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Supreme Court Vacancy

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    Phoenix-DPhoenix-D Registered User regular
    Hacksaw wrote: »
    Cruz and company are running scared that the Dems are going to pack the court, so instead of offering a compromise solution to the consternation over ACB's prospective judgeship they're going to pull the ladder up after her and flip everybody off as they ride into the sunset.
    It would need to pass with a two-thirds super majority in both the Senate and the House and need to be ratified by three-fourths of the states, or 38 of the 50 states, within seven years after its submission for ratification.

    So...he's grandstanding.


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    HacksawHacksaw J. Duggan Esq. Wrestler at LawRegistered User regular
    It's peak Cruz posturing. It shows how scared they are that Dems are well and truly done with their ratfucking.

    They aren't, of course, but the GOP thinks they might be.

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    enlightenedbumenlightenedbum Registered User regular
    Hacksaw wrote: »
    It's peak Cruz posturing. It shows how scared they are that Dems are well and truly done with their ratfucking.

    They aren't, of course, but the GOP thinks they might be.

    I mean, the biggest corporate coward in the whole party (Rahm) is advocating for lower court expansion now.

    Self-righteousness is incompatible with coalition building.
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    HacksawHacksaw J. Duggan Esq. Wrestler at LawRegistered User regular
    Rahm isn't in the Senate.

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    MrMisterMrMister Jesus dying on the cross in pain? Morally better than us. One has to go "all in".Registered User regular
    Phoenix-D wrote: »
    Hacksaw wrote: »
    Cruz and company are running scared that the Dems are going to pack the court, so instead of offering a compromise solution to the consternation over ACB's prospective judgeship they're going to pull the ladder up after her and flip everybody off as they ride into the sunset.
    It would need to pass with a two-thirds super majority in both the Senate and the House and need to be ratified by three-fourths of the states, or 38 of the 50 states, within seven years after its submission for ratification.

    So...he's grandstanding.


    The cosponsors are GOP senators in close races, so my guess is that they think trying to make the race into a referendum on packing the Court will be good for them. Even if a constitutional amendment is obviously not going anywhere, they can still use it as fodder in their races.

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    AiouaAioua Ora Occidens Ora OptimaRegistered User regular
    Hacksaw wrote: »
    Rahm isn't in the Senate.

    Expanding the court requires both houses.

    life's a game that you're bound to lose / like using a hammer to pound in screws
    fuck up once and you break your thumb / if you're happy at all then you're god damn dumb
    that's right we're on a fucked up cruise / God is dead but at least we have booze
    bad things happen, no one knows why / the sun burns out and everyone dies
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    Styrofoam SammichStyrofoam Sammich WANT. normal (not weird)Registered User regular
    The GOP calculation is that things will settle somewhere between the two political party's respective postions of "this is tyranny or whatever" and "we dont want to talk about that", which works in their favor.

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    MvrckMvrck Dwarven MountainhomeRegistered User regular
    I want to see a Dem counter-proposal amendment that offers the court to be sized proportionally based on the population. lets take a size based of, oh say, the "good old times" of 1940, when there were 9 Justices for roughly 130 million people. That means today we would wind up with somewhere around 26 Justices. Also lets limit them to 18 year terms while we're at it.

    Both sides agree the court should represent the choice of the people, and what better way to represent people by having more equal representation!

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    Commander ZoomCommander Zoom Registered User regular
    One side believes that. The other wants only certain people to count.

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    ChanusChanus Harbinger of the Spicy Rooster Apocalypse The Flames of a Thousand Collapsed StarsRegistered User regular
    point of clarification, there's no time limit on states ratifying the amendment in the Constitution itself, which is the argument in favor of adopting the ERA now that it has been ratified by enough states

    Allegedly a voice of reason.
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    enlightenedbumenlightenedbum Registered User regular
    Aioua wrote: »
    Hacksaw wrote: »
    Rahm isn't in the Senate.

