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The New [MENA] Thread - Israel / Gaza, and everything else notable in the region.

zagdrobzagdrob Registered User regular
Since the old thread is well past 100 pages, here's the new one to continue conversation in.

Same OP as JusticeforPluto's previous page mostly.

This is the thread where we discuss this region:

puycbjx1k24d.jpg

(I'd include Turkey, but it really goes to show the borders of what the "Middle East" are not exactly nailed down)

Current goings on include the resumption of Israeli bombing of Gaza in retaliation for the October 7th terror attack after a brief pause.

The War in Yemen continues, as does the civil war in Sudan.

Relations between Afghanistan and Pakistan continue to deteriorate.

Turkey continues the "fun" slide into autocracy.

US defenses continue to intercept drones and missiles from Yemen.

If you feel some needs to be included in the OP please message me.

Try not to be jerks to one another.

Organichu on
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Posts

  • GundiGundi Serious Bismuth Registered User regular
    edited December 2023
    Since this is a new thread I'll try not to (just) grumble US congressional ineptitude when it comes to MENA affairs. In that spirit and continuing the conversation about that stupid house resolution condemning anti-Zionism, here's my detailed breakdown of NC federal reps who register as democrats (I feel it fair to just write off the GOP reps) as a resident of North Carolina for everyone but especially for any interested North Carolinian. Again for reference if they voted yes they conceded that criticizing Israel is antisemitic, even if maybe they don't realize that. So I split how the Reps voted into Yes and Not Yes. Results and my take in the spoiler:
    1st NC District Rep: Donald G Davis: Not Yes
    - This is my elected representative. He's a freshmen representative so I didn't actually have many expectations for him. Given that he seems to style himself as a more centrist Democrat I am glad he excercised his own judgement rather than the broader house decision. Regardless he is almost certain to be replaced by a Republican next election cycle thanks to NC GOP gerrymandering.
    2nd NC District Rep: Deborah Ross: Not Yes
    -This isn't surprising. Deborah Ross is not my favorite democratic rep but she has a professional background in the ACLU specifically in relation to 1st amendment. She is not going to mistake what is and is not hate speech and she is going to almost always side against censuring political speech that is not unequivocally hate speech.
    4th NC District Rep: Valorie Foushee: Not Yes
    -She is also a new rep so I have less expectations for her behavior. Given her public stance as a progressive this is not really much a surprise compared to Davis. Very unlikely to be reelected if she runs due to districting changes again. (Gerrymandering)
    6th NC Distric Rep: Kathy Manning: Yes
    -The first yes here. But not super surprising. You might hope being on the house foreign affairs committee would mean she'd know better but she has shown a fairly consistent trend to fall into the "bipartisanship" trap from how she tends to present herself and what I know of her voting history. (She's a 2nd term rep.)
    13th NC District Rep: Wiley Nickel: Yes
    -The most foregone conclusion here despite being a freshman rep. He's the not the most conservative democratic NC Rep (that's probably Manning) but he is more into bipartisanship and "healing divides" than any other democratic rep. That's why he was picked in a calculated super close race for his district. He ain't great but he explicitly nominated and elected specifically just to prevent his insane republican opponent from winning. Probably tied with Davis to be the absolutely least likely to have a chance of reelection thanks to GOP gerrymandering.
    14 NC District Rep: Jeff Jackson: Not Yes
    -Again not super surprising. Jackson is pretty middle of the road of the center-left divide among democrats in the house so from that you might think he could go either way. But while I don't agree with many of his political stances he has shown what appear to be a higher than average amount of integrity for Democratic rep. He not an idiot, genuinely just votes his conscience more than mos,t and he doesn't truck with most Republican nonsense. So it isn't surprising he wouldn't take the bait or confuse their behavior for good faith actions. Also will probably be not coming back to congress next election cycle due to gerrymandering.

    I don't actually know their specific detailed stances on current affairs in Gaza for any of them but for any North Carolinian who wants to write or contact reps I think the three North Carolina reps most likely to be willing to put pressure on their colleagues to more firmly push back against the GOP's weaponization of antisemitism campaigns are Deborah Ross, Jeff Jackman, and Valorie Foushee in that order from most likely to third most likely. I'm not sure if any of them could be convinced to do it in a very public fashion. Maybe Ross. Maybe. The percentage of Palestinians and Muslims living in NC is well below the national average, and the people in NC who vote Democrat care a lot less about foreign policy on average than like, your average democratic voter in my thinking.

