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2012: A soon to be outdated movie?

SceptreSceptre Registered User regular
edited November 2008 in Debate and/or Discourse
http://uk.youtube.com/watch?v=5VXa82AuwHU

Set for release in 2009 and directed by Roland Emmerich (creator of the scientifically accurate "The Day after Tomorrow" and "Independence Day", 2012 is going to have something to do with all that mayan calendar nonsense.

According to IMDB, the plot is as follows:
With the Mayan calendar ending in 2012, a large group of people must deal with natural disasters such as volcanic eruptions, typhoons and glaciers.

If that wasn't ambiguously vague enough, somehow they're going to work John Cusack and Amanda Peet (<3) into it.

In what must boil down to the studios trying to capitalize on all of those 2012 doomsday scenarios, I figured it would be interesting to host a discusson on the so called "science" behind some of the theories out there. I still have friends who try to convince me of a half-baked theory of the earth's polarity flipping or what not. Admittedly, I'm not a scientist, but the limited "research" I've done on the internet seems to turn up nothing but pseudoscience and pages that look like they were made in 1998.

So is that all this is? Rampant conspiracy bullshit? Or by some off chance is there something I'm missing.

Sceptre on

Posts

  • edited November 2008
    This content has been removed.

  • Gnome-InterruptusGnome-Interruptus Registered User regular
    edited November 2008
    I'm not positive on what creates the earths magnetic field, but it would be next to impossible for it to flip around.

    If it works like a magnet, then its just a matter of any charged particles aligning in the same direction, which then projects a larger field than the individual charged particle could produce. I would think that the entire Earth having these fields active, would mean that the fields would become stronger(due to more and more particles aligning themselves with the already dominent polarization), not weaker, and definately not do something completely out of left field like flip polarity.

    I could imagine some doomsday cult believing that by 2012 the Earths magnetic field becomes strong enough to pull down the moon, ala the Time Machine.

    But frankly, at the rate we our polluting our planet, and making the Earths oceans too acidic to support the marine life we have currently, and taking out the ocean would have far reaching consequences on all the Earths ecosystems. I dont think we have anything thats a greater concern than air/water pollution.

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  • evilbobevilbob RADELAIDERegistered User regular
    edited November 2008
    I'm not positive on what creates the earths magnetic field, but it would be next to impossible for it to flip around.

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Earth_magnetic_field#Magnetic_field_reversals

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  • Page-Page- Registered User regular
    edited November 2008
    How could the fact that an ancient and dead civilization decided to arbitrarily end their calender sometime during what we now consider to be the year 2012 be anything but an interesting historical fact?

    I'll tell you why! Art motherfucking Bell is why.

    It's complete bunk. The world could end in a thousand different ways, for a thousand different reasons. Because some Mayan scribe got writer's cramp is not one of them.

    Page- on
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  • edited November 2008
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  • KilroyKilroy timaeusTestified Registered User regular
    edited November 2008
    Also the Mayan calendar ends because then they just start a new calendar.

    This. The Mayan calendar is cyclical. 2012 is the end of a cycle, not the world.

    Kilroy on
  • OremLKOremLK Registered User regular
    edited November 2008
    We don't really know for sure what will happen when the magnetosphere reverses next time. It doesn't seem like it has caused mass extinctions in the past, so it seems unlikely it will do so today... however, considering how much we rely on electronics, it could feasibly fuck up our civilization pretty badly.

    I wonder what would happen if we won the shit-lottery and had a massive solar flare and/or Coronal Mass Ejection at the same time as the magnetosphere was mid-reversal?

    Oh, and yeah, the Mayan calendar thing is a bunch of nonsense.

    OremLK on
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  • MarlorMarlor Registered User regular
    edited November 2008
    Well, it's the end of a 5,125 year cycle in the Mayan Calendar. The ancient Mayans believed that it would usher in a new age, and the rebirth of their world.

    So, if I was a Mayan, I'd probably chuck the mother of all New Years' parties. But I'm not.

    We have more to worry about from the Y2K38 problem. There's a long time to go before it will become an issue, but there's a good chance there will still be old software lurking around when it starts to manifest itself, and I doubt there will be a concerted effort to fix the problem because many people now believe that "Y2K" was a hoax or was overrated (rather than the reality, which is that the hype surrounding the issue was the reason why everyone got their software audited and fixed - it would have been a real issue otherwise).

    Let's see someone make a movie about that instead. It would be great... "Oh no, Unix time is about to overrun the bounds of a signed 32 bit integer. We have only 24 hours to audit this software and fix it before time goes negative!". I'd cast Bruce Willis as our valiant coder.

