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[Industry Thread] Read the OP, or you'll see more red than 38 Studios.
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Has anybody told Pachter that the tablet controller has the same buttons as the regular controller? I mean, he was at E3, right? Hasn't he held one of the darn things by now?
...why? It has the exact same number of inputs as the other guys.
Also, if that's an educated guess, Fox News is the most brilliant source of news ever.
Pachter seems to have a tendency of plugging his ears and closing his eyes during major events like E3.
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Citation needed on the end bit there. And I can buy into the idea too, but it wouldn't be a delivered ultimatum. The pressure would come in the form of expressed discontent with how things were with the Wii. It'd be heavily implied and nothing more. Anything delivered directly, Nintendo has the balls (and currently the clout) to shrug it off.
I think he's talking about the Classic Controller Pro and Circle Pad Pro, since Monster Hunter was basically a big reason for both. Though there's really no way to know if Capcom really forced them to make them.
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And why does anyone even listen to Patcher anymore? Everytime that guy opens his mouth I wonder if he's ever played a video game in his life.
You have to wonder? The guy obviously hasn't touched a game in his life, or at least in the last 25 years. You don't need a video game degree to become an analyst.
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So many of us fit that nerdy demographic. We desire indie games, we appreciate the non-multi-million titles. But we're also a part of that broad audience. Some of you have families. We have careers. We have our mortgages and foreclosures. We go out to drink on weekends (and some weekdays too). It's why a lot of what gets said in this thread is more accurate than what Pachter can ever bring to the table. His perspective is generally accurate from a broad-audience way, but without really 'getting' the rest of us, he can't really predict or analyze much. Because despite everyone whining about Kinect and waggle and Sony killing BC, the industry itself has NOT forgotten us and still makes decisions based on us.
Edit - Ugh, that got Brave Heart-y at the end there. I'm just a guy who likes video games, fuck it.
Wrong: In my opinion, the outlook for Nintendo is dependent on how several different factors play out. As of right now, the Nintendo 3DS is selling well, though it's not selling as strongly as the DS was at its peak, Nintendo has a somewhat spotty record when it comes to delivering broad-appeal, high selling game on an evenly-distributed calendar basis and it remains to be seen how much of the portable market has been eroded by smartphones and tablets. As for the Wii U, while it appears to have strong initial interest from third-parties and a much improved online initiative, we don't yet know whether the public will view it as primarily a game machine or a tablet, and precious few tablets have been able to stand up to tsunami of iPad sales.
Right: Nintendo sucks.
Pachter excels at the latter. Never mind that long and nuanced can potentially help people make better decisions.
This is true for pretty much every industry, not just this one.
Now, I don't have actual numbers to compare precisely, but I'd think that it's safe to say that either LoL or TF2 are the biggest F2P money makers out there right now (except for maybe stuff like Farmville), and are proof that the pricing model works for more than just breaking even on struggling games.
Yep, those two.
As for pachter, analysts are all about observing general trends to make predictions, and Nintendo consistently do their own thing. Probably why analysts are always wrong about Nintendo and tend be dismissive of them.
Just proof positive that cloudeagle and Henroid should team up to make a podcast about video games. So says Pachter, so says me.
Edit - My take on analysts is actually idealistic though. Because the grim reality of "Nintendo sucks" is just way too astute, sadly.
"I believe that Sega must be putting pressure on Sony to develop a faster disc drive. The 2x speed of the PS3's Blu-ray drive is too slow for Sonic games."
All that came out of his mouth was "Random company A, Random company B, Peripheral", using a dartboard to come up with the specifics.
Oh sorry I meant Cloudeagle's take on analysts and your take on FTP.
I'm going to commission someone I know to make a web-app based on this for our amusement.
Even the most money-making-driven of companies know it won't work for all games. They certainly may try, but a failed attempt may result in a game getting canned, rather than being put out in a traditional "buy the product" way (if the company was hell bent on making it appear that all their games are F2P). But see, the video game industry is full of people watching on the sidelines who see new things and say that those new things are going to usurp the entirety of the industry. And I only perceive that as being a trend that picked up enough steam to be noticed with this recent gen. Can you imagine if that mentality existed prior to this generation?
"Multiple disc games? UGH NOW EVERY GAME IS GOING TO BE LIKE THIS."
"Active time combat? UGH NOW EVERY RPG IS GOING TO BE LIKE THIS."
"3D gameplay? UGH NOW EVERY GAME IS GOING TO BE LIKE THIS." ... Actually this one had some merit back in the day but it died off.
You wouldn't need to pay for three expansions in order to join your first raid?
While it's certainly stupid to a magnitude only encompassed by Pachter that ALL games will become F2P, it's not a terrible idea for most companies to make at least one good F2P game. Set aside a small team to run the thing and use it as a fairly good source of ongoing income; it doesn't have to be a megahit success to turn a continuous profit.
Well, if there was any room in the current industry attitude for moderate success. Which there clearly isn't, what with all the batshit crazy people running things.
http://www.eurogamer.net/articles/2012-07-18-70-percent-of-dc-universe-online-users-on-playstation-3
Great for Sony I guess, but how many people are playing DCU? And are there any real alternatives for PS3 players?
NSP, you're preaching to the choir on that. I love the F2P model and have dumped tons of money into several games that utilize it. Having a F2P game and mobile apps, aside from traditional games, would help all publishers or major independent developers out a lot. Oh, and reducing the goddamn extreme costs going into game development.
