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Posts

  • TeaSpoonTeaSpoon Registered User regular
    I think I'll go for Kryla because she's limited and I might not get a chance to get a cheap 7* again. Then I may or may not get Fid. Just because.

    If all my tickets and lapis have run out and I can't keep up anymore, I'll just quit.

  • Trajan45Trajan45 Registered User regular
    Kind of surprised they are going Bartz/Lenna here. Maybe they need less GL tweaking to get back to meta vs Galuf and co. Also seems like bad timing with the Sworn Six upgrades since Folka is getting a boost making it less desirable to pull Lenna. Either way, I'll probably pull for her since it's MK and I only have 1 Myra still.

    Origin ID\ Steam ID: Warder45
  • TipharesTiphares Registered User regular
    TeaSpoon wrote: »
    I think I'll go for Kryla because she's limited and I might not get a chance to get a cheap 7* again. Then I may or may not get Fid. Just because.

    If all my tickets and lapis have run out and I can't keep up anymore, I'll just quit.
    You will get a lot of use out of Kryla's TMR also. Elemental tetris is easing up, but we still have a lot of GLEX content coming where it will be very helpful.

    Cruormaraji
  • CruorCruor Registered User regular
    I am rather excited for the Sworn Six enhancements. Sieghard is still my tank of choice and it'll make the desire to pull for Galuf less. Ignacio's enhancements are also fun from what I remember of JP. Each of them could also get GLEX improvements, which would be fantastic.

  • Trajan45Trajan45 Registered User regular
    I always liked Raegen, hopefully with his enhancements and short story perk he'll be usable again. I just got a 2nd Cid, so it'll be interesting to see how he turns out. Technically I could grab the 10K bundle and get Reberta's STMR for him.

    Also leaning towards UoC'ing Myra and calling it a day. Seems with her buffs, her and Lenna are pretty much at the same level. And with Esther, A. Lasswell, Randi, and CG Lightning, I'm pretty set on physical DPS. Hopefully both their moogles are in the shop and I can just grab them for the TMR's.

    Origin ID\ Steam ID: Warder45
    Tiphares
  • ZomroZomro Registered User regular
    edited August 2019
    I'm probably going to UoC Myra and Charlotte if I don't luck into either of them after the last batch of follow up tickets plus the 5o EX ticket from the daily login and the EP reward from the current event.

    And I really hope I can get at least one more moogle container, too.

    Zomro on
  • Trajan45Trajan45 Registered User regular
    I'm going to hold off on Charlotte till WKN fails me. Right now he's still holding strong and there's always a chance of a random Charlotte pull down the road. Galuf is more interesting in that I don't have Sieghard, so his massive innate provoke plus Charlotte level DM would be a big improvement over Wilhelm or M. Ramza.

    Origin ID\ Steam ID: Warder45
  • LuvTheMonkeyLuvTheMonkey High Sierra Serenade Registered User regular
    OK so now I have Alolasswell and 2 of his TMR. I still have 1 TMR coin left over from these bundles, not sure how to spend it as of yet.

    Molten variables hiss and roar. On my mind-forge, I hammer them into the greatsword Epistemology. Many are my foes this night.
    STEAM | GW2: Thalys
  • CruorCruor Registered User regular
    OK so now I have Alolasswell and 2 of his TMR. I still have 1 TMR coin left over from these bundles, not sure how to spend it as of yet.

    Save it until the Rankx5 F-up tickets this week. Maybe you'll pull another A.Lasswell and the coin could get you his STMR.

  • TipharesTiphares Registered User regular
    I would also wait until Friday to pull any of the EX tickets unless you want to have a chance at getting any of the Octopath units.

    I used a single 4* ticket to get a Therion. Done with this banner! I don't want to press my luck since I'll have to summon on Friday for bonus units for the MK event. Hopefully, I can pull a couple of Atlie with a few tickets and be done.

  • LuvTheMonkeyLuvTheMonkey High Sierra Serenade Registered User regular
    Cruor wrote: »
    OK so now I have Alolasswell and 2 of his TMR. I still have 1 TMR coin left over from these bundles, not sure how to spend it as of yet.

