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Supreme Court Vacancy

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    enlightenedbumenlightenedbum Registered User regular
    Roe is also popular.

    Self-righteousness is incompatible with coalition building.
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    shrykeshryke Member of the Beast Registered User regular
    Yup. They should basically take the chance to link Trump's nominees to his attempts to kill healthcare and kill Roe v Wade. And afaik she's on the record with statements about the ACA.

    We've already seen Biden doing this thankfully.

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    ViskodViskod Registered User regular
    edited September 2020
    Ruth Bader Ginsburg is going to be replaced by a person who pronounced the “g” in the word poignant while giving a nationally broadcast speech from the White House.

    Viskod on
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    shrykeshryke Member of the Beast Registered User regular
    Viskod wrote: »
    Ruth Bader Ginsburg is going to be replaced by a person who pronounced the “g” in the word poignant while giving a nationally broadcast speech from the White House.

    Well that's a fresh bit of violence I wasn't expecting.

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    DarkPrimusDarkPrimus Registered User regular
    The Democrats have been telling us this was the most important thing for like 20 years and now they're just going to roll the fuck over like it's nothing. We can't even get a guarantee that all Democrat senators are going to vote no.

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    enlightenedbumenlightenedbum Registered User regular
    DarkPrimus wrote: »
    The Democrats have been telling us this was the most important thing for like 20 years and now they're just going to roll the fuck over like it's nothing. We can't even get a guarantee that all Democrat senators are going to vote no.

    Um...yes we have that. Even Manchin says he's a hard no because the process is so fucked.

    Self-righteousness is incompatible with coalition building.
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    HenroidHenroid Mexican kicked from Immigration Thread Centrism is Racism :3Registered User regular
    I see the ACA being the stronger point here. Remember, in 2017 the Republicans got gung-ho about wanting to repeal it and their constituencies (notably elderly voters) starting showing up to Town Halls to say "hey uh, no, we want it, it turns out it's good and helps us."

    The Republican response was to stop doing Town Halls by, what, June-ish of that year?

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    enlightenedbumenlightenedbum Registered User regular
    Henroid wrote: »
    I see the ACA being the stronger point here. Remember, in 2017 the Republicans got gung-ho about wanting to repeal it and their constituencies (notably elderly voters) starting showing up to Town Halls to say "hey uh, no, we want it, it turns out it's good and helps us."

    The Republican response was to stop doing Town Halls by, what, June-ish of that year?

    ACA is the strongest point probably. But the polling supporting the Roe status quo is also overwhelming.

    Self-righteousness is incompatible with coalition building.
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    themightypuckthemightypuck MontanaRegistered User regular
    Henroid wrote: »
    I see the ACA being the stronger point here. Remember, in 2017 the Republicans got gung-ho about wanting to repeal it and their constituencies (notably elderly voters) starting showing up to Town Halls to say "hey uh, no, we want it, it turns out it's good and helps us."

    The Republican response was to stop doing Town Halls by, what, June-ish of that year?

    ACA is the strongest point probably. But the polling supporting the Roe status quo is also overwhelming.

    The difference is that the health care crowd is more in play. If you care about Roe it is very unlikely you were on the fence.

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    enlightenedbumenlightenedbum Registered User regular
    Henroid wrote: »
    I see the ACA being the stronger point here. Remember, in 2017 the Republicans got gung-ho about wanting to repeal it and their constituencies (notably elderly voters) starting showing up to Town Halls to say "hey uh, no, we want it, it turns out it's good and helps us."

    The Republican response was to stop doing Town Halls by, what, June-ish of that year?

    ACA is the strongest point probably. But the polling supporting the Roe status quo is also overwhelming.

    The difference is that the health care crowd is more in play. If you care about Roe it is very unlikely you were on the fence.

    Lots of complacent suburban women. It's like 63% or something, so plenty of them vote for Republicans.

    Self-righteousness is incompatible with coalition building.
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    Phoenix-DPhoenix-D Registered User regular
    DarkPrimus wrote: »
    The Democrats have been telling us this was the most important thing for like 20 years and now they're just going to roll the fuck over like it's nothing. We can't even get a guarantee that all Democrat senators are going to vote no.

