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Like a centipede waiting for the other shoe to drop in [The Economy] thread

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    OghulkOghulk Tinychat Janitor TinychatRegistered User regular
    GE is a big company by all measures, but it's not such a fixture of the world economy that it's collapse means a recession.

    Hell, I fully expect GE to announce bankruptcy and then get bought out by Siemens.

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    Commander ZoomCommander Zoom Registered User regular
    I think Kipling was talking about its Historical Significance, its role in American Industry, etc etc.
    And all of that was true... but that was last century, and it's a different world now. That's why it's going under.

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    PhillisherePhillishere Registered User regular
    edited August 2019
    GE Hitachi is kind of really important to the nuclear power industry.

    Phillishere on
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    schussschuss Registered User regular
    moniker wrote: »
    schuss wrote: »
    Eh, GE Stock has been scraping low values for a while. There's so much capital the same cementing of capital won't happen like last time. There's likely a recession coming, but I doubt it will be a singular huge event vs. continual slide. I think a bigger theme may be a technology company correction on consumer stuff like WeWork and Uber where the financials are just loony.

    WeWork is just pegging the crazyometer at "guano". It's a real estate company that brands itself as a tech company, and has all sorts of drama on top of that (the IPO filing has 10 pages devoted to how the CEO is a risk.)

    The CEO paid himself $6million to buy the trademark of "We" (which, how the fuck) that he owned in another company he owns. A lot of the leases are also in real estate that he owns through another separate company. It's just... technically legal fraud the whole way down.

    You forgot the part where he had his own company lend him the money to buy the property so they could be leased to WeWork.

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    Captain InertiaCaptain Inertia Registered User regular
    I just always that was a cool thing in the product catalog

    “Let’s see...dishwashers, no...light bulbs, think I’m good...microwaves, hmmm no ‘hot-pocket cheese explosion prevention’ feature, pass....oh speaking of nuclear hot, nuclear power plants, yep add to cart...”

    Which is not even that funny in my head and I don’t know why I shared it with you all...

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    BrainleechBrainleech 機知に富んだコメントはここにあります Registered User regular
    Doodmann wrote: »
    I'm not panicking about selling my house yet. But I'm also not not panicking about it.

    I know this is a late reply but much of my troubles with the city are due to my neighbor and the perceived property value. I have told them the shear amount of rentals effects it more than just my house. [last year he tired to start a HOA again but because of city laws he has to inform the whole area they want to incorporate. The person my brother calls the Land Baron owns 60% of the area he nearly owns one all the home on one street and 75% of the street that loops behind me} But things like the roads [it's gone in some areas where it's just a mix of decayed asphalt and gravel] my street like many others have noticeably large cracks filled with aggregate or plants. There is much much more they blame me for as well


    But they see my house as a reason for not getting the top rate

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    GoumindongGoumindong Registered User regular
    Convince him that it is your fault and if he just buys you out at top rate and cleans it up he will reap the rewards on all his property.

    When he refuses just tell him “guess its not my house then”

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    BrainleechBrainleech 機知に富んだコメントはここにあります Registered User regular
    Goumindong wrote: »
    Convince him that it is your fault and if he just buys you out at top rate and cleans it up he will reap the rewards on all his property.

    When he refuses just tell him “guess its not my house then”

    He is a connected old man and his daughter whom is bitter at taking care of him in his twilight
    Because I feel she is a big problem of it through him as she will sell the house when he dies. I have told him it's not his house why does he care. I know I have to take better care of it as it needs paint and other things but I also think he sends people to do things to my yard as the fence was ripped up and the tarp was cut recently

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    SmrtnikSmrtnik job boli zub Registered User regular
    Brainleech wrote: »
    Goumindong wrote: »
    Convince him that it is your fault and if he just buys you out at top rate and cleans it up he will reap the rewards on all his property.

    When he refuses just tell him “guess its not my house then”

    He is a connected old man and his daughter whom is bitter at taking care of him in his twilight
    Because I feel she is a big problem of it through him as she will sell the house when he dies. I have told him it's not his house why does he care. I know I have to take better care of it as it needs paint and other things but I also think he sends people to do things to my yard as the fence was ripped up and the tarp was cut recently

    Get some cameras

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    CantidoCantido Registered User regular
    She said it...she actually said it.

    Conway: The fundamentals of the economy are strong.

    3DS Friendcode 5413-1311-3767
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    ElldrenElldren Is a woman dammit ceterum censeoRegistered User regular
    Cantido wrote: »
    She said it...she actually said it.

