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Project Serpo, and related discussion

oddmentoddment Registered User regular
edited February 2008 in Debate and/or Discourse
For some reason I decided (in a fit of boredom) to look into aliens via Wikipedia today. This led me to stories about reported abductions, different kinds of 'aliens' and the various conspiracy theories and hoaxes that have been reported throughout the years. I eventually came across something called Project Serpo. Basically, it is a 'conspiracy' stating that after the Roswell crash of 1949, some years after this to be exact, 12 people were sent to the home world of the alien species who crashed for some kind of exchange program. I'll quote from Wikipedia for those of you who can't, or can't be bothered, to follow the link:
The first mention of a 'Project Serpo' was in a UFO email list maintained by enthusiast Victor Martinez [1]. Various versions of the conspiracy theory circulated, and were later detailed on a website (www.serpo.info).

According to the most common version of the story, an alien survived a crash near Roswell in the later 1940s (see Roswell UFO incident). This alien was detained but treated well by American military forces, contacted its home planet and eventually repatriated. The story continues by claiming that this led to the establishment of some sort of relationship between the American government and the people of its home world – said to be a planet of the binary star system Zeta Reticuli[1]. Zeta Reticuli has a history in ufology, having been claimed as the home system of an alien race called the Greys (despite repeated debunking by noted UFO skeptics). (source needed)

The story finally claims that twelve American military personnel visited the planet between 1965 and 1978 and that all of the party have since died, from 'after effects of high radiation levels from the two suns'.

Follow the link in the quote to the site, which shows you the articles that started all of this. Now, it is almost certainly a big hoax, but what an interesting hoax it is!

So this thread is basically a discussion of Project Serpo, alien sightings, abductions, theories on intelligent life in our universe, and basically anything related to 'aliens'. Go right on ahead and discuss!

PSN Sig Hidden Within!*
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Posts

  • durandal4532durandal4532 Registered User regular
    edited February 2008
    Hahahahaha

    "Oh shit! Dudes!

    Did... did we tell them we have two suns? Do you think they'll mind- OH HI THERE!"

    durandal4532 on
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  • chamberlainchamberlain Registered User regular
    edited February 2008
    The geek in me really wants to belive things like this. I find it difficult to believe that in the vastness of the universe we are alone.

    On the other hand, if I were an alien capable of interstaller travler, I really don't think visiting Earth would be high on my list of places I needed to go. How exciting can a planet full of hairless apes who are always fighting each other be?

    chamberlain on
  • MuncieMuncie Registered User regular
    edited February 2008
    We're made out of meat.

    Muncie on
  • GeoGeo Registered User regular
    edited February 2008
    How exciting can a planet full of hairless apes who are always fighting each other be?

    I think you answered your own question.

    Geo on
  • kdrudykdrudy Registered User regular
    edited February 2008
    The geek in me really wants to belive things like this. I find it difficult to believe that in the vastness of the universe we are alone.

    On the other hand, if I were an alien capable of interstaller travler, I really don't think visiting Earth would be high on my list of places I needed to go. How exciting can a planet full of hairless apes who are always fighting each other be?

    You should reread your last sentence, that does sound exciting.

    kdrudy on
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  • chamberlainchamberlain Registered User regular
    edited February 2008
    kdrudy wrote: »
    The geek in me really wants to belive things like this. I find it difficult to believe that in the vastness of the universe we are alone.

    On the other hand, if I were an alien capable of interstaller travler, I really don't think visiting Earth would be high on my list of places I needed to go. How exciting can a planet full of hairless apes who are always fighting each other be?

    You should reread your last sentence, that does sound exciting.

    Maybe for betting.

    Alien 1: I've got 2 to 1 odds that the loud apes who talk to much will bomb the shit out of someone.
    Alien 2: Your're on!


    Planet Earth - the biggest monkey knife fight in the universe.

    chamberlain on
  • Fuzzy Cumulonimbus CloudFuzzy Cumulonimbus Cloud Registered User regular
    edited February 2008
    My elaborate mafs say that aliens probably exist somewhere

    Fuzzy Cumulonimbus Cloud on
  • Gnome-InterruptusGnome-Interruptus Registered User regular
    edited February 2008
    I dont understand how all the people who are all "the universe is so big, there has to be life out there" then make the leap to "there is life out there in the universe more technilogically advanced than ours"

    I mean, what if we, humans, are the first ever star-faring race, and we become as the "ancients" or "Asguard" or whatever else from all the Stargate shows. At least, thats how it plays out in EvE, which I find more believable than most Sci-Fi plotlines.