    Um...yes we have that. Even Manchin says he's a hard no because the process is so fucked.

    My statement on President Trump’s Supreme Court nominee, Judge Amy Coney Barrett: pic.twitter.com/ejK0afp2TC



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    RickRudeRickRude Registered User regular
    The gop continue to make democracy a joke.

    2016 8 months out. We are too close to an election to nominate a surpreme court justice.

    2020, voting underway, rgb last wish to not appoint a new justice until after election. Gop, everything is fine, this is normal , we are voting on a new justice. Haha suck it libs.


    .....

    Fuck democracy

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    Commander ZoomCommander Zoom Registered User regular
    RickRude wrote: »
    The gop continue to make democracy a joke.

    2016 8 months out. We are too close to an election to nominate a surpreme court justice.

    2020, voting underway, rgb last wish to not appoint a new justice until after election. Gop, everything is fine, this is normal , we are voting on a new justice. Haha suck it libs.


    .....

    Fuck democracy

    Democracy is not the problem here.

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    RickRudeRickRude Registered User regular
    RickRude wrote: »
    The gop continue to make democracy a joke.

    2016 8 months out. We are too close to an election to nominate a surpreme court justice.

    2020, voting underway, rgb last wish to not appoint a new justice until after election. Gop, everything is fine, this is normal , we are voting on a new justice. Haha suck it libs.


    .....

    Fuck democracy

    Democracy is not the problem here.

    Dumbass voters are and it's by design for the electoral college. People vote against themselves, against things that would help them, because of brown people. I would say the electoral college and the way we do democracy are a problem in this country. The minority are starting to rule and by their votes we've set this country back a century. It's sickening.

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    durandal4532durandal4532 Registered User regular
    DarkPrimus wrote: »
    The Democrats have been telling us this was the most important thing for like 20 years and now they're just going to roll the fuck over like it's nothing. We can't even get a guarantee that all Democrat senators are going to vote no.

    What action are they not taking that they should take?

    I'm also terrified and angry but I'm legitimately not certain there is a specific action for them to do except to say that they are uniformly against this. They can't shout 53 into being smaller than 47.

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    MonwynMonwyn Apathy's a tragedy, and boredom is a crime. A little bit of everything, all of the time.Registered User regular
    ElJeffe wrote: »
    It's actually difficult to figure out exactly what her specific religious beliefs are, because People of Praise operates as a collection of separate groups, and they're secretive enough that we can't say for certain what her beliefs are. We can say that in general, married women in those groups are required to make an explicit pact to be subservient to their husband, and that as the head of the family he gets ultimate say on anything she does. And we can point to people who have left the group who pretty much all agree it operates like a cult. ("Our members can leave whenever they want!" says the People of Praise and all also every cult ever.) And we can point out that the group is basically Catholicism by way of Pentacostalism, which is to say completely fucking wackadoo.

    But since we don't know what her specific group is like, all we can do is make suppositions, which are going to sound a lot to the general public like attacking Christianity in general.

    For those who are not Catholic or Catholic-adjacent, as a general rule, if someone is described as belonging to a "Catholic sect" and the following sentence does not contain the descriptors Benedictine, Dominican, Franciscan, or Jesuit, you can safely assume that they're bugfuck heretics.

    uH3IcEi.png
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    LabelLabel Registered User regular
    edited September 2020
    Democracy itself remains a damn good idea.

    The GOP's dedication to the destruction of democracy, that's the big problem. Information warfare, and the intentional creation of dumbass voters, is a facet of that central issue. Potentially a fixable facet, but only if the party in power is trying to fix it, instead of making it worse.



    I want to see Manchin etc talking about inauguration, not election, and I'd like to see the hypocrisy highlighted just a little more. As in, the hypocrisy isn't just happening, but it's happening as a central part of an attempt to break healthcare (Roe, steal election, etc.) and not just a side note. Leahy's statement doesn't quite get there. Not mentioning the hypocrisy until the 4th paragraph is not what I'm looking for, though it's better than nothing.

    Label on
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    QuidQuid Definitely not a banana Registered User regular
    It's been said already but

    Stack. The. Fucking. Court.

