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[2020 Election] Math is Dead

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Posts

  • Special KSpecial K Registered User regular
    htm wrote: »
    From Nick Confessore, NYT reporter:
    Iä! Iä! Needle fhtagn

    (I) (alt-u) (a) if you're on a Mac, so as not to anger The Needle.

    BlackDragon480htm
  • A Half Eaten OreoA Half Eaten Oreo Registered User regular
    Goumindong wrote: »
    Goumindong wrote: »
    Coinage wrote: »
    Saying that "white" Latinos go for Trump is some gross ass shit. Please educate yourself.
    Isn't white hispanic a thing? Or is that something different? I don't know, I'm just a cat

    It is yes. But white hispanics are not latinx. They’re European

    Is this actually a thing? I, and most of the white Hispanics I know identify as latinx. This is mostly PRicans, I always check the "white" box, but also the "latino" box if able.

    Yes. Though obviously nothing stops you from checking the box.

    The most obvious example is Cuban expats, IE people that fled Castro’s revolution. IE the people who ruled Cuba

    Interesting I don't know many Cubans, but a huge amount of white PRicans, never heard anyone call themselves European.

  • ChanusChanus I've seen things... Registered User regular
    is arguing over hispanic ethnicity pleasing to Election Dragon?

    Allegedly a voice of reason.
    rahkeesh2000Captain InertiaSpecial KMunkus BeaverzagdrobPreacherHahnsoo1A Kobold's KoboldRaijuStarZapperFencingsaxMan in the MistsZonugalLinespider5Label
  • Captain InertiaCaptain Inertia Registered User regular
    Phoenix-D wrote: »
    cj iwakura wrote: »
    Not a peach cobbler, but I do have these primed and ready to light up if PA goes tonight:
    maiw8wnijmgw.jpg

    Like the man said, don't light up til the fat lady sings.

    PA going is the fat lady. If the vote in PA is done, and Biden wins, the only thing that can change things would be a WI recount finding ~300 times more votes to change than they have before.

    I have a feeling that PA is going to be a battle even after the count is finished. Trump camp was planning on legal fuckery there from the start.

    Yeah but with planning they’re getting obliterated by the judge.

    ChanusRaiju
  • MadpoetMadpoet Registered User regular
    zepherin wrote: »
    Not a peach cobbler, but I do have these primed and ready to light up if PA goes tonight:
    maiw8wnijmgw.jpg

    Monte Cristo is my preferred cigar on the very rare occasion I smoke up. It’s quite smooth.

    Monte Cristo? Good name for a count.

    Special KBloodySlothwebguy20TetraNitroCubaneBlackDragon480ToxPolaritiemonikerzepherinGiantGeek2020Taranisemp123AridholRaijuFoolOnTheHillStabbity StyleShadowfireZonugalLinespider5Fleur de AlysboogedybooDark Raven XshrykelonelyahavaMoridin889Klytus
  • zepherinzepherin Registered User regular
    moniker wrote: »
    Disrupter wrote: »
    Chanus wrote: »
    per NBC as many as 8,900 overseas ballots possible in GA, but they have to arrive by tomorrow so we won't know the total for sure until then

    That seems... potentially really important

    Not really. If Biden has Pennsylvania in the bag like everyone who would know keeps saying then he can lose Georgia and Arizona and still win with 279 EC votes. Winning Georgia and Arizona is technically just running up the score and protecting against ratfucking with baseless court challenges.

    If Biden gets PA, he can lose in every other uncalled state and still win with 273.
    Getting Arizona and Georgia, while protecting against ratfuckery, also adds more legitimacy to the
    Presidency. But also higher scores allows forplay are the senate. As to protect our senator there and Georgia to force two runoffs.

    monikerPhoenix-DRaiju
  • ChanusChanus I've seen things... Registered User regular
    Phoenix-D wrote: »
    cj iwakura wrote: »
    Not a peach cobbler, but I do have these primed and ready to light up if PA goes tonight:
    maiw8wnijmgw.jpg

    Like the man said, don't light up til the fat lady sings.

