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[FATE/GRAND ORDER] Super & Great Success Rate x2 is a lie

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Posts

  • Butler For Life #1Butler For Life #1 Twinning is WinningRegistered User regular
    TBH I think the variance in success can be mostly explained by the difference in money people spend, combined with some randomness

    We'd need to get a lot of data from people, stratified by amount spent, to get proof though

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    ph blakeStilts
  • SkeithSkeith Registered User regular
    I've gotten screwed on some banners (like this one) and lucky on others (second Shishou), and average RNG elsewhere. I don't think there's a way to prove or disprove seeds, so I'm inclined to think that they aren't a thing.

    mts wrote: »
    heres how i see it being a total win situation for you
    1. stay with your wife while she dog sits. this wins husband points since she knows its out of your comfort zone
    2. have sex all over her friends house so that the next time you see her friend look at you condescendingly, you can wink back knowing you did the freaky deaky where she eats her cheerios.
  • MaddocMaddoc I'm Bobbin Threadbare, are you my mother? Registered User regular
    For every time I've done well

    There's a Scathach banner where I've come up empty

    97H9G7S.png PSN - Masked Unit | FFXIV - Laitarne Gilgamesh
  • BugBoyBugBoy boy.EXE has stopped functioning. only bugs remainRegistered User regular
    Every time I see someone say that the secret to getting 5-stars is to level someone until you get a great success, then pull immediately after, I die a little

    Partially because nonsense rumors like that are frustrating, partially because I’m afraid it’s true and I’ve wasted so much quartz

    You see lots of things, out there in the swamp at night. Some of them might even be real. But the Bugboy? That's just plain impossible.
  • StragintStragint Do Not Gift Always DeclinesRegistered User regular
    Completely forgot about the event. Was gonna start doing it tomorrow and see where I get. Did not get Tamamo. Contemplating life and probably not gonna do the event. Much sadness.

    PSN: Reaper_Stragint, Steam: DoublePitstoChesty
    What is the point of being alive if you don't at least try to do something remarkable? ~ Mario Novak

    I never fear death or dyin', I only fear never trying.
  • Butler For Life #1Butler For Life #1 Twinning is WinningRegistered User regular
    JP Summer 2018 CM is out, confirming summer Medb and someone who appears to be Summer BB (but since there's a million and one Sakuras, who knows).

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  • ph blakeph blake Registered User regular
    JP Summer 2018 CM is out, confirming summer Medb and someone who appears to be Summer BB (but since there's a million and one Sakuras, who knows).

    And check out who is flying through the air near the logo at the end

    Butler For Life #1Reynolds
  • Butler For Life #1Butler For Life #1 Twinning is WinningRegistered User regular
    Man watching that CM makes me jealous of JP

    Our summer event is a slog

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  • NeveronNeveron SwedenRegistered User regular
    On the bright side, at least Summer Marie's trial quest is great?

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    One Punch Man webcomic [NSFW]|english index|original japanese|
  • StiltsStilts Registered User regular
    Got Summer Mordred on my second pull

    Got absolutely nothing worthwhile except event CEs on banner 2

    Good thing I exercised restraint, I guess!

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  • Gabriel_PittGabriel_Pitt (effective against the Irish) Registered User regular
    TBH I think the variance in success can be mostly explained by the difference in money people spend, combined with some randomness

    We'd need to get a lot of data from people, stratified by amount spent, to get proof though

    Actually setting up code to tie things to account seeds sounds way more complicated than just having an RNG do it's thing. I'm more inclined to say it's just the nature of luck. For the longest time, the only non-charity gold servants I had were Stheno and Drake (through Saber Wars, I think) and then all at once I got a flood. Kiyohime is still the only luck I've ever had on event banners, but on the other hand, I've dropped 60 quartz and 20 tickets total on this event.

  • IronKnuckle's GhostIronKnuckle's Ghost Registered User regular
    Went fishing for Summer Mordred! And got her eventually!
    And was spooked by Regular Anne/Mary (new to me), and Astolfo.


    Oh, and, uh. Well.

    Let's just say a certain person who says mikon~ a lot and uses an umbrella.

    vagrant_windsNeveronMadicanPolaritie
  • MadicanMadican No face Registered User regular
    One thing I do like about Part 2 thus far
    Tamamo is basically Satan to the boars.

    camo_sig2.png
    PSN: AuthorFrost
    mageofstorm.png
    PolaritieNeveronvagrant_winds
  • TcheldorTcheldor Registered User regular
    I just skipped all the cut scenes in both events because the writing was bad and the event was dumb.

