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Nanotech, the Future, and the Economy

MoridanMoridan Registered User regular
edited November 2007 in Debate and/or Discourse
Let's assume that in a century or so we manage to build a universal constructor. It takes in base matter and can output an object, in any form, made out of the same base matter. This may or may not be possible, but for the sake of argument, let's assume it happens.

In such a future, food and materials are essentially free.

So in that case, what would the economy be like? What good is money when most everything is free?

What about a "perfect" base matter that contains all of the known elements? Would such a thing serve a similar purpose as today's gold, having both a practical function and serving as the foundation for a credit based economy.

Violence, naked force, has settled more issues in history than has any other factor, and the contrary
opinion is wishful thinking at its worst.
- Robert A. Heinlein
Moridan on
«13

Posts

  • ege02ege02 __BANNED USERS regular
    edited November 2007
    A "universal constructor" would still require energy to do the work.

    Massive amounts of energy. Where is that gonna come from?

    ege02 on
  • MikeManMikeMan Registered User regular
    edited November 2007
    Moridan wrote: »
    Let's assume that in a century or so we manage to build a universal constructor. It takes in base matter and can output an object, in any form, made out of the same base matter. This may or may not be possible, but for the sake of argument, let's assume it happens.

    In such a future, food and materials are essentially free.

    So in that case, what would the economy be like? What good is money when most everything is free?

    What about a "perfect" base matter that contains all of the known elements? Would such a thing serve a similar purpose as today's gold, having both a practical function and serving as the foundation for a credit based economy.

    wut

    I don't... I don't think you understand how nanotech would work.

    MikeMan on
  • Fuzzy Cumulonimbus CloudFuzzy Cumulonimbus Cloud Registered User regular
    edited November 2007
    Someone read a sci-fi book. :D
    First law of Thermodynamics dude.

    Fuzzy Cumulonimbus Cloud on
  • MoridanMoridan Registered User regular
    edited November 2007
    Let's assume that Cold Fusion has been perfected by this point.

    Ignore the issue of energy. Or assume that the constructor can turn an essentially limitless resource into sufficient power.

    Moridan on
    Violence, naked force, has settled more issues in history than has any other factor, and the contrary
    opinion is wishful thinking at its worst.
    - Robert A. Heinlein
  • Fuzzy Cumulonimbus CloudFuzzy Cumulonimbus Cloud Registered User regular
    edited November 2007
    You still don't understand science.

    Fuzzy Cumulonimbus Cloud on
  • ege02ege02 __BANNED USERS regular
    edited November 2007
    Moridan wrote: »
    Let's assume that Cold Fusion has been perfected by this point.

    Ignore the issue of energy. Or assume that the constructor can turn an essentially limitless resource into sufficient power.

    Can we also assume your entire understanding of science comes from science-fiction novels?

    ege02 on
  • MikeManMikeMan Registered User regular
    edited November 2007
    Moridan wrote: »
    Let's assume that Cold Fusion has been perfected by this point.

    Ignore the issue of energy. Or assume that the constructor can turn an essentially limitless resource into sufficient power.

    Oh god it's another Mad_Morlock.

    Welp, that's about the end of the energy I waste responding to this thread.

    MikeMan on
  • Fuzzy Cumulonimbus CloudFuzzy Cumulonimbus Cloud Registered User regular
    edited November 2007
    ege02 wrote: »
    Moridan wrote: »
    Let's assume that Cold Fusion has been perfected by this point.

    Ignore the issue of energy. Or assume that the constructor can turn an essentially limitless resource into sufficient power.

    Can we also assume your entire understanding of science comes from science-fiction novels?
    For once our pretensions align, like when the sun meets moon in glorious eclipse.

    Fuzzy Cumulonimbus Cloud on
  • ForarForar #432 Toronto, Ontario, CanadaRegistered User regular
    edited November 2007
    We're venturing pretty far out there at this rate. I think I see where you're going with this, but it requires a lot of "if"s to be met for it to happen.

    Forar on
    First they came for the Muslims, and we said NOT TODAY, MOTHERFUCKER!
  • redxredx I(x)=2(x)+1 whole numbersRegistered User regular
    edited November 2007
    well, assuming infinite free energy and manufacturing which effectively only requires energy... well, you pretty much get end game Total Annihilation. Just have to hope that using the 500 billion unit patch doesn't hurt the earth's preformance too much.


    err... yeah, anyway, there would still be competition in the design sector and in patent law.