    TLDR: IF humans want space exploration, we have to develop it ourselves, and stop waiting on some other creatures to come along and give it to us.

    Gnome-Interruptus on
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  • Fuzzy Cumulonimbus CloudFuzzy Cumulonimbus Cloud Registered User regular
    edited February 2008
    I dont understand how all the people who are all "the universe is so big, there has to be life out there" then make the leap to "there is life out there in the universe more technilogically advanced than ours"

    I mean, what if we, humans, are the first ever star-faring race, and we become as the "ancients" or "Asguard" or whatever else from all the Stargate shows. At least, thats how it plays out in EvE, which I find more believable than most Sci-Fi plotlines.

    TLDR: IF humans want space exploration, we have to develop it ourselves, and stop waiting on some other creatures to come along and give it to us.
    Well, given the age of our universe, it remains logical that a race existing before is would be more advanced given the amount of time they would have to develop.

    Fuzzy Cumulonimbus Cloud on
  • arod_77arod_77 __BANNED USERS regular
    edited February 2008
    There are bound to be huge, ancient, spacefaring civilizations already. We are a relatively young planet, and an extremely young civilization. Extremely

    arod_77 on
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  • kdrudykdrudy Registered User regular
    edited February 2008
    Yea, if the the Earth is at this place after 4.5 billion years and the universe is considered to be roughly 14-15 billion years old, it seems very possible that another race existed or exists that came into being well before ours.

    kdrudy on
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  • durandal4532durandal4532 Registered User regular
    edited February 2008
    Why, though?

    Who says it doesn't take a rather particular set of circumstances to develop sentience, one of which being a planetary type that didn't appear until later in the universe's span?

    durandal4532 on
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  • Gabriel_PittGabriel_Pitt Stepped in it Registered User regular
    edited February 2008
    The universe might be teeming with life vastly more advanced and older than us, but if none of them have discovered a workaround for exceeding light speed, or resolved that there isn't one, we're not going to be seeing much of them.

    Gabriel_Pitt on
  • DouglasDangerDouglasDanger PennsylvaniaRegistered User regular
    edited February 2008
    Or maybe they just don't care about us. Earth is still trapped in tribalism, millions die from preventable things, etc etc. If I saw society like that, I would probably stay away.

    DouglasDanger on
  • kdrudykdrudy Registered User regular
    edited February 2008
    Why, though?

    Who says it doesn't take a rather particular set of circumstances to develop sentience, one of which being a planetary type that didn't appear until later in the universe's span?

    That's an interesting thought, that it would take a large amount of supernova to create the amount of elements necessary for a planet that can harbor life to be created and you don't get the number necessary until roughly 10 billion years into a universes life. I don't have an answer for that one except that it would probably mean there are other civilizations at roughly our current level out in the universe, since the supernova thing would probably occur in other galaxies similar to ours.


    If there are older and advanced ones out there that can't get around the speed of light, that's a depressingly likely possibility, it would mean we are stuck out here alone.

    kdrudy on
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  • durandal4532durandal4532 Registered User regular
    edited February 2008
    Although it's not my favorite book, Alistair Reynolds did have a great idea in "Pushing Ice" related to the idea that alien species might not develop at the same rate or at the same time.
    Spoiler if you care:
    Basically, some group at some point built a zoo. They seeded the galaxy with "Puzzle Box" planets, designed to trap people in their gravity well when investigated, and then leap out of that system and towards a massive superstructure somewhere else, massive enough to hold several hundred planets in one of its millions of arms. The structure contains hundreds of different races of alien species, and essentially eliminates the need to worry about going faster than light.

    Of course, no one knows why some ancient race did this, or why no one is allowed out of this structure.

    durandal4532 on
    We're all in this together
  • TL DRTL DR Not at all confident in his reflexive opinions of thingsRegistered User regular
    edited February 2008
    Sounds like a neat book.

    Anyway, it would be interesting if an alien race decided to reveal themselves to us. Maybe they've evolved beyond lying.

