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US warship positioned off Lebanon coast; Saudis told to GTFO

deadonthestreetdeadonthestreet Registered User regular
edited March 2008 in Debate and/or Discourse
http://africa.reuters.com/world/news/usnL01149599.html

Or if you'd rather,
http://english.aljazeera.net/NR/exeres/24F4810C-61CB-4284-AB2B-CCA786434016.htm

And there's always
http://www.nytimes.com/2008/03/01/world/middleeast/01lebanon.html?ref=middleeast

So basically, we sent this ship to Lebanon and, well, no one is exactly sure why. We think that maybe it is because the elections are going badly. In any case, the Saudi government has told their people that they should probably not be there. Seems that after Israel destroyed Lebanon a couple years back, Lebanon is in bad political shape, and terrorist activity has been on the rise. Surprise surprise. The US is somehow blaming Syria for the problems.

So basically, lets try to work out exactly what's going on there. Also, why isn't Israel doing anything to help since this is their fault?

deadonthestreet on

Posts

  • [Tycho?][Tycho?] As elusive as doubt Registered User regular
    edited March 2008
    This worries me greatly. The US doesn't seem to have any reason to send a warship to the area. The Saudis are telling their nationals to get out, even though the situation in Lebanon hasn't changed significantly in months. Makes me worry that these governments know something is up, although what that is I have no idea.

    [Tycho?] on
    mvaYcgc.jpg
  • Andrew_JayAndrew_Jay Registered User regular
    edited March 2008
    Syria and Iran fund Hezbollah, and until about four years ago, Syria ran Lebanon - so yeah, there's a lot of meddling there, and lots of the problems can be attributed to them.
    [Tycho?] wrote: »
    The Saudis are telling their nationals to get out, even though the situation in Lebanon hasn't changed significantly in months.
    I'd say there have been some pretty negative developments - Reuters mentions that one of the top Hezbollah leaders were assassinated a few weeks ago. Before that, one of the top-ranking Christian officers in the Lebanese military was killed (if I recall correctly).
    Also, why isn't Israel doing anything to help since this is their fault?
    I'm . . . I'm not quite sure how to respond to that :P

    Also interesting is the fact that it's the Cole they sent to Lebanon, for a bit of extra symbolism in the gesture.

    Andrew_Jay on
  • ScalfinScalfin __BANNED USERS regular
    edited March 2008
    Well, Syria's always had a hand in Lebanese politics (and a couple of car bombs), and it's the main benefactor of Lebanon. Israel knows that doing anything to influence an election usually causes the election to turn against it (say what you will, but Olmert is still brighter than Bush). Also, the invasion didn't really make anything worse, as I'm pretty sure only a package from Dimona

    Scalfin on
    [SIGPIC][/SIGPIC]
    The rest of you, I fucking hate you for the fact that I now have a blue dot on this god awful thread.
  • [Tycho?][Tycho?] As elusive as doubt Registered User regular
    edited March 2008
    Andrew_Jay wrote: »
    Syria and Iran fund Hezbollah, and until about four years ago, Syria ran Lebanon - so yeah, there's a lot of meddling there, and lots of the problems can be attributed to them.
    [Tycho?] wrote: »
    The Saudis are telling their nationals to get out, even though the situation in Lebanon hasn't changed significantly in months.
    I'd say there have been some pretty negative developments - Reuters mentions that one of the top Hezbollah leaders were assassinated a few weeks ago. Before that, one of the top-ranking Christian officers in the Lebanese military was killed (if I recall correctly).

    Yes, but there have been assassinations and bombings every couple months in Lebanon ever since Hariri was assassinated. Lebanon has had stability issues for quite some while, but it seems likely that the warship and the Saudi warning are related in some way, since they both occurred at the same time, even though there is no obvious event to trigger these reactions. It suggests they are both anticipating something else to happen.

    [Tycho?] on
    mvaYcgc.jpg
  • KalkinoKalkino Buttons Londres Registered User regular
    edited March 2008
    Well the US has a long history of trying to influence the Lebanese politics/elections - militarily or otherwise. The current move isn't necessarily a negative thing though - if a warship off the coast stops some faction or group taking the step that leads back to civil war then its worth it I guess.

