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[Venezuela] Massive protests, media blackouts and more!

TryCatcherTryCatcher Registered User regular
So, might as well try here. Since yesterday there has been some huge massive protests on the country, so might as well spread the word.

Here's a Reddit thread with a lot of links and explanations (it's a lot of stuff. Some is NSFW since an student got his head blown up).:

http://www.reddit.com/r/worldnews/comments/1xqiks/massive_protests_in_venezuela_ignored_by_local/

(Please ignore the "it's a CIA conspiracy" comments).

Here's Reuters on the subject (there's a lot of articles, but this is Arab Spring stuff):

http://www.reuters.com/places/venezuela

And, of course, you can all ask anything and I will answer as I can.

TryCatcher on
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Posts

  • KalkinoKalkino Buttons Londres Registered User regular
    Are you in Venezuela?

    Freedom for the Northern Isles!
  • TryCatcherTryCatcher Registered User regular
    Yes, I am. Right now I'm posting from my home.

  • emnmnmeemnmnme Registered User regular
    http://online.wsj.com/news/articles/SB10001424052702303704304579381000595339052
    The president and his aides blamed the government's political foes with launching a carefully coordinated plan, financed by the U.S., to trigger violence and destabilize the country ... Free-speech advocates and many in the opposition said local TV stations gave only passing coverage of the protests, or ignored them all together, fearing a backlash from a government that has passed a range of laws restricting what can be shown on television. "What Venezuela does not need is authorities scapegoating political opponents or shutting down news outlets whose coverage they don't like," said José Miguel Vivanco, the Americas director of Human Rights Watch in Washington.

  • ronyaronya Arrrrrf. the ivory tower's basementRegistered User regular
    There's no guarantee that the Maduro administration would lose free and fair elections if they were held right now, which puts the protests in an awkward position.

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  • emnmnmeemnmnme Registered User regular
    Why is Maduro popular with the people? He's only been on the job for a year.

  • ronyaronya Arrrrrf. the ivory tower's basementRegistered User regular
    Fear that any successors would not maintain the redistributive programmes, fear of retaliation against Chavistas, etc.

    aRkpc.gif
  • spool32spool32 Contrary Library Registered User, Transition Team regular
    cult of personality? Lots of people really loved Chavez, and he designated Maduro...

  • TryCatcherTryCatcher Registered User regular
    edited February 2014
    http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2014-02-14/twitter-says-venezuela-blocks-its-images-amid-protest-crackdown.html
    Twitter Inc. (TWTR) said the Venezuelan government blocked users’ online images as opposition groups marched through Caracas for a third day, demonstrating against record shortages and the world’s fastest inflation.

    Nu Wexler, a Twitter spokesman, confirmed yesterday in an e-mail that the government was behind the disruption.

    And Maduro is NOT popular with the people, hence the protests. Also, he took the news channel NTN24 from the Venezuelan broadcasts. What kind of democratic goverment does that again?

    We are at day 4 of the protests with no end in sight.

    EDIT: Video of the National Guard dispersing the protesters

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=I9ceJ-wJFtk

    TryCatcher on
  • TryCatcherTryCatcher Registered User regular
    edited February 2014
    Double post.

    TryCatcher on
  • emnmnmeemnmnme Registered User regular
    TryCatcher wrote: »

    What's the guy saying at 4:35?

  • TryCatcherTryCatcher Registered User regular
    edited February 2014
    A group of protesters wanted to get close to the OAE's base on Caracas.

    EDIT: That was an answer to @emnmnme

    TryCatcher on
  • TryCatcherTryCatcher Registered User regular
    Got a Wikipedia article:

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2014_Venezuela_Protests

    The one in Spanish includes an extense event timeline.

  • PhillisherePhillishere Registered User regular
    edited February 2014
    It's quite possible for Maduro to be both deeply unpopular with a significant portion of the population and still maintain majority support in any elections. The essential political problem in all Latin American nations right now is how do you transition from a Third World model where where the majority of land and capital is controlled by a miniscule segment of the population to a modern nation without destroying the existing middle class in the process. That's how you can have the urban middle class rising because of crashing living standards, while the rural poor back the government for fear of losing the miniscule gains they received from the government.

    I don't think anyone has figured out a good answer. Brazil's status as a rising power is also foundering for lack of a good solution.

