I haven't donated in a while this election. Is there a good sense of the best senate races to donate to in order to facilitate a flip? Biden's flush with cash and some downticket help seems like it would be best served at this point, and I'm looking for a good place to start.
I've seen people specifically stumping for Gary Peters, but also an easy one is Get Mitch or Die Trying:
"Here's who we're raising for:
Doug Jones (Alabama)
Al Gross (Alaska)
John Hickenlooper (Colorado)
Jon Ossoff (Georgia)
Raphael Warnock (Georgia)
Theresa Greenfield (Iowa)
Barbara Bollier (Kansas)
Gary Peters (Michigan)
Mike Espy (Mississippi)
Steve Bullock (Montana)
Cal Cunningham (North Carolina)
MJ Hegar (Texas)"
Anything donated is just split evenly to those folks. I'd say that probably a couple of those are a bit long-shot, like poor Jones does not seem likely to retain Alabama, but that's a good spread of winnable Senate races.
I really appreciate the way ActBlue just allows you to get very deeply angry at Mitch McConnell but instead of wasting money on the race where he's fucking up goddamn 10 points despite literally giggling about killing his constituents you can donate to a big spread of people who can take his power away.
The money is most likely to make a difference in Iowa (Greenfield), Kansas (Bollier), or Montana (Bullock). Close races and none of them are enormous fundraising stars like Gideon or Harrison.
EDIT: Oh also the two Georgia races, but you'll have more time for Warnock for sure. And it's entirely possible both go to runoffs, I think.
enlightenedbum on
Self-righteousness is incompatible with coalition building.
Looking at some of the close senate races. Obviously, turnout is going to be key. That said, some of them probably hinge on the polls over estimating Trump's support, under estimating the turnout of the youth vote and minorities that lean more towards democrats or both of those.
Edit: To clarify, I'm leaning towards this being the case with SC and Texas. I'm not really that optimistic on winning the senate seat in TX and even though odds are better in SC, nationalizing the race might have hurt Harrison's chances, we'll see though.
National Democratic Party is investing a record 50 million in state legislative races. Which might tell you how cheap it is to buy state legislatures for big money.
Self-righteousness is incompatible with coalition building.
+45
SixCaches Tweets in the mainframe cyberhexRegistered Userregular
National Democratic Party is investing a record 50 million in state legislative races. Which might tell you how cheap it is to buy state legislatures for big money.
Who could have thought this was a good idea?
can you feel the struggle within?
+23
AbsalonLands of Always WinterRegistered Userregular
Comey letter was next Friday schedule-wise, so if they want to ratfuck around again, the Biden campaign should assume the bastards think that's appropriate timing.
I haven't donated in a while this election. Is there a good sense of the best senate races to donate to in order to facilitate a flip? Biden's flush with cash and some downticket help seems like it would be best served at this point, and I'm looking for a good place to start.
Honestly they are all doing well. I personally went for Mike Espy in Mississippi, Al Gross in Alaska and Steve Bullock in Montana this last week because they have a little less and/or are in cheaper markets but tight races. Bollier is also an excellent option (*thinks about it and donates*)
National Democratic Party is investing a record 50 million in state legislative races. Which might tell you how cheap it is to buy state legislatures for big money.
Who could have thought this was a good idea?
Not sure if sarcastic but for anyone who doesn't know why this would be a good idea, winning a shitton of state legislatures in 2010 is a big part of how the GOP fucked everything so hard
They got into power right as the census results were being put into place so they got to redraw all the lines
Comey letter was next Friday schedule-wise, so if they want to ratfuck around again, the Biden campaign should assume the bastards think that's appropriate timing.
They already started this week
+3
silence1186Character shields down!As a wingmanRegistered Userregular
National Democratic Party is investing a record 50 million in state legislative races. Which might tell you how cheap it is to buy state legislatures for big money.
Who could have thought this was a good idea?
Not sure if sarcastic but for anyone who doesn't know why this would be a good idea, winning a shitton of state legislatures in 2010 is a big part of how the GOP fucked everything so hard
They got into power right as the census results were being put into place so they got to redraw all the lines
The 2010 election is responsible for the lost decade we just had. If I could have my way, the 2020 election would enable the Democratic party to redraw things so they get 10 years of unfettered power, because we have a ton of work to do, that needs to be done over a sustained period of time to hit a critical mass, and backsliding could literally mean death for vast swaths of people.