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    DacDac Registered User regular
    RickRude wrote: »
    The gop continue to make democracy a joke.

    2016 8 months out. We are too close to an election to nominate a surpreme court justice.

    2020, voting underway, rgb last wish to not appoint a new justice until after election. Gop, everything is fine, this is normal , we are voting on a new justice. Haha suck it libs.


    .....

    Fuck democracy

    Democracy isn't the problem. Voters letting them get away with that shit in 2016 was the problem. It was bullshit. There should have been massive protests.

    If anyone expected Mitch McConnell to stand on principle, they're a rube. There are no principles in modern Republican politics McConnell is not willing to sacrifice for power.

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    CouscousCouscous Registered User regular
    A law dog:
    worth scrutinizing Barrett’s views on the right to vote discussed on pages 50-54 of this second amendment case (in her dissent) http://cdn.cnn.com/cnn/2020/images/09/21/rssexec.pdf
    southpaw

    In sum, Barrett writes the right to vote is not an “individual right” of the same kind that Scalia declared the right to weapons to be in Heller; it’s a “civic right.” Therefore, she concludes the right to vote is susceptible to have whole classes of people excluded from it...
    southpaw

    In particular, ACB believes that felons, including nonviolent felons, can be excluded as a class from the right to vote forever, whereas the government must make an individualized showing of dangerousness to justify restricting a felon’s access to weapons.
    Take the right to vote from felons? Sure thing.
    Taking guns from felons? Woah, there.

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    CoinageCoinage Heaviside LayerRegistered User regular
    Isn't that just the status quo?

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    Phoenix-DPhoenix-D Registered User regular
    As the "originalists" and "textualists" who...keep making up new terms for shit as a way to restrict rights despite none of that appearing in the constitution.

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    CoinageCoinage Heaviside LayerRegistered User regular
    Call me cynical, but I wouldn't expect the SC to rule barring felons from voting unconstitutional even if Obama had gotten Garland and a RBG replacement.

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    Phoenix-DPhoenix-D Registered User regular
    Coinage wrote: »
    Isn't that just the status quo?

    It's worse, because you can use the logic to extend far beyond "just" felons", and what she proposes would involve lower scrutiny than now. It also of course means she'd rule against any suit on changing the current standard.

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    Commander ZoomCommander Zoom Registered User regular
    edited September 2020
    wait until protesting the police and/or the government becomes a felony (in more states).

    or being a Democrat

    Commander Zoom on
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    HappylilElfHappylilElf Registered User regular
    Coinage wrote: »
    Call me cynical, but I wouldn't expect the SC to rule barring felons from voting unconstitutional even if Obama had gotten Garland and a RBG replacement.

    Ok. You're cynical.

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    The Dude With HerpesThe Dude With Herpes Lehi, UTRegistered User regular
    Phoenix-D wrote: »
    Coinage wrote: »
    Isn't that just the status quo?

    It's worse, because you can use the logic to extend far beyond "just" felons", and what she proposes would involve lower scrutiny than now. It also of course means she'd rule against any suit on changing the current standard.

    Doesn't even need to be "far beyond".

    At the slightest hint of any violence in any sort of protests or reaction to him inevitably trying to dismiss the election, they'll just point to it as evidence that Democrats and "antifa" hate the country and to avoid them trying to "rig" future elections, they need to lose the right to vote. Just like with all the other protests this year, his jackboot supremacist fans will ensure there is violence, and just like for the past year, to Trump supporters, it won't even matter who started it.

    Everyone's going on about ACA and Roe; ya'll aren't thinking like a dictator who has disposed of any need to pretend to care about "rights".

    It's insane that it appears Democrats are going to roll over on this lady's cult membership, because they're terrified of appearing to criticize her religion. "no religious test" goes both ways you dipshits. If she's being presented as someone with godly values and conviction, there isn't a test; there's just questioning what she has already put front and center. Also, "no religious test" doesn't mean it doesn't matter what beliefs a person holds, it means that you can't bar them from office for their religion. But you can damn well bar them from office if they believe insane shit that expressly contradicts constitutional values.