    In this case, we'd see a technologically superior race immediately subjected to factory work in China while we all have jetpacks.

    God I hope they never read this and decide to disintegrate me.

    TL DR on
  • NeadenNeaden Registered User regular
    edited February 2008
    Muncie wrote: »
    We're made out of meat.
    Who wrote that story? I remember reading it somewhere before.

    Neaden on
  • hesthefastesthesthefastest Registered User regular
    edited February 2008
    I think an important aspect is radio waves. Aren't we pretty stinking loud in the universe, and wouldnt that make others want to come see? And it works the other way, why havent we heard any other planet making a ruckus?

    hesthefastest on
  • redxredx I(x)=2(x)+1 whole numbersRegistered User regular
    edited February 2008
    I think you are forgetting about the inverse square law, the amount natural sources of radiation and the size of the universe. We aren't really making all that much of a ruckus.
    The geek in me really wants to belive things like this. I find it difficult to believe that in the vastness of the universe we are alone.

    On the other hand, if I were an alien capable of interstaller travler, I really don't think visiting Earth would be high on my list of places I needed to go. How exciting can a planet full of hairless apes who are always fighting each other be?

    between fucking with the yokels and hawt alien sex, I can believe they'd come if they could and knew we were here.

    Hey, Look something diffrent. Totally diffrent forms of biology, and the arts and sciences they create. Potential slave labor or religious converts.

    If they are intelligent enough to travel between the stars, I assume they would be curious enough to come and take a peek, assuming it wouldn't take generations to get here. Even if it did, still would probably be worth while.

    There is probably other life out there. Almost certainly they don't know we are here. If they did, they probably couldn't get here without a massive effort if they could get here at all.

    Anthropomorphism of course, but planets with life on them are rare enough that I can't see how any race wouldn't see them as extremely valuable.

    redx on
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  • RichyRichy Registered User regular
    edited February 2008
    Until someone finds a way to resolve Fermi paradox that doesn't involve something stupid like "Earth is a nature preserve", I'll keep on believing the only logical conclusion, which is that there is no other life out there.

    Richy on
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  • DelzhandDelzhand Registered User, Transition Team regular
    edited February 2008
    Neaden wrote: »
    Muncie wrote: »
    We're made out of meat.
    Who wrote that story? I remember reading it somewhere before.

    Collegehumor, I think.

    Okay, maybe not. I looked through 18 pages of articles and didn't see it.

    I read it somewhere, too. "They talk by pushing air through their meat!"

    Here: http://home.earthlink.net/~paulrack/id82.html

    Delzhand on
  • Bryse EayoBryse Eayo Registered User regular
    edited February 2008
    I personally love Charles Stross' reasoning why we have no alien neighbours is that they've all rejected meatspace for computational mass and virtual realities. Would you rather live in the real world with basic physical limitations or upload yourself up to a giant internet where anything is possible?

    Matrioshka Brains are where all the cool aliens are at.

    Bryse Eayo on
  • xraydogxraydog Registered User regular
    edited February 2008
    Bryse Eayo wrote: »
    I personally love Charles Stross' reasoning why we have no alien neighbours is that they've all rejected meatspace for computational mass and virtual realities. Would you rather live in the real world with basic physical limitations or upload yourself up to a giant internet where anything is possible?

    Matrioshka Brains are where all the cool aliens are at.

    I'd rather live in the real world.


    Also, I don't know which is more stupid. Believing we are along in the entire fucking universe or believing , at our current state, we are important enough to be visited. Goddammit this human centrism BS has to stop.

    xraydog on
  • RichyRichy Registered User regular
    edited February 2008
    xraydog wrote: »
    I'd rather live in the real world.


    Also, I don't know which is more stupid. Believing we are along in the entire fucking universe or believing , at our current state, we are important enough to be visited. Goddammit this human centrism BS has to stop.
    Fermi's paradox isn't about us being important in any way. Nice try though. I especially like the part about "human centrist BS".

    Granted though, Fermi's paradox doesn't exclude the existence of intelligent life in a distant galaxy somewhere else in the universe, where they would be so far away that it is and forever shall be impossible for us to make contact or be in any way aware of their existence. Those aliens might exist. But aliens that are relevant to us, in the sense that we could contact them, detect them, or in some way be aware that they are or once were there, do not exist.