    Kalkino on
    Freedom for the Northern Isles!
  • Andrew_JayAndrew_Jay Registered User regular
    edited March 2008
    [Tycho?] wrote: »
    Yes, but there have been assassinations and bombings every couple months in Lebanon ever since Hariri was assassinated. Lebanon has had stability issues for quite some while, but it seems likely that the warship and the Saudi warning are related in some way, since they both occurred at the same time, even though there is no obvious event to trigger these reactions. It suggests they are both anticipating something else to happen.
    I don't know how the evacuation of other nationals fared back in 2006, but I know here in Canada the government and the department of foreign affairs were a little embarrassed when it proved slow and chaotic. If the same happened to Kuwait and Saudi Arabia maybe they're just being extra-cautious this time around.

    Andrew_Jay on
  • redxredx I(x)=2(x)+1 whole numbersRegistered User regular
    edited March 2008
    Andrew_Jay wrote: »
    Also, why isn't Israel doing anything to help since this is their fault?
    I'm . . . I'm not quite sure how to respond to that :P

    I can't really think on anything Israel could do to help matters. Sitting quietly in the corner is probably their best play at the moment.


    this is rather distressing, and something seems to be up, and it probably is not the US throwing its muscle around totally without reason.

    redx on
    They moistly come out at night, moistly.
  • deadonthestreetdeadonthestreet Registered User regular
    edited March 2008
    Israel could help by offering to rebuild some of the stuff they blowed up.

    deadonthestreet on
  • Andrew_JayAndrew_Jay Registered User regular
    edited March 2008
    Israel could help by offering to rebuild some of the stuff they blowed up.
    Should? Yes, definitely. Especially since the war in 2006 did nothing but give Hezbollah a huge boost in popularity as they handed out piles of money to help people who had lost their homes and other property.

    Not going to though.

    Andrew_Jay on
  • Satan.Satan. __BANNED USERS regular
    edited March 2008
    [Tycho?] wrote: »
    The Saudis are telling their nationals to get out, even though the situation in Lebanon hasn't changed significantly in months. Makes me worry that these governments know something is up, although what that is I have no idea.
    Except that the US has a warship off the Lebanese coast. It's sure to raise tensions in Lebanon. The Saudis are just doing what's smart -- getting the fuck out before someone does something retarded.

    Satan. on
  • redxredx I(x)=2(x)+1 whole numbersRegistered User regular
    edited March 2008
    Andrew_Jay wrote: »
    Israel could help by offering to rebuild some of the stuff they blowed up.
    Should? Yes, definitely. Especially since the war in 2006 did nothing but give Hezbollah a huge boost in popularity as they handed out piles of money to help people who had lost their homes and other property.

    Not going to though.

    It would be spun, accurately for once, as them attempting to buy off the Lebanese and it would be rather bad politically for anyone to accept it.

    Considering the political climate, even if it was offered, I don't know if assistance from Israel would be accepted.

    redx on
    They moistly come out at night, moistly.
  • KungFuKungFu Registered User regular
    edited March 2008
    Gunboat Diplomacy.

    According to DailyKos article, the US is on evacuation measures and not combat or something, but cites no source. But it is DailyKos, so whatever.

    KungFu on
    Theft 4 Bread
  • Satan.Satan. __BANNED USERS regular
    edited March 2008
    KungFu wrote: »
    Gunboat Diplomacy.

    According to DailyKos article, the US is on evacuation measures and not combat or something, but cites no source. But it is DailyKos, so whatever.

    As slanted as Kos is when it comes to political elections and cross-talk, they still report on facts just the same as everyone else. The fact that they aren't decrying the US presence there as an extension of Bush's failed foreign policy suggests to me that they're probably right.

    Satan. on
  • DataranDataran Registered User regular
    edited March 2008
    Israel is in a damned if you do damned if you don't scenario.

    If they try to send help it would only be seeing as trying to influence the political climate and which would only give more support to Hezbollah.

    If they Israelies don't send help then they are seen as cold and uncaring; scoffing at Lebanon's misfortune and gloating over the damage they've caused.

    Really the only thing they could do would be to act through a third party and make sure that no-one found out who actually donated the aid and hope for the best.

    Dataran on
  • Satan.Satan. __BANNED USERS regular
    edited March 2008
    The best thing for Israel right now is to sit back and shut up. Let this develop and only enter into the discussion / action if absolutely necessary.

