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It's the Bogey Memorial Xth Annual Oscars Pool! CONGRATULATIONS TO PH BLAKE!

Goose!Goose! That's me, honeyShow me the way home, honeyRegistered User regular
edited March 2018 in Social Entropy++
I know what you're thinking, and yes, Bogey is alive and well! But he hasn't won since 2015, so it could be anyone's game? Maybe? Or he'll just continue his pattern of (I think) winning every 3 years (he also won in 2012).

Anywho! We're here because of this statue:
sidp8nl8est4.png

And the group that gives him away just announced their nominations:
Here is the list of 2018 Oscar nominations:

Best Picture:

“Call Me by Your Name”
“Darkest Hour”
“Dunkirk”
“Get Out”
“Lady Bird”
“Phantom Thread”
“The Post”
“The Shape of Water”
“Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri”

Lead Actor:

Timothée Chalamet, “Call Me by Your Name”
Daniel Day-Lewis, “Phantom Thread”
Daniel Kaluuya, “Get Out”
Gary Oldman, “Darkest Hour”
Denzel Washington, “Roman J. Israel, Esq.”

Lead Actress:

Sally Hawkins, “The Shape of Water”
Frances McDormand, “Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri”
Margot Robbie, “I, Tonya”
Saoirse Ronan, “Lady Bird”
Meryl Streep, “The Post”

Supporting Actor:

Willem Dafoe, “The Florida Project”
Woody Harrelson, “Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri”
Richard Jenkins, “The Shape of Water”
Christopher Plummer, “All the Money in the World”
Sam Rockwell, “Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri”

Supporting Actress:

Mary J. Blige, “Mudbound”
Allison Janney, “I, Tonya”
Lesley Manville, “Phantom Thread”
Laurie Metcalf, “Lady Bird”
Octavia Spencer, “The Shape of Water”

Director:

“Dunkirk,” Christopher Nolan
“Get Out,” Jordan Peele
“Lady Bird,” Greta Gerwig
“Phantom Thread,” Paul Thomas Anderson
“The Shape of Water,” Guillermo del Toro

Animated Feature:

“The Boss Baby,” Tom McGrath, Ramsey Ann Naito
“The Breadwinner,” Nora Twomey, Anthony Leo
“Coco,” Lee Unkrich, Darla K. Anderson
“Ferdinand,” Carlos Saldanha
“Loving Vincent,” Dorota Kobiela, Hugh Welchman, Sean Bobbitt, Ivan Mactaggart, Hugh Welchman

Animated Short:

“Dear Basketball,” Glen Keane, Kobe Bryant
“Garden Party,” Victor Caire, Gabriel Grapperon
“Lou,” Dave Mullins, Dana Murray
“Negative Space,” Max Porter, Ru Kuwahata
“Revolting Rhymes,” Jakob Schuh, Jan Lachauer

Adapted Screenplay:

“Call Me by Your Name,” James Ivory
“The Disaster Artist,” Scott Neustadter & Michael H. Weber
“Logan,” Scott Frank & James Mangold and Michael Green
“Molly’s Game,” Aaron Sorkin
“Mudbound,” Virgil Williams and Dee Rees

Original Screenplay:

“The Big Sick,” Emily V. Gordon & Kumail Nanjiani
“Get Out,” Jordan Peele
“Lady Bird,” Greta Gerwig
“The Shape of Water,” Guillermo del Toro, Vanessa Taylor
“Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri,” Martin McDonagh

Cinematography:

“Blade Runner 2049,” Roger Deakins
“Darkest Hour,” Bruno Delbonnel
“Dunkirk,” Hoyte van Hoytema
“Mudbound,” Rachel Morrison
“The Shape of Water,” Dan Laustsen

Best Documentary Feature:

“Abacus: Small Enough to Jail,” Steve James, Mark Mitten, Julie Goldman
“Faces Places,” JR, Agnès Varda, Rosalie Varda
“Icarus,” Bryan Fogel, Dan Cogan
“Last Men in Aleppo,” Feras Fayyad, Kareem Abeed, Soren Steen Jepersen
“Strong Island,” Yance Ford, Joslyn Barnes