    Marlor on
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  • Page-Page- Registered User regular
    edited November 2008
    Marlor wrote: »
    Let's see someone make a movie about that instead. It would be great... "Oh no, Unix time is about to overrun the bounds of a signed 32 bit integer. We have only 24 hours to audit this software and fix it before time goes negative!". I'd cast Bruce Willis as our valiant coder.

    No, no, no. Bruce Willis is the father of our young, renegade coder's new girlfriend. Only after he's recruited by the FBI do we learn that he's also in charge of the project, and doesn't like this new, authority flaunting style of coding. Fortunately, they manage to bond through a series of harrowing incidents and work together to complete the project just in time. Keanu Reeves and Jessica Alba for the other roles.

    Page- on
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  • -SPI--SPI- Osaka, JapanRegistered User regular
    edited November 2008
    Page- wrote: »
    Marlor wrote: »
    Let's see someone make a movie about that instead. It would be great... "Oh no, Unix time is about to overrun the bounds of a signed 32 bit integer. We have only 24 hours to audit this software and fix it before time goes negative!". I'd cast Bruce Willis as our valiant coder.

    No, no, no. Bruce Willis is the father of our young, renegade coder's new girlfriend. Only after he's recruited by the FBI do we learn that he's also in charge of the project, and doesn't like this new, authority flaunting style of coding. Fortunately, they manage to bond through a series of harrowing incidents and work together to complete the project just in time. Keanu Reeves and Jessica Alba for the other roles.
    You need to work Shia Lebouf in there somewhere.

    -SPI- on
  • Dunadan019Dunadan019 Registered User regular
    edited November 2008
    yeah well as far as disaster movies go, this one could still be good.

    i mean there are tons of movies out there that are decent but based more on magic than science *cough* day after tomorrow *cough*

    and the ones that are utter crap and based around retarded voodoo *cough* the core *cough*

    i mean, sure the world isnt actually gonna end, but i think they knew that. hell there wouldnt be much of a reason to make a movie about the end of the world if you thought the world was actually going to end.

    Dunadan019 on
  • MarlorMarlor Registered User regular
    edited November 2008
    As long as there's a dog who is miraculously saved at some point, then I'm happy.

    You can't have a disaster movie without that.

    Marlor on
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  • TaramoorTaramoor Storyteller Registered User regular
    edited November 2008
    My favorite thing about that trailer is that there is literally not enough water in the ENTIRE WORLD to accomplish that effect.

    Taramoor on
  • lsukalellsukalel Registered User regular
    edited November 2008
    Taramoor wrote: »
    My favorite thing about that trailer is that there is literally not enough water in the ENTIRE WORLD to accomplish that effect.

    Um, not to sound stupid (:looks down) , but is that true?

    lsukalel on
  • Low KeyLow Key Registered User regular
    edited November 2008
    Man, I love disaster movie trailers so much more than actual disaster movies.


    They are gonna screw this up with some kinda story, and dialogue and probably a romantic subplot or some kind of thing where the gruff father proves how much he really loves his son or a dog manages to surf its way to safety. But I would happily watch an hour and a half of a nicely CGI'ed tidal wave travelling the globe just smashing shit up.

    Low Key on
  • NocturneNocturne Registered User regular
    edited November 2008
    Low Key wrote: »
    Man, I love disaster movie trailers so much more than actual disaster movies.


    They are gonna screw this up with some kinda story, and dialogue and probably a romantic subplot or some kind of thing where the gruff father proves how much he really loves his son or a dog manages to surf its way to safety. But I would happily watch an hour and a half of a nicely CGI'ed tidal wave travelling the globe just smashing shit up.

    Oh fuck yes. The day they make a disaster movie without romance or even a hero, I will be a happy person.

    Nocturne on
  • ScooterScooter Registered User regular
    edited November 2008
    lsukalel wrote: »
    Taramoor wrote: »
    My favorite thing about that trailer is that there is literally not enough water in the ENTIRE WORLD to accomplish that effect.

    Um, not to sound stupid (:looks down) , but is that true?

    To cover the highest elevation region of the planet? Maybe if you took it all out and dumped it right there on that spot. It'd wash away again pretty quickly though.

    Scooter on
  • Dis'Dis' Registered User regular
    edited November 2008
    lsukalel wrote: »
    Taramoor wrote: »
    My favorite thing about that trailer is that there is literally not enough water in the ENTIRE WORLD to accomplish that effect.

