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The [Weather] Thread: Your guess is as good as mine.

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Posts

  • Raijin QuickfootRaijin Quickfoot I'm your Huckleberry YOU'RE NO DAISYRegistered User, ClubPA regular
    I have heard from

    Orlando
    Jacksonville
    Lehigh/Ft Myers

    Sounds like everything is good in those places for the most part.

  • furlionfurlion Riskbreaker Lea MondeRegistered User regular
    I found this on Reddit, its from Helene but i think gives a good idea of just how unprepared we were for the storm.

    https://www.reddit.com/r/dataisbeautiful/s/NmmxrCkZZz

    sig.gif Gamertag: KL Retribution
    PSN:Furlion
  • MagellMagell Detroit Machine Guns Fort MyersRegistered User regular
    My favorite brewery is open today and near the water so hopefully the flooding downtown wasn't too bad

  • Captain InertiaCaptain Inertia Central OhioRegistered User regular
    Good sign!

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  • PiptheFairPiptheFair Frequently not in boats. Registered User regular
    @PiptheFair you alive?

    Hi yes. I am at my parents house. We have no power and I just got both phone and water service back but we’re in one piece and their house is too

    My condo association sent out a auto call and apparently there’s very little damage but no power and a lot of standing water in the parking

    My partner is safe but apparently her place got partially flooded, she’s gonna check on my place for me shortly

    Ty for the concern, we got insanely luck in st pete, we still got hammered badly but we dodged a straight up cataclysm

  • PiptheFairPiptheFair Frequently not in boats. Registered User regular
    Most importantly Scout and Tres are anxious but also happy about all the loving they have gotten

  • PiptheFairPiptheFair Frequently not in boats. Registered User regular
    Partner updated me, my place is fine, which is an enormous relief

  • furlionfurlion Riskbreaker Lea MondeRegistered User regular
    So, based on what i am seeing it seems like the hurricane took a route that was much less damaging then initially expected right? Not too say that it isn't bad, but it could have been significantly worse, right?

    sig.gif Gamertag: KL Retribution
    PSN:Furlion
  • Romanian My EscutcheonRomanian My Escutcheon Two of Forks Registered User regular
    furlion wrote: »
    So, based on what i am seeing it seems like the hurricane took a route that was much less damaging then initially expected right? Not too say that it isn't bad, but it could have been significantly worse, right?

    It's hard to say for sure right now, we likely won't get full damage estimates for a few days at least while the focus is on search and rescue, as well as getting power and utilities back to the affected areas.

    The storm losing coherence definitely spared central Florida from a lot of the worst impacts, but northern Florida will likely have gotten it way worse than anticipated.

    There's also the fact that while the storm itself may not have been as bad for parts of Florida, we did get more confirmed tornado impacts yesterday at once than at any point in prior recorded history.

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  • LadaiLadai Registered User regular
    edited October 10
    Yeah I think my parents' house got more damage from the tornado that touched down nearby prior to landfall than from the actual hurricane.

    Ladai on
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  • PiptheFairPiptheFair Frequently not in boats. Registered User regular
    The big thing was that the 20-30 mile southern shift meant that instead of 15 ft storm surge, the Tampa Bay Area got almost none

  • MvrckMvrck Dwarven MountainhomeRegistered User regular
    PiptheFair wrote: »
    The big thing was that the 20-30 mile southern shift meant that instead of 15 ft storm surge, the Tampa Bay Area got almost none

    That was the big win for sure. Tampa getting a 15 foot storm surge would have been bad.

  • Captain InertiaCaptain Inertia Central OhioRegistered User regular
    Looks like Fort Meyers Beach fared much less bad with this one than Ian

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  • furlionfurlion Riskbreaker Lea MondeRegistered User regular
    Well with a competent government i would hope this near miss would scare them into at least trying to improve infrastructure but there is exactly zero chance of that in Florida.

    sig.gif Gamertag: KL Retribution
    PSN:Furlion
  • smofsmof [Growling historic on the fury road] Registered User regular
    I saw a clip at some point of Tampa bay with no water in it. So where did it go? The only time I've ever seen that kind of thing is when a tsunami happens and it's a very bad sign, but in this case does it just come back normally instead of as a huge tidal wave?

  • Raijin QuickfootRaijin Quickfoot I'm your Huckleberry YOU'RE NO DAISYRegistered User, ClubPA regular
    I saw a clip at some point of Tampa bay with no water in it. So where did it go? The only time I've ever seen that kind of thing is when a tsunami happens and it's a very bad sign, but in this case does it just come back normally instead of as a huge tidal wave?

    Someone flushed

  • Captain InertiaCaptain Inertia Central OhioRegistered User regular
    edited October 10
    I saw a clip at some point of Tampa bay with no water in it. So where did it go? The only time I've ever seen that kind of thing is when a tsunami happens and it's a very bad sign, but in this case does it just come back normally instead of as a huge tidal wave?