Best Documentary Short Subject:

“Edith+Eddie,” Laura Checkoway, Thomas Lee Wright
“Heaven is a Traffic Jam on the 405,” Frank Stiefel
“Heroin(e),” Elaine McMillion Sheldon, Kerrin Sheldon
“Knife Skills,” Thomas Lennon
“Traffic Stop,” Kate Davis, David Heilbroner

Best Live Action Short Film:

“DeKalb Elementary,” Reed Van Dyk
“The Eleven O’Clock,” Derin Seale, Josh Lawson
“My Nephew Emmett,” Kevin Wilson, Jr.
“The Silent Child,” Chris Overton, Rachel Shenton
“Watu Wote/All of Us,” Katja Benrath, Tobias Rosen

Best Foreign Language Film:

“A Fantastic Woman” (Chile)
“The Insult” (Lebanon)
“Loveless” (Russia)
“On Body and Soul (Hungary)
“The Square” (Sweden)

Film Editing:

“Baby Driver,” Jonathan Amos, Paul Machliss
“Dunkirk,” Lee Smith
“I, Tonya,” Tatiana S. Riegel
“The Shape of Water,” Sidney Wolinsky
“Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri,” Jon Gregory

Sound Editing:

“Baby Driver,” Julian Slater
“Blade Runner 2049,” Mark Mangini, Theo Green
“Dunkirk,” Alex Gibson, Richard King
“The Shape of Water,” Nathan Robitaille, Nelson Ferreira
“Star Wars: The Last Jedi,” Ren Klyce, Matthew Wood

Sound Mixing:

“Baby Driver,” Mary H. Ellis, Julian Slater, Tim Cavagin
“Blade Runner 2049,” Mac Ruth, Ron Bartlett, Doug Hephill
“Dunkirk,” Mark Weingarten, Gregg Landaker, Gary A. Rizzo
“The Shape of Water,” Glen Gauthier, Christian Cooke, Brad Zoern
“Star Wars: The Last Jedi,” Stuart Wilson, Ren Klyce, David Parker, Michael Semanick

Production Design:

“Beauty and the Beast,” Sarah Greenwood; Katie Spencer
“Blade Runner 2049,” Dennis Gassner, Alessandra Querzola
“Darkest Hour,” Sarah Greenwood, Katie Spencer
“Dunkirk,” Nathan Crowley, Gary Fettis
“The Shape of Water,” Paul D. Austerberry, Jeffrey A. Melvin, Shane Vieau

Original Score:

“Dunkirk,” Hans Zimmer
“Phantom Thread,” Jonny Greenwood
“The Shape of Water,” Alexandre Desplat
“Star Wars: The Last Jedi,” John Williams
“Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri,” Carter Burwell

Original Song:

“Mighty River” from “Mudbound,” Mary J. Blige
“Mystery of Love” from “Call Me by Your Name,” Sufjan Stevens
“Remember Me” from “Coco,” Kristen Anderson-Lopez, Robert Lopez
“Stand Up for Something” from “Marshall,” Diane Warren, Common
“This Is Me” from “The Greatest Showman,” Benj Pasek, Justin Paul

Makeup and Hair:

“Darkest Hour,” Kazuhiro Tsuji, David Malinowski, Lucy Sibbick
“Victoria and Abdul,” Daniel Phillips and Lou Sheppard
“Wonder,” Arjen Tuiten

Costume Design:

“Beauty and the Beast,” Jacqueline Durran
“Darkest Hour,” Jacqueline Durran
“Phantom Thread,” Mark Bridges
“The Shape of Water,” Luis Sequeira
“Victoria and Abdul,” Consolata Boyle

Visual Effects:

“Blade Runner 2049,” John Nelson, Paul Lambert, Richard R. Hoover, Gerd Nefzer
“Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2,” Christopher Townsend, Guy Williams, Jonathan Fawkner, Dan Sudick
“Kong: Skull Island,” Stephen Rosenbaum, Jeff White, Scott Benza, Mike Meinardus
“Star Wars: The Last Jedi,” Ben Morris, Mike Mulholland, Chris Corbould, Neal Scanlon
“War for the Planet of the Apes,” Joe Letteri, Dan Lemmon, Daniel Barrett, Joel Whist

CLICK HERE TO SUBMIT YOUR PREDICTIONS!