    PA going is the fat lady. If the vote in PA is done, and Biden wins, the only thing that can change things would be a WI recount finding ~300 times more votes to change than they have before.

    I have a feeling that PA is going to be a battle even after the count is finished. Trump camp was planning on legal fuckery there from the start.

    Yeah but with planning they’re getting obliterated by the judge.

    also clearly their plan ended at "challenge it in court"

    Allegedly a voice of reason.
    Captain InertiazepherinDoctor DetroitRaijuFencingsaxZonugal
  • Commander ZoomCommander Zoom Registered User regular
    Madpoet wrote: »
    zepherin wrote: »
    Not a peach cobbler, but I do have these primed and ready to light up if PA goes tonight:
    maiw8wnijmgw.jpg

    Monte Cristo is my preferred cigar on the very rare occasion I smoke up. It’s quite smooth.

    Monte Cristo? Good name for a count.

    Or a sandwich.

    steam_sig.png
    Steam, Warframe: Megajoule
    Captain InertiaTuminBlackDragon480SyngyneGiantGeek2020N1tSt4lkerDiannaoChongRaijuFencingsaxFoolOnTheHillShadowfireMan in the MistsZonugalMoridin889
  • adejaanadejaan Registered User regular
    CNN says the vote in GA is effectively tied.

    [SIGPIC][/SIGPIC]
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  • HevachHevach Registered User regular
    edited November 2020
    Chanus wrote: »
    is arguing over hispanic ethnicity pleasing to Election Dragon?

    Well clearly talking about every batch of 16 votes shaving 6 more off the lead in Georgia has not pleased Election Dragon so maybe if we talk about other shit He will let us hear His glorious Call.

    Hevach on
    Chanus
  • InquisitorInquisitor Registered User regular
    Goumindong wrote: »
    Goumindong wrote: »
    Coinage wrote: »
    Saying that "white" Latinos go for Trump is some gross ass shit. Please educate yourself.
    Isn't white hispanic a thing? Or is that something different? I don't know, I'm just a cat

    It is yes. But white hispanics are not latinx. They’re European

    Is this actually a thing? I, and most of the white Hispanics I know identify as latinx. This is mostly PRicans, I always check the "white" box, but also the "latino" box if able.

    Yes. Though obviously nothing stops you from checking the box.

    The most obvious example is Cuban expats, IE people that fled Castro’s revolution. IE the people who ruled Cuba

    Interesting I don't know many Cubans, but a huge amount of white PRicans, never heard anyone call themselves European.

    Half Cuban here, Dad was born in Cuba and left as a child due to Castro. He completely passes as white as does the vast majority of people on that side of my family. It’s only when he starts speaking spanish that people get suspicious.

    He definitely does not identify as European, Hispanic or Latino. Cuban and American would be his two choices if asked.

  • Jealous DevaJealous Deva Registered User regular
    edited November 2020
    Goumindong wrote: »
    Goumindong wrote: »
    Coinage wrote: »
    Saying that "white" Latinos go for Trump is some gross ass shit. Please educate yourself.
    Isn't white hispanic a thing? Or is that something different? I don't know, I'm just a cat

    It is yes. But white hispanics are not latinx. They’re European

    Is this actually a thing? I, and most of the white Hispanics I know identify as latinx. This is mostly PRicans, I always check the "white" box, but also the "latino" box if able.

    Yes. Though obviously nothing stops you from checking the box.

    The most obvious example is Cuban expats, IE people that fled Castro’s revolution. IE the people who ruled Cuba

    Interesting I don't know many Cubans, but a huge amount of white PRicans, never heard anyone call themselves European.

    Latinx/hispanic (and Caribbean and Latin American in general) self-identification varies wildly by country and is extremely complex to say the least.

    Jealous Deva on
    monikerRaijuFuzzy Cumulonimbus CloudshrykeMoridin889
  • ChaosHatChaosHat Trick of the lightRegistered User regular
    edited November 2020
    Trump's trident of incompetence is going to prevent any meaningful coup attempts.

