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The 2016 Conditional Post-Election Thread

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Posts

  • rockrngerrockrnger Registered User regular
    A
    The Ender wrote: »
    I felt the fear as soon as I saw Munroe go red. A Democrat stronghold in Florida, apparently, since 2004. I knew nothing else about it.

    Confidence was unable to make a rejoinder after that.


    I simply hope that Trump was blowing smoke out of his ass the entire campaign and he was only playing the part of fascist for votes / donation money. It's the only thing I can hope for at this point.

    I also hope that the various countries with important treaties relying on U.S. military guarantees do not suddenly panic, and that President Obama is on the phone right now with Yun Byung-se.

    Spot on analysis tonight.

    100 percent sincere, you being the voice of reason Softened the blow a lot.

  • OptyOpty Registered User regular
    Why does everyone on stage look mortified

    They know what they did.

  • hippofanthippofant ティンク Registered User regular
    hippofant wrote: »
    I think this is the harbinger of a realignment of powers. Speaking realpolitik here. It's not just that the wealth of the US is gonna go down, it's the whole world that will collapse and reorganize itself. Consider the GDP of the US compared to the rest of the world. When that consumption slows or crashes, everybody is going to go down. It's gonna suuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuck.

    And then someone else is gonna take the lead.

    The problem is that only the US has the ability to project power to keep things stable. Which means if Trump follows through on his plans to withdraw from treaty obligations, or appears he will consider that, nations with the economic power and technical know how to develop nuclear weapons will. And they'll be completely rational to do so. South Korea first, I would imagine.

    An unstable earth right now is seriously bad for humanity.

    I think it's more likely that more nations are going to start turning to China for protection and succor.

    They cannot project force like we can. Aircraft carriers!

    http://www.popularmechanics.com/military/navy-ships/a22433/china-first-homebuilt-aircraft-carrier/

    China's already been building up various multinational institutions to rival American ones, like the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank, and spent billions in foreign aid to African, South Asian, and Central/South American nations. Their ambition is quite clear. If Trump follows through on withdrawing the US's global presence, China will gladly fill in the spaces left behind.

  • shrykeshryke Member of the Beast Registered User regular
    I think this is the harbinger of a realignment of powers. Speaking realpolitik here. It's not just that the wealth of the US is gonna go down, it's the whole world that will collapse and reorganize itself. Consider the GDP of the US compared to the rest of the world. When that consumption slows or crashes, everybody is going to go down. It's gonna suuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuck.

    And then someone else is gonna take the lead.

    The problem is that only the US has the ability to project power to keep things stable. Which means if Trump follows through on his plans to withdraw from treaty obligations, or appears he will consider that, nations with the economic power and technical know how to develop nuclear weapons will. And they'll be completely rational to do so. South Korea first, I would imagine.

    An unstable earth right now is seriously bad for humanity.

    Our best hope at this point is that Trump simply doesn't care enough about this shit that his cronies mostly end up running the foreign policy show while managing him like the petulant child that he is.

    We are literally at the point where the GWB administration or the Nixon administration is our best case scenario.

  • HardtargetHardtarget There Are Four Lights VancouverRegistered User regular
    Dhalphir wrote: »
    I don't have a huge fear of what Trump will do directly.

    My fear is what the rest of the American population will start doing.

    A candidate just won the Presidency by repeatedly espousing horrific opinions and deplorable actions.

    Those opinions and actions are now normalised and legitimised. The people holding them now see themselves as a majority of America.

    THAT is what scares me.

    Exactly! Trump will be fine, whatever. But the kinds of hate he has brought out in huge swathes of people over the last year.

    It's terrifying.

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  • GatorGator An alligator in Scotland Registered User regular
    Asthariel wrote: »
    One year ago, in my country was elected a party ruled by hateful, irrational man, consisting mostly of morons and pragmatic frauds. They were elected, even though my country SHOULD HAVE KNOWN that they were completely unworthy of trust, because it looks like people are not mostly good or mostly evil, but mostly stupid, and because they were the loudest.

    I would like to say that it's not as bad as i thought it would be, but i can not. Im sorry America, but if analogy between them and Trump is correct, then your next 4 years are truly going to suck.

    Where are you from

  • DonnictonDonnicton Registered User regular
    Gator wrote: »
    Burnage wrote: »
    Yesterday, I thought David Fahrenthold was assured a Pulitzer. Today, I'm worried he's going to wind up in prison.

    Jesus, America. You're supposed to be better than this.