National Democratic Party is investing a record 50 million in state legislative races. Which might tell you how cheap it is to buy state legislatures for big money.
Who could have thought this was a good idea?
Not sure if sarcastic but for anyone who doesn't know why this would be a good idea, winning a shitton of state legislatures in 2010 is a big part of how the GOP fucked everything so hard
They got into power right as the census results were being put into place so they got to redraw all the lines
The 2010 election is responsible for the lost decade we just had. If I could have my way, the 2020 election would enable the Democratic party to redraw things so they get 10 years of unfettered power, because we have a ton of work to do, that needs to be done over a sustained period of time to hit a critical mass, and backsliding could literally mean death for vast swaths of people.
Texas, Michigan, and Pennsylvania having fair maps would be like 10-15 extra seats for Democrats in the House.
Self-righteousness is incompatible with coalition building.
+42
SixCaches Tweets in the mainframe cyberhexRegistered Userregular
National Democratic Party is investing a record 50 million in state legislative races. Which might tell you how cheap it is to buy state legislatures for big money.
Who could have thought this was a good idea?
Not sure if sarcastic but for anyone who doesn't know why this would be a good idea, winning a shitton of state legislatures in 2010 is a big part of how the GOP fucked everything so hard
They got into power right as the census results were being put into place so they got to redraw all the lines
Comey letter was next Friday schedule-wise, so if they want to ratfuck around again, the Biden campaign should assume the bastards think that's appropriate timing.
They already started this week
The Hunter Biden stuff is landing like a lead balloon. From what I've seen not even getting coverage outside the right wing websites
Comey letter was next Friday schedule-wise, so if they want to ratfuck around again, the Biden campaign should assume the bastards think that's appropriate timing.
They already started this week
The Hunter Biden stuff is landing like a lead balloon. From what I've seen not even getting coverage outside the right wing websites
WaPo reported on the NYP’s story, but barely mentioned the actual content of it and instead spend 95% of the piece saying “and then there’s these dumb motherfuckers.”
Comey letter was next Friday schedule-wise, so if they want to ratfuck around again, the Biden campaign should assume the bastards think that's appropriate timing.
They already started this week
The Hunter Biden stuff is landing like a lead balloon. From what I've seen not even getting coverage outside the right wing websites
The biggest thing is that Hunter Biden / Burisma is old news. All it reminds people of is that Trump got impeached trying to blackmail Ukraine over it.
If the whistleblower hadn't thrown all that in the open last fall it might have had some teeth, but outside hard right already circles it is - at worst - pretty nepotism everyone assumes is just baked in.
Spoken or unspoken nepotism might have happened. Thing is they're pretending he got this job out of nowhere. He worked for an international legal firm that got a contract with Burisma which landed him on the board. Even if his name helped its not like he was completely unqualified for the job
Comey letter was next Friday schedule-wise, so if they want to ratfuck around again, the Biden campaign should assume the bastards think that's appropriate timing.
They already started this week
The Hunter Biden stuff is landing like a lead balloon. From what I've seen not even getting coverage outside the right wing websites
The biggest thing is that Hunter Biden / Burisma is old news. All it reminds people of is that Trump got impeached trying to blackmail Ukraine over it.
If the whistleblower hadn't thrown all that in the open last fall it might have had some teeth, but outside hard right already circles it is - at worst - pretty nepotism everyone assumes is just baked in.
I mean the bigger story was Giulani is a Russian mole (we knew this) and that our intelligence agencies warned the president and he didn't care. That was a much bigger story than the NYP nothing burger.
Comey letter was next Friday schedule-wise, so if they want to ratfuck around again, the Biden campaign should assume the bastards think that's appropriate timing.
They already started this week
The Hunter Biden stuff is landing like a lead balloon. From what I've seen not even getting coverage outside the right wing websites
because it's just so.. badly done? like.. wow. three kids in a trenchcoat could've probably made up a more believable story, if all they wanted to do is go see a movie
I'm just surprised that the GOP and Russia had a year to come up with a new plan after the "drop dirt on Hunter!" plan was exposed and lead to the impeachment of the president and they couldn't do it.