    Expanding the court requires both houses.

    Rahm isn't elected, but he's still influential for stupid reasons.

    Self-righteousness is incompatible with coalition building.
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    Styrofoam SammichStyrofoam Sammich WANT. normal (not weird)Registered User regular
    Hes a big part of why the Obama Administration ignored the judiciary

    wq09t4opzrlc.jpg
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    AngelHedgieAngelHedgie Registered User regular
    MrMister wrote: »
    Phoenix-D wrote: »
    Hacksaw wrote: »
    Cruz and company are running scared that the Dems are going to pack the court, so instead of offering a compromise solution to the consternation over ACB's prospective judgeship they're going to pull the ladder up after her and flip everybody off as they ride into the sunset.
    It would need to pass with a two-thirds super majority in both the Senate and the House and need to be ratified by three-fourths of the states, or 38 of the 50 states, within seven years after its submission for ratification.

    So...he's grandstanding.


    The cosponsors are GOP senators in close races, so my guess is that they think trying to make the race into a referendum on packing the Court will be good for them. Even if a constitutional amendment is obviously not going anywhere, they can still use it as fodder in their races.

    Daines had tried that, but it hasn't been working, given that I haven't seen any of those ads in the past few weeks.

    XBL: Nox Aeternum / PSN: NoxAeternum / NN:NoxAeternum / Steam: noxaeternum
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    spool32spool32 Contrary Library Registered User regular
    Chanus wrote: »
    point of clarification, there's no time limit on states ratifying the amendment in the Constitution itself, which is the argument in favor of adopting the ERA now that it has been ratified by enough states

    Isn't it really the argument for it already being ratified, we just haven't admitted it yet because there's also nothing that stops a state from un-ratifying a potential amendment

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    ChanusChanus Harbinger of the Spicy Rooster Apocalypse The Flames of a Thousand Collapsed StarsRegistered User regular
    spool32 wrote: »
    Chanus wrote: »
    point of clarification, there's no time limit on states ratifying the amendment in the Constitution itself, which is the argument in favor of adopting the ERA now that it has been ratified by enough states

    Isn't it really the argument for it already being ratified, we just haven't admitted it yet because there's also nothing that stops a state from un-ratifying a potential amendment

    my understanding is there is no clear answer whether a state can un-ratify after the fact because states have before but it hasn't yet actually mattered

    like Ohio and New Jersey rescinded their ratifications of the 14th but there were enough other states ratifying that it didn't affect the outcome so, basically, no one cared

    Allegedly a voice of reason.
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    silence1186silence1186 Character shields down! As a wingmanRegistered User regular
    Hacksaw wrote: »
    It's peak Cruz posturing. It shows how scared they are that Dems are well and truly done with their ratfucking.

    They aren't, of course, but the GOP thinks they might be.

    I mean, the biggest corporate coward in the whole party (Rahm) is advocating for lower court expansion now.

    Expand the number of circuits to 15, splitting up the Trump nominees, create a bunch of new judge spots in the new districts to balance them out, and up the number of seats on SCOTUS to match the number of circuits (15). Could even suggest/require one justice from each circuit, with past justices exempt/assigned one for the time being.

    Our Courts take way too long to do anything as it is, so there is a practical reason to do this, beyond the political one.

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    tbloxhamtbloxham Registered User regular
    edited October 2020
    Hacksaw wrote: »
    It's peak Cruz posturing. It shows how scared they are that Dems are well and truly done with their ratfucking.

    They aren't, of course, but the GOP thinks they might be.

    I mean, the biggest corporate coward in the whole party (Rahm) is advocating for lower court expansion now.

    Expand the number of circuits to 15, splitting up the Trump nominees, create a bunch of new judge spots in the new districts to balance them out, and up the number of seats on SCOTUS to match the number of circuits (15). Could even suggest/require one justice from each circuit, with past justices exempt/assigned one for the time being.