    Gundi on
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  • Styrofoam SammichStyrofoam Sammich WANT. normal (not weird)Registered User regular
    This is in that dumb fuck anti zionism resolution that passed today:
    Whereas, on November 15, 2023, anti-Israel protesters illegally blocked and violently attacked the Democratic National Committee headquarters, endangering the lives of
    individuals inside, including Members of Congress, and injuring 6 Capitol Police Officers

    I hate these people so much.

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  • Phoenix-DPhoenix-D Registered User regular
    Drown those hostages I guess?

  • Styrofoam SammichStyrofoam Sammich WANT. normal (not weird)Registered User regular
    Phoenix-D wrote: »
    Drown those hostages I guess?

    It'll be slow enough that its unlikely to drown people, except for anyone unfortunate enough to have a building collapse under them. Will seriously fuck up the Gazan water supply though. Real two-fer for the IDF

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  • zagdrobzagdrob Registered User regular
    Phoenix-D wrote: »
    Drown those hostages I guess?

    I've seen a lot of accounts that there isn't actually a tunnel system and the existence of one is IDF propoganda. Much less a series of tunnels housing Hamas and their hostages.

    Any major city, of which Gaza qualifies has significant underground areas that are interconnected for utilities so that is probably what is being flooded?

    If it was an actual resistance tunnel system it would be designed to be nearly impossible to flood, but since as we've been told Hamas tunnel systems are IDF fiction its bizarre.

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  • DarkPrimusDarkPrimus Registered User regular
    Damn there wasn't any time wasted between voting on the "anti-Zionism is anti-Semitism" resolution and introducing a bill for HUAC 2.0: Anti-Semitism is the New Communism.

    H.R. 6578 To establish the Commission to Study Acts of Antisemitism in the United States is a bi-partisan bill (20 R, 4 D cosponsoring) proposed by Iowa Rep. Mariannette Miller-Meeks (R). The text of the bill literally says you don't have the right to plead the Fifth.

  • Man in the MistsMan in the Mists Registered User regular
    Oh noes! Who could've foreseen such an obvious trap!?!

  • Phoenix-DPhoenix-D Registered User regular
    DarkPrimus wrote: »
    Damn there wasn't any time wasted between voting on the "anti-Zionism is anti-Semitism" resolution and introducing a bill for HUAC 2.0: Anti-Semitism is the New Communism.

    H.R. 6578 To establish the Commission to Study Acts of Antisemitism in the United States is a bi-partisan bill (20 R, 4 D cosponsoring) proposed by Iowa Rep. Mariannette Miller-Meeks (R). The text of the bill literally says you don't have the right to plead the Fifth.

    The 5th thing is a non issue because one paragraph later it grants immunity.

  • DarkPrimusDarkPrimus Registered User regular
    edited December 2023
    Phoenix-D wrote: »
    DarkPrimus wrote: »
    Damn there wasn't any time wasted between voting on the "anti-Zionism is anti-Semitism" resolution and introducing a bill for HUAC 2.0: Anti-Semitism is the New Communism.

    H.R. 6578 To establish the Commission to Study Acts of Antisemitism in the United States is a bi-partisan bill (20 R, 4 D cosponsoring) proposed by Iowa Rep. Mariannette Miller-Meeks (R). The text of the bill literally says you don't have the right to plead the Fifth.

    The 5th thing is a non issue because one paragraph later it grants immunity.

    No, the committee still gets to compel you to say things that they can use against you, they just are saying that others can't use what you're compelled to testify against you.

    DarkPrimus on
  • GilgaronGilgaron Registered User regular
    DarkPrimus wrote: »
    Phoenix-D wrote: »
    DarkPrimus wrote: »
    Damn there wasn't any time wasted between voting on the "anti-Zionism is anti-Semitism" resolution and introducing a bill for HUAC 2.0: Anti-Semitism is the New Communism.

    H.R. 6578 To establish the Commission to Study Acts of Antisemitism in the United States is a bi-partisan bill (20 R, 4 D cosponsoring) proposed by Iowa Rep. Mariannette Miller-Meeks (R). The text of the bill literally says you don't have the right to plead the Fifth.

    The 5th thing is a non issue because one paragraph later it grants immunity.

    No, the committee still gets to compel you to say things that they can use against you, they just are saying that others can't use what you're compelled to testify against you.

    I haven't taken government classes since high school but I'm pretty sure that isn't something they can do.