I'm just surprised that the GOP and Russia had a year to come up with a new plan after the "drop dirt on Hunter!" plan was exposed and lead to the impeachment of the president and they couldn't do it.
Like lots of the stuff they threw at Obama it makes we presume more innocence than anything. There's so little there they couldn't even come up with a decent smear campaign
Comey letter was next Friday schedule-wise, so if they want to ratfuck around again, the Biden campaign should assume the bastards think that's appropriate timing.
They already started this week
The Hunter Biden stuff is landing like a lead balloon. From what I've seen not even getting coverage outside the right wing websites
The biggest thing is that Hunter Biden / Burisma is old news. All it reminds people of is that Trump got impeached trying to blackmail Ukraine over it.
If the whistleblower hadn't thrown all that in the open last fall it might have had some teeth, but outside hard right already circles it is - at worst - pretty nepotism everyone assumes is just baked in.
I can't help but think that an offense about nepotism is always going to land poorly for the Trump campaign, because even the most fervent Trump voter can't ignore that his family have been occupying some absurdly high positions over the last four years.
National Democratic Party is investing a record 50 million in state legislative races. Which might tell you how cheap it is to buy state legislatures for big money.
Who could have thought this was a good idea?
Not sure if sarcastic but for anyone who doesn't know why this would be a good idea, winning a shitton of state legislatures in 2010 is a big part of how the GOP fucked everything so hard
They got into power right as the census results were being put into place so they got to redraw all the lines
The 2010 election is responsible for the lost decade we just had. If I could have my way, the 2020 election would enable the Democratic party to redraw things so they get 10 years of unfettered power, because we have a ton of work to do, that needs to be done over a sustained period of time to hit a critical mass, and backsliding could literally mean death for vast swaths of people.
Texas, Michigan, and Pennsylvania having fair maps would be like 10-15 extra seats for Democrats in the House.
Yeah, look how many seats the democrats got out of VA, once the courts forced them to draw fair maps. Problem is, that only happened because the fuckers couldn't proven that they weren't being fucking racist when they drew the VA maps. Once they figure out how to rig the system without being obviously racist, we're kind of screwed if the current court doesn't get expanded.
Comey letter was next Friday schedule-wise, so if they want to ratfuck around again, the Biden campaign should assume the bastards think that's appropriate timing.
They already started this week
The Hunter Biden stuff is landing like a lead balloon. From what I've seen not even getting coverage outside the right wing websites
The biggest thing is that Hunter Biden / Burisma is old news. All it reminds people of is that Trump got impeached trying to blackmail Ukraine over it.
If the whistleblower hadn't thrown all that in the open last fall it might have had some teeth, but outside hard right already circles it is - at worst - pretty nepotism everyone assumes is just baked in.
I can't help but think that an offense about nepotism is always going to land poorly for the Trump campaign, because even the most fervent Trump voter can't ignore that his family have been occupying some absurdly high positions over the last four years.
Like Jared blackmailing millions out of Qatar to bail out his real estate company?
+16
AbsalonLands of Always WinterRegistered Userregular
"Sen. Susan Collins is financially supporting the state legislative campaigns of two fellow Maine Republicans who fervently believe in QAnon, the perverse conspiracy theory whose adherents are considered a domestic terror threat by the FBI. In recent days, Facebook and YouTube have announced actions to curb the spread of QAnon content due to mounting fears that its followers — who deify President Trump and believe his enemies are a global cabal of pedophilic Satanists — will engage in violence before or after Election Day.
Kevin Bushey and Brian Redmond, the QAnon believers supported by Collins, are both military veterans who eagerly anticipate a political bloodbath will soon erupt nationwide, ultimately leading to arrests, military trials, and “God-declared executions” for “traitors” like top Democratic politicians and donors, socialists, Planned Parenthood, and Black Lives Matter and Sunrise Movement activists."
The GOP needs to be burned down, the ashes salted, and then the ashes need to be dumped into an active volcano, made out of acid.
Absalon on
+42
AtomikaLive fast and get fucked or whateverRegistered Userregular
It's perhaps not his worst characteristic but I am regularly astonished at how tree-stump-fuckingly stupid he is.