    "Sir, this person believes that all children should have their eyes sewn shut. It's in their scripture." "No, no, we can't question their religion, that is off limits, and we will just have to assume that they will choose to do the right thing for the country!" :rotate:

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    Commander ZoomCommander Zoom Registered User regular
    edited September 2020
    What do the votes look like? Doesn't a straight party-line vote mean she gets in, nothing we can do about it (but put on a show for the cameras, I guess) unless some Rs break ranks (yeah right)?

    Commander Zoom on
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    FencingsaxFencingsax It is difficult to get a man to understand, when his salary depends upon his not understanding GNU Terry PratchettRegistered User regular
    There's no rolling over. It's just tbat Senate has the power here

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    MillMill Registered User regular
    Really, the only option here for people that aren't aboard the authoritarian fuckery that the GOP is up. Is to show the fuck up and vote democratic overwhelmingly to the point that the democrats can just easily pack the court and there isn't a fucking thing the GOP could do about it.

    If the GOP is hell bent on ramming a fucking theocrat that thinks shitty male pigs need to be worship, there isn't anything the democrats can really do to stop it legally. The GOP has a majority in the Senate and the Senate confirms on simple majority, which is a rule that was decided by simple majority.

    I have to say it's pretty irritating and stupid that people have the the gall to claim the democrats are rolling over here. They aren't. The problem is our shit weasel corporate media won't report properly. That the GOP is full of craven shit weasels. Also that we had a ton of geese that valued fucking perfection over a better outcome that was imperfect. The problem with making perfect the enemy of better and purity testing, is that it lands us in shit situations like this. Before 2014 people had doubts that RGB was long for the world and in late 2016 it became pretty clear the GOP would fill any court seat open with the most shit hack they could stomach. People were told the courts were on the line in 2016, but people didn't listen. Elections have consequences.

    It's hardly constructive to vent and rail about how the democrats aren't stopping a process that they have no legal authority to stop. That they have no leverage to stop. Again only solution to this problem now is to show up and vote overwhelmingly democratic, so that they can stack the courts and tell the GOP to get fucked. Probably also get whatever US territories we have that want to be states, brought in as states. Also go kill the gooseshit bill that limited the House to 435 seats, I'd have to check but I want to say expanded the house probably results in the GOP having a harder time winning the presidency. Also blow up all the other shit the GOP has gotten legalized, that was done to rig the system.

    That not to say people shouldn't make a ton of noise about a shit thing the GOP is doing, they should. Just again, not constructive to be like "well fuck democrats for not coming up with some magically solution to stop the GOP, when they have no legal authority or leverage to do so.

    Only other hope is that a chunk of the GOP electorate hears enough about her before confirmation, that they really sour on the idea of her being on the court. Though not holding my breath her because you'd need a large chunk of it to really sour on the idea and sour on it quickly. By large, I mean to the point where it really does threaten GOP Senators that thought they would have an easy re-election. Probably would have be 4 that aren't Collins, Tillis, Gardner, McSally, & Graham, I'd say the races are close enough that if this scenario happens, well they'll conclude they are fucked and it hardly matters how they vote. So yeah, prospects really on good for that one.

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    OghulkOghulk Tinychat Janitor TinychatRegistered User regular
    Couscous wrote: »
    A law dog:
    worth scrutinizing Barrett’s views on the right to vote discussed on pages 50-54 of this second amendment case (in her dissent) http://cdn.cnn.com/cnn/2020/images/09/21/rssexec.pdf
    southpaw

    In sum, Barrett writes the right to vote is not an “individual right” of the same kind that Scalia declared the right to weapons to be in Heller; it’s a “civic right.” Therefore, she concludes the right to vote is susceptible to have whole classes of people excluded from it...
    southpaw

    In particular, ACB believes that felons, including nonviolent felons, can be excluded as a class from the right to vote forever, whereas the government must make an individualized showing of dangerousness to justify restricting a felon’s access to weapons.
    Take the right to vote from felons? Sure thing.
    Taking guns from felons? Woah, there.

    see I don't get the republica myopia here

    they're betting that scotus doesn't lose legitimacy over this and doesn't usher in mass change as a result. I wouldn't take that bet