    On the up side I just need to collect a ton of experience and I can have Summer Anne ready to go.

    League of Legends: Sorakanmyworld
    FFXIV: Tchel Fay
    Nintendo ID: Tortalius
    Steam: Tortalius
    Stream: twitch.tv/tortalius
  • MadicanMadican No face Registered User regular
    Oh lord. One of the people on my friends list appears to have finally broken through medal hell and Ascended their Archtoria too. Only they're sticking with the goofy-as-fuck third sprite instead of the second or first.

    camo_sig2.png
    PSN: AuthorFrost
    mageofstorm.png
  • MaddocMaddoc I'm Bobbin Threadbare, are you my mother? Registered User regular
    I will go with the goofy third sprite, but nobody will ever know because she's not cool enough to get a spot on my support lineup

    97H9G7S.png PSN - Masked Unit | FFXIV - Laitarne Gilgamesh
  • TcheldorTcheldor Registered User regular
    I've tried adding a bunch of you recently, but you all have maxed friends :(.

    I'm on the list, but I do have some openings if anyone needs a summer Tama, Anne, and Jack.

    League of Legends: Sorakanmyworld
    FFXIV: Tchel Fay
    Nintendo ID: Tortalius
    Steam: Tortalius
    Stream: twitch.tv/tortalius
  • MadicanMadican No face Registered User regular
    Tell me your IG name and I'll bump a person for you. I give priority to forum peoples.

    camo_sig2.png
    PSN: AuthorFrost
    mageofstorm.png
    Spectrum
  • MaddocMaddoc I'm Bobbin Threadbare, are you my mother? Registered User regular
    I'm bad about even checking my friend requests these days, but I'll always add forumers if asked

    97H9G7S.png PSN - Masked Unit | FFXIV - Laitarne Gilgamesh
  • TcheldorTcheldor Registered User regular
    Madican wrote: »
    Tell me your IG name and I'll bump a person for you. I give priority to forum peoples.

    Tchel

    Number's 892,273,681

    League of Legends: Sorakanmyworld
    FFXIV: Tchel Fay
    Nintendo ID: Tortalius
    Steam: Tortalius
    Stream: twitch.tv/tortalius
  • Butler For Life #1Butler For Life #1 Twinning is WinningRegistered User regular
    Madican wrote: »
    Oh lord. One of the people on my friends list appears to have finally broken through medal hell and Ascended their Archtoria too. Only they're sticking with the goofy-as-fuck third sprite instead of the second or first.

    First of all, how dare you

    wb5cft.png
  • vagrant_windsvagrant_winds Brings a Magic Infused Gun to a Swordfight. Registered User regular
    Madican wrote: »
    Oh lord. One of the people on my friends list appears to have finally broken through medal hell and Ascended their Archtoria too. Only they're sticking with the goofy-as-fuck third sprite instead of the second or first.

    Not me. I have a lvl90 Squirtoria in her 2nd sprite on my Support List.

    // Steam: VWinds // LoL: VWinds // PSN: vagrant_winds //
    // 3DS: 4682-8868-5037 // Switch: SW-5306-0651-6424 //
  • Butler For Life #1Butler For Life #1 Twinning is WinningRegistered User regular
    Also I sent a friend request to you, Tcheldor

    I'm OopsAllCstrs

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  • MadicanMadican No face Registered User regular
    I think this is the first time I've seen an event acknowledge choosing the female Master instead of being male-oriented by default.

    camo_sig2.png
    PSN: AuthorFrost
    mageofstorm.png
    Reynolds
  • TcheldorTcheldor Registered User regular
    Also I sent a friend request to you, Tcheldor

    I'm OopsAllCstrs

    Ah, I saw that one. That's a great name BFL.

    League of Legends: Sorakanmyworld
    FFXIV: Tchel Fay
    Nintendo ID: Tortalius
    Steam: Tortalius
    Stream: twitch.tv/tortalius
  • PolaritiePolaritie Sleepy Registered User regular
    Martha's trial quest is just great.

    Steam: Polaritie
    3DS: 0473-8507-2652
    Switch: SW-5185-4991-5118
    PSN: AbEntropy
  • BugBoyBugBoy boy.EXE has stopped functioning. only bugs remainRegistered User regular
    Tcheldor wrote: »
    Also I sent a friend request to you, Tcheldor

    I'm OopsAllCstrs

    Ah, I saw that one. That's a great name BFL.