    Richy on
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  • xraydogxraydog Registered User regular
    edited February 2008
    I don't know dude. That's taking an awfully big leap in logic. At least for me. There could be any number of reasons why. I mean, there must billions of habitable plants (by our standards) in the Milky Way to say none of them have been as lucky as Earth seems such...a drastic conclusion.

    xraydog on
  • werehippywerehippy Registered User regular
    edited February 2008
    Richy wrote: »
    Granted though, Fermi's paradox doesn't exclude the existence of intelligent life in a distant galaxy somewhere else in the universe, where they would be so far away that it is and forever shall be impossible for us to make contact or be in any way aware of their existence. Those aliens might exist. But aliens that are relevant to us, in the sense that we could contact them, detect them, or in some way be aware that they are or once were there, do not exist.

    I never really understood all the emphasis people place on Fermi's paradox. Besides the near limitless number of social/cultural factors that could lead one alien race to chose to not contact another. Hell, off the top of my head we have:

    Prime Directive style society
    Multiple societies that keep each other in check and stop contact to prevent advantage to their opponents
    Patient alien races (who are studying us before opening discussion)
    Evolutionary pressure favoring quiet races (someone who kills any active alien races they find)
    etc.

    Even leaving aside all that, the biggest problem I have with Fermi is he assumes anyone knows we're here. We're in the ass end of nowhere galactically, and up until the 1940s you would literally need to be either right on top of us or able to see the surface of the planet to know we existed, and since then we've only managed to leave a foot print some 50 odd light years in radius. On the kind of scale we're talking about, it's like wondering why no one ever pays attention to that one beautiful grain of sand on the beach.

    werehippy on
  • MuncieMuncie Registered User regular
    edited February 2008
    Neaden wrote: »
    Muncie wrote: »
    We're made out of meat.
    Who wrote that story? I remember reading it somewhere before.

    Terry Bisson, called "They're Made Out of Meat."

    Muncie on
  • RichyRichy Registered User regular
    edited February 2008
    werehippy wrote: »
    Richy wrote: »
    Granted though, Fermi's paradox doesn't exclude the existence of intelligent life in a distant galaxy somewhere else in the universe, where they would be so far away that it is and forever shall be impossible for us to make contact or be in any way aware of their existence. Those aliens might exist. But aliens that are relevant to us, in the sense that we could contact them, detect them, or in some way be aware that they are or once were there, do not exist.

    I never really understood all the emphasis people place on Fermi's paradox. Besides the near limitless number of social/cultural factors that could lead one alien race to chose to not contact another. Hell, off the top of my head we have:

    Prime Directive style society
    Multiple societies that keep each other in check and stop contact to prevent advantage to their opponents
    Patient alien races (who are studying us before opening discussion)
    Evolutionary pressure favoring quiet races (someone who kills any active alien races they find)
    etc.

    Even leaving aside all that, the biggest problem I have with Fermi is he assumes anyone knows we're here. We're in the ass end of nowhere galactically, and up until the 1940s you would literally need to be either right on top of us or able to see the surface of the planet to know we existed, and since then we've only managed to leave a foot print some 50 odd light years in radius. On the kind of scale we're talking about, it's like wondering why no one ever pays attention to that one beautiful grain of sand on the beach.
    Thing is, Fermi's Paradox isn't only about direct contact. The idea is that, even without FTL travel, it would only take a few million years to completely colonize the Milky Way. The Milky Way is several billion years old, so if alien life is as common as people assume, then this colonization would have happened over and over and over... the galaxy should be covered and overcrowded. We shouldn't be searching for aliens, they should be visible everywhere we look!

    Let's suppose they decided to hide from us, for whatever reason. That means they somehow manage to perfectly mask all traces of several galaxy-spanning civilizations from us. Absolutely not a single visible or detectable trace, not a piece of trash floating around, not a stray signal, nothing. And they keep round-the-clock patrols to make sure smugglers/thrillseekers/explorers/etc. don't sneak into the "forbidden nature preserve", which is, just like their clean-up effort, perfectly 100% effective. This set of perfect alien powers requires much more of a stretch of the imagination than simply assuming they don't exist.