    I'm legitimately worried that being openly publicly political on FB and Twitter is going to fuck me down the road. Especially with the direct mocking of Trump I did. Regret for it isn't the right word, I regret nothing, but it is causing me to seriously consider leaving before the purges start. Because if I wait to see if that happens at all I might be too late.

    Honest advice: delete all your tweets

    Tjing tjang tjing nutillej!

  • Undead ScottsmanUndead Scottsman Cybertronian Paranormal Eliminator Registered User regular
    So, I just want to talk about a tiny bright spot on a hugely dismal day.

    I know a guy. Hes a bit of a goofball, super nice though. One of the smartest and well-rounded guys I know. I've know him since high school, and used to play D&D and other RPG's with him on a weekly basis. He got into politics campaigning for Bernie, and when he discoverd his local state representative was running unopposed, he ran against them. Dispite having no political experience and no financing. It was pretty was a protest campaign against a do-nothing republican majority.

    I just called him to wish him congratulations on winning.

  • ScosglenScosglen Registered User regular
    I just got back from a 5 mile 1 AM walk where I talked loudly to myself for most of the duration.

    I don't drink but I am about to eat half a pan of chocolate chip cookies to prepare for our shared 4 year waking nightmare.

  • [Expletive deleted][Expletive deleted] The mediocre doctor NorwayRegistered User regular
    Words fail me.

    Sic transit gloria mundi.
  • DrascinDrascin Registered User regular
    Okay, seriously, HOW. And it's apparently kind of a blowout, at that? I just got up and my day was just ruined. How does something like Trump win by a large margin?

    Even putting aside his politics, Trump has had more scandals than have been necessary to bring down entire governments. Bill Clinton was tarred for life for a single thing like Trump has had dozens. He's a worthless bag of shit, a known sexual predator, a harrasser, and as could be seen in the debates, visibly an idiot. Even if you're Republican, how do you vote for something like that?

    Steam ID: Right here.
  • DacDac Registered User regular
    Hardtarget wrote: »
    Dhalphir wrote: »
    I don't have a huge fear of what Trump will do directly.

    My fear is what the rest of the American population will start doing.

    A candidate just won the Presidency by repeatedly espousing horrific opinions and deplorable actions.

    Those opinions and actions are now normalised and legitimised. The people holding them now see themselves as a majority of America.

    THAT is what scares me.

    Exactly! Trump will be fine, whatever. But the kinds of hate he has brought out in huge swathes of people over the last year.

    It's terrifying.

    I have more fear of what a R house and senate with a R presidential stamp will be capable of passing than what Trump individually will do.

    Steam: catseye543
    PSN: ShogunGunshow
    Origin: ShogunGunshow
  • DuffelDuffel jacobkosh Registered User regular
    Hardtarget wrote: »
    Dhalphir wrote: »
    I don't have a huge fear of what Trump will do directly.

    My fear is what the rest of the American population will start doing.

    A candidate just won the Presidency by repeatedly espousing horrific opinions and deplorable actions.

    Those opinions and actions are now normalised and legitimised. The people holding them now see themselves as a majority of America.

    THAT is what scares me.

    Exactly! Trump will be fine, whatever. But the kinds of hate he has brought out in huge swathes of people over the last year.

    It's terrifying.

    We're a long way from fine. Allies of 60 years are panicking. The markets are panicking. We have no idea wherethis ends.

  • enlightenedbumenlightenedbum Registered User regular
    The best case is that Paul Ryan or Mike Pence is the most powerful person in America.

    The idea that your vote is a moral statement about you or who you vote for is some backwards ass libertarian nonsense. Your vote is about society. Vote to protect the vulnerable.
  • Zombie GandhiZombie Gandhi Registered User regular
    Hope lost.

  • Knight_Knight_ Dead Dead Dead Registered User regular
    Drascin wrote: »
    Okay, seriously, HOW. And it's apparently kind of a blowout, at that? I just got up and my day was just ruined. How does something like Trump win by a large margin?

    Even putting aside his politics, Trump has had more scandals than have been necessary to bring down entire governments. Bill Clinton was tarred for life for a single thing like Trump has had dozens. He's a worthless bag of shit, a known sexual predator, a harrasser, and as could be seen in the debates, visibly an idiot. Even if you're Republican, how do you vote for something like that?

    turns out, white people suck i guess.

    i don't really think we'll know more than that for months.

