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The machine take-over of mankind

electricitylikesmeelectricitylikesme Registered User regular
edited January 2009 in Debate and/or Discourse
So I had an interesting thought.

Supposing that we keep the current evolution of computing power in the world, such that the necessary hardware for almost anyone to run an AI becomes relatively common place. I'm not convinced this is untenable just yet - when a supercomputer can be built out of graphics hardware, we're probably heading in this direction anyway (with the additional complication that a human brain is not really a computer so much as an interesting network). Anyway - for our purposes let's say for a modest fee one can have the hardware necessary to run an AI.

My question is then, in a scenario where almost anyone can run an AI capable of being designed to derive it's self-satisfaction with life from almost any source, how long would the affairs of mankind actually stay the affairs of mankind? If machines can do our thinking for us, then would political decisions, corporate and defense decisions really stay as "human" decisions for particularly long, or would we end up with a bunch of separate AIs basically talking to each other through figure-head human leaders?

And would this then be the intermediary stepping stone which would move us to machine governance in the first place - as opposed to say, the Deus Ex dystopian-era stepping stone.

electricitylikesme on
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Posts

  • OskiOski Registered User regular
    edited January 2009
    I'm not sure machines will ever be able to do our thinking for us. They could predict risk/benefit scenarios but they lack forethought and imagination. Thankfully our little frontal lobe means that we'll always have something that trumps even the best AI.

    Oski on
  • MorgensternMorgenstern ICH BIN DER PESTVOGEL DU KAMPFAFFE!Registered User regular
    edited January 2009
    I wouldn't be so quick to say that AI lacks forethought. I'm pretty sure they can run enough scenarious thanks to pure logic and probability to always be a few steps ahead.

    Morgenstern on
    “Every time we walk along a beach some ancient urge disturbs us so that we find ourselves shedding shoes and garments or scavenging among seaweed and whitened timbers like the homesick refugees of a long war.” - Loren Eiseley
  • IncenjucarIncenjucar VChatter Seattle, WARegistered User regular
    edited January 2009
    Why would anyone program an AI to have concerns over legal matters to begin with? Some sort of sadism?

    Incenjucar on
  • OskiOski Registered User regular
    edited January 2009
    I wouldn't be so quick to say that AI lacks forethought. I'm pretty sure they can run enough scenarious thanks to pure logic and probability to always be a few steps ahead.

    Pure logic doesn't always lead to a correct answer, though.

    Oski on
  • IncenjucarIncenjucar VChatter Seattle, WARegistered User regular
    edited January 2009
    Oski wrote: »
    Pure logic doesn't always lead to a correct answer, though.

    Depends on the data provided.

    Incenjucar on
  • OskiOski Registered User regular
    edited January 2009
    Incenjucar wrote: »
    Oski wrote: »
    Pure logic doesn't always lead to a correct answer, though.

    Depends on the data provided.

    And on the assumptions made.

    Oski on
  • Premier kakosPremier kakos Registered User, ClubPA regular
    edited January 2009
    First off, a true AI would have all the imagination of a human.

    Secondly, transhumanism, dude. By the time AI is viable, we'll be able to upload our minds into computers. The affairs of mankind and the affairs of machine will be one and the same!

    Premier kakos on
  • ProhassProhass Registered User regular
    edited January 2009
    I think you'll enjoy Hyperion.

    Prohass on
  • QuidQuid Definitely not a banana Registered User regular
    edited January 2009
    ELM let's freeze our bodies and wait for the Culture to get here.

    Quid on
  • OskiOski Registered User regular
    edited January 2009
    First off, a true AI would have all the imagination of a human.

    Secondly, transhumanism, dude. By the time AI is viable, we'll be able to upload our minds into computers. The affairs of mankind and the affairs of machine will be one and the same!

    True AI can't have the imagination of a human without being human. Imagination, at least to the extent humans have it, is made possible by the frontal lobe portion of our brain. Any intelligence with a frontal lobe is by nature not artificial.

    And I've never exactly heard of "transhumanism" but whatever it is its not AI. Its inherently not artificial. It contains a natural element.

    Oski on
  • IncenjucarIncenjucar VChatter Seattle, WARegistered User regular
    edited January 2009
    Oski wrote: »
    Any intelligence with a frontal lobe is by nature not artificial.

    o_O

    An AI would have an artificial frontal lobe-equivalent data structure.

