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Continuing to Discuss the [2020 Primary] and Not Other Stuff
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This election cycle is probably going to be... weird. I'd be super hesitant to say anything is tough or hard even if it looks obvious.
She's a 24 year incumbent. Those are always hard to beat.
Yeah, those first three I listed are the easiest and most likely, but that doesn't mean they're easy
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I'm not sure I'd agree that anyone is going to crush NV. I think it depends on how good people's memories are here. I saw some polling for NV a while back that said he was in the lead here. I have nothing more recent so I can't say, but I can say that they are pushing hard. FWIW I don't get that in my emails; most of the stuff I get for him comes from Our Revolution and those make me feel so icky because of their tone... 100% about the rehash which.. is not what I want to hear, but wouldn't necessarily go down poorly with more than a few people here. I actually got a couple texts from Warren's people, and one from Williamson, which kind of made me laugh because like.. how did her campaign get my number.
I really want to pay attention to Warren because I feel like she's much more likely than Biden to keep her cool through the whole process.
Here's something from 538 on Nov. 30 2018:
Keeping it on topic, South Carolina continues to be in Biden's hands. Anecdotally everybody I talk to is for Warren or Sanders, but I'm not exactly rubbing elbows with Trump voters.
You'd need something catastrophically bad for Graham to come out with SCs electorate for me to think there's a real chance.
If Graham was from North Carolina I'd say we'd have an even odds chance of unseating
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My own parents are fairly progressive, and I think they're eyeing up Warren, but PA isn't exactly around the corner so they seem to be keeping open minds. That's probably not a bad thing.
I mean at least somebody is opposing Trump in the most token fashion, and it was a change of pace from the non-stop Tom Steyer ads.
Rock Band DLC | GW:OttW - arrcd | WLD - Thortar
Tom Steyer, most money spent losing a primary run.
That delegate split is grim
There was a 47-43, but come the fuck on, Graham is not going to win by only four.
Maine, North Carolina, Georgia, Georgia again, Alabama, Kentucky, Iowa, Texas, Colorado, Montana, Arizona. Whoever wins five of those eleven races controls the Senate. I'm not sure I'd give either party the edge here, frankly. (Kansas might be in play, if Kobach does the same thing as last cycle, but that's a big if. Hey, then Kansas Republicans would be in the same club as Massachusetts Democrats, having pissed away two very winnable races.)
https://www.democratsabroad.org/bloomberg_on_ballot
Democrats Abroad! || Vote From Abroad
Don't get me wrong, I like Joe, but I don't think he's the same guy we had back in '08-'16, and that's what worries me. If he's the candidate, then we absolutely HAVE to either a) take the Senate so the Republicans can't ratfuck everything that needs doing or b) invest enough time and energy into McConnell's race in Kentucky to get rid of him in addition to getting to 270. Otherwise Joe will swallow a bunch of Republican bullshit just to appeal to those racist fucks so we can get the basic shit like the budget passed, and we'll be in nearly the same place we were as we are now.
When your enemies are embracing fascism, you don't fucking try to reach out to them, because they'll take and take and take and maybe give a little bit, but boy howdy will you pay through the nose for that little bit.
I can has cheezburger, yes?
God I love youtube premium. With no TV and no ads on youtube the coming months are going to be a lot more pleasant than usual for an election year.
He might not even win that with Bloomberg in the race.
He may literally lose at losing.
Obama ain't endorsing shit until after the primary.
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Joe Biden has lost the War on Malarkey
pleasepaypreacher.net
It just refers to his well-known musical abilities.
Doubt it makes any difference, but it DOES play into a lot of people's dream teams around here.
Which might make it less likely because his support is already baked in so early? Or at least that's my first instinct, that it will be old news by July so it won't play as reaching out to other parts of the party. So my contrarian view is is makes Warren-Booker more likely
QEDMF xbl: PantsB G+
That was my thought too, I can't remember anyone else doing it. Ultimately I'm glad he went with Warren. I wonder who Williamson will endorse when she drops out... or.. not...
And honestly, at first I never thought Pete would have this much traction compared with personalities/policy powerhouses like Warren and Sanders on the ticket. Like Joe is weird, and creepy and offputting and far to center, but at least he has some personality. Pete looks like cardboard all the time.
Translation: I refuse to take responsibility for the conduct of my profession (the reason the "optics" of the email investigation were so bad was because the media continued to report on the story as if it was a scandal long after it was clear there was nothing there), and so I will blame the Democratic Party for our failures.
Remember that to a lot of Democrat voters "very left wing" is a negative, not a positive. So they are grasping for someone who can defeat Trump without rocking the boat.
Bold is the bias of that guy. It boils down to "Biden is establishment." It's an op-ed in "comment is free" for a reason.
edit
He's not a journalist, he's a PhD student with rich parents who fakes a British accent and wears a fedora.
He's the kind of douche who got a story published about how he didn't study that hard and got a perfect SAT score. "Comment is free" is usually crap for a reason.
QEDMF xbl: PantsB G+
seems like there's plenty of blame to go around, tbh
Dunno how one takes respnsiblity for the conduct of an entire industry, but youre mistaken if you think Current Affairs is an apologist for American news reporting.
He's literally engaging in apologia there, by blaming Democrats for how "bad" the email server looked while saying nothing about how the media, though their conduct, shaped that appearance. So no, I don't think I'm mistaken here.