    Conway: The fundamentals of the economy are strong.

    That’s the opposite of the actual situation?

    Like it’s the top line that’s been strong, if incredibly volatile

    The fundamentals are completely fucked

    fuck gendered marketing
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    MorganVMorganV Registered User regular
    Cantido wrote: »
    She said it...she actually said it.

    Conway: The fundamentals of the economy are strong.

    I've heard that message before.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6reQLzgywzk

    Hopefully it has the same impact on the electorate.

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    MillMill Registered User regular
    The fundamentals of the economy are strong just like the current steel industry . . . if you're Trump and don't understand what words actually mean.

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    daveNYCdaveNYC Why universe hate Waspinator? Registered User regular
    Mill wrote: »
    The fundamentals of the economy are strong just like the current steel industry . . . if you're Trump and don't understand what words actually mean.

    Cripes.
    U.S. Steel's stock price has plunged 73% since March 1, 2018, when Trump announced his decision to crack down on foreign imports.

    Shut up, Mr. Burton! You were not brought upon this world to get it!
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    MorganVMorganV Registered User regular
    daveNYC wrote: »
    Mill wrote: »
    The fundamentals of the economy are strong just like the current steel industry . . . if you're Trump and don't understand what words actually mean.

    Cripes.
    U.S. Steel's stock price has plunged 73% since March 1, 2018, when Trump announced his decision to crack down on foreign imports.

    Yeah, I had a similar reaction when I saw that number too.

    With what's happening to farmers, truckers, and the steel industry, among others, Trump saying he'll "help you out" looks to be the kiss of death.

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    Gnome-InterruptusGnome-Interruptus Registered User regular
    MorganV wrote: »
    daveNYC wrote: »
    Mill wrote: »
    The fundamentals of the economy are strong just like the current steel industry . . . if you're Trump and don't understand what words actually mean.

    Cripes.
    U.S. Steel's stock price has plunged 73% since March 1, 2018, when Trump announced his decision to crack down on foreign imports.

    Yeah, I had a similar reaction when I saw that number too.

    With what's happening to farmers, truckers, and the steel industry, among others, Trump saying he'll "help you out" looks to be the kiss of death.

    It means he will be focusing his market manipulation grift cannons at you, and no one can withstand fire of that magnitude for long.

    steam_sig.png
    MWO: Adamski
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    CelestialBadgerCelestialBadger Registered User regular
    MorganV wrote: »
    daveNYC wrote: »
    Mill wrote: »
    The fundamentals of the economy are strong just like the current steel industry . . . if you're Trump and don't understand what words actually mean.

    Cripes.
    U.S. Steel's stock price has plunged 73% since March 1, 2018, when Trump announced his decision to crack down on foreign imports.

    Yeah, I had a similar reaction when I saw that number too.

    With what's happening to farmers, truckers, and the steel industry, among others, Trump saying he'll "help you out" looks to be the kiss of death.

    But he makes them *feel* good about themselves, and that's what really matters, even as they search empty job sites for minimum wage temp gigs.

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    ViskodViskod Registered User regular
    Mill wrote: »
    The fundamentals of the economy are strong just like the current steel industry . . . if you're Trump and don't understand what words actually mean.

    That's not a steel industry problem. This is a U.S. Steel specific problem.

    US Steel uses old and inefficient Blast Furnaces, so when the tariffs were announced they fired up more of those crazy old super costly furnaces for demand that wasn't coming because people just bought their domestic steel from companies that use more modern and efficient Electric Arc Furnaces.

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    MillMill Registered User regular
    I'd say anytime we're discussing Trump touting an industry, it's safe to say that includes the aspects of the industry in the US, while not really including the parts of the industry elsewhere in the world.

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    monikermoniker Registered User regular
    Viskod wrote: »
    Mill wrote: »
    The fundamentals of the economy are strong just like the current steel industry . . . if you're Trump and don't understand what words actually mean.

    That's not a steel industry problem. This is a U.S. Steel specific problem.

    US Steel uses old and inefficient Blast Furnaces, so when the tariffs were announced they fired up more of those crazy old super costly furnaces for demand that wasn't coming because people just bought their domestic steel from companies that use more modern and efficient Electric Arc Furnaces.