    Phillishere on
  • TryCatcherTryCatcher Registered User regular
    There's also, you know, the blatant pro-Castro way of goverment that Maduro is trying to impose. People happen to dislike that, a lot, which is why the pro goverment rallies have been dwarfed easily by the anti-goverment ones.

  • RockinXRockinX Registered User regular
    It's quite possible for Maduro to be both deeply unpopular with a significant portion of the population and still maintain majority support in any elections. The essential political problem in all Latin American nations right now is how do you transition from a Third World model where where the majority of land and capital is controlled by a miniscule segment of the population to a modern nation without destroying the existing middle class in the process. That's how you can have the urban middle class rising because of crashing living standards, while the rural poor back the government for fear of losing the miniscule gains they received from the government.

    I don't think anyone has figured out a good answer. Brazil's status as a rising power is also foundering for lack of a good solution.

    Look, the way they've been acting suggests that the objective is to destroy the country in order for it to be easier to control. Just look at the local currency devaluation (three times in less than a year), fixed prices that only make basic products scarce (and attracts scalpers who sell them in Colombia for higher prices while obtaining foreign currency for it), and the rampant murder rate (look up the term tupamaro and be amazed). Not to mention that they aren't providing currency exchange to food companies and super markets, which wouldn't be so bad if most products weren't imported because they are either not being produced in the country or there is not enough supply for the demand.

    That said, I don't think protests are going to take the government down. Unless the military is involved, I think the efforts and the lives of these students are being wasted in vain.

  • ronyaronya Arrrrrf. the ivory tower's basementRegistered User regular
    edited February 2014
    the currency devaluation stems from a sincere, if antiquated, belief that currency devaluation has nothing to do with local inflation, and that local scarcity stems only from monopoly power

    the murder rate - well. The collective militias can't be relied upon but can't be readily disarmed now anyway.

    the pro-Cubaness of the Maduro govt is a bit up for debate. The anti-Chavist side will always allege Maduro to be a Cuban puppet, when it seems more plausible that Cuba is merely yet another fun way to poke the US in the eye for the entertainment of supporters back home.
    It's quite possible for Maduro to be both deeply unpopular with a significant portion of the population and still maintain majority support in any elections. The essential political problem in all Latin American nations right now is how do you transition from a Third World model where where the majority of land and capital is controlled by a miniscule segment of the population to a modern nation without destroying the existing middle class in the process. That's how you can have the urban middle class rising because of crashing living standards, while the rural poor back the government for fear of losing the miniscule gains they received from the government.

    I don't think anyone has figured out a good answer. Brazil's status as a rising power is also foundering for lack of a good solution.

    export-led industrialization is historically the only way that has succeeded, but ~sweatshops~

    ronya on
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  • RockinXRockinX Registered User regular
    edited February 2014
    ronya wrote: »
    the currency devaluation stems from a sincere, if antiquated, belief that currency devaluation has nothing to do with local inflation, and that local scarcity stems only from monopoly power

    I sincerely doubt they have that belief. If they weren't doing everything that should not be done, then I'd be willing to give credit to that assumption. But they're doing the exact opposite of what Economy books say it's best for a country's economy (never mind the fact that when a government fixes the prices of goods, it only leads to scarcity, as evidenced by what happened in Spain and Germany in the past).
    ronya wrote: »
    t

    the pro-Cubaness of the Maduro govt is a bit up for debate. The anti-Chavist side will always allege Maduro to be a Cuban puppet, when it seems more plausible that Cuba is merely yet another fun way to poke the US in the eye for the entertainment of supporters back home.
    Why has he been seen sporting the official uniform worn by the Cuban military then?

    RockinX on
  • tinwhiskerstinwhiskers Registered User regular
    edited February 2014
    RockinX wrote: »
    ronya wrote: »
    the currency devaluation stems from a sincere, if antiquated, belief that currency devaluation has nothing to do with local inflation, and that local scarcity stems only from monopoly power

    I sincerely doubt they have that belief. If they weren't doing everything that should not be done, then I'd be willing to give credit to that assumption. But they're doing the exact opposite of what Economy books say it's best for a country's economy (never mind the fact that when a government fixes the prices of goods, it only leads to scarcity, as evidenced by what happened in Spain and Germany in the past).