  • GundiGundi Serious Bismuth Registered User regular
    edited December 2023
    Okay that bill is vile. The democratic party absolutely needs to kill that fucking thing in the cradle even if they can. This is a direct appeal from me to call your congress person and the office of the president telling them they need to kill that bill. I will literally be doing that tomorrow after I get home from work. Fucking hell.

    That is actually not only an existential threat to the possibility of reducing the violence in Gaza but is also a direct threat to American Democracy. And like especially to the Democratic Party as an institution. Fucking yikes that even four democrats were willing to cosponsor that shit. Fucking hell.

    Gundi on
  • Man in the MistsMan in the Mists Registered User regular
    Gundi wrote: »
    Okay that bill is vile. The democratic party absolutely needs to kill that fucking thing in the cradle even if they. Like literally if they can't quickly get those four democrats

    That is actually not only an existential threat to the possibility of reducing the violence in Gaza but is also a direct threat to American Democracy. And like especially to the Democratic Party as an institution. Fucking yikes that even four democrats were willing to cosponsor that shit. Fucking yikes.

    Goddamn Debbie Wasserman Schultz is one of them, why am I not surprised?

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  • GundiGundi Serious Bismuth Registered User regular
    edited December 2023
    The only singularly good thing in that bill that I assume someone not quite as stupid as the rest of them put in a provision that states that the McCarthy like commission may only operate for 120 days. That is literally the only thing that suggests anyone who sponsored this bill has any fucking sense and/or is not so evil as to totally override their own self-interest out of pure hate. In that I don't think even McCarthy managed to wrangle in any then sitting or former congress people into his fucking penalty tribunal in 120 days from his start. So there's that.

    It also shows that the democratic cosponsors are doing this for a political fucking stunt. Or they're fucking stupid enough to think they can solve antisemitism in America in four months. I lean towards the former. Those four fucking clowns.

    Gundi on
  • RoyceSraphimRoyceSraphim Registered User regular
    I get why sudan is on that map (Fuck Ghadaffi and the soviet union) but why Djibouti?

    Everyone out there looks somali and speaks it with a french accent

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  • FencingsaxFencingsax It is difficult to get a man to understand, when his salary depends upon his not understanding GNU Terry PratchettRegistered User regular
    Geographical relativity? If it's not in the MENA region, where is it?

  • RoyceSraphimRoyceSraphim Registered User regular
    edited December 2023
    Africa

    Edit:
    To be specific, the collection of Nations ethnically made up of Somali tribes.

    Somalia, puntland, Djibouti, etc.

    Hell, its economy relies on being an economic gate to Africa

    RoyceSraphim on
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  • FencingsaxFencingsax It is difficult to get a man to understand, when his salary depends upon his not understanding GNU Terry PratchettRegistered User regular
    Yes, it's in North Africa.

  • KetarKetar Registered User regular
    Fencingsax wrote: »
    Yes, it's in North Africa.

    How are you defining North Africa?

    If you're simply going by every country above a certain line it could qualify, sure. But it isn't a country that falls into the Wikipedia entry on North Africa. Or the Britannica article on North Africa. It isn't at all crazy for someone who is from that region to question why Djibouti is being considered part of North Africa.

  • FencingsaxFencingsax It is difficult to get a man to understand, when his salary depends upon his not understanding GNU Terry PratchettRegistered User regular
    I just thought it was weird Ethiopia and Eritrea weren't on the map, but I honestly have no fucking idea.

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  • RoyceSraphimRoyceSraphim Registered User regular
    It also comes of a little imperialist to lay claim to the largest and most luxurious urban space in the region and ignore the rest of it.

    Also, fuck khat addiction

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  • zagdrobzagdrob Registered User regular
    Fencingsax wrote: »
    I just thought it was weird Ethiopia and Eritrea weren't on the map, but I honestly have no fucking idea.

    Honestly it's just the map JusticeforPluto used in his previous OP that I copied wholesale for this one. I have no idea where it came from originally.

    I'd say what Pluto noted about the Middle East also would apply to North Africa, and there will always be some debate over what is / isn't included or relevant.
    (I'd include Turkey, but it really goes to show the borders of what the "Middle East" are not exactly nailed down

    I guess if someone isn't sure if something goes here or in the Sub-Sahara Africa thread its probably fine to ask?

  • daveNYCdaveNYC Why universe hate Waspinator? Registered User regular
    zagdrob wrote: »
    Fencingsax wrote: »
    I just thought it was weird Ethiopia and Eritrea weren't on the map, but I honestly have no fucking idea.

    Honestly it's just the map JusticeforPluto used in his previous OP that I copied wholesale for this one. I have no idea where it came from originally.