    Yeah, when Finkl moved from Lincoln Park to the South Side they upped their capacity and cut both power consumption and staffing because a new plant is way more efficient than any upgrades made over a century to an old one. Even with all the Indiana tax incentives to upgrade Gary, it's never going to be an army of steelworkers at shift change like in the 40's. At best it'll be a large-ish local employer instead of a vacant lot.

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    shrykeshryke Member of the Beast Registered User regular
    moniker wrote: »
    Viskod wrote: »
    Mill wrote: »
    The fundamentals of the economy are strong just like the current steel industry . . . if you're Trump and don't understand what words actually mean.

    That's not a steel industry problem. This is a U.S. Steel specific problem.

    US Steel uses old and inefficient Blast Furnaces, so when the tariffs were announced they fired up more of those crazy old super costly furnaces for demand that wasn't coming because people just bought their domestic steel from companies that use more modern and efficient Electric Arc Furnaces.

    Yeah, when Finkl moved from Lincoln Park to the South Side they upped their capacity and cut both power consumption and staffing because a new plant is way more efficient than any upgrades made over a century to an old one. Even with all the Indiana tax incentives to upgrade Gary, it's never going to be an army of steelworkers at shift change like in the 40's. At best it'll be a large-ish local employer instead of a vacant lot.

    This is same reason onshoring never brings back as many jobs. New facilities are more efficient.

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    MillMill Registered User regular
    Yeah, but you'll never to see the oligarchs admit to that. Doing so would be them admitting that they really don't give damn about anyone outside a select few. It also starts calling into question several other things that'd rather not have people start questioning because that would eventually lead to pushes by the public for policy changes to make things less shitty, in a way that prevents them from stroking their egos with another yacht purchase.

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    ButtersButters A glass of some milks Registered User regular
    Viskod wrote: »
    Mill wrote: »
    The fundamentals of the economy are strong just like the current steel industry . . . if you're Trump and don't understand what words actually mean.

    That's not a steel industry problem. This is a U.S. Steel specific problem.

    US Steel uses old and inefficient Blast Furnaces, so when the tariffs were announced they fired up more of those crazy old super costly furnaces for demand that wasn't coming because people just bought their domestic steel from companies that use more modern and efficient Electric Arc Furnaces.

    Electric arc furnaces and blast furnaces don't serve the same purpose in industry. EAC's use scrap steel as their feed stock while blast furnaces are used for making raw steel from ore. You can make new steel from EAC's but not without stock that usually can be traced back to a blast furnace somewhere.

    It turns out the steel industry is a bit more complicated than a 10 cent increase in the cost of a can of soup.

    PSN: idontworkhere582 | CFN: idontworkhere | Steam: lordbutters | Amazon Wishlist
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    OghulkOghulk Tinychat Janitor TinychatRegistered User regular
    Trump says he's looking to do a payroll tax cut

    Cool, just put SS and Medicare in an even worse position

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    Stabbity StyleStabbity Style He/Him | Warning: Mothership Reporting Kennewick, WARegistered User regular
    Oghulk wrote: »
    Trump says he's looking to do a payroll tax cut

    Cool, just put SS and Medicare in an even worse position

    American voters are dumb as shit. All most of them will see is all the money Trump just "saved" them, SS and Medicare be damned.

    Stabbity_Style.png
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    monikermoniker Registered User regular
    Oghulk wrote: »
    Trump says he's looking to do a payroll tax cut

    Cool, just put SS and Medicare in an even worse position

    American voters are dumb as shit. All most of them will see is all the money Trump just "saved" them, SS and Medicare be damned.

    They won't notice anything. Obama did a 'payroll tax holiday' for a few years from 2010-2013 to help goose the economy in the depths of the Recession. Which, it did somewhat since that put ~2% more wages in employees pockets, but the reason he did that is because it was nearly invisible and so people would spend the money weekly, unlike a windfall tax return which gets saved as often as spent.

    It was also when demand had collapsed and there weren't many tools on hand. Doing it now when an expansion is mature is just stupid. This is when tax policy should be shoring up accounts, not weakening them with cuts.

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    PreacherPreacher Registered User regular
    A payroll tax cut will not pass the house either. Or at least it shouldn't.

    I would like some money because these are artisanal nuggets of wisdom philistine.

    pleasepaypreacher.net
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    a5ehrena5ehren AtlantaRegistered User regular
    Preacher wrote: »
    A payroll tax cut will not pass the house either. Or at least it shouldn't.

    Pelosi has already signaled that it would not. The trial balloon being floated through "sources" is that they'll talk about it if it comes with higher marginal rates on the top bracket.