    Not to give the current regime undue credit for sincerity, but the Chavez government very much resonated like the old communist used to. The theory of communism is correct we know this to be true, so as long as we follow the theory we will get the result. It's like arguing with a biblical literalist, it doesn't matter how much evidence you present, the earth IS only 6000 years old so your evidence must be wrong or tainted.

    tinwhiskers on
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  • override367override367 ALL minions Registered User regular
    we're pretty sure they CIA isn't involved this time right?

  • TryCatcherTryCatcher Registered User regular
    @ronya

    What you are saying carries the implication that the armed militias (Goverment. Sponsored. Gangs.) were justifiable at some point.

    tupamaros2.jpg

    The pic speaks for itself.

  • RockinXRockinX Registered User regular
    RockinX wrote: »
    ronya wrote: »
    the currency devaluation stems from a sincere, if antiquated, belief that currency devaluation has nothing to do with local inflation, and that local scarcity stems only from monopoly power

    I sincerely doubt they have that belief. If they weren't doing everything that should not be done, then I'd be willing to give credit to that assumption. But they're doing the exact opposite of what Economy books say it's best for a country's economy (never mind the fact that when a government fixes the prices of goods, it only leads to scarcity, as evidenced by what happened in Spain and Germany in the past).

    Not to give the current regime undue credit for sincerity, but the Chavez government very much resonated like the old communist used to. The theory of communism is correct we know this to be true, so as long as we follow the theory we will get the result. It's like arguing with a biblical literalist, it doesn't matter how much evidence you present, the earth IS only 6000 years old so your evidence must be wrong or tainted.

    What I hate about his so-called "socialism of the 21st century" is that everyone is supposed to earn equal amounts of money, but even when he was alive, his elite always had vast amounts of money while the average supporter is paid with peanuts. It doesn't help that they give away money and resources to other countries while have deficient water supply services, frequent blackouts, high crime rate, inflation, and other problems they should take care of.

  • emnmnmeemnmnme Registered User regular
    RockinX wrote: »
    It doesn't help that they give away money and resources to other countries while have deficient water supply services, frequent blackouts, high crime rate, inflation, and other problems they should take care of.
    Heh.
    http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2013-09-27/venezuela-is-running-out-of-toilet-paper-.html
    [Toilet paper shortages] have gotten so bad that Venezuelan Jose Augusto Montiel developed a crowd-sourced, Google Maps-based Android app and a website, Abasteceme (“Supply Me”), that consumers can use to track down stores carrying toilet paper and other scarce products.

  • ronyaronya Arrrrrf. the ivory tower's basementRegistered User regular
    RockinX wrote: »
    ronya wrote: »
    the currency devaluation stems from a sincere, if antiquated, belief that currency devaluation has nothing to do with local inflation, and that local scarcity stems only from monopoly power

    I sincerely doubt they have that belief. If they weren't doing everything that should not be done, then I'd be willing to give credit to that assumption. But they're doing the exact opposite of what Economy books say it's best for a country's economy (never mind the fact that when a government fixes the prices of goods, it only leads to scarcity, as evidenced by what happened in Spain and Germany in the past).

    Not to give the current regime undue credit for sincerity, but the Chavez government very much resonated like the old communist used to. The theory of communism is correct we know this to be true, so as long as we follow the theory we will get the result. It's like arguing with a biblical literalist, it doesn't matter how much evidence you present, the earth IS only 6000 years old so your evidence must be wrong or tainted.

    exactly

    remember that the old belief was one held by every Western power in the world once, it's a loop that well-meaning thinkers can very much trap yourself in. The Chavist outlook peers outside the window and says: look! Unemployment! Therefore the inflation must be caused by something else, like monopolies.
    TryCatcher wrote: »
    @ronya

    What you are saying carries the implication that the armed militias (Goverment. Sponsored. Gangs.) were justifiable at some point.

    tupamaros2.jpg

    The pic speaks for itself.

    Well - justifiable to who? Justifiable to a government utterly terrified that the army will stand by whilst the generals stage a coup? Of course it is trying to set up its own loyal paramilitary. Initially state-funded, but I'm betting that over time they have relied on the militias getting larger and larger whilst the militias have been funding that increase through illicit activities, so now the government can't even reverse the reliance on colectivos.

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  • TryCatcherTryCatcher Registered User regular
    Ok, you just said that having a goverment sponsor criminal gangs that shoot protesters with actual guns (two students died, one got shot. on. the. head, want me to link the pics?) is justifiable. So much for rational conversation.

