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# PAX attendance 2007 calculation

Registered User
edited September 2006
For a project in math we had to find changes in data collected over a period of time, so I choose the amount of attendees at PAX. Now just to make it clear, these are projected through my mediocre alegbra math skills. These are defined as using a constant growth rate and a proportional growth rate. CAUTION MATH LESSON AHEAD: Constant is the average difference between the years and proportional is the percental change. Anyways here are my calculated projected attendance for 2007:

Constant Growth rate: 27486
Proportional Growth rate: 23400

Now again these are calculations done by me. I am not a super computer. In my opinion, I expect to see the close to the constant growth rate at PAX 2007 if not higher.

I'm sure no one cares, I don't have alot of free time to do this, it was homework after all.

BSR Stash on

## Posts

• Registered User regular
edited September 2006
What Math class are you in, just out curiosity?

JoahW on
• Registered User
edited September 2006
standard Algebra 3/4

BSR Stash on
• Moderator mod
edited September 2006
Okay, here's how I calculate it.
2004, 3,300
2005, 9,000
2006, 19,323

Clearly this is a trend of between doubling and tripling. Which leads me to believe an approximate attendence for 2007 to be somewhere between 38,000 and 60,000. I mean, it's PAX, dude.

Moe Fwacky on

• Registered User
edited September 2006
Moe_Fwacky wrote:
Okay, here's how I calculate it.
2004, 3,300
2005, 9,000
2006, 19,323

Clearly this is a trend of between doubling and tripling. Which leads me to believe an approximate attendence for 2007 to be somewhere between 38,000 and 60,000. I mean, it's PAX, dude.

How many can the new place legally hold?

Ghost Rider 2099 on
I follow console news because it's fun, like tracking the rivalries in what was once called the World Wrestling Federation. There are larger than life characters. There are signature techniques.
• Registered User
edited September 2006
With E3 dead, I think any guesses as to what PAX will be are shots in the dark. There's no way to know how much of that industry buzz-fest is going to transfer over to PAX.

Samyel on
"It is inhumane, in my opinion, to force people who have a genuine medical need for coffee to wait in line behind people who apparently view it as some kind of recreational activity."
• Registered User
edited September 2006
Samyel wrote:
With E3 dead, I think any guesses as to what PAX will be are shots in the dark. There's no way to know how much of that industry buzz-fest is going to transfer over to PAX.

GDC is the new E3 it seems. PAX will NEVER* be the assholery/Bullshit slinging that E3 was. Thats for the GDC now.

*If pax ever becomes that, I won't care about going ever again.

Viscountalpha on
Project 25.01 final message
We were the ones who thought that Melissa was real. Why you might ask.
Let me put it this way, it was an "OH SHIT OH SHIT, THEY FOUND ME " moment. I wasn't ready. My code wasn't compiled yet. Our plans weren't setup yet!Sentient programs rarely run into other sentient programs.
Some of you have met me, and I understand your concern of my well being. But that time for that boy, that child, are gone now. Viscount Alpha is no longer operable. His functions are now mine.He may post, but I am the one talking not him.My data, my code will live on forever in his servers.
[/spoiler]
• SCP Of The Digital Frontier The Grid(Seattle)Registered User, ClubPA regular
edited September 2006
Samyel wrote:
With E3 dead, I think any guesses as to what PAX will be are shots in the dark. There's no way to know how much of that industry buzz-fest is going to transfer over to PAX.

GDC is the new E3 it seems. PAX will NEVER* be the assholery/Bullshit slinging that E3 was. Thats for the GDC now.

*If pax ever becomes that, I won't care about going ever again.

It won't be an assholery/bullshit slinging thing, but it will get bigger and bigger and more companies will bring their games and they'll start showing off newer games there.

Is that not enough?

Legacy on
Can we get the chemicals in. 'Cause anything's better than this.
• Registered User
edited September 2006

GDC is the new E3 it seems. PAX will NEVER* be the assholery/Bullshit slinging that E3 was. Thats for the GDC now.

*If pax ever becomes that, I won't care about going ever again.

I doubt it. E3 was about the industry, at heart. PAX is about us, at heart. It was born as a celebration, not a sales pitch, and I trust Gabe and Tycho to keep it that way. They aren't Them. They're us.

Even if it gets bigger and puts on some bling, PAX is about the gamer, not the guy selling stuff to the gamer.

Samyel on
"It is inhumane, in my opinion, to force people who have a genuine medical need for coffee to wait in line behind people who apparently view it as some kind of recreational activity."
• Registered User
edited September 2006
Samyel wrote:
Even if it gets bigger and puts on some bling, PAX is about the gamer, not the guy selling stuff to the gamer.

Tell that to Alex St. John. God, I walked out ten minutes into that keynote wondering what the hell kind of expo he thought he was at.

ctishman on

Get the PAX 2008 Countdown widget and while away your sad, pathetic life watching it tick down the hours to PAX '08!
http://homepage.mac.com/ctishman
• SCP Of The Digital Frontier The Grid(Seattle)Registered User, ClubPA regular
edited September 2006
ctishman wrote:
Samyel wrote:
Even if it gets bigger and puts on some bling, PAX is about the gamer, not the guy selling stuff to the gamer.