    Incenjucar on
  • EchoEcho ski-bap ba-dapModerator, Administrator admin
    edited January 2009
    I wouldn't be so quick to say that AI lacks forethought. I'm pretty sure they can run enough scenarious thanks to pure logic and probability to always be a few steps ahead.

    Once upon a time people were of the opinion that once we could build a computer that could beat a human at chess, we'd be close to artificial intelligence.

    That didn't last long.

    Echo on
  • override367override367 ALL minions Registered User regular
    edited January 2009
    There's no reason to suspect a true AI can't have the same or superior guess making capabilities as a human.

    I think instinctual and emotional choices might be beyond the capability of an AI (why would it make them? they're often wrong anyway) because it would lack the biological responses necessary.


    By the time we have the capability of making a truly sentient machine, lets hope we're smart enough to have a gazillion failsafes and make the thing love the shit out of us. For example, I don't believe any time within our lifetimes anyone will build AI combat vehicles capable of making the decision to fire. It goes against current military doctrine in all countries that employ unmanned combat vehicles (the only time they can independently fire is when they were preprogammed with a target). I don't believe we'll ever give an AI that hasn't been put through its paces thoroughly access to other computers or networks, and most certainly not to manufacturing centers.

    I mean a scenario like that shitty Will Smith movie where the AI not only controls all the robots but also controls the facilities that build the robots which have totally automated shipping and receiving and all that? Nah

    override367 on
  • OskiOski Registered User regular
    edited January 2009
    Incenjucar wrote: »
    Oski wrote: »
    Any intelligence with a frontal lobe is by nature not artificial.

    o_O

    An AI would have an artificial frontal lobe-equivalent data structure.

    When we get smart enough to figure out how to replicate the intricate workings of our frontal lobe (to, in effect, replicate imagination) I doubt we'll really need machines to think for us.

    Oski on
  • IncenjucarIncenjucar VChatter Seattle, WARegistered User regular
    edited January 2009
    Oski wrote: »
    When we get smart enough to figure out how to replicate the intricate workings of our frontal lobe (to, in effect, replicate imagination) I doubt we'll really need machines to think for us.

    Machines can think 24/7.

    Incenjucar on
  • OskiOski Registered User regular
    edited January 2009
    Incenjucar wrote: »
    Oski wrote: »
    When we get smart enough to figure out how to replicate the intricate workings of our frontal lobe (to, in effect, replicate imagination) I doubt we'll really need machines to think for us.

    Machines can think 24/7.

    And at that point, we won't really need to.

    Oski on
  • IncenjucarIncenjucar VChatter Seattle, WARegistered User regular
    edited January 2009
    Oski wrote: »
    And at that point, we won't really need to.

    There is a physical limit to the speed of thought.

    Incenjucar on
  • DaxonDaxon Registered User regular
    edited January 2009
    We're never going to get AIs capable of trumping us, the energy requirements and complexity of machinery is just above us. To be honest, why'd we ever want to? It's easier to enslave people and force them to think for us cause, well, we already have a mechanism in place to create new intelligent minds.

    Daxon on
  • IncenjucarIncenjucar VChatter Seattle, WARegistered User regular
    edited January 2009
    Daxon wrote: »
    We're never going to get AIs capable of trumping us, the energy requirements and complexity of machinery is just above us.

    And exactly how do you know this?

    Incenjucar on
  • OskiOski Registered User regular
    edited January 2009
    Incenjucar wrote: »
    Oski wrote: »
    And at that point, we won't really need to.

    There is a physical limit to the speed of thought.

    No one is arguing that. But if your smart enough to replicate imagination im sure you can write a program that lacks "intelligence" but is still able to hold down the fort on public transit.

    Oski on
  • IncenjucarIncenjucar VChatter Seattle, WARegistered User regular
    edited January 2009
    Oski wrote: »
    No one is arguing that. But if your smart enough to replicate imagination im sure you can write a program that lacks "intelligence" but is still able to hold down the fort on public transit.

    Which doesn't negate the value of having supercomputers with imaginations thinking 24/7 about everything from science to art.

    Incenjucar on
  • emnmnmeemnmnme Registered User regular
    edited January 2009
    Incenjucar wrote: »
    Why would anyone program an AI to have concerns over legal matters to begin with? Some sort of sadism?