He’s prideful, wrathful, gluttonous, lustful, greedy, envious, and lazy. He’s an exemplar of every single one of the Seven Deadly Sins.
And yes, also very stupid.
It hurts me very deeply that millions of people look at that shambling collection of terrible qualities and think “yes, that’s what I want in a president.”
It hurts me very deeply that millions of people apparently identify with him and/or exhibit those same traits. Trump is a visible symptom of the underlying problem, and that problem won't magically disappear if Trump loses. It's only the first step in a lot of necessary work.
I see him and I see everything my culture and values taught is wrong. It's highly dislocating to reality to realize that not everyone thinks bullying is a bad thing, but that in fact, many people admire bullies.
This is what it's like in the rural American countryside. Toxic masculinity isn't just prevalent, it's essentially currency. The power structure is primarily who can out-tough-guy all the other guys. That creates the pecking order. This is one reason it's so dangerous to be LGBTQ+ out here - it automatically knocks you off the ladder. Having an education also knocks you down the ladder. And women are so inherently powerless that many of us embrace our own oppression. My mother has never voted once in her life.
Religion here broadly doesn't focus on being a good person. It focuses on fire and brimstone warnings of eternal torture, paired with commands to establish religious dominance over the Other in order to secure the blessings of God, and not a single bit of that is an exaggeration.
This is why giving rural voters so much power in America is so terrible for our country. I understand the framers' motives on protecting rural communities from the tyranny of cities, but they overcompensated, and now we have imposition from ignorance. That gets us Trumps, along with all the other absolute walnuts in the Tea Party House.
I have no idea how you'd begin to fix this long-term, but in the short term, it's absolutely critical to reform voting to rip power away from the countryside.
Fleur de Alys on
Triptycho: A card-and-dice tabletop indie RPG currently in development and playtesting
I think the framers’ motive on “protecting” rural communities from the “tyranny” of cities was the landowners’ protecting their own interests (greed and powet) and the northern, merchant-oriented framer bloc compromising with them
I really don’t think there’s a peaceful way out on an acceptably short-enough timeline
Posts
I've seen people specifically stumping for Gary Peters, but also an easy one is Get Mitch or Die Trying:
"Here's who we're raising for:
Doug Jones (Alabama)
Al Gross (Alaska)
John Hickenlooper (Colorado)
Jon Ossoff (Georgia)
Raphael Warnock (Georgia)
Theresa Greenfield (Iowa)
Barbara Bollier (Kansas)
Gary Peters (Michigan)
Mike Espy (Mississippi)
Steve Bullock (Montana)
Cal Cunningham (North Carolina)
MJ Hegar (Texas)"
Anything donated is just split evenly to those folks. I'd say that probably a couple of those are a bit long-shot, like poor Jones does not seem likely to retain Alabama, but that's a good spread of winnable Senate races.
I really appreciate the way ActBlue just allows you to get very deeply angry at Mitch McConnell but instead of wasting money on the race where he's fucking up goddamn 10 points despite literally giggling about killing his constituents you can donate to a big spread of people who can take his power away.
{Twitter, Everybody's doing it. }{Writing and Story Blog}
Cornyn (R): 49% (+5)
Hegar (D): 46% (+6)
(change from early September)
PPP, MOE 3.7%, phone poll
PPP were fairly close to the Texas result in 2018 IIRC.
EDIT: Oh also the two Georgia races, but you'll have more time for Warnock for sure. And it's entirely possible both go to runoffs, I think.
Edit: To clarify, I'm leaning towards this being the case with SC and Texas. I'm not really that optimistic on winning the senate seat in TX and even though odds are better in SC, nationalizing the race might have hurt Harrison's chances, we'll see though.
battletag: Millin#1360
Nice chart to figure out how honest a news source is.
equal to about 16% of the total votes cast in 2016 and we're still three weeks out
Who could have thought this was a good idea?