    The water that surged in down south in like Sarasota/etc came from Tampa Bay- as the surge went back out to the ocean, it filled back up in the Bay

    So it went out and back in at the speed of the storm surge which is slow when you say like “1 foot rise per hour” but insanely devastating when you factor in the area over which that water is rising and how you can’t outrun it rising uniformly over such a large area

    Captain Inertia on
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  • PiptheFairPiptheFair Frequently not in boats. Registered User regular
    I saw a clip at some point of Tampa bay with no water in it. So where did it go? The only time I've ever seen that kind of thing is when a tsunami happens and it's a very bad sign, but in this case does it just come back normally instead of as a huge tidal wave?

    With Helene it was the worst part because it got pushed back in. Here it kinda came back slowly

  • JedocJedoc In the scuppers with the staggers and jagsRegistered User regular
    I am deeply uncomfortable with the idea that you can just blow the ocean into different places.

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  • MagellMagell Detroit Machine Guns Fort MyersRegistered User regular
    Jedoc wrote: »
    I am deeply uncomfortable with the idea that you can just blow the ocean into different places.

    It happened in Port Charlotte the first year I moved down there with one of their hurricanes. It didn't do much damage and it happened when I had my trip home to Michigan so I don't remember the name, but it's not always catastrophic when it happens.

  • RingoRingo He/Him a distinct lack of substanceRegistered User regular
    Jedoc wrote: »
    I am deeply uncomfortable with the idea that you can just blow the ocean into different places.

    Hurricanes - actually on par with earthquakes and other top tier natural disasters

  • JasconiusJasconius sword criminal mad onlineRegistered User regular
    i live in lee county... i was at lowes today getting some weedkiller and some chlorine

    the lee county sheriff walks right up next to me in the weedkiller section with his posse... i thought they were filming something because ... you know... he had a squad, and he was dressed in full desert camouflage... and they were doing this very performative gesturing at the various weedkiller choices like they were planning the invasion of normandy or something

    anyway i just nodded and went and got my other stuff, 5 minutes later they are still DEEP in discussion at the roundup aisle... then the sheriff made his selection and got behind me at checkout, at which point his posse departed and it was just him

    i guess... i guess thats just how cops shop for things

    not specifically weather related but i figure the few other people in lee county would have eyes on this thread and might appreciate the anecdote

    the sheriff has some weeds and intense efforts are underway to address the situation

    this is a discord of mostly PA people interested in fighting games: https://discord.gg/DZWa97d5rz

    we also talk about other random shit and clown upon each other
  • Johnny ChopsockyJohnny Chopsocky Scootaloo! We have to cook! Grillin' HaysenburgersRegistered User regular
    Jasconius wrote: »
    i live in lee county... i was at lowes today getting some weedkiller and some chlorine

    the lee county sheriff walks right up next to me in the weedkiller section with his posse... i thought they were filming something because ... you know... he had a squad, and he was dressed in full desert camouflage... and they were doing this very performative gesturing at the various weedkiller choices like they were planning the invasion of normandy or something

    anyway i just nodded and went and got my other stuff, 5 minutes later they are still DEEP in discussion at the roundup aisle... then the sheriff made his selection and got behind me at checkout, at which point his posse departed and it was just him

    i guess... i guess thats just how cops shop for things

    not specifically weather related but i figure the few other people in lee county would have eyes on this thread and might appreciate the anecdote

    the sheriff has some weeds and intense efforts are underway to address the situation

    The Plants vs Zombies situation is extremely real right now

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    Steam ID XBL: JohnnyChopsocky PSN:Stud_Beefpile WiiU:JohnnyChopsocky
  • MagellMagell Detroit Machine Guns Fort MyersRegistered User regular
    Jasconius wrote: »
    i live in lee county... i was at lowes today getting some weedkiller and some chlorine

    the lee county sheriff walks right up next to me in the weedkiller section with his posse... i thought they were filming something because ... you know... he had a squad, and he was dressed in full desert camouflage... and they were doing this very performative gesturing at the various weedkiller choices like they were planning the invasion of normandy or something

    anyway i just nodded and went and got my other stuff, 5 minutes later they are still DEEP in discussion at the roundup aisle... then the sheriff made his selection and got behind me at checkout, at which point his posse departed and it was just him

    i guess... i guess thats just how cops shop for things

    not specifically weather related but i figure the few other people in lee county would have eyes on this thread and might appreciate the anecdote

    the sheriff has some weeds and intense efforts are underway to address the situation

    I think his purchases are normally made with money he 'won' from gambling and definitely didn't attain in some illegal way.

  • Raijin QuickfootRaijin Quickfoot I'm your Huckleberry YOU'RE NO DAISYRegistered User, ClubPA regular
    I’ve had a few encounters with Lee County police officers.

    Fuck those dudes.

