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2019 election results thread
Jragghen
Registered User regular
Registered User regular
There was an election today. There's implications for a lot of things, but some of them don't really fit in any other thread and we don't want things to trickle.
Some notable results I'm aware of:
VA Senate and House flipped, giving Democrats the trifecta for the first time since 1993.
Kentucky Governor flipped by a very narrow margin, which has implications for next year in terms of enfranchisement, but Republicans won most downstream tickets by 20 points.
Mississippi Governor looks to be staying R, but there's some interesting turnout trends.
NYC voted for ranked choice voting.
Other stuff I know which is up, but haven't looked into results:
Washington affirmative action
Tuscon sanctuary City
Colorado tax propositions
Texas House district 28 - this district has embodied the shift of the state and is viewed as a bellwether
Anyway, use this as a catch-all for state and local stuff. Thread is mod-approved.
Some notable results I'm aware of:
VA Senate and House flipped, giving Democrats the trifecta for the first time since 1993.
Kentucky Governor flipped by a very narrow margin, which has implications for next year in terms of enfranchisement, but Republicans won most downstream tickets by 20 points.
Mississippi Governor looks to be staying R, but there's some interesting turnout trends.
NYC voted for ranked choice voting.
Other stuff I know which is up, but haven't looked into results:
Washington affirmative action
Tuscon sanctuary City
Colorado tax propositions
Texas House district 28 - this district has embodied the shift of the state and is viewed as a bellwether
Anyway, use this as a catch-all for state and local stuff. Thread is mod-approved.
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Haven't seen comparisons to 2018 or 2016, just 2015, where turnout is OBNOXIOUSLY up.
Like 400000+ more voters up, I think?
Quick googling earlier for comparing to 2016 made it look like D turn out was up a bit and R turn out was down a bunch.
So glad to be rid of Bevin though, maybe theres a chance for moscow mitch.
The Kentucky libertarian party is apparently run by 4chan trolls.
E:
The Trump-world spin is already that Trump is wholly responsible for all the other Republicans in Kentucky winning, but it's only thanks to him that Bevin was close at all. And also, Beshear, the guy that they kept calling a socialist, is actually basically a Republican anyway, so come back and try winning with a REAL liberal.
But a spoiler candidate tipping the election to the left and plugging RCV?
I'll allow it.
Now let's watch as "memelords splitting the GOP vote for lulz" is the framing that carries RCV forward in the post-sanity era.
For Indiana, we have Democrat’s winning seats in the Carmel-Fishers area in Northern Indianapolis, for the first time in 30 years. That area has been a Arepublican stronghold until now.
But I am excited at this Kentuckian news. If only because of what it might portend for McConnell. And hopefully as a sign to Republicans that they're not making the best decisions right now.
Narrowly lost (49-51). Wouldn't be surprised to see this one again: https://www.seattletimes.com/seattle-news/politics/election-results-2019-referendum-88-affirmative-action-washington-state/
Overwhelmingly shot down (70-30)
CC (state must return revenue over a certain amount) lost 55-45. DD (legalizing and taxing sports betting) looks to be squeaking through via .06%, yes.
Dem is in first place, but this is a special election and requires majority, so it's probably going into a runoff. However, end results don't really look great, because she still only pulled 39%. The reason I heard this one was a bellweather was because it was showing the Democratization of the suburbs, so to speak, where each Presidential election this century leading into the Beto/Cruz election last year being extremely close was showing this district drifting RAPIDLY (like, noticeable percentages each year) to the left. Not quite there yet, looks like.
Other rando results:
New Jersey, Republicans picked up a few seats and it was quite low turnout, but it won't really make a difference in the makeup of the legislature.
MS's main story seems to be turnout: the Dem candidate did MUCH better than the previous one with rural whites, but wasn't able to pull enthusiasm from the African American communities, so overall turnout was down. From Wasserman:
And back in VA, we're going to recount-town again with one district decided by 18 votes:
The suburbs swinging to D even in red states would screw up all the electoral preconceptions. Basically all of Northern Virginia is now blue at the state and federal level, when 20 years ago that would have been crazy talk
QEDMF xbl: PantsB G+
Needless to say it passed easily.
We also authorized a bunch of bonds and spending for schools and infrastructure on the same ballot, so ... yay consistency?
State politics arm of the Lexington Herald
The GOP is going to do everything possible to ratfuck this election.
Skipping out on the check is a very consistent conservative view, yes.
:rotate:
As near as I can tell it means the state senate votes. One guess who has the majority there.
In good news my hometown, Wichita KS, ousted their crooked-ass mayor and elected a Democrat.
https://www.courier-journal.com/story/news/politics/2019/11/06/kentucky-governors-election-race-recount-look-what-happens-now/4172935002/
Looks like steps are:
1) recanvas. Basically, each county clerk goes 'yep, those are my numbers'.
2) recount, which Bevin would have to pay for.
3) "contested election" has to be filed by next Tuesday.
So realistically it SHOULD be "if it's found that there's gross violations of campaign law, the legislature can step in." Given the timeline we live in, who the fuck knows.
I'd kinda expect it to go to recount and then peter out, with the legislature instead going with WI/NC route of neutering what the Governor is able to do.
Article says that requests for a (hand) recount or contesting the results both have to be filed by Tuesday. Unless it's possible to complete the hand count by Monday, it seems like you'd need to claim either malfeasance or a miscount up front, not wait and see on the latter.
I guess we'll find out.
also in delco, the democrats swept the elections there, county controlled by democrats in the first time since forever and combined with the 2 wins last election, they hold the entire council. possible good news for '20 since philly suburbs are where we're gonna have to win PA in presidential elections going forward.
our dumb marsy's law measure will pass if the courts allow it, but currently the state supreme court said it if it goes in it will immediately possibly violate the constitutional rights of the accused, so they're not counting it until the legal battle is done. hope it gets struck, because marsy's law is absolute unconstitutional trashgarbage and putting it in the pa constitution would be a true embarassment.
What do we want?!
Things!
How are we gonna pay for it?!
We're not!
PSN/Steam/NNID: SyphonBlue | BNet: SyphonBlue#1126
love to just straight up buy a city
It was massively approved.
Pretty psyched about that!
They're not....Entirely incorrect? There was one pollster that had Beshear up by 19. But it was....let's say, not a very reputable pollster. The reputable pollster that had most recently polled the race had it completely tied at 46/46.
PSN/Steam/NNID: SyphonBlue | BNet: SyphonBlue#1126
Huffpost correspondent:
Media Matters writer:
Edit: Fixed now.
Video is Laura Ingraham basically claiming, "Bevin had a 32% approval rating and only made it to 49% of the vote because of a Trump bump. And also Virginia is disastrous, but look what Trump did for Bevin!"
Turns out Republicans are willing to vote for people they don't approve of just because they're Republican.
https://www.courier-journal.com/story/news/politics/2019/11/06/beshear-vs-bevin-legislature-could-decide-race-senate-president-says/4174103002/
Judging from this:
It means Bevin is going to win.
twitch.tv/Taramoor
@TaramoorPlays
Taramoor on Youtube
What's more, if you give Bevin all of Beshear's votes he has a 98% landslide victory.
the last poll that had the Dem winning is nearly a year old
People just really, really think Bevin’s an idiot.