so a lucky vig makes us happy. especially since it gives new data to comb through the old data with.
here are my thoughts:
-Lawinator was in the T_R wagon early. joined later by cj and ronrab.
-law was also not on the ronrab wagon (nor the counter wagon)
-also not on the LFHX wagon (despite LFHX voting for him)
-frostmist started the ??? wagon with 5 votes on ron... then they grew together, with ron going slightly faster. then we see 2 confirmed evils late in the ??? counter. my hypothesis is that there is another baddie (between B:L, Darian, Daius, and notch (aka me). if i had to pick one, it would be darian) and they were trying to coordinate a push here.
-full disclosure: i would be suspecting notch if i didnt take over for him. we're looking for late entries in known baddies wagons and pushes of counter wagons. which notch did a couple times.
thats about all for now, as usual, take what you can get from my brain vomit, but know that i support the frostmist movement if law is a poor candidate.
If I may mention my involvement in the T_R wagon, I am the T_R wagon, look at my vote record. My votes are not an accurate portrayal of my alignment/strategy because I'm working on an ultra-grudge, although I am tempted to return to my normal villager plan of sheep sheep sheep, which a lot of you seem to like, including the one whose head would be on the chopping block instead of mine.
TheLaw's vote works purely as a personal survival mechanism. And mainly from mafia, he constantly votes for a virtually invulnerable target which makes him look rather foolish. So there is no reason for them to kill him. So in theory, if he wanted to he could be of use in secret.
Alternatively you can view it as a conscience choice to ensure he would never contribute to a bw, but wouldn't fight against it either. And he could fall back on "I always vote T_R".
I could see it go either way, both are rather pragmatic decisions on how to play the game.
FrostMist. I can think of better resolutions for TheLaw.
Egos on
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AegisFear My DanceOvershot Toronto, Landed in OttawaRegistered Userregular
edited June 2010
FrostMist, as psolms analysis of Law doesn't enlighten all that much since Law has been consistent in his super-grudge of T_R which fits with Egos' explanations for it.
i would be happy if we voted for one and vigged the other.
Not the worst scenario, but I think it would be best to seer TheLaw. The Mafia like keeping him alive and if he is good he will likely remain alive. And we have a confirmed guy in the network who is likely to stay alive. If hes mafia, he dies to the vote the next day. Rather win-win. *
Granted me saying this may tempt the mafia to kill TheLaw, which wouldn't be a bad thing. I somehow doubt it though. Hes too juicy for them to kill.
* The following statement does not take into account homing chairs.
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If I may mention my involvement in the T_R wagon, I am the T_R wagon, look at my vote record. My votes are not an accurate portrayal of my alignment/strategy because I'm working on an ultra-grudge, although I am tempted to return to my normal villager plan of sheep sheep sheep, which a lot of you seem to like, including the one whose head would be on the chopping block instead of mine.
The only one with any sense here.
I'd agree with you if the vote wasn't on me! FAH!
Well yea, then your horrible sneaky mafia/whatever evilness would be revealed!
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ergh Alegis voted for thelaw not you
Currently DMing: None
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[5e] Dural Melairkyn - AC 18 | HP 40 | Melee +5/1d8+3 | Spell +4/DC 12
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Wrong. You've never been one to sheep with a stupid bandwagon, why start now?
Frostmist was already dead.
Let's rectify that.
Alternatively you can view it as a conscience choice to ensure he would never contribute to a bw, but wouldn't fight against it either. And he could fall back on "I always vote T_R".
I could see it go either way, both are rather pragmatic decisions on how to play the game.
It is a waste.
But now I'll die because everyone is making me a subject of discussion.
Currently DMing: None
Characters
[5e] Dural Melairkyn - AC 18 | HP 40 | Melee +5/1d8+3 | Spell +4/DC 12
Not the worst scenario, but I think it would be best to seer TheLaw. The Mafia like keeping him alive and if he is good he will likely remain alive. And we have a confirmed guy in the network who is likely to stay alive. If hes mafia, he dies to the vote the next day. Rather win-win. *
Granted me saying this may tempt the mafia to kill TheLaw, which wouldn't be a bad thing. I somehow doubt it though. Hes too juicy for them to kill.
* The following statement does not take into account homing chairs.
can they still turn it around?
edit: in fairness I should point out that they are also ahead in the number of mafia killed so far when compared to the mafia
Exactly, so they don't actually know if we plan to seer him or not. 8-)
!B:L
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Law: that's a horrible thing to say.
FrostMist, I ch-ch-choose you, but Fiaryn is goddamn suspect because of lack of legitimate posting.
Epic Reaveal Time!
I'm Vagrant Winds, a Contemporary Player!
which means I'm village aligned and there should be no reason to kill me what so ever!
Seriously! Bunch of sheeps the lot of ya! :evil:
But sure - waste a night on killing me, and you'll see that I'm telling you all the truth!
Probably mafia hiding on an easy bandwagon here, so tomorrow you have to do alot better than today, or there will be crimson fires everywhere
True, but at the same time I don't like people talking about seering me as some kind of network thing when really I'm not that big of a deal.
Edit: Nice reveal. You gon' die.