    This specially bothers me since the rector at my college asked Maduro via Twitter to send said armed gangs against the protesters on my city. The backslash was so high that she closed her account and claimed that it was hacked. A relatively minor incident, but there's no excuses for a goverment to use gangs against the civilian population.

  • ronyaronya Arrrrrf. the ivory tower's basementRegistered User regular
    I said it was justifiable to the government, not justifiable in principle. The PSUV has different priorities, as I'm sure you're aware.

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  • TryCatcherTryCatcher Registered User regular
    Ok, maybe I'm being a little too defensive. Rather move on.

    Here's a short explanation of the protests, with pics included:

    http://thinkprogress.org/world/2014/02/15/3297311/venezuela-protests-twitter/

  • DarklyreDarklyre Registered User regular
    TryCatcher wrote: »
    @ronya

    What you are saying carries the implication that the armed militias (Goverment. Sponsored. Gangs.) were justifiable at some point.

    tupamaros2.jpg

    The pic speaks for itself.

    Not gonna lie, that flag on the right looks like it's got a bowcaster on it.

  • TryCatcherTryCatcher Registered User regular
    Cheered by supporters, Venezuelan opposition leader Lopez surrenders:

    http://edition.cnn.com/2014/02/18/world/americas/venezuela-protests/

  • InvisibleGriffinInvisibleGriffin Registered User regular
    So Joe Kennedy is everywhere again this year. Anyone want to explain how he went from guaranteed future president to Citgo Santa?

  • emnmnmeemnmnme Registered User regular
    http://news.yahoo.com/fourth-person-dies-venezuela-political-unrest-local-residents-125437971--sector.html
    Thousands of oil workers and Maduro supporters, clad in the red of the ruling Socialist Party, held their own demonstration in Caracas on Tuesday, music blaring in a party atmosphere ... In a nation split largely down the middle on political lines, 'Chavistas' have stayed loyal to Maduro despite unflattering comparisons with his famously charismatic predecessor. Many Venezuelans fear the loss of popular, oil-funded welfare programs should the socialist lose power.

    Does Maduro have good qualities the people admire besides the handouts? He must have some magic quality about him if only half of Venezuela is mad at him after arresting the opposition leader for the crime of being the opposition leader.

  • TryCatcherTryCatcher Registered User regular
    Those oil workers are going to get FIRED and arrested if they don't go to the protests so yeah.

    Also, comparison:

    Opposition protest:

    12-feb-1-629x442.jpg

    Maduro supporters:

    caracas-marchas_en_venezuela_MILIMA20140218_0135_3.jpg

  • RockinXRockinX Registered User regular
    emnmnme wrote: »
    http://news.yahoo.com/fourth-person-dies-venezuela-political-unrest-local-residents-125437971--sector.html
    Thousands of oil workers and Maduro supporters, clad in the red of the ruling Socialist Party, held their own demonstration in Caracas on Tuesday, music blaring in a party atmosphere ... In a nation split largely down the middle on political lines, 'Chavistas' have stayed loyal to Maduro despite unflattering comparisons with his famously charismatic predecessor. Many Venezuelans fear the loss of popular, oil-funded welfare programs should the socialist lose power.

    Does Maduro have good qualities the people admire besides the handouts? He must have some magic quality about him if only half of Venezuela is mad at him after arresting the opposition leader for the crime of being the opposition leader.

    Yes, he has good qualities, like the ability of making an ass out of himself every time he speaks and talking to birds who are chavez reincarnated and still be applauded by his supporters who are being forced to do so or else they'll be fired or denied benefits.

  • tinwhiskerstinwhiskers Registered User regular
    emnmnme wrote: »
    http://news.yahoo.com/fourth-person-dies-venezuela-political-unrest-local-residents-125437971--sector.html

    [yahoo]Thousands of oil workers and Maduro supporters, clad in the red of the ruling Socialist Party, held their own demonstration in Caracas on Tuesday, music blaring in a party atmosphere ... In a nation split largely down the middle on political lines, 'Chavistas' have stayed loyal to Maduro despite unflattering comparisons with his famously charismatic predecessor. Many Venezuelans fear the loss of popular, oil-funded welfare programs should the socialist lose power.[yahoo]

    Does Maduro have good qualities the people admire besides the handouts? He must have some magic quality about him if only half of Venezuela is mad at him after arresting the opposition leader for the crime of being the opposition leader.