    Richy on
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  • Bryse EayoBryse Eayo Registered User regular
    edited February 2008
    Richy wrote: »
    werehippy wrote: »
    Richy wrote: »
    Granted though, Fermi's paradox doesn't exclude the existence of intelligent life in a distant galaxy somewhere else in the universe, where they would be so far away that it is and forever shall be impossible for us to make contact or be in any way aware of their existence. Those aliens might exist. But aliens that are relevant to us, in the sense that we could contact them, detect them, or in some way be aware that they are or once were there, do not exist.

    I never really understood all the emphasis people place on Fermi's paradox. Besides the near limitless number of social/cultural factors that could lead one alien race to chose to not contact another. Hell, off the top of my head we have:

    Prime Directive style society
    Multiple societies that keep each other in check and stop contact to prevent advantage to their opponents
    Patient alien races (who are studying us before opening discussion)
    Evolutionary pressure favoring quiet races (someone who kills any active alien races they find)
    etc.

    Even leaving aside all that, the biggest problem I have with Fermi is he assumes anyone knows we're here. We're in the ass end of nowhere galactically, and up until the 1940s you would literally need to be either right on top of us or able to see the surface of the planet to know we existed, and since then we've only managed to leave a foot print some 50 odd light years in radius. On the kind of scale we're talking about, it's like wondering why no one ever pays attention to that one beautiful grain of sand on the beach.
    Thing is, Fermi's Paradox isn't only about direct contact. The idea is that, even without FTL travel, it would only take a few million years to completely colonize the Milky Way. The Milky Way is several billion years old, so if alien life is as common as people assume, then this colonization would have happened over and over and over... the galaxy should be covered and overcrowded. We shouldn't be searching for aliens, they should be visible everywhere we look!

    Let's suppose they decided to hide from us, for whatever reason. That means they somehow manage to perfectly mask all traces of several galaxy-spanning civilizations from us. Absolutely not a single visible or detectable trace, not a piece of trash floating around, not a stray signal, nothing. And they keep round-the-clock patrols to make sure smugglers/thrillseekers/explorers/etc. don't sneak into the "forbidden nature preserve", which is, just like their clean-up effort, perfectly 100% effective. This set of perfect alien powers requires much more of a stretch of the imagination than simply assuming they don't exist.

    What if they don't tend to colonize worlds? What if civilization's urge spread only goes so far? Why go over to your neighbours when there's space for everyone and bandwidth aplenty just near your own star?

    I can see the case against starfaring life, travel between the stars without cop outs(FTL, Wormholes) is far too rigorous. But rejecting the notion of no other advanced life is pretty narrow minded.

    Bryse Eayo on
  • werehippywerehippy Registered User regular
    edited February 2008
    Richy wrote: »
    werehippy wrote: »
    Richy wrote: »
    Granted though, Fermi's paradox doesn't exclude the existence of intelligent life in a distant galaxy somewhere else in the universe, where they would be so far away that it is and forever shall be impossible for us to make contact or be in any way aware of their existence. Those aliens might exist. But aliens that are relevant to us, in the sense that we could contact them, detect them, or in some way be aware that they are or once were there, do not exist.

    I never really understood all the emphasis people place on Fermi's paradox. Besides the near limitless number of social/cultural factors that could lead one alien race to chose to not contact another. Hell, off the top of my head we have:

    Prime Directive style society
    Multiple societies that keep each other in check and stop contact to prevent advantage to their opponents
    Patient alien races (who are studying us before opening discussion)
    Evolutionary pressure favoring quiet races (someone who kills any active alien races they find)
    etc.

    Even leaving aside all that, the biggest problem I have with Fermi is he assumes anyone knows we're here. We're in the ass end of nowhere galactically, and up until the 1940s you would literally need to be either right on top of us or able to see the surface of the planet to know we existed, and since then we've only managed to leave a foot print some 50 odd light years in radius. On the kind of scale we're talking about, it's like wondering why no one ever pays attention to that one beautiful grain of sand on the beach.
    Thing is, Fermi's Paradox isn't only about direct contact. The idea is that, even without FTL travel, it would only take a few million years to completely colonize the Milky Way. The Milky Way is several billion years old, so if alien life is as common as people assume, then this colonization would have happened over and over and over... the galaxy should be covered and overcrowded. We shouldn't be searching for aliens, they should be visible everywhere we look!

