facetiousa wit so dryit shits sandRegistered Userregular
jdarksun was the one who posted that 101 said something 'off' and could only explain via PM why. With 101 being village that makes me suspicious of him.
I also still think there's a good chance Drez is mafia.
I'm not giving up on Rend though.
"I am not young enough to know everything." - Oscar Wilde
Here's the deal you guys. The literal best possible outcome we can hope for is 2 villagers and one mafia survive until the final day. That will happen assuming:
1. The mafia hits 2 villagers per day but does not hit the last person with a kill
2. One villager (not mafia) gets reaped every day
And it will happen if and only if:
1. We have unfailing accuracy for the next 3 days with the vote
2. The axe kill has unfailing accuracy for the next 3 days.
3. The axe kill does not die for the next 2 days (enough time to put in 3 orders)
By my count, there are at most 14 villagers, and 9 mafia remaining. If 3 villagers and 2 mafia die per day from here on out, the numbers will go to: 11/7 - 8/5 - 5/3 - 2/1.
If my numbers are correct, then the best we can hope for is to vote out the final mafia in mutual annihilation.
This is not the only outcome if:
1. A mafia is reaped instead of a villager
2. There is any way to roleblock the mafia kill or the reaping.
3. There is any sort of redirection left.
The only way it's possible to win is:
1. Pray for the axe kill to strike truly
2. Everyone pick a goddang target and stick to it because I'll tell you right now if there is any weakness in the vote AT ALL and I mean any weakness then 9 votes will be able to sway it. And if they come out and all reveal themselves today in order to sway the vote at the last minute, we die, and we lose. Inevitable mafia victory.
I've been looking at retaba's vote collection posts.
So far in my search, It looks like Slym moved off of a Langly bandwagon onto a Peccavi one, in the last 54 minutes of a day.
He said it was because of trying to break a tie, but retaba showed that wasn't a danger.
I suspect he was working with others in that bandwagon to take out Peccavi.
The Anonymous started that vote (I need to double check this), and seemed to continue hunting for Peccavi even after the first bandwagon fails.
I think he's a better suspect than corvidae atm because of this.
Virgil_Leads_You on
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facetiousa wit so dryit shits sandRegistered Userregular
Can you post the rest of the people on that wagon?
"I am not young enough to know everything." - Oscar Wilde
And as long as I'm here dominating the new page, here is my guess, at 8 of the remaining 9 mafia:
Facetious, The Anonymous, Drez, Langly, Rysk, Stever777, Lucedes, INANTP
Mafias: Take note of this list. How accurate am I? (Perhaps not at all) I want to read it on your proboards after the game.
I've been looking at retaba's vote collection posts.
So far in my search, It looks like Slym moved off of a Langly bandwagon onto a Peccavi one, in the last 54 minutes of a day.
He said it was because of trying to break a tie, but retaba showed that wasn't a danger.
I suspect he was working with others in that bandwagon to take out Peccavi.
The Anonymous started that vote (I need to double check this), and seemed to continue hunting for Peccavi even after the first bandwagon fails.
I think he's a better suspect than corvidae atm because of this.
, sorry for the lull. I wanted to find that vote record for facetious.
I'd like for the village to be as accurate as possible, is there anything you'd like to throw into the equation?
More info will either free you of suspicion, or further implicate you. Though if you're village, I'd imagine you have less to worry about when sharing.
the drez vote for facetious would be really odd, if drez is mafia.
i've been suspicious of drez, but one of them can't be mafia.
that is just too early to throw a mafia member under the bus.
Wait, why not? Isn't that the quintessential village close call?
I believe the order is actions, then the vote. However, I'll check this with Rawkking later.
I would like to remind those that have lost hope that this is a game that heavily features powers that can only be activated after death. As such, it might not hurt to keep an open mind as to how things can go from here on out.
Does the village win if only mafia vote on any given day?
I will destroy you.
And I think in a situation where the only forces present were two villagers and one mafia, I'd supersede the vote coming last in favor of a village victory if the mafia was voted.
As for one village, one neutral, one mafia, do you mean a survival neutral/basically any non-SK type neutral?
Any non-SK type neutral would be the same as a two villagers voting out a mafia.
Rawkking Goodguy on
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The AnonymousUh, uh, uhhhhhh...Uh, uh.Registered Userregular
Posts
Perhaps the lowest point of my phalla career
oooOOOoooOOO
Great Rush song, Spoit!