01./01. [NDS] Pokemon Black 2 / White 2 <RPG> (Pokemon Co.) {2012.06.23} (¥4.800) - 122.242 / 2.289.408 (-34%)
02./00. [3DS] Taiko no Tatsujin: Chibi Dragon to Fushigi na Orb <ACT> (Bandai Namco Games) {2012.07.12} (¥5.040) - 65.462 / NEW
03./00. [3DS] Pocket Soccer League: Calciobit <SPT> (Nintendo) {2012.07.12} (¥4.800) - 26.449 / NEW
04./06. [3DS] Dragon Quest Monsters: Terry's Wonderland 3D # <RPG> (Square Enix) {2012.05.31} (¥5.490) - 18.245 / 812.452 (-34%)
05./03. [3DS] Little Battlers eXperience: Explosive Boost <RPG> (Level 5) {2012.07.05} (¥4.400) - 18.152 / 72.507 (-67%)
06./04. [PSP] Toriko: Gourmet Survival! 2 <ACT> (Bandai Namco Games) {2012.07.05} (¥5.230) - 15.187 / 53.827 (-61%)
07./02. [3DS] Etrian Odyssey IV: Denshou no Kyojin <RPG> (Atlus) {2012.07.05} (¥6.279) - 14.639 / 110.145 (-85%)
08./00. [PSV] Time Travelers <ADV> (Level 5) {2012.07.12} (¥5.980) - 9.332 / NEW
09./11. [WII] Mario Party 9 <ETC> (Nintendo) {2012.04.26} (¥5.800) - 9.090 / 481.414 (-18%)
10./00. [3DS] Time Travelers <ADV> (Level 5) {2012.07.12} (¥5.980) - 9.054 / NEW
11./07. [PS3] Tom Clancy's Ghost Recon: Future Soldier <ACT> (Ubisoft) {2012.07.05} (¥7.770) - 8.675 / 31.994 (-63%)
12./09. [PS3] Atelier Ayesha: The Alchemist of the Land of Twilight <RPG> (Gust) {2012.06.28} (¥7.140) - 6.813 / 81.147 (-51%)
13./12. [3DS] Mario Tennis Open <SPT> (Nintendo) {2012.05.24} (¥4.800) - 6.491 / 224.754 (-26%)
14./10. [3DS] Culdcept <TBL> (Nintendo) {2012.06.28} (¥4.800) - 6.162 / 73.650 (-49%)
15./13. [PSV] Persona 4 Golden <RPG> (Atlus) {2012.06.14} (¥7.329) - 6.001 / 195.750 (-24%)
16./08. [PS3] Max Anarchy <ACT> (Sega) {2012.07.05} (¥7.980) - 5.717 / 27.633 (-74%)
17./15. [PS3] Tokyo Jungle <ADV> (Sony Computer Entertainment) {2012.06.07} (¥4.980) - 5.332 / 190.344 (-30%)
18./22. [WII] Wii Sports Resort with Wii Remote Plus # <SPT> (Nintendo) {2010.11.11} (¥5.800) - 5.225 / 981.189
19./18. [PSV] Metal Gear Solid HD Edition <ADV> (Konami) {2012.06.28} (¥4.980) - 5.192 / 31.789 (-20%)
20./00. [PSV] Resistance: Burning Skies <ACT> (Sony Computer Entertainment) {2012.07.12} (¥4.980) - 5.138 / NEW
Top 20
3DS - 8
PS3 - 4
PSV - 4
WII - 2
NDS - 1
PSP - 1
HARDWARE
Level-5's experiencing bomb after bomb, it seems.
Maybe the entire fanbase bought their copy on day one.
This pretty much happened tho.
Bullshit, the Breath of Fire series fought it good and hard. Etrian Odyssey doesn't buy into ATC either. Actually, I'm pretty sure ATV has been limited to Square games mostly.
I'm just glad that Atlus isn't a company that's like, "WE NEED MILLIONS NAO!" They're probably fine with things selling steady over time. I guess the 3DS still isn't the hottest, biggest install base just yet. And I haven't paid attention to how much it's trending in Japan. I'm just paranoid these days that "NOT SELLING ENOUGH, FUCK IT" will catch on to all companies.
Niche games like EO tend to sell strong on the first week and crash in the subsequent weeks. They have no legs.
Btw
[3DS] Etrian Odyssey IV: Denshou no Kyojin <RPG> (Atlus) {2012.07.05} (¥6.279) - 14.221 / 111.363 (-85%)
[NDS] Etrian Odyssey III: The Downed City(Atlus Co.)-17.601/ 112.063 01/04/10
So it's not all that bad. Seems like it'll sell around the same amount as EO3, which was the previously best selling entry.
And IV is on a system with a smaller install base than III. So the numbers for IV aren't looking bad at all in that context.
I feel better now.
- Pokemon continue to dominate, which is no surprise. No matter how many iterations is produced, the franchise just continues to defy expectations on sales and popularity.
- Terry's Wonderland is also a sales surprise for me, and I really hope they localize it as I loved the first Dragon Quest Monsters.
- Ouch at Time Travelers. I really do want Nintendo to buy Level 5 out, as Nintendo could make fantastic use of some of their franchises. (Plus I really want Layton to be officially a first party franchise.)
- 3DS takes a small dip but still selling well, the Vita continues to flounder.
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