    Let's suppose they decided to hide from us, for whatever reason. That means they somehow manage to perfectly mask all traces of several galaxy-spanning civilizations from us. Absolutely not a single visible or detectable trace, not a piece of trash floating around, not a stray signal, nothing. And they keep round-the-clock patrols to make sure smugglers/thrillseekers/explorers/etc. don't sneak into the "forbidden nature preserve", which is, just like their clean-up effort, perfectly 100% effective. This set of perfect alien powers requires much more of a stretch of the imagination than simply assuming they don't exist.

    I always found the colonization aspect even more tenuous than the simpler "why has no one contacted us and/or why haven't we seen signs of them" version because of the even higher number of completely arbitrary assumptions and potential pitfalls (no guarantee any given race would need or want to expand, no possible justification for the rate or success of expansion, no reason to assume our solar system in the ass end of the universe would be touched by anything other than complete colonization, small odds we'd find anything but to most glaringly obvious signs of former inhabitants anywhere but earth, etc.).

    As to the hiding, it's again based on completely arbitrary assumptions. No one has to clean up anything, since we're in one of the farthest fringes of our galaxy and there's no reason to believe anyone would bother to come here to leave anything for us to find (or that we'd see anything smaller than solar scale artifacts elsewhere) or that any civilization existing on larger than a single solar system scale would bother to, or even effectively could, use any signals we could detect. Hell, even if they did, we've only bothered to look across a fraction of the universe since the 70s. The general point here being that unless aliens were right on top of us in galactic terms there could be near endless societies of any number of types through the universe and we would be none the wiser.

    werehippy on
  • RichyRichy Registered User regular
    edited February 2008
    Bryse Eayo wrote: »
    What if they don't tend to colonize worlds? What if civilization's urge spread only goes so far? Why go over to your neighbours when there's space for everyone and bandwidth aplenty just near your own star?

    Any given planet has limited resources, creating a natural imperative to go out elsewhere. Moreover, a single planet can be destroyed easily, by an asteroid, solar flair, etc., so there's a second natural imperative to get out of there.
    Bryse Eayo wrote: »
    I can see the case against starfaring life, travel between the stars without cop outs(FTL, Wormholes) is far too rigorous. But rejecting the notion of no other advanced life is pretty narrow minded.
    Star travel without cop outs isn't so much rigorous as just plain slow. Going into orbit is easy enough, we're doing it routinely now. Once you're up there you just need will-power and capital to burn (two things we seem to lack) and start building big-ass reinforced spaceships, possibly out of hollowed-out asteroids, with good recycling systems. Then aim at a nearby star and shoot. And wait for decades or centuries. The waiting is the hardest part.

    If you want to send out probes first, to explore and start setting up infrastructures for the colony ahead of time, it's even easier. Send out a few factory robots that, once they reach a star, take in raw materials and start shooting out exploration robots and construction robots. While you're at it, make them build a few more factory robots to send out to the next star on the list, and your automated colonisation process is underway towards complete galactic colonisation without any further need for your help, input or ressources. Once again, without FTL, the waiting will be the hardest part.
    werehippy wrote: »
    I always found the colonization aspect even more tenuous than the simpler "why has no one contacted us and/or why haven't we seen signs of them" version because of the even higher number of completely arbitrary assumptions and potential pitfalls (no guarantee any given race would need or want to expand, no possible justification for the rate or success of expansion, no reason to assume our solar system in the ass end of the universe would be touched by anything other than complete colonization, small odds we'd find anything but to most glaringly obvious signs of former inhabitants anywhere but earth, etc.).

    You're the one making assumptions. I'm only working from your basic assumption - that intelligent life commonly occur all around our galaxy. We can expect a variety of attitudes, but some of them will have an expansionist attitude. And of them, some will come our way, maybe because they run out of place or because it happens to be near their borders or because they were bored one weekend or for some weird alien reason we'll never understand. You're the one stretching it by assuming that life is common but either none of them are expansionists or all those that are also somehow happened to completely miss our region of space.
    werehippy wrote: »
    As to the hiding, it's again based on completely arbitrary assumptions. No one has to clean up anything, since we're in one of the farthest fringes of our galaxy and there's no reason to believe anyone would bother to come here to leave anything for us to find (or that we'd see anything smaller than solar scale artifacts elsewhere) or that any civilization existing on larger than a single solar system scale would bother to, or even effectively could, use any signals we could detect. Hell, even if they did, we've only bothered to look across a fraction of the universe since the 70s. The general point here being that unless aliens were right on top of us in galactic terms there could be near endless societies of any number of types through the universe and we would be none the wiser.
    Well like I said earlier, Fermi's paradox isn't about the entire universe, just the part that affects us, i.e. our galaxy. The Andromeda Galaxy could have a million alien empires and we'd never know.