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  • KetBraKetBra Dressed Ridiculously Registered User regular
    Of fucking course President-Elect Trump is being played out to You Can't Always Get What You Want

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  • a nu starta nu start Registered User regular

    I have no idea why this election is hitting me so hard. Maybe because I was too young during Bush 2 elections (20 and 24, respectively) and I was on the "winning" side with Obama. Maybe I'm older and wiser. Maybe living in another country makes you see what the country is doing to itself. Maybe I'm just over-reacting.

    Fuck it. If my country doesn't want to make itself better, I'll just make myself better. Deleting Facebook, all that jazz.

    Number One Tricky
  • Stabbity StyleStabbity Style He/Him | Warning: Mothership Reporting Kennewick, WARegistered User regular
    Wow, they're playing "You can't always get what you want" for Trumps' walkoff. Ugh.

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  • HardtargetHardtarget There Are Four Lights VancouverRegistered User regular
    The actual real thing to be worried about: the Supreme Court.

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  • shrykeshryke Member of the Beast Registered User regular
    edited November 2016
    I would add here that American has just, in a very real and direct and absolute way, shit all over Obama. His legacy, his politics, the things he's accomplished, the man himself.

    Thanks Obama, but rather then exiting gracefully you are getting thrown out the door like a black man at the wrong lunch counter. It seems that moment is not one america has actually moved beyond in any meaningful sense.

    Possibly one of the best people, like a a person, to sit in the Oval Office. And certainly the best politician, as a person, I can think of in american politics. And this is what America has done to him.

    shryke on
  • WassermeloneWassermelone Registered User regular
    I just woke up (US citizen living in the UK)

    I feel like a need a stiff drink already. Christ.

  • Harry DresdenHarry Dresden Registered User regular
    Dhalphir wrote: »
    I don't have a huge fear of what Trump will do directly.

    My fear is what the rest of the American population will start doing.

    A candidate just won the Presidency by repeatedly espousing horrific opinions and deplorable actions.

    Those opinions and actions are now normalised and legitimised. The people holding them now see themselves as a majority of America.

    THAT is what scares me.

    You have a good reason to worry, as Brexit showed us.

    How could we get Brexit and President Trump in the same year? WTF 2016.

  • ArcTangentArcTangent Registered User regular
    Drascin wrote: »
    Okay, seriously, HOW. And it's apparently kind of a blowout, at that? I just got up and my day was just ruined. How does something like Trump win by a large margin?

    Even putting aside his politics, Trump has had more scandals than have been necessary to bring down entire governments. Bill Clinton was tarred for life for a single thing like Trump has had dozens. He's a worthless bag of shit, a known sexual predator, a harrasser, and as could be seen in the debates, visibly an idiot. Even if you're Republican, how do you vote for something like that?

    You vote as a "fuck you" to the government, targeting the most visible spot, the guy who you approve of and like to dismantle everything he's done, while reelecting all the people you profess to hate and want to get rid of.

    You vote for hate. Not for truth. Not for integrity. Not for compassion. Just for anger, hate, and the misplaced hope that all the most horrible things about him that he says he'll do, he can't actually do, while all the worst fears you have about his opponent, that nobody can get a shred of proof that they're true, are pure evil.

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  • tbloxhamtbloxham Registered User regular
    So hi there from Australia where I feel numb.

    The best case scenario here will be Trump burns all his bridges in Congress, popular opinion dives and he gets impeached on the basis of his numerous lies and probably outright fraud over the years.

    The worst case as I see it is WW3 in Europe when he decides to not respond as Russia experimentally renews annexing border states until it rolls into a NATO member. Or Kim Nung Um insults him and he orders a preemptive nuclear strike on Pyongyang. Or just bombing that results in Seoul being levelled.

    I mean this is great - pick any part of the world and there's literally nowhere he can't make things unutterably worse via strongman stupidity.

    I think there is a strong chance the congress and senate republicans decide the best plan is...

    1) Oppose any non perfect legislation, allowing democrats to block it
    2) Blame democrats for not being able to do any work
    3) Overload trump with work to the point he just wanders off to play golf, leaving your standard evil republican in charge
    4) Fuck up the supreme court
    5) Not really do anything else and hope for the best

    I really don't think they want to DO anything, and I don't think Donald Trump really wants to be President once he realizes the amount of work it is.

    "That is cool" - Abraham Lincoln
  • ViskodViskod Registered User regular
    My boyfriend keeps trying to console me. I adore him for his optimism even in the face of this tragedy.

    My only consolation is the thoughts that that Teump will fail at everything he promised and his supporters will turn on him and eat him alive.

    Who knows, in two years we could be the midterm upset.