    Our Courts take way too long to do anything as it is, so there is a practical reason to do this, beyond the political one.

    When you say 'splitting up all the Trump nominees', do you perhaps mean 'Assigning all the Trump nominees to serve on the courts 15th district, responsible for cases originating in those US territories surrounding McMurdo base in Antarctica, but excluding the base itself'

    I look forward to their judgment on the case of Peter the Penguin vs US Government.

    Kavanaugh can be their associated Supreme Court Justice.

    tbloxham on
    "That is cool" - Abraham Lincoln
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    AngelHedgieAngelHedgie Registered User regular
    The folks at LGM propose a scenario:
    Submitted for your approval:

    (1) Biden wins the presidency by 15 million votes and the Dems take 54 Senate seats.

    (2) A week later Alito and/or Thomas announce their retirements.

    (3) ???

    This would pretty much provoke the Court's expansion.

    XBL: Nox Aeternum / PSN: NoxAeternum / NN:NoxAeternum / Steam: noxaeternum
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    Commander ZoomCommander Zoom Registered User regular
    edited October 2020
    note for clarity: that's not "a week after the transfer of power", that's "a week after the election, so Trump gets to have nominated/appointed five relatively young and thoroughly deplorable Justices".

    at that point, I think even I would be in favor of just burning it to the ground and starting over.

    Commander Zoom on
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    ShortyShorty touching the meat Intergalactic Cool CourtRegistered User regular
    The folks at LGM propose a scenario:
    Submitted for your approval:

    (1) Biden wins the presidency by 15 million votes and the Dems take 54 Senate seats.

    (2) A week later Alito and/or Thomas announce their retirements.

    (3) ???

    This would pretty much provoke the Court's expansion.

    why do you say that

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    ShortyShorty touching the meat Intergalactic Cool CourtRegistered User regular
    to me that's a really obvious case of overestimating the odds of something you want to happen

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    SummaryJudgmentSummaryJudgment Grab the hottest iron you can find, stride in the Tower’s front door Registered User regular
    edited October 2020
    Shorty wrote: »
    to me that's a really obvious case of overestimating the odds of something you want to happen

    Agreed

    That assumes Alito and Thomas would individually want to give up their positions

    and a lot of moderates are still kind of squeamish about court packing, and Alito and Thomas doing that would probably do a lot to get them on board

    We should be so lucky to get that kind of mandate; we need to do it anyways so the political cover would be nice

    SummaryJudgment on
    Some days Blue wonders why anyone ever bothered making numbers so small; other days she supposes even infinity needs to start somewhere.
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    enlightenedbumenlightenedbum Registered User regular
    Shorty wrote: »
    to me that's a really obvious case of overestimating the odds of something you want to happen

    The idea here is that the GOP would rush through confirmation on two 12 year olds who have been raised on Prager U videos.

    Self-righteousness is incompatible with coalition building.
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    Styrofoam SammichStyrofoam Sammich WANT. normal (not weird)Registered User regular
    Shorty wrote: »
    to me that's a really obvious case of overestimating the odds of something you want to happen

    Agreed

    That assumes Alito and Thomas would individually want to give up their positions

    and a lot of moderates are still kind of squeamish about court packing, and Alito and Thomas doing that would probably do a lot to get them on board

    We should be so lucky to get that kind of mandate; we need to do it anyways so the political cover would be nice

    Its also kind of a bad ideological read on Thomas

    wq09t4opzrlc.jpg
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    Styrofoam SammichStyrofoam Sammich WANT. normal (not weird)Registered User regular
    News aggregator



    Schumer isnt angry, he's just disappointed.

    wq09t4opzrlc.jpg
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    tbloxhamtbloxham Registered User regular
    The folks at LGM propose a scenario:
    Submitted for your approval:

    (1) Biden wins the presidency by 15 million votes and the Dems take 54 Senate seats.

