what the heck, I went for it. Haven't seen most of the movies and don't know much about a lot of the categories, but whatever.
My main prediction is that Arrival will be this year's Fury Road and clean up on technical awards even though it's personally my movie of the year.
Arrival to win every award ever. Because the Heptapods demand it, yesterday. 8-)
Sadly, 'La La Land' will probably hit a clean sweep on every category it's in. It's good, it's entertaining, but nowhere near the transcendent calibre and quality of 'Arrival' for me.
So, with all the votes in, looks like I guessed the consensus leader (or tie-for-leader) in every category except three. Went with Hacksaw Ridge over La La Land and Arrival in Sound Editing, Denzel Washington over Casey Affleck in Actor, and The Salesman over Toni Erdmann in Foreign Language.
Normally I just try to look at a bunch of different sites, see who most people are going with and go with that, but had to pick a few slight underdogs that felt close enough that they might catch up. Otherwise you're playing for the tie, and since I don't actually watch these things, I have no sense of how long the show will overrun.
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Goose!That's me, honeyShow me the way home, honeyRegistered Userregular
Now that the voting's closed, here's my "I wish these films would win" list.
Best picture:
“Moonlight”/runner up: Arrival
I’m going off “feel” here. My heart says Arrival, that would be cool. But Moonlight just has this feeling to it. Lead actor:
Denzel Washington, “Fences”
(I don’t think any of the options are great, but Fences and Denzel go together well) Lead actress:
Natalie Portman, “Jackie” Supporting actor:
Mahershala Ali, “Moonlight” Supporting actress:
Naomie Harris, “Moonlight”
I'll be honest, I just like Naomie Harris Best director:
“Arrival,” Denis Villeneuve Animated feature:
“Moana,” John Musker, Ron Clements and Osnat Shurer Animated short:
“Pearl,” Patrick Osborne
It’s the only one I know anything about Adapted screenplay:
“Fences,” August Wilson Original screenplay:
“20th Century Women,” Mike Mills Cinematography:
“Arrival,” Bradford Young Best documentary feature:
“13th,” Ava DuVernay, Spencer Averick and Howard Barish Best documentary short subject:
“4.1 Miles,” Daphne Matziaraki
I accidentally put this as my real nom. Whoops. I didn't change it though because I seriously like this short documentary and it ought to win over that Holocaust Violin schmaltz.
It's about 20mins and you should watch it because it is good. 4.1 Miles Best live action short film:
“Ennemis Interieurs,” Selim Azzazi
I have no clue, I chose this one as it was the first. Best foreign language film:
“Land of Mine,” Denmark Film editing:
“Arrival,” Joe Walker Sound editing:
“Arrival,” Sylvain Bellemare Sound mixing:
“13 Hours: The Secret Soldiers of Benghazi,”
Just for the hell of it. Production design:
“Hail, Caesar!,” Jess Gonchor, Nancy Haigh Original score:
“Moonlight,” Nicholas Britell Original song:
“How Far I’ll Go,” “Moana”
I didn’t love any of the songs. How Far I’ll Go’s alright Makeup and hair:
“Suicide Squad,” Alessandro Bertolazzi, Giorgio Gregorini and Christopher Nelson
Crazy enough that it might work. Costume design:
“Allied,” Joanna Johnston Visual effects:
“Kubo and the Two Strings,”
I have a visceral dislike of Laika, but I’ll give it to them over any of the others.
Gvzbgul on
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AtomicTofuShe's a straight-up supervillain, yoRegistered Userregular
I didn't pick La La Land for quite everything, but I did notice that my picks and Bogeys are exactly the same aside from 3 out of 24 categories, and they're the same as YaYa's outside of 5 categories, so I suppose I'll know rather quickly if I'm eliminated.
Actually, do they mention ahead of time in which order they're going to be broadcasting results, or is it a surprise until showtime?
Anyway, can anyone explain to me why Mahershala Ali is the frontrunner for best supporting actor? Cause his performance was really nothing special. Admittedly I haven't seen the other movies in that category, but still.
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UnbrokenEvaHIGH ON THE WIREBUT I WON'T TRIP ITRegistered Userregular
Anyway, can anyone explain to me why Mahershala Ali is the frontrunner for best supporting actor? Cause his performance was really nothing special. Admittedly I haven't seen the other movies in that category, but still.
I'm going to guess that it's because stuff like this is subjective as heck and enough other people felt that it was special?
Anyway, can anyone explain to me why Mahershala Ali is the frontrunner for best supporting actor? Cause his performance was really nothing special. Admittedly I haven't seen the other movies in that category, but still.
I am going to put this down as a case of "you're wrong and have bad acting opinions"
I'm not the world's biggest Moonlight fan but Ali's performance was absolutely remarkable
As the AV Club put it, "You feel his presence even when he’s absent; he casts a shadow over the whole movie, just as his character, Juan, casts a shadow over Chiron. That’s what great supporting performances do."
@Goose! Is there a way to see our picks before the Awards start? I'm thinking of changing 2 things for my other pool ballot and want to see how I voted here.