Again Savant.
Join me to kill a mafioso.
The Black Hole of Cygnus X-1
I also still think there's a good chance Drez is mafia.
I'm not giving up on Rend though.
Steam: Chagrin LoL: Bonhomie
The guy bringing about the apocalypse killed one for us
Wooooooo
That is sort of the whole point.
And at least one is down. I figured we'd lose Todd now. Sigh.
I'm still pretty convinced you're mafia.
Rend
color=red]Drez[/color]
Steam: Chagrin LoL: Bonhomie
Steam: Chagrin LoL: Bonhomie
Steam: Chagrin LoL: Bonhomie
Does the village win if there is 2 villagers and one mafia, and the village votes out the final mafia?
Does the village win if the game consists of 1 mafia, 1 neutral, and 1 village?
1. The mafia hits 2 villagers per day but does not hit the last person with a kill
2. One villager (not mafia) gets reaped every day
And it will happen if and only if:
1. We have unfailing accuracy for the next 3 days with the vote
2. The axe kill has unfailing accuracy for the next 3 days.
3. The axe kill does not die for the next 2 days (enough time to put in 3 orders)
By my count, there are at most 14 villagers, and 9 mafia remaining. If 3 villagers and 2 mafia die per day from here on out, the numbers will go to: 11/7 - 8/5 - 5/3 - 2/1.
If my numbers are correct, then the best we can hope for is to vote out the final mafia in mutual annihilation.
This is not the only outcome if:
1. A mafia is reaped instead of a villager
2. There is any way to roleblock the mafia kill or the reaping.
3. There is any sort of redirection left.
The only way it's possible to win is:
1. Pray for the axe kill to strike truly
2. Everyone pick a goddang target and stick to it because I'll tell you right now if there is any weakness in the vote AT ALL and I mean any weakness then 9 votes will be able to sway it. And if they come out and all reveal themselves today in order to sway the vote at the last minute, we die, and we lose. Inevitable mafia victory.
Took you savages long enough.
/smug
oOoOoOoOo
So far in my search, It looks like Slym moved off of a Langly bandwagon onto a Peccavi one, in the last 54 minutes of a day.
He said it was because of trying to break a tie, but retaba showed that wasn't a danger.
I suspect he was working with others in that bandwagon to take out Peccavi.
The Anonymous started that vote (I need to double check this), and seemed to continue hunting for Peccavi even after the first bandwagon fails.
I think he's a better suspect than corvidae atm because of this.
Steam: Chagrin LoL: Bonhomie
1. Such an outcome could only be considered a very, very hollow victory.
2. Sadly, no.
3. This would not appear to fulfill the village's win conditions.
Please don't test my patience.
Wait, why not? Isn't that the quintessential village close call?
Facetious, The Anonymous, Drez, Langly, Rysk, Stever777, Lucedes, INANTP
Mafias: Take note of this list. How accurate am I? (Perhaps not at all) I want to read it on your proboards after the game.
I'd like for the village to be as accurate as possible, is there anything you'd like to throw into the equation?
More info will either free you of suspicion, or further implicate you. Though if you're village, I'd imagine you have less to worry about when sharing.
and not the host
pppffffffffttttttttttttttttttttt
OooooOOOOOooooOOOO
Democrats Abroad! || Vote From Abroad
the drez vote for facetious would be really odd, if drez is mafia.
i've been suspicious of drez, but one of them can't be mafia.
that is just too early to throw a mafia member under the bus.
I believe the order is actions, then the vote. However, I'll check this with Rawkking later.
Rend seems really sure about this, but I'd definitely like to hear his reasoning.
Anyway, I think I agree with the facetious wagon. I also feel that Cythraul deserves more attention.
There is far too much sheeping here and not enough analysis.
I will destroy you.
And I think in a situation where the only forces present were two villagers and one mafia, I'd supersede the vote coming last in favor of a village victory if the mafia was voted.
As for one village, one neutral, one mafia, do you mean a survival neutral/basically any non-SK type neutral?
Any non-SK type neutral would be the same as a two villagers voting out a mafia.
I'm about 90% sure Drez and Rend are mafia, and you guys are letting them dictate the vote.
Steam: Chagrin LoL: Bonhomie
cant have some monster from the other side killing you all, gotta let you all do that yourselves
Steam