    (2) A week later Alito and/or Thomas announce their retirements.

    (3) ???

    This would pretty much provoke the Court's expansion.

    I mean, this would be quite clearly the best possible thing for us which could conceivably happen. Its so utterly mind bogglingly unfair that no democrat would give a monkeys what we did to the court afterwards.

    The SMART play from Republicans is to have Alito step down after the election, saying that he feels he has served his time and has upmost faith in the process and for him to literally go on and on about how wonderful the court is, and how great it is that Biden will pick his replacement and how excellent that person will be. All sorts of glad handing and 'good faith' theater.

    But then, after all of that, it's still a 5-4 court with 4 of the Republican justices being wingnuts and Roberts being the deciding vote. Which is best for Republicans by a mile, because Roberts will screw the base on social issues, but deliver on business and political corruption issues.

    It would be a genius plan to retain control of the court despite a big loss to democrats. Anyone who spoke of court partisanship again would be faced with a barrage of "WHAT ABOUT ALITO! He stepped down for Bidens appointee, the court is wonderful!"

    "That is cool" - Abraham Lincoln
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    shrykeshryke Member of the Beast Registered User regular
    News aggregator



    Schumer isnt angry, he's just disappointed.

    What were you expecting him to say?

    Like, he's not going to decapitate her and hold her severed head up for the masses.

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    OremLKOremLK Registered User regular
    Alito and Thomas probably assume they'll live until they're 90. I doubt they retire unless there are somehow underlying health problems we haven't heard about.

    My zombie survival life simulator They Don't Sleep is out now on Steam if you want to check it out.
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    ShortyShorty touching the meat Intergalactic Cool CourtRegistered User regular
    Shorty wrote: »
    to me that's a really obvious case of overestimating the odds of something you want to happen

    The idea here is that the GOP would rush through confirmation on two 12 year olds who have been raised on Prager U videos.

    yes, I'm aware

    I don't see how it follows that this would make the court's expansion inevitable

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    HacksawHacksaw J. Duggan Esq. Wrestler at LawRegistered User regular
    OremLK wrote: »
    Alito and Thomas probably assume they'll live until they're 90. I doubt they retire unless there are somehow underlying health problems we haven't heard about.

    Thomas has stated many times that he'll die with a gavel in his hands.

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    ChanusChanus Harbinger of the Spicy Rooster Apocalypse The Flames of a Thousand Collapsed StarsRegistered User regular
    Alito was only appointed, what, like 15 years ago?

    Allegedly a voice of reason.
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    FencingsaxFencingsax It is difficult to get a man to understand, when his salary depends upon his not understanding GNU Terry PratchettRegistered User regular
    Hacksaw wrote: »
    OremLK wrote: »
    Alito and Thomas probably assume they'll live until they're 90. I doubt they retire unless there are somehow underlying health problems we haven't heard about.

    Thomas has stated many times that he'll die with a gavel in his hands.

    Thomas' ideology isn't Republican so much as it is FYGM.

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    ChanusChanus Harbinger of the Spicy Rooster Apocalypse The Flames of a Thousand Collapsed StarsRegistered User regular
    Shorty wrote: »
    Shorty wrote: »
    to me that's a really obvious case of overestimating the odds of something you want to happen

    The idea here is that the GOP would rush through confirmation on two 12 year olds who have been raised on Prager U videos.

    yes, I'm aware

    I don't see how it follows that this would make the court's expansion inevitable

    it would provide an immediate casus belli showing the current court is hopelessly partisan and corrupted

    it's not going to happen and is a strange flight of fancy, but that's the idea behind it

    Allegedly a voice of reason.
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    Styrofoam SammichStyrofoam Sammich WANT. normal (not weird)Registered User regular
    edited October 2020
    shryke wrote: »
    News aggregator



    Schumer isnt angry, he's just disappointed.

    What were you expecting him to say?