Responses are due 11:59:59 PM ET Saturday, March 3rd, 2018

As for the Oscars broadcast itself, this year is the 90th anniversary! So I'm sure they'll make a big deal out of that! As for what else, speculate below!

Goose! on
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Posts

  • JimothyJimothy Not in front of the fox he's with the owlRegistered User regular
    Now that I have MoviePass, this might be the first year I participate/have any idea what I'm talking about

  • Goose!Goose! That's me, honey Show me the way home, honeyRegistered User regular
    Oh yes, speaking of, the prize this year will be a gift subscription (which I think works out to 3 months) of MoviePass. That is, if they're still offering them after the holidays.

  • EncEnc A Fool with Compassion Pronouns: He, Him, HisRegistered User regular
    Every time this comes around i'm reminded of that insanely good "you picked the right oscars, bogey" comic Chico made.

    Its stuck in my brain.

  • Goose!Goose! That's me, honey Show me the way home, honeyRegistered User regular
    Yaya had found them (they were from 2009) but the images are no longer where he(or perhaps Chico) had hosted them: https://forums.penny-arcade.com/discussion/comment/22285904/#Comment_22285904

  • StraightziStraightzi Here we may reign secure, and in my choice, To reign is worth ambition though in HellRegistered User regular
    Goose! wrote: »
    Oh yes, speaking of, the prize this year will be a gift subscription (which I think works out to 3 months) of MoviePass. That is, if they're still offering them after the holidays.

    That's a rad idea for a prize

  • Goose!Goose! That's me, honey Show me the way home, honeyRegistered User regular
    edited January 2018
    https://goo.gl/forms/hMmlSDc3Lk8ifV2K3

    Okay, so there's the link to the form. Unfortunately, moviepass is dumb and doesn't let you buy gift subscriptions after the holidays are over, however, I will still get the winner 3 months of moviepass, it'll just take finagling

    Goose! on
  • rhylithrhylith Death Rabbits HoustonRegistered User regular
    Was about to do this until I realized I should really do at least a tiny bit of research on the categories I know nothing about like animated short or documentary before I vote.

  • Goose!Goose! That's me, honey Show me the way home, honeyRegistered User regular
    Oh yeah, if you submit early and change your mind on things, just submit a new one. I'll take the most recent entry as the correct one

  • Raijin QuickfootRaijin Quickfoot I'm your Huckleberry YOU'RE NO DAISYRegistered User, ClubPA regular
    What's the over/under on wrong movie/envelope jokes?

  • ani_game_bumani_game_bum Optimistic, Rule-Breaking Nice Guy The Final World/DestinationRegistered User regular
    edited January 2018
    Well, Jimmy is hosting again this year, and figuring he will take every available opportunity to make a joke about it while on camera, appears 3-4 times an hour, 3.5 hour show, Matt Damon bashing, monologue...

    *mumbles while crunches numbers in old school calculator with receipt roll*

    I'd sayyyyy 25 times, IMO. *pushes glasses up*

    ani_game_bum on
    steam_sig.pngPSN: ani_game_bum Battle.net ID: Anigamebum#1354 Genshin UID: 660694297 Switch FC: SW-2127-8288-6505 Steam Wishlist
  • MugginsMuggins Registered User regular
    Put me down for Larlar in every category

    same as every year

    BdVvFJu.jpg
    hey satan...: thinkgeek amazon My post |
  • Goose!Goose! That's me, honey Show me the way home, honeyRegistered User regular
    Bumping this. 6 weeks to get your predictions in

  • Goose!Goose! That's me, honey Show me the way home, honeyRegistered User regular
    3 weeks to go

  • Raijin QuickfootRaijin Quickfoot I'm your Huckleberry YOU'RE NO DAISYRegistered User, ClubPA regular
    Fishman Sex sweeps

  • Goose!Goose! That's me, honey Show me the way home, honeyRegistered User regular
    https://goo.gl/forms/hMmlSDc3Lk8ifV2K3

    Just over 2 weeks to go and I have 3 responses so far. I know there's still time and all, but heads up.