  • archivistkitsunearchivistkitsune Registered User regular
    edited November 2016
    I'll hit on the white people thing. The democrats run a big tent party and try to make things progressive for everyone. You can't reach out to bigots with such a setup. It be like an awesome pizzeria that caters to a large demographic deciding to switch gears to being an upscale, expensive French restaurant and wanted to keep the current clientele. It falls apart. The other issue, is in areas where the democrats have tried to help that are indulging in shitty attitudes. Well they often get rejected. Look at some of the issues new industries run into when trying to rehabilitate some of the coal cities. Often the locals are hell bent that they don't need to adapt and that the world should bend to what they want.

    Our only real hope is that the few non-alt right Republicans find their fucking spines (we do still have some, right or did the alt-right eat them all?) and rally behind the democrats to shut down the most egregiousness shit. I have little hope in this regards, but would welcome being proven wrong. We muddle through 2 years of Trumps idiocy and those that can still vote in 2018, decide that Trump's party has to go and 2018 is a wave for democrats. Given Trump's personality, we might just have a legitimate thing to remove from office on. I don't think it's far fetch because all the clowns that voted for him are going to get fucked; hopefully, a decent number of them will decide it's not working.

    Like I knew we were do for a realignment, but this is not how the human race needed it to go down. A gradual decline of the US would have been preferable, I'm a realist, we we're going to be top dog forever. Ideally, others would be forced to have to adopt the best principles we had in order to compete and come up with better options for a shitty principles. Now it's a wide open field and this is the worst setup, since the worst actors will have a shot at being global top dog and we have nukes (no one wins a nuclear exchange). I don't see China being next because of how closely tied everything is, once the US economy tanks, everyone's economy tanks. There are also a bunch of places that are on the edge of massive social unrest and a major financial meltdown is likely to set a ton of that off (China being a great example).

    Edit: Viskod also reminded why the 2018 midterm might not be so bleak. Once Trump starts failing, the right is going to eat their own since they can no longer blame democrats for keeping things from getting done. I figure some of the last awful republicans will decide if they're going to go down, they'll take the alt right with them; especially, if they feel that alt-right will really fuck them over if it still has a sizable amount of power.

    archivistkitsune on
  • Knight_Knight_ Dead Dead Dead Registered User regular
    a nu start wrote: »

    I have no idea why this election is hitting me so hard. Maybe because I was too young during Bush 2 elections (20 and 24, respectively) and I was on the "winning" side with Obama. Maybe I'm older and wiser. Maybe living in another country makes you see what the country is doing to itself. Maybe I'm just over-reacting.

    Fuck it. If my country doesn't want to make itself better, I'll just make myself better. Deleting Facebook, all that jazz.

    bush was a kinda clueless neocon who let his asshole cronies drive the country into the ground. but it was at least within the vaguely normal parameters of modern government.

    what trump has promised is something we have never seen in the modern era. and he's got all 3 branches of government to do it with.

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  • enlightenedbumenlightenedbum Registered User regular
    Hardtarget wrote: »
    The actual real thing to be worried about: the Supreme Court.

    Also a nuclear war on the Korean peninsula.

    The idea that your vote is a moral statement about you or who you vote for is some backwards ass libertarian nonsense. Your vote is about society. Vote to protect the vulnerable.
  • Eat it You Nasty Pig.Eat it You Nasty Pig. tell homeland security 'we are the bomb'Registered User regular
    So hi there from Australia where I feel numb.

    The best case scenario here will be Trump burns all his bridges in Congress, popular opinion dives and he gets impeached on the basis of his numerous lies and probably outright fraud over the years.

    The worst case as I see it is WW3 in Europe when he decides to not respond as Russia experimentally renews annexing border states until it rolls into a NATO member. Or Kim Nung Um insults him and he orders a preemptive nuclear strike on Pyongyang. Or just bombing that results in Seoul being levelled.

    I mean this is great - pick any part of the world and there's literally nowhere he can't make things unutterably worse via strongman stupidity.

    this is the part that really scares me too

    like, Trump+republican congress will suck out loud in a wide variety of ways but we'll muddle through. But this will definitely lead to a more muscular-acting Russia and immediately put an end to any tentative progress we might be making in the middle east. Either Iraq will move fully into Iranian influence or we'll have a shooting war with them over it (shit, maybe both.)

    hold your head high soldier, it ain't over yet
    that's why we call it the struggle, you're supposed to sweat
  • AntoshkaAntoshka Miauen Oil Change LazarusRegistered User regular
    Dhalphir wrote: »
    I don't have a huge fear of what Trump will do directly.

    My fear is what the rest of the American population will start doing.