    Um, not to sound stupid (:looks down) , but is that true?

    The Tibetan Plateau, implied by the mountains and monks, is on average 4 and a half miles above sea level on average and at the centre of a continental mass. If its being flooded it means everything else on earth is probably already under the waves, even if you melt all the icecaps your only going to get a rise of a few hundred metres.

    Dis' on
  • lsukalellsukalel Registered User regular
    edited November 2008
    Dis' wrote: »
    lsukalel wrote: »
    Taramoor wrote: »
    My favorite thing about that trailer is that there is literally not enough water in the ENTIRE WORLD to accomplish that effect.

    Um, not to sound stupid (:looks down) , but is that true?

    The Tibetan Plateau, implied by the mountains and monks, is on average 4 and a half miles above sea level on average and at the centre of a continental mass. If its being flooded it means everything else on earth is probably already under the waves, even if you melt all the icecaps your only going to get a rise of a few hundred metres.

    Cool thanks!

    lsukalel on
  • Dunadan019Dunadan019 Registered User regular
    edited November 2008
    Dis' wrote: »
    lsukalel wrote: »
    Taramoor wrote: »
    My favorite thing about that trailer is that there is literally not enough water in the ENTIRE WORLD to accomplish that effect.

    Um, not to sound stupid (:looks down) , but is that true?

    The Tibetan Plateau, implied by the mountains and monks, is on average 4 and a half miles above sea level on average and at the centre of a continental mass. If its being flooded it means everything else on earth is probably already under the waves, even if you melt all the icecaps your only going to get a rise of a few hundred metres.

    you both assume that the ocean floor did not suddenly and inexplicably raise up all around the world. that would make the amount of water plausible.

    however giant tidal waves from a large asteroid impact are also possible but then again you may get a really big wave at the coast but its unlikely to reach tibet and stay the same height

    Dunadan019 on
  • Bloods EndBloods End Blade of Tyshalle Punch dimensionRegistered User regular
    edited November 2008
    evilbob wrote: »
    I'm not positive on what creates the earths magnetic field, but it would be next to impossible for it to flip around.

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Earth_magnetic_field#Magnetic_field_reversals

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    Bloods End on
  • MKRMKR Registered User regular
    edited November 2008
    Dunadan019 wrote: »
    Dis' wrote: »
    lsukalel wrote: »
    Taramoor wrote: »
    My favorite thing about that trailer is that there is literally not enough water in the ENTIRE WORLD to accomplish that effect.

    Um, not to sound stupid (:looks down) , but is that true?

    The Tibetan Plateau, implied by the mountains and monks, is on average 4 and a half miles above sea level on average and at the centre of a continental mass. If its being flooded it means everything else on earth is probably already under the waves, even if you melt all the icecaps your only going to get a rise of a few hundred metres.

    you both assume that the ocean floor did not suddenly and inexplicably raise up all around the world. that would make the amount of water plausible.

    however giant tidal waves from a large asteroid impact are also possible but then again you may get a really big wave at the coast but its unlikely to reach tibet and stay the same height

    How would any part of the ocean floor rise in a way that doesn't send another part of it down?

    MKR on
  • QinguQingu Registered User regular
    edited November 2008
    It's "Maya."

    Not "Mayan."

    Also, I for one am glad that doomsday cultists are becoming more ecumenical. It was boring when it was all people bitching about Revelation and shit.

    Qingu on
  • Dunadan019Dunadan019 Registered User regular
    edited November 2008
    MKR wrote: »
    Dunadan019 wrote: »
    Dis' wrote: »
    lsukalel wrote: »
    Taramoor wrote: »
    My favorite thing about that trailer is that there is literally not enough water in the ENTIRE WORLD to accomplish that effect.

    Um, not to sound stupid (:looks down) , but is that true?

    The Tibetan Plateau, implied by the mountains and monks, is on average 4 and a half miles above sea level on average and at the centre of a continental mass. If its being flooded it means everything else on earth is probably already under the waves, even if you melt all the icecaps your only going to get a rise of a few hundred metres.

    you both assume that the ocean floor did not suddenly and inexplicably raise up all around the world. that would make the amount of water plausible.

    however giant tidal waves from a large asteroid impact are also possible but then again you may get a really big wave at the coast but its unlikely to reach tibet and stay the same height

    How would any part of the ocean floor rise in a way that doesn't send another part of it down?

    dude, how can you jump start the earth's core with nuclear warheads?

    don't look at me to explain how disaster movies make themselves plausible. they do try though.