    I suggested it to him and I’m very proud of it

    You see lots of things, out there in the swamp at night. Some of them might even be real. But the Bugboy? That's just plain impossible.
    Tcheldor
  • SpectrumSpectrum Super High-School Level ??? Hope's Peak AcademyRegistered User regular
    Tcheldor wrote: »
    Madican wrote: »
    Tell me your IG name and I'll bump a person for you. I give priority to forum peoples.

    Tchel

    Number's 892,273,681
    Cleared someone off, request sent.

    eUTP6eY.jpg
    MyAnimeList | PAFC Season 2 Champion and Season 3 Champion
    Let's Play/Learn: Ultimate General: Civil War - Union Campaign
  • Butler For Life #1Butler For Life #1 Twinning is WinningRegistered User regular
    BugBoy and I just visited the fox God shrine

    No Tamamos were spotted, but we saw a cat and a snake

    wb5cft.png
  • IronKnuckle's GhostIronKnuckle's Ghost Registered User regular
    edited August 2018
    BugBoy and I just visited the fox God shrine

    No Tamamos were spotted, but we saw a cat and a snake

    Inari? Did you climb the full path? I was there just a few weeks ago!

    Hey Tcheldor, I sent a request your way, if you'd like a fully powered Queen of the Land of Shadows available to you.

    [edit] Those of you on Android devices, do not update to Android 9 (Pie) yet. F/GO is not compatible with it.

    IronKnuckle's Ghost on
  • MaddocMaddoc I'm Bobbin Threadbare, are you my mother? Registered User regular
    Which is really annoying since I just got the update available this morning

    97H9G7S.png PSN - Masked Unit | FFXIV - Laitarne Gilgamesh
  • TcheldorTcheldor Registered User regular
    Thanks for the requests. Got 6 of em.

    League of Legends: Sorakanmyworld
    FFXIV: Tchel Fay
    Nintendo ID: Tortalius
    Steam: Tortalius
    Stream: twitch.tv/tortalius
  • MadicanMadican No face Registered User regular
    Merlin's claim to fame is no longer unique.
    Scathach can also be a cock wizard because runes apparently.

    camo_sig2.png
    PSN: AuthorFrost
    mageofstorm.png
    ReynoldsSpectrumvagrant_winds
  • MaddocMaddoc I'm Bobbin Threadbare, are you my mother? Registered User regular
    Can't wait for those star absorb weight runes

    97H9G7S.png PSN - Masked Unit | FFXIV - Laitarne Gilgamesh
  • Gabriel_PittGabriel_Pitt (effective against the Irish) Registered User regular
    "You are a cheap, chaotic cocktail of cola, sugar, creams, and churros!"

    I really want to know what line originally said in Japanese.

  • PolaritiePolaritie Sleepy Registered User regular
    Heh, the scene that gives you Scathach was amusing.

    Oh well, quests and building done. Onward to farming!

    Steam: Polaritie
    3DS: 0473-8507-2652
    Switch: SW-5185-4991-5118
    PSN: AbEntropy
  • Butler For Life #1Butler For Life #1 Twinning is WinningRegistered User regular
    BugBoy and I just visited the fox God shrine

    No Tamamos were spotted, but we saw a cat and a snake

    Inari? Did you climb the full path? I was there just a few weeks ago!

    We wanted to, but it got dark and we are cowards. So we only made it up partway. About 20 minutes from the summit is where we turned around.

    It was really beautiful, though! The view from even partway up was stunning.

    wb5cft.png
    IronKnuckle's Ghost
  • SpectrumSpectrum Super High-School Level ??? Hope's Peak AcademyRegistered User regular
    Madican wrote: »
    Merlin's claim to fame is no longer unique.
    Scathach can also be a cock wizard because runes apparently.
    Shishou continues to be the best.

    eUTP6eY.jpg
    MyAnimeList | PAFC Season 2 Champion and Season 3 Champion
    Let's Play/Learn: Ultimate General: Civil War - Union Campaign
    vagrant_winds
  • ReynoldsReynolds Raving Rabbit Registered User regular
    I never farm for the regular skill gems/crystals because nobody ever needs more than a handful. Except Martha...

    She's going to be stuck at level 1 skills for a while, I guess.

    OGueI9Q.gif
  • MadicanMadican No face Registered User regular
    I was expecting someone different in this cave.
    Of course I picked the Tesla option.

    camo_sig2.png
    PSN: AuthorFrost
    mageofstorm.png
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