    I was actually hoping this thread would be about real nano-technology, which is a rather massive field which I try to follow closely.

    redx on
    They moistly come out at night, moistly.
  • SmasherSmasher Starting to get dizzy Registered User regular
    edited November 2007
    Moridan wrote: »
    Let's assume that in a century or so we manage to build a universal constructor. It takes in base matter and can output an object, in any form, made out of the same base matter. This may or may not be possible, but for the sake of argument, let's assume it happens.

    In such a future, food and materials are essentially free.

    So in that case, what would the economy be like? What good is money when most everything is free?

    I'll assume that by "base matter" you mean atoms.

    Why would food and materials be free? Even if the energy to run this Star Trek replicator (since that's what you've described) were free, the atoms have to come from somewhere. Somebody would own the land or materials that the atoms came from in the first place, and they'd charge money for it. I suppose the replicators themselves would only cost as much as the materials, since you could just make a new replicator for your friends if they provide you the materials.
    What about a "perfect" base matter that contains all of the known elements? Would such a thing serve a similar purpose as today's gold, having both a practical function and serving as the foundation for a credit based economy.

    No. It would be much more effective to sell different kinds of atoms seperately, so you could buy just the ones you need and only as much as you need. Plus, since atoms would be actually useful, we'd be effectively moving back to a barter system instead of currency. Want to buy something from someone but don't need any of the extra atoms he has? Sucks for you.

    Smasher on
  • GorakGorak Registered User regular
    edited November 2007
    Moridan wrote: »
    Let's assume that Cold Fusion has been perfected by this point.

    Ignore the issue of energy. Or assume that the constructor can turn an essentially limitless resource into sufficient power.

    A universal constructor is theoretically possible. If you're talking transmuting elements as well, then it's "theoretically possible". As for cold fusion, it's more a case of proving it's even possible nevermind perfecting it.

    I get what you're trying to ask, but your ideas on science are definitely in the "infinite monkeys" realm.


    That said, I think you'd get far more socialised policies for the simple reason that no-one's going to be worried about paying for it through taxes. I imagine that you're also going to have to invent a lot of automated cleaning and repair systems because there won't be people desperate enough to take on the shitty jobs. Mind you, if you've built a universal constructor and tapped an infinite source of energy, that shouldn't be to much of a problem.

    Gorak on
  • GorakGorak Registered User regular
    edited November 2007
    Smasher wrote: »
    Plus, since atoms would be actually useful, we'd be effectively moving back to a barter system instead of currency. Want to buy something from someone but don't need any of the extra atoms he has? Sucks for you.

    Or carbon/silicon would become the default universal currency.

    Gorak on
  • MoridanMoridan Registered User regular
    edited November 2007
    ege02 wrote: »
    Moridan wrote: »
    Let's assume that Cold Fusion has been perfected by this point.

    Ignore the issue of energy. Or assume that the constructor can turn an essentially limitless resource into sufficient power.

    Can we also assume your entire understanding of science comes from science-fiction novels?

    If it helps you guys get past the inevitable childish sarcasm stage and on to interesting discussion... sure.

    EDIT - My thanks to those who actually posted a thought out response.

    Moridan on
    Violence, naked force, has settled more issues in history than has any other factor, and the contrary
    opinion is wishful thinking at its worst.
    - Robert A. Heinlein
  • MoridanMoridan Registered User regular
    edited November 2007
    Gorak wrote: »
    Smasher wrote: »
    Plus, since atoms would be actually useful, we'd be effectively moving back to a barter system instead of currency. Want to buy something from someone but don't need any of the extra atoms he has? Sucks for you.

    Or carbon/silicon would become the default universal currency.

    Why carbon/silicon?

    Moridan on
    Violence, naked force, has settled more issues in history than has any other factor, and the contrary
    opinion is wishful thinking at its worst.
    - Robert A. Heinlein
  • redxredx I(x)=2(x)+1 whole numbersRegistered User regular
    edited November 2007
    Moridan wrote: »
    Gorak wrote: »
    Smasher wrote: »
    Plus, since atoms would be actually useful, we'd be effectively moving back to a barter system instead of currency. Want to buy something from someone but don't need any of the extra atoms he has? Sucks for you.

    Or carbon/silicon would become the default universal currency.