    Dunadan019 on
  • OptimusZedOptimusZed Registered User regular
    edited November 2008
    Qingu wrote: »
    Also, I for one am glad that doomsday cultists are becoming more ecumenical. It was boring when it was all people bitching about Revelation and shit.
    Yeah, that whole "Jebus is coming back and we're all going to die" stuff was getting old.

    OptimusZed on
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  • KageraKagera Imitating the worst people. Since 2004Registered User regular
    edited November 2008
    If the Mayans knew so much about the future you'd think their Civilization would have lasted longer, or at least warned the other Native Americans of the gold-hungry pale skins.

    Although it IS an election year. OMG HOW DID THEY KNOW?

    Kagera on
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  • Dis'Dis' Registered User regular
    edited November 2008
    Kagera wrote: »
    If the Mayans knew so much about the future you'd think their Civilization would have lasted longer, or at least warned the other Native Americans of the gold-hungry pale skins.

    Although it IS an election year. OMG HOW DID THEY KNOW?

    Ah Puch for '12? For if you thought Obama had an unfortunate rhyme...

    Dis' on
  • AsiinaAsiina ... WaterlooRegistered User regular
    edited November 2008
    I like how the trailer seems to have nothing to do with the synopsis. The trailer seems more like Deep Impact, which I preferred as the asteroid disaster movie of that summer.

    If it was actually like the lines in the trailer said and about truth and hiding facts for public safety and all those other things I'd like it a lot better than OHNOES WORLD IS COMING TO AN END WILL DENNIS QUAID SAVE THE DAY!? Yes. Yes he will.

    Asiina on
  • DrezDrez Registered User regular
    edited November 2008
    Kilroy wrote: »
    Also the Mayan calendar ends because then they just start a new calendar.

    This. The Mayan calendar is cyclical. 2012 is the end of a cycle, not the world.

    My god man do you think there are any Mayan calendarists left?!?!? There is not going to be a new calendar because the Mayan calendar makers are ALL LONG DEAD. Hence the world will end. QED.

    Drez on
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  • ResIpsaLoquiturResIpsaLoquitur Not a grammar nazi, just alt-write. Registered User regular
    edited November 2008
    Asiina wrote: »
    I like how the trailer seems to have nothing to do with the synopsis. The trailer seems more like Deep Impact, which I preferred as the asteroid disaster movie of that summer.

    If it was actually like the lines in the trailer said and about truth and hiding facts for public safety and all those other things I'd like it a lot better than OHNOES WORLD IS COMING TO AN END WILL DENNIS QUAID SAVE THE DAY!? Yes. Yes he will.

    I'm assuming the trailer isn't a trailer so much as a teaser that's leading people to viral marketing websites.

    ResIpsaLoquitur on
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  • CangoFettCangoFett Registered User regular
    edited November 2008
    HOLY SHI-

    What if all the stupid conspiracy theories for years were just viral marketing?

    CangoFett on
  • BamaBama Registered User regular
    edited November 2008
    CangoFett wrote: »
    HOLY SHI-

    What if all the stupid conspiracy theories for years were just viral marketing?
    If that's the case, this was more impressive.

    Or "The Passion," for that matter.

    Bama on
  • ElJeffeElJeffe Registered User, ClubPA regular
    edited November 2008
    Nocturne wrote: »
    Low Key wrote: »
    Man, I love disaster movie trailers so much more than actual disaster movies.


    They are gonna screw this up with some kinda story, and dialogue and probably a romantic subplot or some kind of thing where the gruff father proves how much he really loves his son or a dog manages to surf its way to safety. But I would happily watch an hour and a half of a nicely CGI'ed tidal wave travelling the globe just smashing shit up.

    Oh fuck yes. The day they make a disaster movie without romance or even a hero, I will be a happy person.

    They've done this. It's called Destroyed In Seconds. It's pretty rad, if you're into random destruction.

    ElJeffe on
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  • juice for jesusjuice for jesus Registered User regular
    edited November 2008
    Bama wrote: »
    CangoFett wrote: »
    HOLY SHI-

    What if all the stupid conspiracy theories for years were just viral marketing?
    If that's the case, this was more impressive.

    Or "The Passion," for that matter.

    Summon the spirit of Philip K. Dick. Time travelling film marketers crafting all the world's religions and literature would make a great PKD story.

    juice for jesus on
  • geckahngeckahn Registered User regular
    edited November 2008
    I'm not positive on what creates the earths magnetic field, but it would be next to impossible for it to flip around.