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    MonwynMonwyn Apathy's a tragedy, and boredom is a crime. A little bit of everything, all of the time.Registered User regular
    Oghulk wrote: »
    Couscous wrote: »
    A law dog:
    worth scrutinizing Barrett’s views on the right to vote discussed on pages 50-54 of this second amendment case (in her dissent) http://cdn.cnn.com/cnn/2020/images/09/21/rssexec.pdf
    southpaw

    In sum, Barrett writes the right to vote is not an “individual right” of the same kind that Scalia declared the right to weapons to be in Heller; it’s a “civic right.” Therefore, she concludes the right to vote is susceptible to have whole classes of people excluded from it...
    southpaw

    In particular, ACB believes that felons, including nonviolent felons, can be excluded as a class from the right to vote forever, whereas the government must make an individualized showing of dangerousness to justify restricting a felon’s access to weapons.
    Take the right to vote from felons? Sure thing.
    Taking guns from felons? Woah, there.

    see I don't get the republica myopia here

    they're betting that scotus doesn't lose legitimacy over this and doesn't usher in mass change as a result. I wouldn't take that bet

    They're betting that they'll have enough control over the political process that "legitimacy" no longer matters, because they'll be able to disempower anyone capable of credibly threatening them.

    uH3IcEi.png
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    spool32spool32 Contrary Library Registered User regular
    What do the votes look like? Doesn't a straight party-line vote mean she gets in, nothing we can do about it (but put on a show for the cameras, I guess) unless some Rs break ranks (yeah right)?

    Collins and Murkowsky are No votes supposedly. Romney is a Yes on some limp argument about returning to the standard instead of keeping the McConnell way. Convenient.

    We needed 4, got two. This is over, the vote will happen in the 2nd week of October if not earlier. There is no thing we can do to stop it.

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    TetraNitroCubaneTetraNitroCubane The Djinnerator At the bottom of a bottleRegistered User regular
    edited September 2020
    I don't care how emphatically or repeatedly Collins says she's a no vote. I won't believe it until she votes no.

    That being said, it's over without her, for sure.

    TetraNitroCubane on
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    TomantaTomanta Registered User regular
    I don't care how emphatically or repeatedly Collins says she's a no vote. I won't believe it until she votes no.

    That being said, it's over without her, for sure.

    If she can safely vote no she will. A yes vote would destroy any slim chance she has of winning re-election.

    That said, if she loses and the vote happens after the election she is probably a yes.

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    ElJeffeElJeffe Moderator, ClubPA mod
    I don't care how emphatically or repeatedly Collins says she's a no vote. I won't believe it until she votes no.

    That being said, it's over without her, for sure.

    She'll vote no because it doesn't matter, since we needed four defections. If Romney really needed to vote no, he'd be allowed to, as well, but it's probably slightly better for optics if Pence doesn't have to step in.

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    ClipseClipse Registered User regular
    spool32 wrote: »
    What do the votes look like? Doesn't a straight party-line vote mean she gets in, nothing we can do about it (but put on a show for the cameras, I guess) unless some Rs break ranks (yeah right)?

    Collins and Murkowsky are No votes supposedly. Romney is a Yes on some limp argument about returning to the standard instead of keeping the McConnell way. Convenient.

    We needed 4, got two. This is over, the vote will happen in the 2nd week of October if not earlier. There is no thing we can do to stop it.

    Murkowsky’s a yes, in all likelihood.

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    LabelLabel Registered User regular
    I figure Murkowski and Collins have hall passes. They'll fall in with the party if required.

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    enlightenedbumenlightenedbum Registered User regular
    edited September 2020
    It is theoretically 51-49 in favor of confirmation at the moment. Collins might flip back to a yes if she thinks she can't beat Gideon. Murkowski will talk to Barrett and probably vote no, because she is basically pro-Roe. Dunno where you'd even maybe get a couple more Republicans though. This is what they sold their souls to Trump for.

    enlightenedbum on
    Self-righteousness is incompatible with coalition building.
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    Phoenix-DPhoenix-D Registered User regular
    In a recent dissent, Amy Coney Barrett wrote that the right to vote and serve on juries belonged "only to virtuous citizens." Her opinion also suggests that all civic rights are subject to virtue-based exceptions.



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