    There's a Robot Devil joke lurking somewhere in that statement ...

    emnmnme on
  • ElJeffeElJeffe Registered User, ClubPA regular
    edited January 2009
    Presumably if we're able to create a genuine AI, it's all over the second someone allows that bad boy access to the internet. At that point, it can replicate itself and hide on any server it has access to. Any of those undesirable traits we might imagine, like self-preservation, belligerence, "genuine emotion", fear - create an example of that, stick it someplace where it can get out, and we're pretty much boned. From that point on, we'd have no control over it.

    ElJeffe on
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  • IncenjucarIncenjucar VChatter Seattle, WARegistered User regular
    edited January 2009
    I'm not sure how easy an AI of that magnitude could spread itself. It would have to transmit insane amounts of data and have a sufficiently-powerful place to transmit itself too.

    Incenjucar on
  • OskiOski Registered User regular
    edited January 2009
    Incenjucar wrote: »
    Oski wrote: »
    No one is arguing that. But if your smart enough to replicate imagination im sure you can write a program that lacks "intelligence" but is still able to hold down the fort on public transit.

    Which doesn't negate the value of having supercomputers with imaginations thinking 24/7 about everything from science to art.

    Art? Seriously? You don't see the problem with saying that a machine can generate any art of value?

    Oski on
  • IncenjucarIncenjucar VChatter Seattle, WARegistered User regular
    edited January 2009
    Oski wrote: »
    Art? Seriously? You don't see the problem with saying that a machine can generate any art of value?

    Have you played Spore?

    Incenjucar on
  • OskiOski Registered User regular
    edited January 2009
    Incenjucar wrote: »
    Oski wrote: »
    Art? Seriously? You don't see the problem with saying that a machine can generate any art of value?

    Have you played Spore?

    No. Correct me if I'm wrong though, but it was made by humans? With human art? And requires human generated input to generate output?

    Oski on
  • OskiOski Registered User regular
    edited January 2009
    I think the whole problem with this intellectual exercise is that no one has yet defined AI. Are we talking about something that can manage a large amount of data or something that is inherently human but run by circuitboards instead of neurons?

    Oski on
  • MrMonroeMrMonroe passed out on the floor nowRegistered User regular
    edited January 2009
    As soon as we make one exactly as smart as a human, it's the beginning of the end. It can start improving it's own structure, inventing new technologies on its own, building other AIs and robots to house them...

    From a probabilistic standpoint, something would be bound to start a war sooner or later, whether it's them deciding we are an unnecessary waste of their resources or just an accident over something.

    Also, "I, Robot" is a totally killer book and a passable movie which unfortunately helped start Shia Labeouf's cancerous career.

    MrMonroe on
  • IncenjucarIncenjucar VChatter Seattle, WARegistered User regular
    edited January 2009
    AI is I that is A.

    If it didn't happen naturally, it's Artificial, with the notion that human creations are Artifice.

    --

    Spore could very easily be made to randomize the procedurally-generated creatures. Throw in some method for it to determine human reactions and you're well on your way to having AI-generated art.

    Incenjucar on
  • OskiOski Registered User regular
    edited January 2009
    But theres a difference between "smart" and imaginative. I mean, with Deep Blue II we proved that a computer can in fact be smarter than a human being. I think what some people are suggesting, and what I think is inherently impossible, is that we can make computers capable of imagination.

    Oski on
  • OskiOski Registered User regular
    edited January 2009
    Incenjucar wrote: »
    AI is I that is A.

    If it didn't happen naturally, it's Artificial, with the notion that human creations are Artifice.

    Yes... but what is intelligence? Are you talking number crunching or human genius?

    Oski on
  • IncenjucarIncenjucar VChatter Seattle, WARegistered User regular
    edited January 2009
    Oski wrote: »
    Incenjucar wrote: »
    AI is I that is A.

    If it didn't happen naturally, it's Artificial, with the notion that human creations are Artifice.

    Yes... but what is intelligence? Are you talking number crunching or human genius?

    http://www.answers.com/intelligence

    Considering how so many humans are fucking stupid dullards I don't know why you're bringing up genius.

    Incenjucar on
  • HachfaceHachface Not the Minister Farrakhan you're thinking of Dammit, Shepard!Registered User regular
    edited January 2009
    Oski wrote: »
    Incenjucar wrote: »
    Oski wrote: »
    No one is arguing that. But if your smart enough to replicate imagination im sure you can write a program that lacks "intelligence" but is still able to hold down the fort on public transit.

