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[US Federal Congressional Elections 2018] Tester Wins, AZ/FL Too Close
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He is apparently McCain's replacement in the Senate
I don't know much about him aside from he's a republican and was a friend to McCain
Anyway, not up in 2018 so probably not talking about him in here.
That's true. I'm just worried that, considering that midterms are heavily dependent on the base to turn out, Hoosier dems might look at Donnelly and going, "meh" and not voting.
Ain't really anything I can do about it though, and the flip is the dem base is overall, for the country, pretty motivated so that will help him.
Pressley won fairly comfortably in the end in an upset. Capuano conceded early and about as well as could be expected. The Pod Save America people were pleased because for several of them Pressley was one of their first bosses as she was political director for Joe Kennedy II and John Kerry before she got elected to the Boston City Council about a decade ago.
Former Obama chief speech writer and Dep Chief of Staff respectively
Ideologically there's basically nothing between them (arguably she might be slightly to his right) but he's a 66 year old white man, she's a 44 year old black woman in a 2/3 non-white district. That's oversimplifying it but when ideology basically cancel out and the challenger has good experience, demographics can be a big factor. She is a black woman, and black women are increasingly exerting their power as the base of the Democratic party. She's 20 years his junior. And its a 2/3 non-white district.
ed(corrected Capuano's age)
QEDMF xbl: PantsB G+
Capuano may not have deserved it(arguably), but if this signals an end to those guys in favor of candidates that are of/from/and part of the community that is a good thing. No more white saviors, if minorities and women are going to be helped, they are going to have to help themselves.
https://www.cnbc.com/2018/08/31/trump-loyalist-devin-nunes-faces-tighter-house-race-in-california.html
PSN/Steam/NNID: SyphonBlue | BNet: SyphonBlue#1126
His district is very red.
Medium Buying is a political ad purchase tracker.
Forced to play defense across the board, we're going to see more of this as the GOP is forced to make choices about where funding goes.
Oh, I know. A drop from +36 to +5 is......amazing. But I'm still just dumbfounded at how this obvious Russian puppet is still up at all.
PSN/Steam/NNID: SyphonBlue | BNet: SyphonBlue#1126
A big enough portion of voters have literally not read or heard any news in several years about him, but know that he's Republican.
Rasmussen - D+4
Economist/YouGov - D+5
Those are.....stark differences from literally every other poll out there.
PSN/Steam/NNID: SyphonBlue | BNet: SyphonBlue#1126
It's also Rasmussen, though.
PSN/Steam/NNID: SyphonBlue | BNet: SyphonBlue#1126
This was my implication. Ras' likely voter screen is... interesting. But it's also generally worth noting likely voter vs. registered voters. Given the enthusiasm gap, there might be an advantage for Democrats when that happens.
They're generally well in line with the other ones from these outlets, so I'd focus more on trendlines for the outlet.
Rasmussen (most recent is first):
D+4, D+5, Tie, D+7, D+4, D+7, D+7
YouGov:
D+5, D+6, D+4, D+3, D+4, D+6
On his voting record I think he certainly didn't deserve it (there's a reason the CBC backed him), but that's not what it was about ultimately. And while black women are so underrepresented that's not entirely an unfair factor to take into account.
QEDMF xbl: PantsB G+
The judge has ordered the spoiler candidate struck from the ballot due to fraud.
Shoulda struck the Republican who was perpetrating the fraud >_>
There is a criminal investigation going on over this currently.
Being negative and speculating on this further isn't going to be productive. We can reopen discussion when there's news about the investigation.
more on this: the district includes some slightly red areas like Bellevue and eastern King County, areas that tend to vote for Republicans in the state legislature but also vote for Democratic presidents, as well as some more-right, very agricultural and rural regions like Yakima
Kim Schrier's opponent is Dino Rossi, known idiot and perennial loser; he's tried to win several statewide elections in the past and has never succeeded. I believe his last effort was an attempt to unseat Patty Murray, in what turned out to be a fairly close race. several things are working against him in district 8, primarily 1) he's a smarmy car salesman, and that doesn't play well out there, and 2) he's a carpetbagger, who only moved to the district so he could run there. Kim Schrier has a tough fight ahead of her but she's lived in the area her whole life, and the fact that she works for a living (she is a doctor) should help her a lot.
e: iirc if you totaled up all the D votes and all the R votes in the primary, there were slightly more D votes; obviously that doesn't make it a sure thing, but it's a winnable race
I don't like this line of thinking. It's pointlessly exclusionary. Womens rights and minority rights cost men and white people NOTHING. In fact, womens rights help men. And minority rights help white people. Racism is bad for everyone in a society who is not absurdly rich, because society is an interconnected network which grows stronger as each node (person) grows stronger. Locking up minorities, leaving them poorly educated, and then blaming them for their own problems SEEMS to help white people, but I am 100% certain that if we had a control society where noone had ever thought of racism then EVERYONE would be better off. White privilege/the patriarchy just hurts men less than it does women and minorities. It doesn't actually make their lives better.
In todays world, Laura Sanchez is forced to work as a cleaner while Peter Adams got the help he needed to become a Doctor. In a better world, Laura Sanchez became an Engineer and Peter Adams still got the help he needed to become a Doctor because society was a stronger, more connected and better place.
This is not a zero sum game. Helping minorities is not going to make society weaker, it will make it stronger, richer and fairer.
A good example is this. One of the MOST succesful ways to get more women into upper management and equalize pay is (surprizingly) giving fathers paternity leave and forcing them to 'use it or lose it' rather than give it to their wives. Doing this makes men happier, and women more succesful, and society richer. NOONE HAS TO PAY. Racism and sexism are just bad, they just hurt some people specifically and others generally. Noone but the very very most corrupt actually benefit.
Edit - For a good control experiment, consider the North and South of the United States before the war. Neither is a egalitarian place, but in the North there is more Democracy, and more equality between the races. The south gained an initial boost to its wealth because Slaves CAN do work, but eventually the North became a better place to be whether you were black OR white. Not having slaves didn't cost those white people a penny. In fact, it made them vastly richer.
More than Cruz?
Yeah he's just a contemptible dweeb.
I know you have a lot to say, but can you please make an effort to keep things on topic to the thread. I.e. a thread about electing representatives to government.
Super long shot but I hope she wins
https://www.washingtonpost.com/national/democrat-seeks-congress-seat-in-conservative-chunk-of-oregon/2018/09/05/f5d8eb92-b0d1-11e8-8b53-50116768e499_story.html?noredirect=on&utm_term=.1a9d10af83f9
Yeah she's not going to win, but she'll make him spend more money than he usually would I guess
Eh, nothing is really readable from Primaries like that. Republicans vote FAR more than democrats in party primaries.
Not really true universally this time around, though.