    Why carbon/silicon?

    because they are very very very common and are two of the atoms you would be able to find basically anywhere you deploy your constructors.

    redx on
    They moistly come out at night, moistly.
  • MoridanMoridan Registered User regular
    edited November 2007
    redx wrote: »
    Moridan wrote: »
    Gorak wrote: »
    Smasher wrote: »
    Plus, since atoms would be actually useful, we'd be effectively moving back to a barter system instead of currency. Want to buy something from someone but don't need any of the extra atoms he has? Sucks for you.

    Or carbon/silicon would become the default universal currency.

    Why carbon/silicon?

    because they are very very very common and are two of the atoms you would be able to find basically anywhere you deploy your constructors.

    But if they are so common, would that not make them less suitable as currency?

    Moridan on
    Violence, naked force, has settled more issues in history than has any other factor, and the contrary
    opinion is wishful thinking at its worst.
    - Robert A. Heinlein
  • TofystedethTofystedeth Registered User regular
    edited November 2007
    redx wrote: »
    Moridan wrote: »
    Gorak wrote: »
    Smasher wrote: »
    Plus, since atoms would be actually useful, we'd be effectively moving back to a barter system instead of currency. Want to buy something from someone but don't need any of the extra atoms he has? Sucks for you.

    Or carbon/silicon would become the default universal currency.

    Why carbon/silicon?

    because they are very very very common and are two of the atoms you would be able to find basically anywhere you deploy your constructors.

    Not to mention would most likely be useful in a lot of things your constructors make. Carbon is tasty.

    Tofystedeth on
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  • ege02ege02 __BANNED USERS regular
    edited November 2007
    redx wrote: »
    Moridan wrote: »
    Gorak wrote: »
    Smasher wrote: »
    Plus, since atoms would be actually useful, we'd be effectively moving back to a barter system instead of currency. Want to buy something from someone but don't need any of the extra atoms he has? Sucks for you.

    Or carbon/silicon would become the default universal currency.

    Why carbon/silicon?

    because they are very very very common and are two of the atoms you would be able to find basically anywhere you deploy your constructors.

    I don't think you understand what "currency" means, and why we use banknotes instead of raw materials as currency.

    ege02 on
  • GorakGorak Registered User regular
    edited November 2007
    Moridan wrote: »
    redx wrote: »
    Moridan wrote: »
    Gorak wrote: »
    Smasher wrote: »
    Plus, since atoms would be actually useful, we'd be effectively moving back to a barter system instead of currency. Want to buy something from someone but don't need any of the extra atoms he has? Sucks for you.

    Or carbon/silicon would become the default universal currency.

    Why carbon/silicon?

    because they are very very very common and are two of the atoms you would be able to find basically anywhere you deploy your constructors.

    But if they are so common, would that not make them less suitable as currency?

    You can find them everywhere, but you also need them for almost everything. Anything organic (like your food) is going to need carbon and semiconductors are basically silicon plus a doping material to alter its properties.

    They can both form four bonds so you can make chains of carbon/silicon atoms with other groups sticking out from the sides that determine the type of molecule it is. Also both very useful in nanotechnology.

    Gorak on
  • redxredx I(x)=2(x)+1 whole numbersRegistered User regular
    edited November 2007
    redx wrote: »
    Moridan wrote: »
    Gorak wrote: »
    Smasher wrote: »
    Plus, since atoms would be actually useful, we'd be effectively moving back to a barter system instead of currency. Want to buy something from someone but don't need any of the extra atoms he has? Sucks for you.

    Or carbon/silicon would become the default universal currency.

    Why carbon/silicon?

    because they are very very very common and are two of the atoms you would be able to find basically anywhere you deploy your constructors.

    Not to mention would most likely be useful in a lot of things your constructors make. Carbon is tasty.

    but the thing is, infinite energy. Efficiency suddenly doesn't matter anymore. It doesn't matter that the carbon and silicon are sequestered in oxides and complex compounds.

    You pretty run out of ground before you run out of carbon or silicon. they'd have less value than they do now, because there form would not matter. They can be expensive now, but with infinite energy and universal constructors, purity doesn't factor in.

    elements like gold and shit, would still have some value, because they are not absolutely fucking everywhere.


    like, you can't really swing a dead cat without swinging carbon and silicon, hitting carbon and silicon and standing on carbon and silicon. There is also carbon in the air the cat passes through.

    redx on
    They moistly come out at night, moistly.
  • MoridanMoridan Registered User regular
    edited November 2007
    My thanks to those who participated. Between the few good posters here, and the folks from another board, I think I got my head around both the need for a currency in such a hypothetical world, and a general idea of how it would function.