    But if they were in our galaxy, yes they would be right on top of us. You can't spend billion of years fitting endless societies within the limited space of our galaxy and not run out of space.

    Richy on
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  • werehippywerehippy Registered User regular
    edited February 2008
    Richy wrote: »
    werehippy wrote: »
    I always found the colonization aspect even more tenuous than the simpler "why has no one contacted us and/or why haven't we seen signs of them" version because of the even higher number of completely arbitrary assumptions and potential pitfalls (no guarantee any given race would need or want to expand, no possible justification for the rate or success of expansion, no reason to assume our solar system in the ass end of the universe would be touched by anything other than complete colonization, small odds we'd find anything but to most glaringly obvious signs of former inhabitants anywhere but earth, etc.).

    You're the one making assumptions. I'm only working from your basic assumption - that intelligent life commonly occur all around our galaxy. We can expect a variety of attitudes, but some of them will have an expansionist attitude. And of them, some will come our way, maybe because they run out of place or because it happens to be near their borders or because they were bored one weekend or for some weird alien reason we'll never understand. You're the one stretching it by assuming that life is common but either none of them are expansionists or all those that are also somehow happened to completely miss our region of space.

    You're missing the point of argument about the paradox, and since this seems to be a thing of yours, I'll try rephrasing it again and then I'm agreeing to disagree and ignoring this line of conversation.

    The Fermi Paradox is sophomorically simplistic. Any attempt at quantifying the likely occurrence of life, yet alone intelligent life, is based predominantly on arbitrary probabilities of certain conditions which gives us anywhere between millions/billions of sentient races in our galaxy's lifetime to perhaps a handful.

    Even if we allow for the sake of argument this is right, it still completely ignores the cultural, societal, technological, or biological factors that could reduce the odds of contact or observation by unquantifiable orders of magnitude. One could count off factors that could effect the odds of any one race being directly or indirectly observable by humanity, each of which must be assigned some none-zero probability of stopping humanity from noticing sentient life.

    If you take the more "realistic" applications of Fermi's paradox which yield some finite number of likely alien races and apply the probability of their existing without every coming anywhere near us, or coming near but staying unobserved by the general public, or leaving no artifacts or signals we would have found yet, or etc. we a more than plausible case for the existence of sentient life without fulfilling Fermi's paradox.

    Add on top of all that the probability of our seeing any signs of life given the minute timeframe of our sentient and technological existence and the piecemeal nature of our observations and a case can be made that at this point our finding any sentient races should be the infinitesimally small likelihood, not the other way around.

    werehippy on
  • Fuzzy Cumulonimbus CloudFuzzy Cumulonimbus Cloud Registered User regular
    edited February 2008
    xraydog wrote: »
    Bryse Eayo wrote: »
    I personally love Charles Stross' reasoning why we have no alien neighbours is that they've all rejected meatspace for computational mass and virtual realities. Would you rather live in the real world with basic physical limitations or upload yourself up to a giant internet where anything is possible?

    Matrioshka Brains are where all the cool aliens are at.

    I'd rather live in the real world.


    Also, I don't know which is more stupid. Believing we are along in the entire fucking universe or believing , at our current state, we are important enough to be visited. Goddammit this human centrism BS has to stop.
    Wait, if we are the only ones, then we are definitely centrist. If we are not the only ones, and we have no been visited, then we are still definitely centrist.

    Fuzzy Cumulonimbus Cloud on
  • FeralFeral MEMETICHARIZARD interior crocodile alligator ⇔ ǝɹʇɐǝɥʇ ǝᴉʌoɯ ʇǝloɹʌǝɥɔ ɐ ǝʌᴉɹp ᴉRegistered User regular
    edited February 2008
    Muncie wrote: »
    We're made out of meat.

    Win.