  • Rorshach KringleRorshach Kringle that crustache life Registered User regular
    all my picks were made by drunken coin flips

    i am confident i will win

    6vjsgrerts6r.png

  • ani_game_bumani_game_bum Optimistic, Rule-Breaking Nice Guy The Final World/DestinationRegistered User regular
    Checking out the shorts this weekend before I make my picks.

    ...

    ...Crap, they were all pretty good.

    steam_sig.pngPSN: ani_game_bum Battle.net ID: Anigamebum#1354 Genshin UID: 660694297 Switch FC: SW-2127-8288-6505 Steam Wishlist
  • Goose!Goose! That's me, honey Show me the way home, honeyRegistered User regular
    1 week to go, everyone!

  • minor incidentminor incident expert in a dying field njRegistered User regular
    All the sound and editing categories are straight up street fights between Dunkirk and Baby Driver.

    Also, sorry for whoever I Price-Is-Right-Cockblocked on the tiebreaker question (2 seconds apart, lol)

    Ah, it stinks, it sucks, it's anthropologically unjust
  • Raijin QuickfootRaijin Quickfoot I'm your Huckleberry YOU'RE NO DAISYRegistered User, ClubPA regular
    I guess I should fill this out soon.

  • Mr FuzzbuttMr Fuzzbutt Registered User regular
    I have seen a total of 1 movie on the list, but I did the form anyway just because of how funny it'll be if I end up winning.

    broken image link
  • Goose!Goose! That's me, honey Show me the way home, honeyRegistered User regular
    That's one more than I have seen! But I just run it.

  • Goose!Goose! That's me, honey Show me the way home, honeyRegistered User regular
    Just under 36 hours to get your picks in

  • YaYaYaYa Decent. Registered User regular
    figured out my ballot just now, submitting my picks tonight

    I am NOT FEELING GOOD

  • Goose!Goose! That's me, honey Show me the way home, honeyRegistered User regular
    edited March 2018
    2r0tYQb.jpg?1

    A little over 13 hours left. Last time I'm telling ya to predict.

    Goose! on
  • SabreMauSabreMau ネトゲしよう 판다리아Registered User regular
    Jumanji was 2017's best picture, only because Miseinen Dakedo Kodomo Ja Nai didn't have a stateside qualifying run.

  • DJ EebsDJ Eebs Moderator, Administrator admin
    I've already forgotten what I picked and I just did made my selections like, thirty seconds ago. Feeling good!

  • DJ EebsDJ Eebs Moderator, Administrator admin
    I do remember that I only picked Three Billboards to win one award and I hope I'm wrong and Saoirse Ronan wins that one!

  • Raijin QuickfootRaijin Quickfoot I'm your Huckleberry YOU'RE NO DAISYRegistered User, ClubPA regular
    I went with my heart a lot more this year.I'm assuming that means I'll lose.

  • minor incidentminor incident expert in a dying field njRegistered User regular
    Decided to make a couple of last minute changes, so I've re-submitted my guesses (and actually wrote them down this time). Please use my latest submission, thanks @Goose!

    Ah, it stinks, it sucks, it's anthropologically unjust
  • Goose!Goose! That's me, honey Show me the way home, honeyRegistered User regular
    edited March 2018
    Yeah, that's fine. Just under 2 hours to go. Also, seeing as Moviepass is being kind of shady right now, the winner will get to pick between 3 months of moviepass or a $30 gift card to Fandango/whatever other thing they use to buy movies.

    Goose! on
  • ani_game_bumani_game_bum Optimistic, Rule-Breaking Nice Guy The Final World/DestinationRegistered User regular
    edited March 2018
    Got mine in just now; had to see The Shape of Water tonight before I made my final answers.