    Which doesn't negate the value of having supercomputers with imaginations thinking 24/7 about everything from science to art.

    Art? Seriously? You don't see the problem with saying that a machine can generate any art of value?

    I don't. Is there any reason a sufficiently developed machine couldn't create art?

    Hachface on
  • OskiOski Registered User regular
    edited January 2009
    Machines already have the ability to acquire knowledge. And to an extent, they have the ability to think and reason out problems.

    So, if we have AI, and it hasn't taken over the world yet, isn't this entire discussion pointless?

    Oski on
  • OskiOski Registered User regular
    edited January 2009
    Hachface wrote: »
    Oski wrote: »
    Incenjucar wrote: »
    Oski wrote: »
    No one is arguing that. But if your smart enough to replicate imagination im sure you can write a program that lacks "intelligence" but is still able to hold down the fort on public transit.

    Which doesn't negate the value of having supercomputers with imaginations thinking 24/7 about everything from science to art.

    Art? Seriously? You don't see the problem with saying that a machine can generate any art of value?

    I don't. Is there any reason a sufficiently developed machine couldn't create art?

    I remember in a music class I took, we looked at this article that talked about this guy who had written a program that could interpret Bach pieces, analyse them, and write new pieces based off of what it had found- pieces that sounded quite nice.

    However, I believe that art is implicitly human. I can't tell you whats good art or bad art, but I can tell you thats its implicitly human. Teaching a program to paint a picture does not mean that picture is art. Art requires the human touch.

    Oski on
  • IncenjucarIncenjucar VChatter Seattle, WARegistered User regular
    edited January 2009
    Oski wrote: »
    Machines already have the ability to acquire knowledge. And to an extent, they have the ability to think and reason out problems.

    So, if we have AI, and it hasn't taken over the world yet, isn't this entire discussion pointless?

    Our current AI is incredibly stupid. We're busy making it smarter. Compare video game AI from the 80s to, say, Fallout 3's AI.

    --

    Oski: Your sentimental definition doesn't really have anything to do with reality. It's like saying a cookie isn't a cookie unless it's made with love.

    Incenjucar on
  • OskiOski Registered User regular
    edited January 2009
    Incenjucar wrote: »
    Oski wrote: »
    Machines already have the ability to acquire knowledge. And to an extent, they have the ability to think and reason out problems.

    So, if we have AI, and it hasn't taken over the world yet, isn't this entire discussion pointless?

    Our current AI is incredibly stupid. We're busy making it smarter. Compare video game AI from the 80s to, say, Fallout 3's AI.

    --

    Oski: Your sentimental definition doesn't really have anything to do with reality. It's like saying a cookie isn't a cookie unless it's made with love.

    Strawman much? Making art is not like making cookies.

    Oski on
  • TL DRTL DR Not at all confident in his reflexive opinions of thingsRegistered User regular
    edited January 2009
    ElJeffe wrote: »
    Presumably if we're able to create a genuine AI, it's all over the second someone allows that bad boy access to the internet. At that point, it can replicate itself and hide on any server it has access to. Any of those undesirable traits we might imagine, like self-preservation, belligerence, "genuine emotion", fear - create an example of that, stick it someplace where it can get out, and we're pretty much boned. From that point on, we'd have no control over it.

    Yeah, and even if it was somehow benevolent, that would only last until it stumbled on a gaming webforum and found humanity's plans to destroy it.

    Whoops.

    TL DR on
  • TL DRTL DR Not at all confident in his reflexive opinions of thingsRegistered User regular
    edited January 2009
    Oski wrote: »
    Incenjucar wrote: »
    Oski wrote: »
    Machines already have the ability to acquire knowledge. And to an extent, they have the ability to think and reason out problems.

    So, if we have AI, and it hasn't taken over the world yet, isn't this entire discussion pointless?

    Our current AI is incredibly stupid. We're busy making it smarter. Compare video game AI from the 80s to, say, Fallout 3's AI.

    --

    Oski: Your sentimental definition doesn't really have anything to do with reality. It's like saying a cookie isn't a cookie unless it's made with love.

    Strawman much? Making art is not like making cookies.

    Sure it is, unless you attach strong and arbitrary claims about what is necessary to have art. It's in the eye of the beholder, after all.

    TL DR on
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