    Satan. on
  • KungFuKungFu Registered User regular
    edited March 2008
    Satan. wrote: »
    KungFu wrote: »
    Gunboat Diplomacy.

    According to DailyKos article, the US is on evacuation measures and not combat or something, but cites no source. But it is DailyKos, so whatever.

    As slanted as Kos is when it comes to political elections and cross-talk, they still report on facts just the same as everyone else. The fact that they aren't decrying the US presence there as an extension of Bush's failed foreign policy suggests to me that they're probably right.

    I think they can be a bit sensationalist at times, that's all.

    KungFu on
    Theft 4 Bread
  • redxredx I(x)=2(x)+1 whole numbersRegistered User regular
    edited March 2008
    Dataran wrote: »
    If they Israelies don't send help then they are seen as cold and uncaring; scoffing at Lebanon's misfortune and gloating over the damage they've caused.

    Really the only thing they could do would be to act through a third party and make sure that no-one found out who actually donated the aid and hope for the best.


    The latter has the effects of the former, depletes their resources(while gaining them nothing) and improves Lebanese relationships with the third party while not increasing Israels security, and the risk the downsides of the first(but more so because they were being devious).

    there is just no reason for them to do it at all(ethics aside), and plenty of reasons not to.

    redx on
    They moistly come out at night, moistly.
  • ElkiElki get busy Moderator, ClubPA Mod Emeritus
    edited March 2008
    The only thing Israel could've done to prevent this was not to go into Lebanon, like they did. The only thing the US could've done was not to pretend it was some nonevent, and that Israel had a chance in hell of destroying Hezbollah in two weeks. But since they're both run by idiots, there's little they can do now.

    Elki on
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  • SavantSavant Simply Barbaric Registered User regular
    edited March 2008
    Yeah, the theories I've heard that make most sense to me is that warship is mostly a symbolic "we're here", since it supposedly has limited land attack capabilities. Likely that shit is about to go down, and the US has caught wind of it and are plopping the ship down to send a message. It seems like someone is going to invade Lebanon, or that there will be a coup. The question of course is who, but there's been a lot of activity from the Israelis in the past few days.

    Savant on
  • redxredx I(x)=2(x)+1 whole numbersRegistered User regular
    edited March 2008
    uhh... think it has a whole swarm of surface to surface cruise missiles onboard, so it's land attack capabilities are probably something like taking out any 50 targets anywhere in Lebanon in 30 minutes.

    That is a pretty big step up from being able to take out any target anywhere in Lebanon in 12 hours.
    Pretty minor for us being able to blow the hell out of stuff, but it could probably take on most of lebanon's military by itself.

    redx on
    They moistly come out at night, moistly.
  • SavantSavant Simply Barbaric Registered User regular
    edited March 2008
    redx wrote: »
    uhh... think it has a whole swarm of surface to surface cruise missiles onboard, so it's land attack capabilities are probably something like taking out any 50 targets anywhere in Lebanon in 30 minutes.

    That is a pretty big step up from being able to take out any target anywhere in Lebanon in 12 hours.
    Pretty minor for us being able to blow the hell out of stuff, but it could probably take on most of lebanon's military by itself.

    Well then the internets lied to me. But I doubt that we are going to open up a third front in Lebanon with a single warship. That does not compute.

    Savant on
  • shrykeshryke Member of the Beast Registered User regular
    edited March 2008
    The best thing Israel can do right now is build a time machine and go back and not bomb Lebanon into the ground.

    shryke on
  • Andrew_JayAndrew_Jay Registered User regular
    edited March 2008
    Savant wrote: »
    redx wrote: »
    uhh... think it has a whole swarm of surface to surface cruise missiles onboard, so it's land attack capabilities are probably something like taking out any 50 targets anywhere in Lebanon in 30 minutes.

    That is a pretty big step up from being able to take out any target anywhere in Lebanon in 12 hours.
    Pretty minor for us being able to blow the hell out of stuff, but it could probably take on most of lebanon's military by itself.
    Well then the internets lied to me. But I doubt that we are going to open up a third front in Lebanon with a single warship. That does not compute.
    It's nothing to sneeze at (like redx said - it carries something like 90 tomahawk missiles), but at the same time it's not the traditional show of U.S. military power - the carrier group.

    Considering how this is the very ship that almost got sunk by some guys in a raft eight years ago, it's highly unlikely they're planning some big operation with just this one ship - it's all for show.

