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[Ukraine] Putin annexes old thread, please move to the new one.

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    DacDac Registered User regular
    Foefaller wrote: »
    Mill wrote: »
    Kind of confirms the hunch that Russia doesn't have the resources fight Ukraine and then occupy Eastern Ukraine and/or are unwilling to eat the sanctions from the West that would follow, if they did so.

    Also since they are probably using agent provocateurs to stir up shit, they might not be willing risk losing those personnel and having their BS confirmed, once Ukraine starts cracking down (some of those shitheads are probably going to eat a lethal dose of lead or get caught before Russia can react).

    I think that is more likely what's going on here; Russia thought it could pull another Crimea, Ukraine called the bluff, and now Russia has to either try to end this right now peacefully (hence the Security Council meeting) or risk the real chance that the "pro-Russian supporters" get ousted as Russian operatives and get caught red-handed, which is probably worse-case scenario in their eyes short of NATO intervention.

    Why? I mean, I'd like to believe that, but you had those supposed 'militia' in Crimea going off-script and admitting that they were Russian soldiers, and no one gave a shit about it. Why would this time be any different?

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    MillMill Registered User regular
    Depends on the nature of the resolution. If it's only shit that Russia wants, than they will be told to kindly fuck off. If it's UN peacekeepers, with no one from Russia, it might have a chance, but I would not be surprised to see Russia's government continuing to be a belligerent little shit and refusing to even entertain that idea because it would squelch much of it's BS.

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    shrykeshryke Member of the Beast Registered User regular
    Mill wrote: »
    Depends on the nature of the resolution. If it's only shit that Russia wants, than they will be told to kindly fuck off. If it's UN peacekeepers, with no one from Russia, it might have a chance, but I would not be surprised to see Russia's government continuing to be a belligerent little shit and refusing to even entertain that idea because it would squelch much of it's BS.

    There's no way the Russians are gonna ask for UN forces right on their doorstep in Ukraine.

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    ShadowenShadowen Snores in the morning LoserdomRegistered User regular
    Okay, my theory for what happens. Russia insists on having Peacekeeper forces in Ukraine, thinking one of the other security council members will veto just on principle of opposing Russia, which they can use as a propaganda victory. Instead, however, the idea proceeds, with modifications--no Ukrainian and no Russian members to maintain impartiality, e.g.

    Panicked, Russia vetoes its own motion.

    Cue laugh track. Roll credits and ending theme.

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    ScooterScooter Registered User regular
    shryke wrote: »
    Mill wrote: »
    Depends on the nature of the resolution. If it's only shit that Russia wants, than they will be told to kindly fuck off. If it's UN peacekeepers, with no one from Russia, it might have a chance, but I would not be surprised to see Russia's government continuing to be a belligerent little shit and refusing to even entertain that idea because it would squelch much of it's BS.

    There's no way the Russians are gonna ask for UN forces right on their doorstep in Ukraine.

    Not just UN, but potentially Americans.

    Yea, that ain't happening.

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    FoefallerFoefaller Registered User regular
    Dac wrote: »
    Foefaller wrote: »
    Mill wrote: »
    Kind of confirms the hunch that Russia doesn't have the resources fight Ukraine and then occupy Eastern Ukraine and/or are unwilling to eat the sanctions from the West that would follow, if they did so.

    Also since they are probably using agent provocateurs to stir up shit, they might not be willing risk losing those personnel and having their BS confirmed, once Ukraine starts cracking down (some of those shitheads are probably going to eat a lethal dose of lead or get caught before Russia can react).

    I think that is more likely what's going on here; Russia thought it could pull another Crimea, Ukraine called the bluff, and now Russia has to either try to end this right now peacefully (hence the Security Council meeting) or risk the real chance that the "pro-Russian supporters" get ousted as Russian operatives and get caught red-handed, which is probably worse-case scenario in their eyes short of NATO intervention.

    Why? I mean, I'd like to believe that, but you had those supposed 'militia' in Crimea going off-script and admitting that they were Russian soldiers, and no one gave a shit about it. Why would this time be any different?

    Mainly because Ukraine is now doing something about it. Forgive me if I'm wrong, but if Russian soldiers identifying themselves as "pro-Russian militia" open fire on Ukrainian troops, and are found out, that isn't just violating Ukraine's sovereignty, it's a false flag operation, which I believe makes it a war crime.

    ...though I didn't know someone on the ground actually admitted to the ruse in Crimea. That info does make me believe it's more likely a half-hearted attempt to say "we tried peace" before beginning with Crimea Part 2.

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    Salvation122Salvation122 Registered User regular
    Foefaller wrote: »
    Dac wrote: »
    Foefaller wrote: »
    Mill wrote: »
    Kind of confirms the hunch that Russia doesn't have the resources fight Ukraine and then occupy Eastern Ukraine and/or are unwilling to eat the sanctions from the West that would follow, if they did so.

    Also since they are probably using agent provocateurs to stir up shit, they might not be willing risk losing those personnel and having their BS confirmed, once Ukraine starts cracking down (some of those shitheads are probably going to eat a lethal dose of lead or get caught before Russia can react).

    I think that is more likely what's going on here; Russia thought it could pull another Crimea, Ukraine called the bluff, and now Russia has to either try to end this right now peacefully (hence the Security Council meeting) or risk the real chance that the "pro-Russian supporters" get ousted as Russian operatives and get caught red-handed, which is probably worse-case scenario in their eyes short of NATO intervention.

    Why? I mean, I'd like to believe that, but you had those supposed 'militia' in Crimea going off-script and admitting that they were Russian soldiers, and no one gave a shit about it. Why would this time be any different?

    Mainly because Ukraine is now doing something about it. Forgive me if I'm wrong, but if Russian soldiers identifying themselves as "pro-Russian militia" open fire on Ukrainian troops, and are found out, that isn't just violating Ukraine's sovereignty, it's a false flag operation, which I believe makes it a war crime.

    You're correct. Under Geneva such operatives are subject to whatever penalties the aggressed-upon government feels are justified, up to and including summary execution.

This discussion has been closed.