    Save it until the Rankx5 F-up tickets this week. Maybe you'll pull another A.Lasswell and the coin could get you his STMR.

    Wait does that work? I thought you needed the equivalent of 2 7 stars.

    Still yeah saving it seems like a good idea. I burned one on Colorful Lei in one of my blank containers.

    Molten variables hiss and roar. On my mind-forge, I hammer them into the greatsword Epistemology. Many are my foes this night.
    STEAM | GW2: Thalys
  • CruorCruor Registered User regular
    Cruor wrote: »
    OK so now I have Alolasswell and 2 of his TMR. I still have 1 TMR coin left over from these bundles, not sure how to spend it as of yet.

    Save it until the Rankx5 F-up tickets this week. Maybe you'll pull another A.Lasswell and the coin could get you his STMR.

    Wait does that work? I thought you needed the equivalent of 2 7 stars.

    Still yeah saving it seems like a good idea. I burned one on Colorful Lei in one of my blank containers.

    Oooh I thought you had two A.Lasswell already. My mistake

  • LuvTheMonkeyLuvTheMonkey High Sierra Serenade Registered User regular
    Only the 1 (maxed) anymore, I burned the other bundle on Christine because fuck it (also she hits like a truck too).

    Molten variables hiss and roar. On my mind-forge, I hammer them into the greatsword Epistemology. Many are my foes this night.
    STEAM | GW2: Thalys
  • Magus`Magus` The fun has been DOUBLED! Registered User regular
    My demon lantern 5* ticket was Olberic #1. Seems like a nice TMR but unlikely to get his 7* outside a store prism in six months.

    Trajan45marajiTipharesurahonky
  • marajimaraji Registered User regular
    So, that 100% STMR moogle...
    Limited units:
    Kryla
    WKN
    Sora
    A2

    I’m thinking I should hold onto it forever...err... until I pull 2 of some limited future unit. I might be letting my lack of any prism moogles color my decision

    Trajan45
  • Trajan45Trajan45 Registered User regular
    I'm holding on to mine in hopes of 2 50% moogles showing up at some point. Though I suppose I could save myself 10K lapis and use it on Reberta since her STMR is pretty universal and awesome.

    Origin ID\ Steam ID: Warder45
  • ReignerReigner Registered User regular
    Used about 3 Lapis refills to push through the rest of the Lantern event. Might have been a waste but my sanity cant go on grinding that out for the next 3 days and then running right into a MK event.

    Saving my 5* for Friday though. Id rather have an increased chance at Bartz and Lenna than Olberic and Primrose

    Exodus Server: Venstra Rei
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    Trajan45
  • TeaSpoonTeaSpoon Registered User regular
    Trajan45 wrote: »
    I'm holding on to mine in hopes of 2 50% moogles showing up at some point. Though I suppose I could save myself 10K lapis and use it on Reberta since her STMR is pretty universal and awesome.

    Pretty sure the STMR moogle is more valuable than 10k lapis.

    Tiphares
  • TipharesTiphares Registered User regular
    Looks like they doubled up on using NRG this week with MK and a new story chapter (and esper). I'm sitting at 35800 EP so I still have almost two days left of farming, but I'll wait until Friday to use it.

    Now that I think about it. I will wait to use all of my EX tickets from the FU tickets until Friday so I have a chance to pull bonus units. Then I can save my regular tickets.

    urahonkymarajiTrajan45
  • urahonkyurahonky Registered User regular
    Reigner wrote: »
    Used about 3 Lapis refills to push through the rest of the Lantern event. Might have been a waste but my sanity cant go on grinding that out for the next 3 days and then running right into a MK event.

    Saving my 5* for Friday though. Id rather have an increased chance at Bartz and Lenna than Olberic and Primrose

    Ah does that mean that Olberic and Primrose won't be in the pool on Friday for EX pulls?

  • GriswoldGriswold that's rough, buddyRegistered User regular
    Back to back 3* EX tickets came down rainbow this morning. Both were Nyx.