    Andrew_Jay on
  • ScalfinScalfin __BANNED USERS regular
    edited March 2008
    shryke wrote: »
    The best thing Israel can do right now is build a time machine and go back and not bomb Lebanon into the ground.

    Unless you're talking about the 90's you need a better info source, as Israel was quite ginger about this one, especially by invasion standards.

    Scalfin on
    [SIGPIC][/SIGPIC]
    The rest of you, I fucking hate you for the fact that I now have a blue dot on this god awful thread.
  • OtakuD00DOtakuD00D Can I hit the exploding rocks? San DiegoRegistered User regular
    edited March 2008

    So basically, lets try to work out exactly what's going on there. Also, why isn't Israel doing anything to help since this is their fault?

    Israel's going to find a way to place the blame on fucking Lebanon and somehow get away with being the victim, here. At this point, Israel believes everyone is entitled to help IT.

    Anyway, that whole situation's a damn mess and it doesn't help the fact that ANY politician who would dare do anything to keep Israel in line over here will be tarred and feathered.

    OtakuD00D on
    mw5qfhr7t7d2.jpg
  • shrykeshryke Member of the Beast Registered User regular
    edited March 2008
    Scalfin wrote: »
    shryke wrote: »
    The best thing Israel can do right now is build a time machine and go back and not bomb Lebanon into the ground.

    Unless you're talking about the 90's you need a better info source, as Israel was quite ginger about this one, especially by invasion standards.

    Doesn't matter how "ginger" they were about this one. All it did was destroy a bunch of shit and increase the popular support for Hezbolla.

    shryke on
  • CentoniasCentonias Registered User regular
    edited March 2008
    http://africa.reuters.com/world/news/usnL01149599.html

    Or if you'd rather,
    http://english.aljazeera.net/NR/exeres/24F4810C-61CB-4284-AB2B-CCA786434016.htm

    And there's always
    http://www.nytimes.com/2008/03/01/world/middleeast/01lebanon.html?ref=middleeast

    So basically, we sent this ship to Lebanon and, well, no one is exactly sure why. We think that maybe it is because the elections are going badly. In any case, the Saudi government has told their people that they should probably not be there. Seems that after Israel destroyed Lebanon a couple years back, Lebanon is in bad political shape, and terrorist activity has been on the rise. Surprise surprise. The US is somehow blaming Syria for the problems.

    So basically, lets try to work out exactly what's going on there. Also, why isn't Israel doing anything to help since this is their fault?

    This short deployment of a single destroyer has nothing at all to do with Lebanon.
    She is most likely acting as a support vessel for several low scale submarine operations going on in that area from Italy to the Suez canal.

    Can't say I blame them for being worried though, those Arleigh Burkes pack one hell of a punch.

    Centonias on
  • CentoniasCentonias Registered User regular
    edited March 2008
    Savant wrote: »
    redx wrote: »
    uhh... think it has a whole swarm of surface to surface cruise missiles onboard, so it's land attack capabilities are probably something like taking out any 50 targets anywhere in Lebanon in 30 minutes.

    That is a pretty big step up from being able to take out any target anywhere in Lebanon in 12 hours.
    Pretty minor for us being able to blow the hell out of stuff, but it could probably take on most of lebanon's military by itself.

    Well then the internets lied to me. But I doubt that we are going to open up a third front in Lebanon with a single warship. That does not compute.

    The internets lied to you greatly.

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Arleigh_Burke_class_destroyer

    Armament:
    • 90 cells Mk 41 vertical launch systems
    • BGM-109 Tomahawk
    • RGM-84 Harpoon SSM (not in Flight IIa units)
    • SM-2 Standard SAM (has an ASuW mode)
    • RIM-162 ESSM SAM (DDG-79 onward)
    • RUM-139 Vertical Launch ASROC
    • one 5 inch (127 mm/54) Mk-45 (lightweight gun) (DDG-51 through -80)
    • one 5 inch (127 mm/62) Mk-45 mod 4 (lightweight gun) (DDG-81 on)
    • two 20 mm Phalanx CIWS (DDG-51 through -83, several later units)
    • two Mark 32 triple torpedo tubes (six Mk-46 or Mk-50 torpedoes, Mk-54 in the near future)

    Centonias on
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