    Like, he's not going to decapitate her and hold her severed head up for the masses.

    Ah yes, the two options on how leadership could have handled this fiasco.

    Tell me youre going to dismantle your seniority system.

    Styrofoam Sammich on
    wq09t4opzrlc.jpg
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    ToxTox I kill threads he/himRegistered User regular
    Hacksaw wrote: »
    It's peak Cruz posturing. It shows how scared they are that Dems are well and truly done with their ratfucking.

    They aren't, of course, but the GOP thinks they might be.

    I mean, the biggest corporate coward in the whole party (Rahm) is advocating for lower court expansion now.

    Expand the number of circuits to 15, splitting up the Trump nominees, create a bunch of new judge spots in the new districts to balance them out, and up the number of seats on SCOTUS to match the number of circuits (15). Could even suggest/require one justice from each circuit, with past justices exempt/assigned one for the time being.

    Our Courts take way too long to do anything as it is, so there is a practical reason to do this, beyond the political one.

    BTW, this is actually way the SCotUS was expanded, like, twice. Because of new districts being created

    Twitter! | Dilige, et quod vis fac
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    silence1186silence1186 Character shields down! As a wingmanRegistered User regular
    Tox wrote: »
    Hacksaw wrote: »
    It's peak Cruz posturing. It shows how scared they are that Dems are well and truly done with their ratfucking.

    They aren't, of course, but the GOP thinks they might be.

    I mean, the biggest corporate coward in the whole party (Rahm) is advocating for lower court expansion now.

    Expand the number of circuits to 15, splitting up the Trump nominees, create a bunch of new judge spots in the new districts to balance them out, and up the number of seats on SCOTUS to match the number of circuits (15). Could even suggest/require one justice from each circuit, with past justices exempt/assigned one for the time being.

    Our Courts take way too long to do anything as it is, so there is a practical reason to do this, beyond the political one.

    BTW, this is actually way the SCotUS was expanded, like, twice. Because of new districts being created

    Excellent. There being precedent helps the sale.

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    ToxTox I kill threads he/himRegistered User regular
    Tox wrote: »
    Hacksaw wrote: »
    It's peak Cruz posturing. It shows how scared they are that Dems are well and truly done with their ratfucking.

    They aren't, of course, but the GOP thinks they might be.

    I mean, the biggest corporate coward in the whole party (Rahm) is advocating for lower court expansion now.

    Expand the number of circuits to 15, splitting up the Trump nominees, create a bunch of new judge spots in the new districts to balance them out, and up the number of seats on SCOTUS to match the number of circuits (15). Could even suggest/require one justice from each circuit, with past justices exempt/assigned one for the time being.

    Our Courts take way too long to do anything as it is, so there is a practical reason to do this, beyond the political one.

    BTW, this is actually way the SCotUS was expanded, like, twice. Because of new districts being created

    Excellent. There being precedent helps the sale.

    You also tie the District expansion to population. You sell it as "the current size of the judiciary was set in 1981, and the US has grown considerably since then. Therefore we need to expand the courts"

    Twitter! | Dilige, et quod vis fac
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    Styrofoam SammichStyrofoam Sammich WANT. normal (not weird)Registered User regular
    Barrett's approval rsting is up, including an 18 point increase among Democrats.

    A majority now say she should be confirmed.

    https://morningconsult.com/2020/10/21/supreme-court-hearings-barrett-confirmation-polling/

    wq09t4opzrlc.jpg
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    PolaritiePolaritie Sleepy Registered User regular
    Barrett's approval rsting is up, including an 18 point increase among Democrats.

    A majority now say she should be confirmed.

    https://morningconsult.com/2020/10/21/supreme-court-hearings-barrett-confirmation-polling/

    Oh for fucks sake.

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    Senna1Senna1 Registered User regular
    In case anyone needed a reminder that the extent of most people's political desires are a "return to normalcy", and not an inch further.

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