Honestly they are all doing well. I personally went for Mike Espy in Mississippi, Al Gross in Alaska and Steve Bullock in Montana this last week because they have a little less and/or are in cheaper markets but tight races. Bollier is also an excellent option (*thinks about it and donates*)
QEDMF xbl: PantsB G+
Not sure if sarcastic but for anyone who doesn't know why this would be a good idea, winning a shitton of state legislatures in 2010 is a big part of how the GOP fucked everything so hard
They got into power right as the census results were being put into place so they got to redraw all the lines
They already started this week
The 2010 election is responsible for the lost decade we just had. If I could have my way, the 2020 election would enable the Democratic party to redraw things so they get 10 years of unfettered power, because we have a ton of work to do, that needs to be done over a sustained period of time to hit a critical mass, and backsliding could literally mean death for vast swaths of people.
Texas, Michigan, and Pennsylvania having fair maps would be like 10-15 extra seats for Democrats in the House.
Is sarcastic.
The Hunter Biden stuff is landing like a lead balloon. From what I've seen not even getting coverage outside the right wing websites
WaPo reported on the NYP’s story, but barely mentioned the actual content of it and instead spend 95% of the piece saying “and then there’s these dumb motherfuckers.”
The biggest thing is that Hunter Biden / Burisma is old news. All it reminds people of is that Trump got impeached trying to blackmail Ukraine over it.
If the whistleblower hadn't thrown all that in the open last fall it might have had some teeth, but outside hard right already circles it is - at worst - pretty nepotism everyone assumes is just baked in.
I mean the bigger story was Giulani is a Russian mole (we knew this) and that our intelligence agencies warned the president and he didn't care. That was a much bigger story than the NYP nothing burger.
because it's just so.. badly done? like.. wow. three kids in a trenchcoat could've probably made up a more believable story, if all they wanted to do is go see a movie
It's not November 4th yet. Outside turn spit.
But yeah, hopefully this wet fart is their best.
I can't help but think that an offense about nepotism is always going to land poorly for the Trump campaign, because even the most fervent Trump voter can't ignore that his family have been occupying some absurdly high positions over the last four years.
Yeah, look how many seats the democrats got out of VA, once the courts forced them to draw fair maps. Problem is, that only happened because the fuckers couldn't proven that they weren't being fucking racist when they drew the VA maps. Once they figure out how to rig the system without being obviously racist, we're kind of screwed if the current court doesn't get expanded.
battletag: Millin#1360
Nice chart to figure out how honest a news source is.
Like Jared blackmailing millions out of Qatar to bail out his real estate company?
"Sen. Susan Collins is financially supporting the state legislative campaigns of two fellow Maine Republicans who fervently believe in QAnon, the perverse conspiracy theory whose adherents are considered a domestic terror threat by the FBI. In recent days, Facebook and YouTube have announced actions to curb the spread of QAnon content due to mounting fears that its followers — who deify President Trump and believe his enemies are a global cabal of pedophilic Satanists — will engage in violence before or after Election Day.
Kevin Bushey and Brian Redmond, the QAnon believers supported by Collins, are both military veterans who eagerly anticipate a political bloodbath will soon erupt nationwide, ultimately leading to arrests, military trials, and “God-declared executions” for “traitors” like top Democratic politicians and donors, socialists, Planned Parenthood, and Black Lives Matter and Sunrise Movement activists."
The GOP needs to be burned down, the ashes salted, and then the ashes need to be dumped into an active volcano, made out of acid.
tearfully, apologetically, incessantly wrong
Religion here broadly doesn't focus on being a good person. It focuses on fire and brimstone warnings of eternal torture, paired with commands to establish religious dominance over the Other in order to secure the blessings of God, and not a single bit of that is an exaggeration.
This is why giving rural voters so much power in America is so terrible for our country. I understand the framers' motives on protecting rural communities from the tyranny of cities, but they overcompensated, and now we have imposition from ignorance. That gets us Trumps, along with all the other absolute walnuts in the Tea Party House.
I have no idea how you'd begin to fix this long-term, but in the short term, it's absolutely critical to reform voting to rip power away from the countryside.
I really don’t think there’s a peaceful way out on an acceptably short-enough timeline
I accidently slipped into the comments on one of the local news reports on this; reading the comments continues to remain a mistake.
that's not entirely fair
also because they kept being told to stop killing native americans so much because it was expensive to deal with
I guess people want Mr. Rodgers and not Jerry Springer.
pleasepaypreacher.net
Yeah it was taxes AND regulation