    Moridan on
    Violence, naked force, has settled more issues in history than has any other factor, and the contrary
    opinion is wishful thinking at its worst.
    - Robert A. Heinlein
  • FeralFeral MEMETICHARIZARD interior crocodile alligator ⇔ ǝɹʇɐǝɥʇ ǝᴉʌoɯ ʇǝloɹʌǝɥɔ ɐ ǝʌᴉɹp ᴉRegistered User regular
    edited November 2007
    ege02 wrote: »
    Moridan wrote: »
    Let's assume that Cold Fusion has been perfected by this point.

    Ignore the issue of energy. Or assume that the constructor can turn an essentially limitless resource into sufficient power.

    Can we also assume your entire understanding of science comes from science-fiction novels?

    And not even good ones?

    What the OP is trying to get it at is a post-scarcity economy, which isn't a particularly new idea.

    Feral on
    every person who doesn't like an acquired taste always seems to think everyone who likes it is faking it. it should be an official fallacy.

    the "no true scotch man" fallacy.
  • fjafjanfjafjan Registered User regular
    edited November 2007
    Gold can be created by energy. (just use the old fusion)
    Still infinite energy won't exist since that doesn't exist in the universe but what is more reasonable is that energy wil be way way cheaper and more abundent if people get fusion going.

    fjafjan on
    Yepp, THE Fjafjan (who's THE fjafjan?)
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  • QuidQuid Definitely not a banana Registered User regular
    edited November 2007
    Feral wrote: »
    What the OP is trying to get it at is a post-scarcity economy, which isn't a particularly new idea.
    Which brings up my point: Why the fuck is anyone hanging around here if we have infinite energy?

    Quid on
  • redxredx I(x)=2(x)+1 whole numbersRegistered User regular
    edited November 2007
    sexy parties.




    of course, the real question is, what do we turn the moon into? Helium 3 and shitloads of solar power(solar cells basically free now), it's just a massive hunk of raw material.

    Space Arc to carry a billion people to another planet? Turn it into one of those neat habitat ring thingies, around earth? Whole bunch of small colonies?

    redx on
    They moistly come out at night, moistly.
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  • Not SarastroNot Sarastro __BANNED USERS regular
    edited November 2007
    Moridan wrote: »
    Let's assume that in a century or so we manage to build a universal constructor. It takes in base matter and can output an object, in any form, made out of the same base matter. This may or may not be possible, but for the sake of argument, let's assume it happens.

    In such a future, food and materials are essentially free.

    So in that case, what would the economy be like? What good is money when most everything is free?

    What about a "perfect" base matter that contains all of the known elements? Would such a thing serve a similar purpose as today's gold, having both a practical function and serving as the foundation for a credit based economy.

    1. You don't seem to understand what currency is. It is just a system to simplify trade of goods or services. Instead of having to trade X thing you own for Y thing you need (because the person who owns Y might not conversely need X), you use a common form of barter. Scarcity of money reflects scarcity of goods & services. Thus currencies require regulated scarcity themselves (eg floating exchange rates) to avoid creation of more money than reflects the quantity of goods & services in the economy (eg inflation). There is nothing intrinsic about money which requires it to be scarce.

    2. Unless your replicators (cough) also create people, your [extremely hypothetical] world doesn't negate scarcity of skills, labour, services, etc. Thus there would still be a need for trade.

    3. As well as the energy point previously mentioned, whether 'base matter' (what?) is abundant or not, unless you know something we don't about physics, it isn't an infinite resource. Therefore it is still scarce, so see point 1.

    4. You aren't talking about nanotechnology, you're talking about Star Trek.

    5. If you want to consider mad future leaps, consider that compared to a few millenia ago, today food & materials are 'essentially free'. But they aren't.

    Go learn some of the basic principles of economics, society and science before you skip straight to wild 'what if' situations.
    redx wrote:
    There is also carbon in the air the cat passes through.

    ...and the air the cat passes.