  • BullheadBullhead Registered User regular
    PiptheFair wrote: »
    The big thing was that the 20-30 mile southern shift meant that instead of 15 ft storm surge, the Tampa Bay Area got almost none

    Yup, this is the only reason I am sitting in my (powerless) house instead of homeless. The eye stayed south enough the bay was spared the storm surge (though we got the worst of the wind and rain). It really could have been so much worse if they had managed to squeak into the bay proper.

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  • JasconiusJasconius sword criminal mad onlineRegistered User regular
    a lot of communities in the tampa area would have been wiped out... something that really took me by surprised in Helene is *where* in tampa it flooded... shit was flooding way up in the Oldsmar area... where I used to live

    now... i currently live *kinda* close to the water, not really, but kinda close.... close enough to be in flood/evac zone A.... my shit floods when a hurricane hits. i know what i signed up for

    but my house near Oldsmar... i checked the map... was actually even closer to the water and in a very similar situation to my current house... just a little layer of marshland between you and the bay, and most importantly a lot of little creeks and waterways working up into the communities from the bay

    those waterways that finger up off the bay is what does a lot your flooding

    thing is that neighborhood of mine near oldsmar... not in a floodzone technically, not even discussed, nobody is/was ready or thinking about it

    g1he7ofe9h8x.png

    NINE FEET across hillsborough ave.... imagine

    this is a discord of mostly PA people interested in fighting games: https://discord.gg/DZWa97d5rz

    we also talk about other random shit and clown upon each other
  • BullheadBullhead Registered User regular
    Jasconius wrote: »
    a lot of communities in the tampa area would have been wiped out... something that really took me by surprised in Helene is *where* in tampa it flooded... shit was flooding way up in the Oldsmar area... where I used to live

    now... i currently live *kinda* close to the water, not really, but kinda close.... close enough to be in flood/evac zone A.... my shit floods when a hurricane hits. i know what i signed up for

    but my house near Oldsmar... i checked the map... was actually even closer to the water and in a very similar situation to my current house... just a little layer of marshland between you and the bay, and most importantly a lot of little creeks and waterways working up into the communities from the bay

    those waterways that finger up off the bay is what does a lot your flooding

    thing is that neighborhood of mine near oldsmar... not in a floodzone technically, not even discussed, nobody is/was ready or thinking about it

    g1he7ofe9h8x.png

    NINE FEET across hillsborough ave.... imagine

    Oldsmar (and nearby Westchase) are built in the flood plain of the bay, they cease to exist if the bay takes a direct hit.

    96058.png?1619393207
  • PiptheFairPiptheFair Frequently not in boats. Registered User regular
    A good friend in oldsmar got flooded partially/roof leaks with Milton. 2 once in a century storms for the Bay Area within 10 days is completely fucked and I am lucky I didn’t lose anything. There are now literally 10s of thousands of people that are homeless and a hundred thousand or so more that suffered severe water or wind damage

  • JedocJedoc In the scuppers with the staggers and jagsRegistered User regular
    Good lord. Look at the size of the thing.

    GDdCWMm.jpg
  • burboburbo Registered User regular
    Yeahhh. . . I'd like to not have lot of wind blowing down my trees again please.

  • neverreallyneverreally Registered User regular
    Ummmm, dry thanksgiving plz. I like to do things on my vacation plz.

  • WeaverWeaver Breakfast Witch Hashus BrowniusRegistered User regular
    Seattle is not holding up well with this bomb cyclone

  • The Cow KingThe Cow King a island Registered User regular
    Now it wasn't a cyclone but a djrecho that hit a few years ago and we ended up spending a afternoon watching the neighbours brother arborist take down a tree

    He was probably pretty happy to have 5 guys on the ground as outrigger though we only barely graced the treehouse that's older then me thank God it lived

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  • BahamutZEROBahamutZERO Registered User regular
    The rain is starting here in norcal now. Our favorite local stray cat knows something big is coming from the pressure drop or something, because she is trying to dig into a hole we blocked up haphazardly in the side door to our garage to get into cover, I think. I opened it up for her after I realized that was what the scrabbling noise I was hearing was.

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  • JragghenJragghen Registered User regular
    Yeah, a friend of mine in BC lost power during a Pathfinder game tonight.

  • Raijin QuickfootRaijin Quickfoot I'm your Huckleberry YOU'RE NO DAISYRegistered User, ClubPA regular
    Light dusting of snow on the ground here.

  • furlionfurlion Riskbreaker Lea MondeRegistered User regular
    This has to be the warmest November i have ever lived through. South Carolina doesn't exactly get that cold but this is nuts. Unless we get a massively cold winter the bugs next year are going to be insane.

    sig.gif Gamertag: KL Retribution
    PSN:Furlion
  • WeaverWeaver Breakfast Witch Hashus BrowniusRegistered User regular
    We had to go to relatives, no power, cell, etc

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