    1) His legal theory of the case is so bad and presented so poorly that even very partisan judges are like "get this shit out of my face are you kidding me?"
    2) He appointed ACB, losing all leverage when he could have tried to hold it after the election, while always leaving an option to ram her through in the lame duck.
    3) He is running behind down ballot candidates, proving they do not need him to be successful.

    I mean, sure he could try and send in the army or nationalize the National Guard and barricade himself in the White House but honestly I'd fucking love to see him do that so President Biden can order the Secret Service to drag him out of his house on inauguration day and dump him unceremoniously on his ass in the street.

    Edit: He's also losing by too much to credibly steal the vote but who ever heard of a quadent? It's just too many votes to invalidate. It needed to be more razor thin in more states.

    ChaosHat on
    ChanuszepherinRaijuTicaldfjam
  • PolaritiePolaritie Sleepy Registered User regular
    Madpoet wrote: »
    zepherin wrote: »
    Not a peach cobbler, but I do have these primed and ready to light up if PA goes tonight:
    maiw8wnijmgw.jpg

    Monte Cristo is my preferred cigar on the very rare occasion I smoke up. It’s quite smooth.

    Monte Cristo? Good name for a count.

    A great sandwich. So maybe an earl?

    Steam: Polaritie
    3DS: 0473-8507-2652
    Switch: SW-5185-4991-5118
    PSN: AbEntropy
    Special K
  • ToxTox I kill threads he/himRegistered User regular
    Inquisitor wrote: »
    Goumindong wrote: »
    Goumindong wrote: »
    Coinage wrote: »
    Saying that "white" Latinos go for Trump is some gross ass shit. Please educate yourself.
    Isn't white hispanic a thing? Or is that something different? I don't know, I'm just a cat

    It is yes. But white hispanics are not latinx. They’re European

    Is this actually a thing? I, and most of the white Hispanics I know identify as latinx. This is mostly PRicans, I always check the "white" box, but also the "latino" box if able.

    Yes. Though obviously nothing stops you from checking the box.

    The most obvious example is Cuban expats, IE people that fled Castro’s revolution. IE the people who ruled Cuba

    Interesting I don't know many Cubans, but a huge amount of white PRicans, never heard anyone call themselves European.

    Half Cuban here, Dad was born in Cuba and left as a child due to Castro. He completely passes as white as does the vast majority of people on that side of my family. It’s only when he starts speaking spanish that people get suspicious.

    He definitely does not identify as European, Hispanic or Latino. Cuban and American would be his two choices if asked.

    Look we're gonna need your dad to fit himself neatly into one of these little boxes we have here already prechosen.
    (Kidding of course I bet your dad is rad)

    Commander ZoomRaijuInquisitor
  • BlackDragon480BlackDragon480 Bluster Kerfuffle Master of Windy ImportRegistered User regular
    Madpoet wrote: »
    zepherin wrote: »
    Not a peach cobbler, but I do have these primed and ready to light up if PA goes tonight:
    maiw8wnijmgw.jpg

    Monte Cristo is my preferred cigar on the very rare occasion I smoke up. It’s quite smooth.

    Monte Cristo? Good name for a count.

    Or a sandwich.

    I would love to have carnal knowledge of such a construction. Gotta have the some plum or cherry preserves with it. I find the normal Maple syrup dip to be too cloyingly sweet.

    First they came for the Muslims and we said...NOT TODAY MOTHERFUCKERS!
    jmcdonald
  • Captain InertiaCaptain Inertia Registered User regular
    Talking Cuban, Monte Cristo, and sandwiches has got me real hungry for more election results

    Special KBlackDragon480thatassemblyguyCommander ZoomStabbity StyleMoridin889
  • Special KSpecial K Registered User regular
    Inquisitor wrote: »
    Half Cuban here,

    Is ... is this more sandwich talk? Because you're all making me hungry now.

    Captain InertiaA Half Eaten OreoCommander ZoomzepherinToxMan in the MistsInquisitor
  • htmhtm Registered User regular
    Special K wrote: »
    htm wrote: »
    From Nick Confessore, NYT reporter:
    Iä! Iä! Needle fhtagn

    (I) (alt-u) (a) if you're on a Mac, so as not to anger The Needle.