    Not Sarastro on
  • Professor PhobosProfessor Phobos Registered User regular
    edited November 2007
    Moridan wrote: »
    Let's assume that in a century or so we manage to build a universal constructor. It takes in base matter and can output an object, in any form, made out of the same base matter. This may or may not be possible, but for the sake of argument, let's assume it happens.

    In such a future, food and materials are essentially free.

    So in that case, what would the economy be like? What good is money when most everything is free?

    What about a "perfect" base matter that contains all of the known elements? Would such a thing serve a similar purpose as today's gold, having both a practical function and serving as the foundation for a credit based economy.

    Energy is still a commodity. As would labor. You don't get a real post-scarcity economy until you have AI labor and unlimited energy supply.

    If you combine those three, then yes, money would be obsolete. The only thing you'd conceivably spend money on is for goods with sentimental or attached value, like hand-carved items. But for those there'd be little reason to bother with an actual currency system when barter would work just as well. "I'll trade you that painting you worked on for a century for this poem I have composed one line a decade for the last millennium."

    Professor Phobos on
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  • DelzhandDelzhand Registered User, Transition Team regular
    edited November 2007
    If you're building everything out of some "perfect base", that implies that your replicators are built of that same material. Wouldn't the holo-nano-nozzle thing just degrade into your end product?

    Delzhand on
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  • Professor PhobosProfessor Phobos Registered User regular
    edited November 2007
    Well, if you have some kind of universal, atomic-scale assembler/disassembler, you run into the threat of an unstoppable universe devouring runaway grey goo scenario.

    As Will Smith said: "Robots building robots? That's just stupid."

    Professor Phobos on
  • edited November 2007
    This content has been removed.

  • Professor PhobosProfessor Phobos Registered User regular
    edited November 2007
    Well not really. That's only a problem if you have infinite energy connected to it. And only then if no one bothers to build a counter-nanite which will work at killing grey goo a lot faster then grey goo can replicate from anything.

    If we're talking grey goo, what's to say it isn't smart enough to arrange it's own power supply and adapt to the counter-grey goo?

    Or, hell, maybe the two get to talkin', realize they've got lots in common, maybe like the same music, and maybe one of them thinks the way that the other devours a gas giant is kinda intriguing...

    Next thing you know, they're having themselves a hybrid super-grey goo baby.

    Professor Phobos on
  • Bionic MonkeyBionic Monkey Registered User, ClubPA regular
    edited November 2007
    You still don't understand science.

    To be fair, the OP's not about science. It's about the economy in this hypothetical situation.

    Bionic Monkey on
    sig_megas_armed.jpg
  • Fuzzy Cumulonimbus CloudFuzzy Cumulonimbus Cloud Registered User regular
    edited November 2007
    You still don't understand science.

    To be fair, the OP's not about science. It's about the economy in this hypothetical situation.
    Based on science.

    Fuzzy Cumulonimbus Cloud on
  • KalTorakKalTorak One way or another, they all end up in the Undercity.Registered User regular
    edited November 2007
    I think the popularity of these machines would peter out a bit when every time you asked for something as simple as a pair of glasses it would give you something like this:

    glasses_sm.jpg

    KalTorak on
  • TofystedethTofystedeth Registered User regular
    edited November 2007
    Anyone here read Adiamante by L.E. Modesitt Jr. I always thought the economy in that book was pretty interesting. I've frequently wondered how hard that would be to implement in real life, and the amount of calculation it would take to figure out somethings actual worth. Though they released a study about 6 months ago on cars where they had calculated the lifetime cost of different cars from raw material to junkyard. It was pretty interesting.

    Tofystedeth on
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  • zakkielzakkiel Registered User regular
    edited November 2007
    Anyone here read Adiamante by L.E. Modesitt Jr. I always thought the economy in that book was pretty interesting. I've frequently wondered how hard that would be to implement in real life, and the amount of calculation it would take to figure out somethings actual worth. Though they released a study about 6 months ago on cars where they had calculated the lifetime cost of different cars from raw material to junkyard. It was pretty interesting.
    Adiamante's economy makes sense for a post-environmental collapse world, where externalities are so overwhelmingly important that most personal purchasing decisions have to be curtailed and labor rates have to be set by government. There are a lot of inefficiencies that kind of central decision-making produces though, and Modesitt mostly skates over these.

    Similarly, his uncodified legal system works if you assume humanity has undergone the extensive changes he posits, but would be disastrous if implemented here and now.

    zakkiel on
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