    If it works like a magnet, then its just a matter of any charged particles aligning in the same direction, which then projects a larger field than the individual charged particle could produce. I would think that the entire Earth having these fields active, would mean that the fields would become stronger(due to more and more particles aligning themselves with the already dominent polarization), not weaker, and definately not do something completely out of left field like flip polarity.

    Actually, it's beyond very possible - it's a factual certainty. The poles flip very often (geologically speaking). Now, the last time was before recorded history, but I do believe we're overdue for one.

    The core of the earth is what produces the electro-magnetic field, and it's a hell of a lot more complicated than a simple magnet.

    geckahn on
  • SmurphSmurph Registered User regular
    edited November 2008
    I seem to remember reading that some crazies think that the Maya cycles are based around some hidden planet or asteroid hides in the Ort cloud and is only brought in to the solar system every couple thousand years by its orbit. If a large planet passed within a certain distance of earth, it would probably make the tides go bonkers. This would make the flooding of Tibet more likely, but probably still impossible.

    Smurph on
  • Andrew_JayAndrew_Jay Registered User regular
    edited November 2008
    ElJeffe wrote: »
    Nocturne wrote: »
    Low Key wrote: »
    Man, I love disaster movie trailers so much more than actual disaster movies.

    They are gonna screw this up with some kinda story, and dialogue and probably a romantic subplot or some kind of thing where the gruff father proves how much he really loves his son or a dog manages to surf its way to safety. But I would happily watch an hour and a half of a nicely CGI'ed tidal wave travelling the globe just smashing shit up.
    Oh fuck yes. The day they make a disaster movie without romance or even a hero, I will be a happy person.
    They've done this. It's called Destroyed In Seconds. It's pretty rad, if you're into random destruction.
    Wikipedia wrote:
    Some of the events have fatalities, all of the events have property damage.
    Something for everyone!



    God, that trailer was hilarious.

    Also according to wikipedia - Danny Glover plays the president.

    Andrew_Jay on
  • FencingsaxFencingsax It is difficult to get a man to understand, when his salary depends upon his not understanding GNU Terry PratchettRegistered User regular
    edited November 2008
    Smurph wrote: »
    I seem to remember reading that some crazies think that the Maya cycles are based around some hidden planet or asteroid hides in the Ort cloud and is only brought in to the solar system every couple thousand years by its orbit. If a large planet passed within a certain distance of earth, it would probably make the tides go bonkers. This would make the flooding of Tibet more likely, but probably still impossible.
    ...If Tibet is flooded, everywhere else will be under hundreds of feet of water.

    Edit: Scratch that, that much water probably doesn't exist on the planet.

    Fencingsax on
  • Andrew_JayAndrew_Jay Registered User regular
    edited November 2008
    Fencingsax wrote: »
    Smurph wrote: »
    I seem to remember reading that some crazies think that the Maya cycles are based around some hidden planet or asteroid hides in the Ort cloud and is only brought in to the solar system every couple thousand years by its orbit. If a large planet passed within a certain distance of earth, it would probably make the tides go bonkers. This would make the flooding of Tibet more likely, but probably still impossible.
    ...If Tibet is flooded, everywhere else will be under hundreds of feet of water.

    Edit: Scratch that, that much water probably doesn't exist on the planet.
    As somekind of insane tide, it could be possible if all of the water is pulled to one spot on the earth's surface.

    But considering the gravitational pull necessary to do that, those monks should probably be more worried about being pulled up into space than drowning.

    Andrew_Jay on
  • FencingsaxFencingsax It is difficult to get a man to understand, when his salary depends upon his not understanding GNU Terry PratchettRegistered User regular
    edited November 2008
    Andrew_Jay wrote: »
    Fencingsax wrote: »
    Smurph wrote: »
    I seem to remember reading that some crazies think that the Maya cycles are based around some hidden planet or asteroid hides in the Ort cloud and is only brought in to the solar system every couple thousand years by its orbit. If a large planet passed within a certain distance of earth, it would probably make the tides go bonkers. This would make the flooding of Tibet more likely, but probably still impossible.
    ...If Tibet is flooded, everywhere else will be under hundreds of feet of water.

    Edit: Scratch that, that much water probably doesn't exist on the planet.
    As somekind of insane tide, it could be possible if all of the water is pulled to one spot on the earth's surface.

    But considering the gravitational pull necessary to do that, those monks should probably be more worried about being pulled up into space than drowning.
    Yeah, the circumstances of that kind of thing mean most people are dead already. Especially say, anyone who lives anywhere near China or India.

    Fencingsax on
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