    Duly noted! Also, according the source texts, it should be punctuated with a !

    I've just been copy/pasting it. I've forgotten who originated The Needle Ritual, but I think it was an Election Thread or two back.
    Iä! Iä! Needle fhtagn!

  • GoumindongGoumindong Registered User regular
    edited November 2020
    Goumindong wrote: »
    Goumindong wrote: »
    Coinage wrote: »
    Saying that "white" Latinos go for Trump is some gross ass shit. Please educate yourself.
    Isn't white hispanic a thing? Or is that something different? I don't know, I'm just a cat

    It is yes. But white hispanics are not latinx. They’re European

    Is this actually a thing? I, and most of the white Hispanics I know identify as latinx. This is mostly PRicans, I always check the "white" box, but also the "latino" box if able.

    Yes. Though obviously nothing stops you from checking the box.

    The most obvious example is Cuban expats, IE people that fled Castro’s revolution. IE the people who ruled Cuba

    Interesting I don't know many Cubans, but a huge amount of white PRicans, never heard anyone call themselves European.

    Not sure many would call themselves European. Nor is there a requirement that every white hispanic is European.

    But it’s a bit like saying that Afrikaner aren’t European. And sure, not every “white African” is Afrikaner. And it could be right to say that Afrikaner arent European in some sense, to ignore the history there would be a mistake.

    In general the more “white hispanic” you are the more likely you’re to have a higher proportion of Spanish and the more “non-white Hispanic” the more indigenous you’re likely to have

    Edit: the main takeaway is that everyone likes to ignore the effect of colonialism on their part of the world.

    Goumindong on
    wbBv3fj.png
    StarZapper
  • ZekZek Registered User regular
    CNN says Trump's lead in Georgia is under 2,000 votes, and there are still 16,000 votes remaining. All mail-in ballots I think? Trump is finished, right?

    Raiju
  • Undead ScottsmanUndead Scottsman Registered User regular
    Zek wrote: »
    CNN says Trump's lead in Georgia is under 2,000 votes, and there are still 16,000 votes remaining. All mail-in ballots I think? Trump is finished, right?

    There's still oversea and provision ballots to count as well, so they won't be able to call it anytime soon, but yeah, it's looking like Biden is going to overtake Trump soon(ish).

    monikerGiantGeek2020Raijuzepherin
  • TetraNitroCubaneTetraNitroCubane The Djinnerator At the bottom of a bottleRegistered User regular
    Zek wrote: »
    CNN says Trump's lead in Georgia is under 2,000 votes, and there are still 16,000 votes remaining. All mail-in ballots I think? Trump is finished, right?

    No, not yet. Never assume.

    VuIBhrs.png
    IncenjucarSpecial KwobblyheadedbobCelestialBadgerBlackDragon480GiantGeek2020DacDoctor DetroitCommander ZoomPhoenix-DRaijuSanguinius666264zepherinemp123Hahnsoo1A Kobold's KoboldLord_AsmodeusShadowfireToxZonugalJaysonFourTicaldfjamboogedybooLabelMrVyngaardKlytus
  • BlackDragon480BlackDragon480 Bluster Kerfuffle Master of Windy ImportRegistered User regular
    edited November 2020
    Mary Trump laying down some harshness on her uncle with O'Donnell on MSNBC. Going deep on the psychological side of things, and I'm loving it.

    BlackDragon480 on
    First they came for the Muslims and we said...NOT TODAY MOTHERFUCKERS!
    Special KhtmTaranisGiantGeek2020CantideRaijuRehabzepherinLord_AsmodeusShadowfireTofystedethToxMan in the Mists
  • Inkstain82Inkstain82 Registered User regular
    Zek wrote: »
    CNN says Trump's lead in Georgia is under 2,000 votes, and there are still 16,000 votes remaining. All mail-in ballots I think? Trump is finished, right?

    I mean, how sure do you want to be? This has been 99.9% over since about midnight Tuesday, but if you want to be 100% sure then not quite yet

    Captain InertiaRaijuzepherinjmcdonaldshrykeMoridin889
  • IncenjucarIncenjucar VChatter Seattle, WARegistered User regular
    Anything so close is almost certainly going to be subjected to a recount.