    They had us in the first half, not gonna lie

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    urahonkyTipharesmarajiTrajan45
  • TeaSpoonTeaSpoon Registered User regular
    Griswold wrote: »
    Back to back 3* EX tickets came down rainbow this morning. Both were Nyx.

    They had us in the first half, not gonna lie

    See, it's when this shit happens that I really doubt Gumi's ability to code RNG.

    urahonkyTrajan45
  • urahonkyurahonky Registered User regular
    Quick someone do that math on the probability of that happening!

  • LuvTheMonkeyLuvTheMonkey High Sierra Serenade Registered User regular
    That's how RNG works. If it was perfectly distributed it wouldn't actually be RNG. Clumpiness is to be expected in a game with tons and tons of players.

    Molten variables hiss and roar. On my mind-forge, I hammer them into the greatsword Epistemology. Many are my foes this night.
    STEAM | GW2: Thalys
  • TeaSpoonTeaSpoon Registered User regular
    That's how RNG works. If it was perfectly distributed it wouldn't actually be RNG. Clumpiness is to be expected in a game with tons and tons of players.

    Yeah, but it happens all the time.

  • TipharesTiphares Registered User regular
    But RNG is not account based or game instance based, it is server side. So, with thousands or millions of simultaneous requests going on, it does not seem so crazy to me.

  • tuxkamentuxkamen really took this picture. Registered User regular
    I'm out of tickets now, but I picked up one 4* ticket. I wanted one Therion. I got one Olberic. 9_9


    Games: Ad Astra Per Phalla | Choose Your Own Phalla
    Thus, the others all die before tuxkamen dies to the vote. Hence, tuxkamen survives, village victory.
    3DS: 2406-5451-5770
    Trajan45
  • marajimaraji Registered User regular
    urahonky wrote: »
    Quick someone do that math on the probability of that happening!

    Two EX rainbows on two specific pulls?
    .03 x .03 = 0.09%

    A second rainbow after you pull a rainbow?
    3%

    A second rainbow that is the same as the one you just pulled?
    P(5* unit)
    currently 0.7874%

    Two specific rainbows in a row on two specific pulls?
    P(unit) ^2
    0.007874 x 0.007874 = 0.000061999876
    So .0062%

    urahonky
  • ArtereisArtereis Registered User regular
    edited August 2019
    I had 10k lapis left over from Octopath, so I bought the bundle for Kryla. Seemed like a good buy for her flexibility.

    I ran into a problem with all the rainbows I've gotten lately that I didn't expect. I've completely run out of calamity gems until the next MK starts. I've never run out of the awakening mats before.

    Artereis on
  • TeaSpoonTeaSpoon Registered User regular
    Tiphares wrote: »
    But RNG is not account based or game instance based, it is server side. So, with thousands or millions of simultaneous requests going on, it does not seem so crazy to me.

    Should it not matter? Even if there are a thousand pulls between two of yours, it's not like the chance of a dupe increases. The chance of pulling a dupe should be the same as if no one else pulled.

    The thing I could see happening is that I used so many tickets in my time playing FFBE that a few dupes in close proximity become probable, and that every time it happens it stands out and my mind makes a note of it while forgetting all the non-dupes.

    Or the server generated a list (refreshed maybe once a day) and is going through that list every time you pull, and sometimes the server fucks up and doesn't move to the next item of the list. Weren't there a few cases years ago of people pulling a rainbow, the server going back a few hours, and then pulling the exact same rainbow again? Or did I imagine that?

  • marajimaraji Registered User regular
    I think it’s just that exceptional outcomes are more memorable, and ease of recall is often substituted for probability of occurrence.

    Also people usually only report interesting outcomes, so it’s hard to gauge the number of uninteresting outcomes accurately, especially as the number of total pulls varies a lot depending on banner.

  • Trajan45Trajan45 Registered User regular
    I'd bet serious money that RNG is weighted towards units you have. The entire game from the start was built around TMR's built from dupes. And the 7* system is around the idea of 2nd units and 3rd/4th units for TMR's.

