PAX Aus 2021 - To Happen or not to happen ? That is a good question !
We've just escaped lockdown 5.0 and left Sydney behind in one for the next month. It's just over 10 weeks to PAX Aus if Melbourne will let it happen.
8 weeks out, well they cancelled the Royal Melbourne Show for September.
Under current rules, it's a bit of a wait and see game, though would be interested in knowing if there is a Go / No Go date.
I still have my fingers crossed, but have been checking the cancelation policy of my accomodation (good) and flights (less good).
Victoria has restrictions on entry to the state. See https://www.coronavirus.vic.gov.au/victorian-travel-permit-system
Applying for a Permit section includes "It is an offence to enter Victoria without a valid permit, exemption or exception, with fines of up to $5,452. It is an offence to provide misleading information, with fines of up to $1,652."
Map of Zones has the whole of NSW classified as an "Extreme Risk Zone" while the ACT is classifies as an "Orange Zone". Note there is also a link to a List of LGAs and their Zones(CSV) currently in a file called COVID traffic lights feed - corona-virus-vic-gov-au.csv. To access the list you should take the link from the web page at https://www.coronavirus.vic.gov.au/victorian-travel-permit-system#map-of-zones
Extreme Risk Zones section currently states: Transit permits are for travelers spending less than 24 hours in Victoria e.g.passing through Victoria on the way to another State, etc.
Specified Worker Permits section has a link to the list of eligible industries. I currently don't see the convention or entertainment industries on this list.
Exceptions and Exemptions section directs people to the Travel Permit Exceptions and Exemptions web page at https://www.coronavirus.vic.gov.au/travel-permit-exceptions-exemptions
On the Travel Permit Exceptions and Exemptions web page
Exceptions section includes examples such as "Providing emergency or time-critical essential medical care or other urgent care". Basically you have to read the whole web page to see if your circumstances would apply but I expect the convention industry is not included.
Cross Border Community Residents section could apply to places like Albury etc., therefore unlikely to apply to Sydney residents.
Exemptions section include "Reasons for an exemption may include:" where they give examples such as "going to a funeral or an end-of-life event"
Personally, if I was a Sydney resident thinking about travelling to Melbourne for PAX Aus I would refer to the RMIT/ABC fact check "Reality check: Would the government's original vaccine timetable have put Australia in a different position?" article on the ABC web site at https://www.abc.net.au/news/2021-08-03/covid-19-vaccine-rollout-scott-morrison-original-timetable/100342474
What was the 'most optimistic' scenario for the vaccine rollout? section states: If these quotes from the Prime Minister, Mr Morrison and Health Minister Hunt are accurate and the government has under-promised and will over-deliver by October then as the Thunderbirds might say "PAX Aus is good to go". I'd refer you to the whole article not just these selective quotations. Although it is interesting to note the last sentence of the Fact Check article stated:
A Google search for the statistics on national COVID-19 vaccination rates included:
Vaccinations by location
From Our World in Data · Last updated: 1 day ago
Country % of population fully vaccinated Given COVID-19 variants, delays in the national vaccine rollout, and other issues it would appear that PAX Aus at Jeff's Shed (i.e. the Melbourne Convention Centre) in 2021 must be in doubt.
This has been the best information I could find. Cancellation of PAX Aus is not my call.
Obviously people living outside Victoria e.g. UK, USA, Germany,etc., are unlikely to know the current lock down rules that apply in the state of Victoria, Australia. Therefore I've included the current Victorian Department of Health summary at https://www.coronavirus.vic.gov.au/coronavirus-covidsafe-settings. Note: this is just a summary.
Summary of Restrictions