    TetraNitroCubaneGnomeTankOrcamonikerGiantGeek2020Commander ZoomRaijuemp123Hahnsoo1Stabbity StyleLord_AsmodeusMan in the Mistsshryke
  • HevachHevach Registered User regular
    Zek wrote: »
    CNN says Trump's lead in Georgia is under 2,000 votes, and there are still 16,000 votes remaining. All mail-in ballots I think? Trump is finished, right?

    Just under 11000 mail in and a batch of military/expat ballots due in tomorrow I think. The mail ballots have been breaking hard for Biden but the other batch could be a wildcard.

    monikerGiantGeek2020
  • Inkstain82Inkstain82 Registered User regular
    Another baby 300 vote update in Georgia, deficit drops to 1797

    Special KChanushtmGiantGeek2020CantideRaijuRehabHahnsoo1Stabbity StyleLord_AsmodeusTicaldfjamFleur de AlysAbsoluteZero
  • Undead ScottsmanUndead Scottsman Registered User regular
    Hevach wrote: »
    Zek wrote: »
    CNN says Trump's lead in Georgia is under 2,000 votes, and there are still 16,000 votes remaining. All mail-in ballots I think? Trump is finished, right?

    Just under 11000 mail in and a batch of military/expat ballots due in tomorrow I think. The mail ballots have been breaking hard for Biden but the other batch could be a wildcard.

    I heard 30,000 provisional ballots as well.

    Special K
  • ChaosHatChaosHat Trick of the lightRegistered User regular
    Incenjucar wrote: »
    Anything so close is almost certainly going to be subjected to a recount.

    Recounts rarely change the outcome and they'd be equally as likely to find more votes for Joe.

    Voting technology has come a long way since Florida. There is less ambiguity and points to fuck it up.

    N1tSt4lkermonikerLord_AsmodeusDoodmannPhoenix-DRaijushryke
  • Inkstain82Inkstain82 Registered User regular
    Incenjucar wrote: »
    Anything so close is almost certainly going to be subjected to a recount.

    There’s formality recount and then there’s “so tight that literally every time you count you might get a different winner” recounts.

    I’m pretty sure Biden can run it up to the former, but that’s what I’m watching.

    OremLKPhoenix-D
  • IncenjucarIncenjucar VChatter Seattle, WARegistered User regular
    ChaosHat wrote: »
    Incenjucar wrote: »
    Anything so close is almost certainly going to be subjected to a recount.

    Recounts rarely change the outcome and they'd be equally as likely to find more votes for Joe.

    Voting technology has come a long way since Florida. There is less ambiguity and points to fuck it up.

    I'm not saying it will change the results, just that it will be demanded.

    zepherin
  • ChanusChanus I've seen things... Registered User regular
    edited November 2020
    280,000 ballots remain in AZ, 200,000 are in Maricopa County

    per AZ Secretary of State own NBC

    e: most regular early ballots, very small amount are provisional

    Chanus on
    Allegedly a voice of reason.
    thatassemblyguyEthea
  • joshofalltradesjoshofalltrades Class Traitor Smoke-filled roomRegistered User regular
    My wife’s friend, here in Abilene TX, just got this in her mailbox

    8zd4e5mmjrfq.jpeg

    IncenjucarRaijuzepherinStabbity StyleHahnsoo1TofystedethToxZonugalshrykeArdolLabel
  • BlackDragon480BlackDragon480 Bluster Kerfuffle Master of Windy ImportRegistered User regular
    Special K wrote: »
    Inquisitor wrote: »
    Half Cuban here,

    Is ... is this more sandwich talk? Because you're all making me hungry now.

    I'm checking the fridge. I have some honey wheat bread, 3-4oz of roast beef, and stone ground mustard. Sadly only cheese is a shredded Mexican blend, going to up the difficulty on making a grilled cheese with it, but I'm a brave pioneer...let's do it!

    First they came for the Muslims and we said...NOT TODAY MOTHERFUCKERS!
  • AridholAridhol Daddliest Catch Registered User regular
    My wife’s friend, here in Abilene TX, just got this in her mailbox

    8zd4e5mmjrfq.jpeg

    Call the police.
    And the news.