Fitocracy: Join us in the SE++ group!
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Yes, scorecard/answers are there (thanks Gvzbgul).
Alright, I am ready for the Oscars, see you all in 45 minutes. Remember, overrun count starts from the official listed end time (11:30 PM ET) and ends when the credits are done and the screen fades to black).
JimothyNot in front of the foxhe's with the owlRegistered Userregular
I just found out this is only livestreaming if you live in a very select list of certain cities and I am very grumpy about it! There go my plans for the evening
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Zonugal(He/Him) The Holiday ArmadilloI'm Santa's representative for all the southern states. And Mexico!Registered Userregular
I wasn't able to fill out my predictions in time, but be sure I would have put Dancin' It's On! down for every category.
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so you just kept writing lala land right
Sadly, 'La La Land' will probably hit a clean sweep on every category it's in. It's good, it's entertaining, but nowhere near the transcendent calibre and quality of 'Arrival' for me.
La la land is ok but I will never understand this sentiment
Normally I just try to look at a bunch of different sites, see who most people are going with and go with that, but had to pick a few slight underdogs that felt close enough that they might catch up. Otherwise you're playing for the tie, and since I don't actually watch these things, I have no sense of how long the show will overrun.
The scorecard on the second tab of that link is where I'll be keeping track during the show.
“Moonlight”/runner up: Arrival
I’m going off “feel” here. My heart says Arrival, that would be cool. But Moonlight just has this feeling to it.
Lead actor:
Denzel Washington, “Fences”
(I don’t think any of the options are great, but Fences and Denzel go together well)
Lead actress:
Natalie Portman, “Jackie”
Supporting actor:
Mahershala Ali, “Moonlight”
Supporting actress:
Naomie Harris, “Moonlight”
I'll be honest, I just like Naomie Harris
Best director:
“Arrival,” Denis Villeneuve
Animated feature:
“Moana,” John Musker, Ron Clements and Osnat Shurer
Animated short:
“Pearl,” Patrick Osborne
It’s the only one I know anything about
Adapted screenplay:
“Fences,” August Wilson
Original screenplay:
“20th Century Women,” Mike Mills
Cinematography:
“Arrival,” Bradford Young
Best documentary feature:
“13th,” Ava DuVernay, Spencer Averick and Howard Barish
Best documentary short subject:
“4.1 Miles,” Daphne Matziaraki
I accidentally put this as my real nom. Whoops. I didn't change it though because I seriously like this short documentary and it ought to win over that Holocaust Violin schmaltz.
It's about 20mins and you should watch it because it is good.
4.1 Miles
Best live action short film:
“Ennemis Interieurs,” Selim Azzazi
I have no clue, I chose this one as it was the first.
Best foreign language film:
“Land of Mine,” Denmark
Film editing:
“Arrival,” Joe Walker
Sound editing:
“Arrival,” Sylvain Bellemare
Sound mixing:
“13 Hours: The Secret Soldiers of Benghazi,”
Just for the hell of it.
Production design:
“Hail, Caesar!,” Jess Gonchor, Nancy Haigh
Original score:
“Moonlight,” Nicholas Britell
Original song:
“How Far I’ll Go,” “Moana”
I didn’t love any of the songs. How Far I’ll Go’s alright
Makeup and hair:
“Suicide Squad,” Alessandro Bertolazzi, Giorgio Gregorini and Christopher Nelson
Crazy enough that it might work.
Costume design:
“Allied,” Joanna Johnston
Visual effects:
“Kubo and the Two Strings,”
I have a visceral dislike of Laika, but I’ll give it to them over any of the others.
Steam
That checks out
That seems so weird!
It's probably more about having a better chance in that category than lead actor though
PSN- AHermano
Actually, do they mention ahead of time in which order they're going to be broadcasting results, or is it a surprise until showtime?
I can't wait for the shit storm of Facebook reactions to politically charged Oscar speeches.
Anyway, can anyone explain to me why Mahershala Ali is the frontrunner for best supporting actor? Cause his performance was really nothing special. Admittedly I haven't seen the other movies in that category, but still.
I'm going to guess that it's because stuff like this is subjective as heck and enough other people felt that it was special?
I am going to put this down as a case of "you're wrong and have bad acting opinions"
I'm not the world's biggest Moonlight fan but Ali's performance was absolutely remarkable
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La La Land doesn't deserve the category, but I'm willing to let them rob the other films of it if it means Suicide Squad doesn't win.
XBox LIVE: Bogestrom | Destiny
PSN: Bogestrom
You'd think the random ass white people would have this figured out by now?
Yes, scorecard/answers are there (thanks Gvzbgul).
Alright, I am ready for the Oscars, see you all in 45 minutes. Remember, overrun count starts from the official listed end time (11:30 PM ET) and ends when the credits are done and the screen fades to black).
XBox LIVE: Bogestrom | Destiny
PSN: Bogestrom
I don't normally care about any of the Oscar fashion stuff, but, um, wow
only if it means he won't sing that bad song ever again