Also red team should refrain from stabbing anyone after this resolves. We need a plan before moving.

Well, we'd best hope that blue team doesn't have the fan, or assassin, or any other indirect damage ability...

That will allow the rest of our team to intervene for Kirindal for a few turns.

I think that realistically buys us a few stabs, but blue team can also intervene for, say, Obifett almost as many times as we can for Kirindal. =( Unless we have an assassin...?

Also red team should refrain from stabbing anyone after this resolves. We need a plan before moving.

Well, we'd best hope that blue team doesn't have the fan, or assassin, or any other indirect damage ability...

That will allow the rest of our team to intervene for Kirindal for a few turns.

I think that realistically buys us a few stabs, but blue team can also intervene for, say, Obifett almost as many times as we can for Kirindal. =( Unless we have an assassin...?

That's assuming Obifett is our target, say.

This is true.

Blue team should ALSO refrain from moving before we plan

Actually I think we have basically one chance, regardless. I'm not sure we have time to figure out what's what, but I can give us an approximately 50% chance right now.

Accept my intervention if you want, I'm not sure the introduction of a guard will matter.
[EDIT]Or rather, please accept my intervention and allow me to roll the dice for our team.

Obifett has a 1/3 chance to be the elder, and a 2/3 chance not to be the elder.
Assuming obifett is not the elder (.66), the mystery 6th member of blue has a 2/4 chance of being the elder or assassin.

Which means Crimsoncoyote has a 1/3 chance of being the blue team leader.

And to be clear: If they have an elder, it will take us at least two turns to find out who he is. We buy ourselves at most 3 turns if we immediately heal kirindal and take the quill.

If they have an assassin, we only buy ourselves two turns. I don't think that's time to actually reliably find and kill whoever the hell their leader is if it's not crimson.

Basically we have to put all our chips in on crimson, IMO, unless we have a guardian AND a 7,8, or 9 on our team to guard, in which case we MIGHT be able to buy enough time since most of their abilities are down.

Obifett has a 1/3 chance to be the elder, and a 2/3 chance not to be the elder.
Assuming obifett is not the elder (.66), the mystery 6th member of blue has a 2/4 chance of being the elder or assassin.

Which means Crimsoncoyote has a 1/3 chance of being the blue team leader.

If i get the dagger I will kill him immediately.

Isn't Obi's chance of being the elder 1/2 (if you assume he has 2 blue tokens and not Blue/?) since Matev is the guardian?

Obifett has a 1/3 chance to be the elder, and a 2/3 chance not to be the elder.
Assuming obifett is not the elder (.66), the mystery 6th member of blue has a 2/4 chance of being the elder or assassin.

Which means Crimsoncoyote has a 1/3 chance of being the blue team leader.

If i get the dagger I will kill him immediately.

Isn't Obi's chance of being the elder 1/2 (if you assume he has 2 blue tokens and not Blue/?) since Matev is the guardian?

We don't know his other loyalty token, that's the point. And so we can't assume that.

With the information we have, obi has a 1/3 elder chance, and a 0 assassin chance, and the last blue has a 1/4 chance each of elder and assassin.

And to be clear: If they have an elder, it will take us at least two turns to find out who he is. We buy ourselves at most 3 turns if we immediately heal kirindal and take the quill.

If they have an assassin, we only buy ourselves two turns. I don't think that's time to actually reliably find and kill whoever the hell their leader is if it's not crimson.

Basically we have to put all our chips in on crimson, IMO, unless we have a guardian AND a 7,8, or 9 on our team to guard, in which case we MIGHT be able to buy enough time since most of their abilities are down.

if 38th is the alchemist, I say he intervenes, and heal's Kirindal's role. If he's the zerker or mage, his intervening doesn't really do much for us, and rend should probably intervene (I'm assuming Rend is the assassin). If he's the cortesan he could fan Obi (or another target if there's a better one).

if 38th is the alchemist, I say he intervenes, and heal's Kirindal's role. If he's the zerker or mage, his intervening doesn't really do much for us, and rend should probably intervene (I'm assuming Rend is the assassin). If he's the cortesan he could fan Obi (or another target if there's a better one).

Hmmm, might it be worth it to stab Kirindal just so that he can grab the quill? If Preda is the assassin, Red attacking any Blue is going to get intervened and boom, game over red. If he's not the assassin, Red can afford to attack either him or Obi....

## Posts

infidel -

mrblarney -

jpants -

obifett -

preda -

rend -

matev -

crimson -

ecco -

38th -

discrider -

kirindal -

infidel - 7?

mrblarney -

jpants - ?

obifett - S B

preda -

rend - ?

matev - 6B

crimson - 3?

ecco - 3?

38th - ?

discrider - 5

kirindal - 1RR

Phyphoronoffer to intervene.offer to intervenebut I am not the guardian so don't accept mine unless you don't trust anyone else's.Red team may be on the verge of losing, but who will win?!

Well, we'd best hope that blue team doesn't have the fan, or assassin, or any other indirect damage ability...

That will allow the rest of our team to intervene for Kirindal for a few turns.

I think that realistically buys us a few stabs, but blue team can also intervene for, say, Obifett almost as many times as we can for Kirindal. =( Unless we have an assassin...?

That's assuming Obifett is our target, say.

Blue team should ALSO refrain from moving before we plan

Accept my intervention if you want, I'm not sure the introduction of a guard will matter.

[EDIT]Or rather, please accept my intervention and allow me to roll the dice for our team.

Rendon38thDoE on steam

Hey @discrider, did 38th show blue or red to you?

Some sorta sentient internet aggregator

Why would you say that

idk my bff jill?

Obifett has a 1/3 chance to be the elder, and a 2/3 chance not to be the elder.

Assuming obifett is not the elder (.66), the mystery 6th member of blue has a 2/4 chance of being the elder or assassin.

Which means Crimsoncoyote has a 1/3 chance of being the blue team leader.

If i get the dagger I will kill him immediately.

If they have an assassin, we only buy ourselves two turns. I don't think that's time to actually reliably find and kill whoever the hell their leader is if it's not crimson.

Basically we have to put all our chips in on crimson, IMO, unless we have a guardian AND a 7,8, or 9 on our team to guard, in which case we MIGHT be able to buy enough time since most of their abilities are down.

Isn't Obi's chance of being the elder 1/2 (if you assume he has 2 blue tokens and not Blue/?) since Matev is the guardian?

We don't know his other loyalty token, that's the point. And so we can't assume that.

With the information we have, obi has a 1/3 elder chance, and a 0 assassin chance, and the last blue has a 1/4 chance each of elder and assassin.

RendonHmmmmm

Play to win dude.

I back your plan!

Your assumption is correct.

Matevon(Rank 4)

This technique for healing the Elder has been passed down the Armstrong Family Line for Generations!

38thDoeon38thDoE on steam

38th has the dagger now yes? Seems like our best option is to stab Obi.

38thDoE on steam

[Edit] by no I mean yes, stab our elder and go from there :p

RendonI apparently am very conflicted in my feelings towards him.

38thDoE on steam