    A candidate just won the Presidency by repeatedly espousing horrific opinions and deplorable actions.

    Those opinions and actions are now normalised and legitimised. The people holding them now see themselves as a majority of America.

    THAT is what scares me.

    You have a good reason to worry, as Brexit showed us.

    How could we get Brexit and President Trump in the same year? WTF 2016.

    It turns out, the old fashioned approach of political campaigns as featuring policy was boring, and beaten by sound bites. And now, it turns out, those don't actually have to be true, and it's usually to your advantage that they not be. Simply lying with confidence will get you there.

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  • ShadowhopeShadowhope Baa. Registered User regular

    Right now, one of the things that I'm wondering is "will the Republicans try to lock up Hillary?"

    Because basically none of them pushed back about that. And it's one of the the talking points used on the base. With full control of the federal government, what's stopping them?

    Civics is not a consumer product that you can ignore because you don’t like the options presented.
  • HardtargetHardtarget There Are Four Lights VancouverRegistered User regular
    So when does Hillary get put in jail?

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  • hippofanthippofant ティンク Registered User regular
    edited November 2016
    So hi there from Australia where I feel numb.

    The best case scenario here will be Trump burns all his bridges in Congress, popular opinion dives and he gets impeached on the basis of his numerous lies and probably outright fraud over the years.

    The worst case as I see it is WW3 in Europe when he decides to not respond as Russia experimentally renews annexing border states until it rolls into a NATO member. Or Kim Nung Um insults him and he orders a preemptive nuclear strike on Pyongyang. Or just bombing that results in Seoul being levelled.

    I mean this is great - pick any part of the world and there's literally nowhere he can't make things unutterably worse via strongman stupidity.

    this is the part that really scares me too

    like, Trump+republican congress will suck out loud in a wide variety of ways but we'll muddle through. But this will definitely lead to a more muscular-acting Russia and immediately put an end to any tentative progress we might be making in the middle east. Either Iraq will move fully into Iranian influence or we'll have a shooting war with them over it (shit, maybe both.)

    I would legitimately feel better if Trump had a Cheney. You don't have to like Cheney, but the man was smart and consistent.

    hippofant on
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  • ArcTangentArcTangent Registered User regular
    Viskod wrote: »
    My boyfriend keeps trying to console me. I adore him for his optimism even in the face of this tragedy.

    My only consolation is the thoughts that that Teump will fail at everything he promised and his supporters will turn on him and eat him alive.

    Who knows, in two years we could be the midterm upset.

    That's been my night. The line "Oregon won't let him do any of what he wants to us or the people here" didn't work so well. But nyquil did.

    Now I can't sleep though. Hope of owning a house, especially here in super expenso-ville? Yeah, that's pretty well fucked unless he does to real estate here what he's already doing to the global economy and our savings.

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  • Inkstain82Inkstain82 Registered User regular
    A dozen Republicans couldn't let anyone else have the one-on-one.

    Clinton chose to strong-arm her way to the nomination after losing to Obama and knowing her unfavorables.

    Sanders decided to keep fanning anti-establishment flames long after it was clear it would be Trump vs Clinton

    Third-party voters, Vichy Republicans and young voters decided to let other people do the voting to defeat him.

    The media played the "both sides are the same" card so often it became ubiquitous


    Everyone faced a collective action problem and failed miserably because their immediate self-interest was irresistible and surely it can't happen here

  • shrykeshryke Member of the Beast Registered User regular
    Dac wrote: »
    Hardtarget wrote: »
    Dhalphir wrote: »
    I don't have a huge fear of what Trump will do directly.

    My fear is what the rest of the American population will start doing.

    A candidate just won the Presidency by repeatedly espousing horrific opinions and deplorable actions.

    Those opinions and actions are now normalised and legitimised. The people holding them now see themselves as a majority of America.

    THAT is what scares me.

    Exactly! Trump will be fine, whatever. But the kinds of hate he has brought out in huge swathes of people over the last year.

    It's terrifying.

    I have more fear of what a R house and senate with a R presidential stamp will be capable of passing than what Trump individually will do.

    It's not just laws either. The entire judicial branch is done for now. For, like, a generation. From SCOTUS all the way down they will almost certainly fill every vacancy they can. Federal staffing to in every place they can get their hands on.

    The american government is seriously fucked right now and it's not gonna be something you can unfuck any time in the next several decades.

  • flamebroiledchickenflamebroiledchicken Registered User regular
    Ughhhh how the fuck did we lose PA and Michigan?

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This discussion has been closed.