    I'd say what Pluto noted about the Middle East also would apply to North Africa, and there will always be some debate over what is / isn't included or relevant.
    (I'd include Turkey, but it really goes to show the borders of what the "Middle East" are not exactly nailed down

    I guess if someone isn't sure if something goes here or in the Sub-Sahara Africa thread its probably fine to ask?

    I'd argue that to post in the Sub-Sahara Africa thread if whatever it is vaguely sorta fits just because the MENA one has been overtaken by events and there's a good chance that anything that's not related to Gaza will get buried under a few hundred posts.

    Shut up, Mr. Burton! You were not brought upon this world to get it!
  • mRahmanimRahmani DetroitRegistered User regular
    Ya’ll said I was full of shit.

    Muslim-Americans start #AbandonBiden movement across 6 battleground states

    If denying Biden votes is the only lever we have then people are going to use it.

  • SealSeal Registered User regular
    I'm sure Netanyahu appreciates the support for his preferred candidate

  • yossarian_livesyossarian_lives Registered User regular
    mRahmani wrote: »
    Ya’ll said I was full of shit.

    Muslim-Americans start #AbandonBiden movement across 6 battleground states

    If denying Biden votes is the only lever we have then people are going to use it.
    Leverage implies they’ll get something out of the action. I very much doubt Trump has anything to offer these communities. Are they hoping that making enough noise will get Biden to change policy? Or do they think throwing away votes in a battleground state will actually help them in any conceivable way? There does appear to be an excellent opportunity to lobby Biden and the Democratic Party here. It would be a shame to waste it.

    "I see everything twice!"


  • TryCatcherTryCatcher Registered User regular
    CNN reports that the expectation is to have the whole thing wrapped up by next month:
    (CNN) - US officials expect the current phase of Israel’s ground invasion of Gaza targeting the southern end of the strip to last several weeks before Israel transitions, possibly by January, to a lower-intensity, hyper-localized strategy that narrowly targets specific Hamas militants and leaders, multiple senior administration officials tell CNN.

    Plenty of warnings from the Biden admin and all of that, but by then it will not matter, the deed will be done by next month. So the question will be what happens then.

  • daveNYCdaveNYC Why universe hate Waspinator? Registered User regular
    TryCatcher wrote: »
    CNN reports that the expectation is to have the whole thing wrapped up by next month:
    (CNN) - US officials expect the current phase of Israel’s ground invasion of Gaza targeting the southern end of the strip to last several weeks before Israel transitions, possibly by January, to a lower-intensity, hyper-localized strategy that narrowly targets specific Hamas militants and leaders, multiple senior administration officials tell CNN.

    Plenty of warnings from the Biden admin and all of that, but by then it will not matter, the deed will be done by next month. So the question will be what happens then.

    Which implies that what Israel is doing is not narrowly targeting Hamas militants and leaders; but we all knew that and I'm not sure the people being quoted meant it that way.

    Shut up, Mr. Burton! You were not brought upon this world to get it!
  • FANTOMASFANTOMAS Flan ArgentavisRegistered User regular
    mRahmani wrote: »
    Ya’ll said I was full of shit.

    Muslim-Americans start #AbandonBiden movement across 6 battleground states

    If denying Biden votes is the only lever we have then people are going to use it.
    Leverage implies they’ll get something out of the action. I very much doubt Trump has anything to offer these communities. Are they hoping that making enough noise will get Biden to change policy? Or do they think throwing away votes in a battleground state will actually help them in any conceivable way? There does appear to be an excellent opportunity to lobby Biden and the Democratic Party here. It would be a shame to waste it.

    Thats explained in the note that you probably didnt read.

    Yes, with a quick verbal "boom." You take a man's peko, you deny him his dab, all that is left is to rise up and tear down the walls of Jericho with a ".....not!" -TexiKen
  • MonwynMonwyn Apathy's a tragedy, and boredom is a crime. A little bit of everything, all of the time.Registered User regular
    Gundi wrote: »
    Okay that bill is vile. The democratic party absolutely needs to kill that fucking thing in the cradle even if they can. This is a direct appeal from me to call your congress person and the office of the president telling them they need to kill that bill. I will literally be doing that tomorrow after I get home from work. Fucking hell.

    That is actually not only an existential threat to the possibility of reducing the violence in Gaza but is also a direct threat to American Democracy. And like especially to the Democratic Party as an institution. Fucking yikes that even four democrats were willing to cosponsor that shit. Fucking hell.