    Origin ID\ Steam ID: Warder45
    tsmvengy
  • tsmvengytsmvengy Registered User regular
    Trajan45 wrote: »
    I'd bet serious money that RNG is weighted towards units you have. The entire game from the start was built around TMR's built from dupes. And the 7* system is around the idea of 2nd units and 3rd/4th units for TMR's.

    Yes, this has to be the case, otherwise it would be horrible trying to pull dupes.

    steam_sig.png
  • urahonkyurahonky Registered User regular
    My guess is that the RNG seed is based on a hidden account number or something generated per user.

  • TeaSpoonTeaSpoon Registered User regular
    I bought the 10k lapis bundle. Not going to use the coins until after I get the rest of my anniversary tickets.

    Should I get the bundle again? I could get an STMR for Kryla or Reberta. Or I could get a 7* A. Lasswell or GL Sakura.

  • CiriraCirira IowaRegistered User regular
    I would not bet against there being something weird under the hood regarding pulls. I've still yet to see Ramza or Veritas of the Light in my 3+ years of playing the game. I also feel like there are plenty of people that don't have a ton of rainbows but will have 7 or 8 of one character in particular.

  • Trajan45Trajan45 Registered User regular
    edited August 2019
    I grabbed the bundle for Reberta ‘s STMR. Universal attack plus bulk is nice. I’ll just wait till prisms for Kryla #2. I have a ton of trust coins.

    A. Lasswell is nice, high damage and tankiness. But he’s locked to water or wind.

    Trajan45 on
    Origin ID\ Steam ID: Warder45
  • CruorCruor Registered User regular
    Trajan45 wrote: »
    I grabbed the bundle for Reberta ‘s STMR. Universal attack plus bulk is nice. I’ll just wait till prisms for Kryla #2. I have a ton of trust coins.

    A. Lasswell is nice, high damage and tankiness. But he’s locked to water or wind.

    His most reliable damage is from Water/Wind, yes, but he does have non-elemental options. Importantly Showdown, his big damage CD, is non-elemental, and you can use Summer - Ocean Splitter as a non-elemental chaining option when his CD is not available. The mods on Ocean Splitter (6.9x with passive) are pretty bad compared to Winds of the Sea and Waves of the Ocean (16.5x). Alternatively, you could rely on chaining his LB (22x, 2xAMoE frames, which means it's slightly better than 3xOcean Splitter) on turns when his CD is down. His LB is only 20 crysts, so it'll be up most of the time, if not every turn.

    Sure, there are better options for other elements, but if you WANT to use other elements with A.Lasswell you could.

  • TipharesTiphares Registered User regular
    edited August 2019
    TeaSpoon wrote: »
    I bought the 10k lapis bundle. Not going to use the coins until after I get the rest of my anniversary tickets.

    Should I get the bundle again? I could get an STMR for Kryla or Reberta. Or I could get a 7* A. Lasswell or GL Sakura.
    I was on the fence about purchasing the bundle in the first place. I decided that Kryla STMR was not worth 10k lapis. I'm not close to Reberta's STMR since I only have 1 of her, but I would still not value it at 10k lapis myself. Don't forget that the EU bundle goes away on Thurs.

    Tiphares on
  • TeaSpoonTeaSpoon Registered User regular
    Tiphares wrote: »
    TeaSpoon wrote: »
    I bought the 10k lapis bundle. Not going to use the coins until after I get the rest of my anniversary tickets.

    Should I get the bundle again? I could get an STMR for Kryla or Reberta. Or I could get a 7* A. Lasswell or GL Sakura.
    I was on the fence about purchasing the bundle in the first place. I decided that Kryla STMR was not worth 10k lapis. I'm not close to Reberta's STMR since I only have 1 of her, but I would still not value it at 10k lapis myself. Don't forget that they EU bundle goes away on Thurs.

    The bundle goes away. The shop stays open for another week. But I probably won't get it.

    That said, I threw away 10 k not too long ago trying to get a second Fid on the support banner. That was not a fiscally responsible decision.

    Trajan45
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