniker Registered User regular
    Meh?

  • Pi-r8Pi-r8 Registered User regular
    shryke wrote:
    Romney in third in Minnesota? Santorum winning 3 states in one night?

    Fuck yes! Go reality, you crazy fucking looney bin!

    You know what would be absolutely beautiful? A brokered convention, with Romney and Santorum as the leaders, where it's up to Ron Paul and Newt Gingrich to agree on a winner who's not them.

  • Harry DresdenHarry Dresden Registered User regular
    shryke wrote:
    Romney in third in Minnesota? Santorum winning 3 states in one night?

    Fuck yes! Go reality, you crazy fucking looney bin!

    Here I thought Iowa would be a fluke for the little psycho.

  • ElkiElki get busy Moderator, ClubPA mod
    You got it, moniker, you got it.



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This discussion has been closed.