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[Hurricane Dorian] has dissipated. Bahamas casualty count still unknown.
a5ehren
AtlantaRegistered User regular
AtlantaRegistered User regular
Split off the now-dead Disaster thread to discuss/update on the immediate threat/impacts of Hurricane Dorian, which is currently forecast to hit SE Florida as a Major Hurricane on Tuesday morning. The uncertainty in the forecast is still quite large, as the exact path is dependent on some upper-level wind features that are notoriously fickle.
Best source of overall information: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/#Dorian
Latest cone and information (this should update as NHC updates it):
Satellite imagery: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/sat/ (not hot-linked due to huge size)
Best source of overall information: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/#Dorian
Latest cone and information (this should update as NHC updates it):
Satellite imagery: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/sat/ (not hot-linked due to huge size)
a5ehren on
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NHC issued an interim update to note that Dorian is now officially a Category 3 Major Hurricane, with 115mph winds.
4+ inches for basically all of Florida, with 6+ over huge parts of the peninsula.
Which, to be clear, is like the tenth biggest concern.
The path has had it hitting land right at Palm Beach, where the resort is, as a Cat-4, then drastically losing strength from there.
So not terribly far off, if the model holds?
Fingers crossed! It'd be cool if it just.... stopped there. Forever. Just become a zone of no-going-ness. Just at Mar-a-lago. A modern day miracle. *takes a few minutes to dream*
*ahem*
Anyways. I "like" how the cone of uncertainty is just... covering the whole state now. Damn you storm.
Baah. Well, I think I'm prepared, stuff wise, but mentally.... eeeeeeeeeh.
Seems like the slower it goes, the further east that turn starts. If there's something pushing in from the west, and it continues to slow, then it may well land much further north.
There are some other rather scary ones where Dorian doesn't technically make landfall on the US (which is defined as the eye crossing over to land) but scrapes along the coast. The majority of it staying out to sea would basically mean a Harvey effect as the storm can keep pulling moisture from the ocean to dump on the land. There would undoubtedly still be assholes screaming "fake news" because of the lack of technical landfall, even if everything on the coast from West Palm Beach, FL to Wilmington, NC got two feet of rain dropped on them during that course.
On a lighter side, saw this and thought of @Enc
Also on Steam and PSN: twobadcats
Also are the Bahamas ready for a meter of rain? Because the worst tracks for y'all I've seen are predicting upwards of a meter if it stalls there.
Man, I got four cases of Bubbly in the fridge, but with how late this thing keeps delaying, I may yet need to go get more...
So major items that have gone on in terms of preparation. Not all of these directly fall on me, but I'm on the leadership so have some oversight of all of it:
This is a bit different from general preparation. The default for most people is boarding things up and hunkering down. The power system has gone to shit over the last little while (since the construction of Bahamar, really) so I think most people are expecting power failures. Flooding is a huge concern for most people because the islands are very low. They are "ready" in the sense that a lot of these people have fairly regular minor flooding when there's a heavy rain anyway. The buildings I'm in are new, high-end construction and are basically fortresses built to withstand a Cat-4, with steel shuttering, build on a hill, etc. I full expect Freeport (the largest settlement that's going to get directly hit) to be fucked, though. Not sure if that fully answers the question.
Also on Steam and PSN: twobadcats
Neat, you live in the same town my brother is while he's going to school for entomology
If a single hedge is out of place, he'll try it anyways.
If he does, it will be another anchor around the necks of Republicans to be called out again and again.
Yes, it's a bunch of catharsis seeking and nobody expects it to play out as such or as cleanly as fantasized about, but I don't see how he doesn't try to siphon up as many millions as he can if so much as the deck chairs are forced to move a few inches, but boy, watching him tour the devastation of that space (ideally with zero injuries or casualties, as noted above) would be a small beacon of joy, followed by fully legitimate attack ad after attack ad when the GOP fails to check the grifting.
It'd just be added to the pile, but what isn't these days?
Steam | XBL
In what way? For my neck of the woods it looks like less wind speed and less expected rainfall (in the yellow band now). I know some nearby homes got flooded during Irma, and the creek rose enough that about a mile away from my home the road was underwater.
I haven't really paid attention to how fast it was supposed to lose strength once making landfall back, but things look less bad for Florida in general (both rain and hurricane force wind probability) and more sucky if you live up north. I must admit that living here for 35 years may have skewed my perception of what is considered really bad since I don't know how the other coastal states are prepared for tropical cyclones.
Wider impact area as a major hurricane because it stays over water longer. For some people like yourself it might be better but overall it seems like that would be rough.
Basically coming right at me now, so that's cool (Cola is far enough inland that only flooding will be an issue)
WoW
Dear Satan.....
Once Dorian hits make sure you keep an eye out for Phrygian and Mixolydian.
I have 549 Rock Band Drum and 305 Pro Drum FC's
REFS REFS REFS REFS REFS REFS REFS REFS
There's a cruise ship leaving Jacksonville (NE Florida) today, popping down to the Bahamas, and returning Thursday.
So they're just going to dodge around the storm then follow it back to port, giving only slightly more fucks than a Jaeger pilot.