    XaquinTetraNitroCubaneGiantGeek2020OrcaArbitraryDescriptorwobblyheadedbobTamAegisMr RayIncenjucarjoshofalltradesChanusA Dabble Of TheloniusmonikerBlackDragon480htmLord_AsmodeusPolaritieDacAimChaosHatMvrckAl_watCorvusAegeriadejaanCommander ZoomDoodmannDoctor DetroitCantideRozthatassemblyguyFencingsaxPhoenix-Dwebguy20Sanguinius666264RaijuRehabKetBrazepherinemp123Special KCalicaEtheaDocschussOneAngryPossumGennenalyse RuebenKamardestroyah87Shazkar ShadowstormA Kobold's Koboldnever dieFoolOnTheHillStabbity StyleLocal H JaySaarShadowfireTofystedethToxNiryaEmerlmaster999ThegreatcowMillKoopahTroopahArchNobodyZomroWeaverMan in the MistsZonugalJaysonFourSyphonBlueBandableTicaldfjamMonwynTomantaFleur de AlysHedgethornAnalogWarlordLinespider5boogedybooDark Raven XAbsoluteZeroSmrtnikshrykeCentipede DamascuslonelyahavaGnizmoForarJPantsAtomikaArdolRMS OceanicSolarLabelMrVyngaardKlytusKayne Red Robe
  • HachfaceHachface Not the Minister Farrakhan you're thinking of Registered User regular
    My wife’s friend, here in Abilene TX, just got this in her mailbox

    8zd4e5mmjrfq.jpeg

    oh christ

    TetraNitroCubaneOrcaBlackDragon480htmChaosHatMvrckAl_watCommander ZoomthatassemblyguyFencingsaxRaijuzepherinemp123Special KCalicaGennenalyse RuebenShazkar ShadowstormA Kobold's KoboldFoolOnTheHillStabbity StyleShadowfireTofystedethToxEmerlmaster999KoopahTroopahZonugalJaysonFourFleur de AlysAnalogWarlordDark Raven XAbsoluteZeroshrykelonelyahavaArdol
  • ArbitraryDescriptorArbitraryDescriptor Registered User regular
    My wife’s friend, here in Abilene TX, just got this in her mailbox

    8zd4e5mmjrfq.jpeg

    Well at least they said please.

    ChaosHatRaijuzepherinStabbity StyleToxNyysjanKoopahTroopahJaysonFourAbsoluteZero
  • NyysjanNyysjan FinlandRegistered User regular
    I am super not surprised.
    Annoyed, angry, frustrated, even sad, but not surprised.

    XaquinArbitraryDescriptorGiantGeek2020IncenjucarmonikerBlackDragon480Lord_AsmodeushtmChaosHatMvrckCommander ZoomDoctor DetroitthatassemblyguyFencingsaxCojo MojoRaijuKetBrazepherinemp123Special KGennenalyse RuebenA Kobold's KoboldStabbity StyleShadowfireTofystedethToxMillZomroMan in the MistsJaysonFourFleur de AlysAbsoluteZeroshrykeArdolLabelMrVyngaard
  • TetraNitroCubaneTetraNitroCubane The Djinnerator At the bottom of a bottleRegistered User regular
    My wife’s friend, here in Abilene TX, just got this in her mailbox

    8zd4e5mmjrfq.jpeg

    Holy fuck what. That's more than slightly terrifying.

    VuIBhrs.png
    OrcamonikerPixelated PixiePolaritieLord_AsmodeushtmAntoshkajoshofalltradesChaosHatMvrckCommander Zoomwebguy20RehabRaijuemp123Special KCalicamrpakuGennenalyse Ruebendestroyah87A Kobold's KoboldStabbity Stylenever dieHahnsoo1ShadowfireTofystedethToxNyysjanMillKoopahTroopahMan in the MistsJaysonFourTomantazagdrobFleur de AlysAnalogWarlordAbsoluteZeroshrykeCentipede DamascusArdol
This discussion has been closed.