    Feral on
    every person who doesn't like an acquired taste always seems to think everyone who likes it is faking it. it should be an official fallacy.

    the "no true scotch man" fallacy.
  • saggiosaggio Registered User regular
    edited February 2008
    Richy, how long have we been looking for aliens? I doubt even a hundred years. We didn't have computers worth a damn until 40 years ago, and we've only ever gotten to the Moon and back. When you are comparing the times involved plus the vast distances...Well, it doesn't seem so out of place. We've been searching for intelligent life for (I'll be generous) 50 years. The galaxy itself is billions of years old, with billions of stars, each thousands of light years away from one another.

    Why should we have found life already? We don't know how rare or abundant it is. To say rule out the existence of life that is potentially billions of years old and millions of light years away is, frankly, stupid.

    saggio on
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  • FirstComradeStalinFirstComradeStalin Registered User regular
    edited February 2008
    What if life exists but in a completely different way? What if there are beings made out of completely different chemical structures than the mix we're made of? When you consider how relative everything is in the universe, the chances of aliens being anything we could understand are pretty small, and I think that's what excites me the most about life on other planets, because virtually anything is possible. Intelligent slime? Ethereal waves? You got it.

    FirstComradeStalin on
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  • oddmentoddment Registered User regular
    edited February 2008
    I find the thought that, not only do aliens exist, but humans have already visited their planet, to be so intriguing. As I've said, the whole Serpo thing is almost certainly a hoax (though the purpose of said hoax is also debated), but the idea behind it is interesting. The articles on the serpo.org website are interesting to read too. It does make you wonder what the governments of the world are hiding... not just intelligent life wise.

    Conspiracy theories always interest me. Not always because they could be real, but because someone has taken the time to concoct some far out story that some people believe. Stuff like Paul McCartney being killed in a car accident in 1966 and being replaced by a look-a-like. I mean, come on now! But people believe it, and find 'evidence' to support it. Does anyone else have any favourite hoaxes or conspiracy theories?

    oddment on
    PSN Sig Hidden Within!*
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    *Thanks Thanatos!
  • Gabriel_PittGabriel_Pitt Stepped in it Registered User regular
    edited February 2008
    The problem with galactic colonization, especially if there is a firm speed limit to the universe, is providing the population needed to establish and sustain these planets on their own. Especially if unlike star trek, finding a planet that is easily capable of supporting your kind of life as-is, without needing serious modification to support a complimentary biosphere, is a difficult task. If the closest source of help is eight light years away, it's going to take that long for anyone to know there's a problem, and just as long again, if not longer, for help to arrive. Not to mention how long it would take to properly investigate extra-solar bodies for those perfect planets to begin with.

    Then, in order to populate the galaxy, this race would have to continue to increase at a rate high enough to continue expanding across the stars for this entire period of time, and not succumb to ennui, or well, I honestly am not sure how to anticipate the psychology of a mature race across tens of millenia, but sustaining a drive to populate the galaxy seems like a lot of effort to maintain.

    Gabriel_Pitt on
  • OctoparrotOctoparrot Registered User regular
    edited February 2008
    saggio wrote: »
    Richy, how long have we been looking for aliens? I doubt even a hundred years. We didn't have computers worth a damn until 40 years ago, and we've only ever gotten to the Moon and back. When you are comparing the times involved plus the vast distances...Well, it doesn't seem so out of place. We've been searching for intelligent life for (I'll be generous) 50 years. The galaxy itself is billions of years old, with billions of stars, each thousands of light years away from one another.

    Out here in "the ass end of the galaxy" stars have a mean distance to their closest neighbor of about 6 light years.

    We've been actively looking for aliens as long as we've been sapient. 130 years ago we were pointing our telescopes skyward with the express intent of finding gentlemen in tophats and ladies with parasols strolling along Martian canals. I could argue that we've been looking for alien life at least as far back as 100 B.C. when Lucretius wrote "We must realize that there are other worlds in other parts of the universe, with races of different men and different animals". Of course our methods weren't nearly as sophisticated. But we'll be saying that about our current search 20 years in the future, so that shouldn't be the entire reason to discount it.

    Also Serpo is a joke. Its main problems as a hoax are its lack of boldness and poor fact checking. Everyone's from Zeta Reticuli.

    Octoparrot on
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