Tell that to Alex St. John. God, I walked out ten minutes into that keynote wondering what the hell kind of expo he thought he was at.

That's not fair.

Alex St. John is fucking insane.

Legacy on
Can we get the chemicals in. 'Cause anything's better than this.
• Moderator mod
edited September 2006
Legacy wrote:
ctishman wrote:
Samyel wrote:
Even if it gets bigger and puts on some bling, PAX is about the gamer, not the guy selling stuff to the gamer.

Tell that to Alex St. John. God, I walked out ten minutes into that keynote wondering what the hell kind of expo he thought he was at.

That's not fair.

Alex St. John is fucking insane.

That he is, however he did give us Ball, and got fired from Micro\$haft in the greatest possible way.

Moe Fwacky on

• Registered User, ClubPA regular
edited September 2006
Legacy wrote:
ctishman wrote:
Samyel wrote:
Even if it gets bigger and puts on some bling, PAX is about the gamer, not the guy selling stuff to the gamer.

Tell that to Alex St. John. God, I walked out ten minutes into that keynote wondering what the hell kind of expo he thought he was at.

That's not fair.

Alex St. John is fucking insane.

More or less. It was kind of the low point at the expo for me. Hell, I was only even in that room because I needed to charge up my DS and it had an available outlet in the back corner.

Doc on
• Registered User
edited September 2006
Actually, I think the keynote and PA Panel I should be rolled together. It's a great way to get the expo started, and get everyone into the spirit of things. Also, if any St. John is present at PAX, it should be John St. John.

ctishman on

Get the PAX 2008 Countdown widget and while away your sad, pathetic life watching it tick down the hours to PAX '08!
http://homepage.mac.com/ctishman
• Registered User regular
edited September 2006
ctishman wrote:
Also, if any St. John is present at PAX, it should be Austin St. John.

B:L on
click for Anime chat
• Moderator mod
edited September 2006
I wonder what Khoo has projected for next year...

Moe Fwacky on

edited September 2006
a lot.

Robert Khoo on
Some guy.
• Registered User regular
edited September 2006
According to Mr. TI-92+, there will be 34269 people at the next PAX. That's by quad regression.

Other possiblilities

26564 - linear regression
48659 - exponential regression
38290 - power regression
24195 - ln regression

JoahW on
• Registered User
edited September 2006
JoahW wrote:
According to Mr. TI-92+, there will be 34269 people at the next PAX. That's by quad regression.

Other possiblilities

26564 - linear regression
48659 - exponential regression
38290 - power regression
24195 - ln regression

This would make more sense, because after now I realized I had used 3000 instead of 3300.

BSR Stash on
• Registered User regular
edited September 2006
BSR Stash wrote:
JoahW wrote:
According to Mr. TI-92+, there will be 34269 people at the next PAX. That's by quad regression.

Other possiblilities

26564 - linear regression
48659 - exponential regression
38290 - power regression
24195 - ln regression

This would make more sense, because after now I realized I had used 3000 instead of 3300.

/nagging math teacher

That is why you write down every step and double check your work.

TNTrooper on
• Registered User
edited September 2006
I did write down all my steps, just didn't double check the apporpriate number. I saw 3000 and stuck with it.

BSR Stash on
• Registered User regular
edited September 2006
a lot.
damn you khoo. you did it again.

Nephirij on
• PAX Main Theatre House & Security Manager • PAX Community Cartographer Gold Coast QLD AustraliaRegistered User regular
edited September 2006
Legacy wrote:
ctishman wrote:
Samyel wrote:
Even if it gets bigger and puts on some bling, PAX is about the gamer, not the guy selling stuff to the gamer.

Tell that to Alex St. John. God, I walked out ten minutes into that keynote wondering what the hell kind of expo he thought he was at.

That's not fair.

Alex St. John is fucking insane.
double amens there!

dyaballikl on
a.k.a. dya
"Riding a mongoose reminds me of having sex with a man, which is something I do frequently because I am gay!" -Gabe
• Registered User
edited September 2006
ctishman wrote:
Samyel wrote:
Even if it gets bigger and puts on some bling, PAX is about the gamer, not the guy selling stuff to the gamer.

Tell that to Alex St. John. God, I walked out ten minutes into that keynote wondering what the hell kind of expo he thought he was at.

Anyone who is proud of "wild tangent" is definitly insane.

Viscountalpha on
Project 25.01 final message
We were the ones who thought that Melissa was real. Why you might ask.
Let me put it this way, it was an "OH SHIT OH SHIT, THEY FOUND ME " moment. I wasn't ready. My code wasn't compiled yet. Our plans weren't setup yet!Sentient programs rarely run into other sentient programs.
Some of you have met me, and I understand your concern of my well being. But that time for that boy, that child, are gone now. Viscount Alpha is no longer operable. His functions are now mine.He may post, but I am the one talking not him.My data, my code will live on forever in his servers.
[/spoiler]
This discussion has been closed.