    LOL 'If we let go of the gooses neck then it will fly away and won't give us any more eggs'

    AE3023.png

    source: http://www.dailyfinance.com/2013/12/21/desperate-to-boost-oil-production-venezuela-moves/

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  • RockinXRockinX Registered User regular
    edited February 2014
    I'm genuinely scared. It's quiet where I live, but I've read reports (accompanied by photos and videos) of people from other parts of my city saying that they're being attacked and their internet access and phone line being interrupted.

    I wish I could ask other countries to help Venezuela, but nobody does anything for free and I doubt they'll see profit in helping us. I hope those who voted for the current regime are happy, because they helped destroy Venezuela.

    RockinX on
  • ShadowfireShadowfire Vermont, in the middle of nowhereRegistered User regular
    @RockinX just be careful. I appreciate the news you're giving us, but you need to keep yourself safe.

  • override367override367 ALL minions Registered User regular
    RockinX wrote: »
    I'm genuinely scared. It's quiet where I live, but I've read reports (accompanied by photos and videos) of people from other parts of my city saying that they're being attacked and their internet access and phone line being interrupted.

    I wish I could ask other countries to help Venezuela, but nobody does anything for free and I doubt they'll see profit in helping us. I hope those who voted for the current regime are happy, because they helped destroy Venezuela.

    Judging by history, any "help" would be a thinly veiled excuse to send in a military incursion to privatize Venezuela's oil

  • RockinXRockinX Registered User regular
    edited February 2014
    Shadowfire wrote: »
    @RockinX just be careful. I appreciate the news you're giving us, but you need to keep yourself safe.

    Don't worry, I'm at home right now. It may sound cowardly, but I don't think the general unarmed population can accomplish anything at all. The ones that have the power to help us are the members of the militia.
    RockinX wrote: »
    I'm genuinely scared. It's quiet where I live, but I've read reports (accompanied by photos and videos) of people from other parts of my city saying that they're being attacked and their internet access and phone line being interrupted.

    I wish I could ask other countries to help Venezuela, but nobody does anything for free and I doubt they'll see profit in helping us. I hope those who voted for the current regime are happy, because they helped destroy Venezuela.

    Judging by history, any "help" would be a thinly veiled excuse to send in a military incursion to privatize Venezuela's oil
    At this point, I couldn't care less about our oil. I graduated in 2007 and have only had temporary jobs. I've spent more time unemployed (I survive thanks to my mom and some freelance statistics jobs for undergrad students' theses), I can't go out at night, can't use even the cheapest and crappiest phone in public, and the inflation is too high. It's also hard to find medicines and basic goods.

    But USA (in other words, the buyers of 90% of our oil) will be limiting the import of oil because they're starting to produce their own, so it's delusional to think it'll happen.


    Edit: BTW, I have very weak endurance (most likely because of me having diabetes), so I doubt I'd be of any help during protests.

    RockinX on
  • AngelHedgieAngelHedgie Registered User regular
    Interesting analysis of the situation.

    Key points:

    *The government isn't acting as securely as it should be from an outside perspective. Why that is the case is up for question.
    * While it's possible that the colectivos were organized by the government, scholarship on similar groups in other countries such as China indicate that they formed and acted autonomously. It's worth reading the recent Reuters piece on them.
    * That said, this does not absolve the Maduro government from their responsibility to maintain the safety of the nation. They could do more to rein in the colectivos, and that they have not is a black mark on them.
    * There appears to be only downsides to violence for the Maduro government. On the other hand, Lopez's faction in the opposition would benefit from violent confrontation, both in consolidation of power in the opposition, as well as moving the opposition as a whole to a more revolutionary stance.
    * On one hand, there is no evidence that Lopez is directly provoking violence. On the other, his statements of seeking peaceful protest are disingenuous when looking at his choosing to hold opposition marches through pro-government communities. (Think of it this way - if Gerry Adams led a Sinn Fein march through a Protestant neighborhood in the mid-90s, he would be held to partial blame for any outbreaks of violence, and rightfully so.)

    XBL: Nox Aeternum / PSN: NoxAeternum / NN:NoxAeternum / Steam: noxaeternum
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