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    Martini_PhilosopherMartini_Philosopher Registered User regular
    a5ehren wrote: »
    Preacher wrote: »
    A payroll tax cut will not pass the house either. Or at least it shouldn't.

    Pelosi has already signaled that it would not. The trial balloon being floated through "sources" is that they'll talk about it if it comes with higher marginal rates on the top bracket.

    I can see this as a White House trial balloon but I'd like to see McConnell commit to something on camera before thinking it was more than Trump's afternoon brainfart.

    All opinions are my own and in no way reflect that of my employer.
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    a5ehrena5ehren AtlantaRegistered User regular
    Yeah, overall this is a totally dead idea. Trump is just trying to juice the economy a bit in the run-up to the election.

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    CelestialBadgerCelestialBadger Registered User regular
    a5ehren wrote: »
    Yeah, overall this is a totally dead idea. Trump is just trying to juice the economy a bit in the run-up to the election.

    Since it looks like it's sputtering a bit, he needs to get it over the line so he wins the election, and whatever happens after that is of no consequence to him.

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    KleinKlein Registered User regular
    If this is Trump's reaction to the potential of a recession, god help us if there is one half as bad as in 2008.

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    PreacherPreacher Registered User regular
    a5ehren wrote: »
    Yeah, overall this is a totally dead idea. Trump is just trying to juice the economy a bit in the run-up to the election.

    It's this weird he obviously needs to do something about the economy because its about to take a wisconin cheese shit, but like they can't admit its about to do that, because his appeal to everyone he's done fuck all for is "look at that stock market!" when like everyday there is another article about jobs lost. Like Steel in michigan and there was a call center for eddie bauer in ohio shedding a 111 jobs.

    But fundamentals of the economy are strong.

    I would like some money because these are artisanal nuggets of wisdom philistine.

    pleasepaypreacher.net
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    Knight_Knight_ Dead Dead Dead Registered User regular
    the only thing that should be done with payroll taxes is taking the cap off of them

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    HandkorHandkor Registered User regular
    edited August 2019
    So in a couple of days the White House has gone from:
    -The economy is doing great
    -There is no recession coming
    -My opponents are making up these economic numbers to make me look bad
    -The recession will be short and small

    This looks real bad when the White House keeps changing their position daily trying to cushion bad news. Also by getting their lies closer and closer to reality everyday it points to some really strong evidence/data that they can't even cover up.

    Handkor on
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    Commander ZoomCommander Zoom Registered User regular
    edited August 2019
    there will be adequate chocolate ration.

    (just as my current job is ending, yaaaaay)

    Commander Zoom on
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    Jealous DevaJealous Deva Registered User regular
    It’s getting pretty clear that the strategy is just to run the economy as hot as possible until election day. I don’t think Trump is smart enough to realize that even if that works and he gets reelected, when the economy flops in 2021 or 2022 and interest rates are near zero already and we have already stripped the tax system down to the bone to spur spending he’s going to be the one left to get the blame.

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    PhasenPhasen Hell WorldRegistered User regular
    He's a businessman running the country like a business. He won't feel any of the bad economy and he doesn't care about his legacy or believes he can Reagan his legacy.

    psn: PhasenWeeple
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    CelestialBadgerCelestialBadger Registered User regular
    It’s getting pretty clear that the strategy is just to run the economy as hot as possible until election day. I don’t think Trump is smart enough to realize that even if that works and he gets reelected, when the economy flops in 2021 or 2022 and interest rates are near zero already and we have already stripped the tax system down to the bone to spur spending he’s going to be the one left to get the blame.

    Well, that'll sink his chances for a third term.

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    daveNYCdaveNYC Why universe hate Waspinator? Registered User regular
    It’s getting pretty clear that the strategy is just to run the economy as hot as possible until election day. I don’t think Trump is smart enough to realize that even if that works and he gets reelected, when the economy flops in 2021 or 2022 and interest rates are near zero already and we have already stripped the tax system down to the bone to spur spending he’s going to be the one left to get the blame.

    This administration is incapable of doing the things that would be required to goose the economy for the next year. The fed is still run by professionals, so they're not going to drop the rate by 100bps like he wants; and monetary policy works slowly anyway. Fiscal stimulus would be the best plan. Pass a nice fat spending bill for something or other. Except Republicans are allergic to anything of the sort and the administration is so corrupt that a huge chunk of that money would disappear into the grift machine.

    Shut up, Mr. Burton! You were not brought upon this world to get it!
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