    It establishes a committee to write a report, it's an absolute nothing-burger of a signaling bill

    This is an unbelievably absurd overreaction

    uH3IcEi.png
  • jmcdonaldjmcdonald I voted, did you? DC(ish)Registered User regular
    edited December 2023
    Seal wrote: »
    I'm sure Netanyahu appreciates the support for his preferred candidate

    Trump is just as bad or worse but fuck that guy is at least an understandable reaction for people directly impacted

    I think it’s stupid and short-sighted. But it’s understandable

    jmcdonald on
  • yossarian_livesyossarian_lives Registered User regular
    FANTOMAS wrote: »
    mRahmani wrote: »
    Ya’ll said I was full of shit.

    Muslim-Americans start #AbandonBiden movement across 6 battleground states

    If denying Biden votes is the only lever we have then people are going to use it.
    Leverage implies they’ll get something out of the action. I very much doubt Trump has anything to offer these communities. Are they hoping that making enough noise will get Biden to change policy? Or do they think throwing away votes in a battleground state will actually help them in any conceivable way? There does appear to be an excellent opportunity to lobby Biden and the Democratic Party here. It would be a shame to waste it.

    Thats explained in the note that you probably didnt read.
    I read the linked article. Nothing in it explains how abandoning Biden will result in a shift in US foreign policy. Muslim communities have the same three opinions as everyone else, democratic, republican, or abstain. I’ve never heard of the third option resulting in concessions before.

    "I see everything twice!"


  • enlightenedbumenlightenedbum Registered User regular
    IIRC those are people who already hated Biden and have always hated the Democratic Party, but it's trendy to write Biden is doomed narratives.

    The idea that your vote is a moral statement about you or who you vote for is some backwards ass libertarian nonsense. Your vote is about society. Vote to protect the vulnerable.
  • GnizmoGnizmo Registered User regular
    edited December 2023
    FANTOMAS wrote: »
    mRahmani wrote: »
    Ya’ll said I was full of shit.

    Muslim-Americans start #AbandonBiden movement across 6 battleground states

    If denying Biden votes is the only lever we have then people are going to use it.
    Leverage implies they’ll get something out of the action. I very much doubt Trump has anything to offer these communities. Are they hoping that making enough noise will get Biden to change policy? Or do they think throwing away votes in a battleground state will actually help them in any conceivable way? There does appear to be an excellent opportunity to lobby Biden and the Democratic Party here. It would be a shame to waste it.

    Thats explained in the note that you probably didnt read.
    I read the linked article. Nothing in it explains how abandoning Biden will result in a shift in US foreign policy. Muslim communities have the same three opinions as everyone else, democratic, republican, or abstain. I’ve never heard of the third option resulting in concessions before.

    You have never heard of candidates trying to win over certain voting blocks? I am confused by what you think is happening here. If they wanted to just piss off Biden they could quietly not vote. By loudly telling him they aren't voting he has an opportunity to try and win them back. This is a clear attempt to influence his current policy decisions around arming Israel to bomb the shit out of Gaza. If those votes are key to winning then they have leverage. If they are not then what impact does it have on you?

    Gnizmo on
  • zagdrobzagdrob Registered User regular
    IIRC those are people who already hated Biden and have always hated the Democratic Party, but it's trendy to write Biden is doomed narratives.

    I'm curious if there are any ties to Bannon / Stone ratfucker types.

    Even if that's not the case here, I absolutely would expect a decent amount of astroturfing coming from the right. At the very least signal boosting of people with legitimate grievances to drive division and antagonize Biden.

    Which is something we've already seen and definitely are going to see more of - I saw posts about huge boosts in viewership of far-right / Nazi channels that have been vocally Pro-Palestine getting the twofer of getting to be anti-Israel and anti-Biden. Not that they give a shit about Palestine, but won't pass up the opportunity to get some easy shots in.

  • FANTOMASFANTOMAS Flan ArgentavisRegistered User regular
    IIRC those are people who already hated Biden and have always hated the Democratic Party, but it's trendy to write Biden is doomed narratives.

    Jesus christ, you dont have to be ignorant on purpose, you could have read the incredibly short note before eating your foot, shoe and all.

    From the note "A recent poll showed Biden's support among Arab Americans has plunged from a comfortable majority in 2020 to 17%."

    These are people that alread VOTED for Biden, who are withdrawing their support if Biden keeps being shit.

    Yes, with a quick verbal "boom." You take a man's peko, you deny him his dab, all that is left is to rise up and tear down the walls of Jericho with a ".....not!" -TexiKen
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