    Shape is a solid flick; should get a good handful of Oscars.

    ani_game_bum on
    steam_sig.pngPSN: ani_game_bum Battle.net ID: Anigamebum#1354 Genshin UID: 660694297 Switch FC: SW-2127-8288-6505 Steam Wishlist
  • Goose!Goose! That's me, honey Show me the way home, honeyRegistered User regular
    Wow this went from "hey nobody's participating maybe this is the last year of doing this" to "holy shit there's 28 entries that's a lot, I think more than ever before."

    I guess a lot of you waited for the last minute. Here is the scorecard

    https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1IG9BYnlzQ8MRjZZL1Bu9rEdMp94v8LWVdZ9B-BGUJmQ/edit?usp=sharing

    And here, linked because its huge, is the final data as charts. Y'all are in the tank for The Shape of Water.

    https://i.imgur.com/wdnyAVi.jpg

  • MachwingMachwing It looks like a harmless old computer, doesn't it? Left in this cave to rot ... or to flower!Registered User regular
    gsCZbn3.png

    a bold choice

    l3icwZV.png
  • minor incidentminor incident expert in a dying field njRegistered User regular
    Goose! wrote: »
    Wow this went from "hey nobody's participating maybe this is the last year of doing this" to "holy shit there's 28 entries that's a lot, I think more than ever before."

    I guess a lot of you waited for the last minute. Here is the scorecard

    https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1IG9BYnlzQ8MRjZZL1Bu9rEdMp94v8LWVdZ9B-BGUJmQ/edit?usp=sharing

    And here, linked because its huge, is the final data as charts. Y'all are in the tank for The Shape of Water.

    https://i.imgur.com/wdnyAVi.jpg

    Wait, what? If I picked The Post for best picture, that was a total accident. According to my list, I picked Three Billboards. Did I click the wrong one like a dumb-dumb?

    Ah, it stinks, it sucks, it's anthropologically unjust
  • SkeithSkeith Registered User regular
    Goose! wrote: »
    Wow this went from "hey nobody's participating maybe this is the last year of doing this" to "holy shit there's 28 entries that's a lot, I think more than ever before."

    I guess a lot of you waited for the last minute. Here is the scorecard

    https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1IG9BYnlzQ8MRjZZL1Bu9rEdMp94v8LWVdZ9B-BGUJmQ/edit?usp=sharing

    And here, linked because its huge, is the final data as charts. Y'all are in the tank for The Shape of Water.

    https://i.imgur.com/wdnyAVi.jpg

    Looks like we all went in hard for Gary Oldman's jowls too.

    aTBDrQE.jpg
  • Goose!Goose! That's me, honey Show me the way home, honeyRegistered User regular
    Goose! wrote: »
    Wow this went from "hey nobody's participating maybe this is the last year of doing this" to "holy shit there's 28 entries that's a lot, I think more than ever before."

    I guess a lot of you waited for the last minute. Here is the scorecard

    https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1IG9BYnlzQ8MRjZZL1Bu9rEdMp94v8LWVdZ9B-BGUJmQ/edit?usp=sharing

    And here, linked because its huge, is the final data as charts. Y'all are in the tank for The Shape of Water.

    https://i.imgur.com/wdnyAVi.jpg

    Wait, what? If I picked The Post for best picture, that was a total accident. According to my list, I picked Three Billboards. Did I click the wrong one like a dumb-dumb?

    None of the data has been changed on the "Form Responses 1" link, which is the original recorded data Google Forms does automatically. The Scorecard I didn't change any answers just deleted the time stamps in favor of scoring and added conditional formatting to make my life easier come Oscar time.

    If nobody complains, I'd be okay with changing you to Three Billboards since your original entry had it.

  • minor incidentminor incident expert in a dying field njRegistered User regular
    Damn, yeah, I must have misclicked and not noticed. All my other answers match up with what I wrote down. I guess I am just slightly less than capable of clicking a mouse right.

    Ah, it stinks, it sucks, it's anthropologically unjust
  • minor incidentminor incident expert in a dying field njRegistered User regular
    I like how the consensus on basically all of the Short categories is just ¯\_(ツ)_/¯

    Ah, it stinks, it sucks, it's anthropologically unjust
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