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The World Ends in 2012

Bionic MonkeyBionic Monkey Registered User, ClubPA regular
edited January 2009 in Help / Advice Forum
To be more specific, why won't it? My mother-in-law is freaking the fuck out over this bullshit Mayan calendar crap, and I remember reading a very logical reason on here for why the calendar ends then that doesn't involve the end of the world.

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  • RaneadosRaneados police apologist you shouldn't have been there, obviouslyRegistered User regular
    edited January 2009
    simply because there IS NO logical reason for it to end on 2012

    why does she say it will?

    like, what is the cause of the end of the world

    Raneados on
  • WezoinWezoin Registered User regular
    edited January 2009
    Well, I don't know the reason for why the Mayan calendar ends then, but exactly why the world won't end then... because if an ancient civilization, without any real form of science, could actually have determined when the world would end, we would have been able to confirm it with science by now.

    Wezoin on
  • Gabriel_PittGabriel_Pitt Stepped in it Registered User regular
    edited January 2009
    The mayans had VERY real forms of science. I believe that they were exceptionally good with astronomy.

    Tell her the Mayan calendar is cyclical like a clock, and just like when a clock hits 12 am it's a new day, when the Mayan calendar hits 2012, it's a new era. The start of a new era is boring, so it's much more exciting to just instead make that THE END, forgetting to reference that after reaching 12, the clock keeps on ticking.

    See if that calms her down any.

    Gabriel_Pitt on
  • KajustaKajusta Registered User regular
    edited January 2009
    I've heard it was just the end of the Mayan calendar

    Not that once time eventually got there that the world would end, but that they just haven't thought that far into the future kind of thing.

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  • Bionic MonkeyBionic Monkey Registered User, ClubPA regular
    edited January 2009
    Raneados wrote: »
    simply because there IS NO logical reason for it to end on 2012

    why does she say it will?

    like, what is the cause of the end of the world

    I don't know. She's watching these end-of-the-world shows that are talking about 2012 being the end of the world.

    And to be more specific, I read a logical reason for why the calendar ended then, like it was some kind of reboot, or they just didn't bother extrapolating further, or something else.

    Bionic Monkey on
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  • DjiemDjiem Registered User regular
    edited January 2009
    While I'd be willing to bet my life on the claim that NOTHING at all will happen on Dec 21, 2012, Gabriel_Pitt got it right: According to their calendar, it's the end of an ERA, not of the world. It's also the start of an era, logically.

    Next time she freaks out, just say: Y2K.

    EDIT: Just noticed that betting my life on the fact that there won't be an end of the world isn't a very high-risk bet. Either I win or it's the end of the world.

    Djiem on
  • WezoinWezoin Registered User regular
    edited January 2009
    The mayans had VERY real forms of science. I believe that they were exceptionally good with astronomy.

    Sorry, I suppose I should have made it more clear that I meant in comparison to what we have today.

    Wezoin on
  • bigpandabigpanda Registered User regular
    edited January 2009
    Quick search on the internets turned up this along with others....

    http://www.adishakti.org/mayan_end_times_prophecy_12-21-2012.htm

    One interesting thing is that the calendar actually ends on 12-21-12. If you add them all up it comes out to 9 which is also an end of a cycle. I wouldn't say it means anything, but is kind of interesting.

    bigpanda on
  • wasted pixelswasted pixels Registered User regular
    edited January 2009
    Here's the thing. Imagine you've got an odometer with five decimal places. It'd start at 00,000, and gradually work its way up to 99,999. When it hit 99,999, it'd have to roll over to 00,000 again, right? That's why some think the world will "reset" when the Mayan long count runs out.

    But when the Mesoamerican themselves had to deal with that, they just added another decimal place. For instance, when specifically referencing the year AD 4772, they used two additional decimal places in their counting scheme to make "room" to add more years.

    It'd be a hell of a coincidence if their counting system just happened to line up with a polar shift or something, but it'd be just that -- a coincidence.

    wasted pixels on
  • EggyToastEggyToast Jersey CityRegistered User regular
    edited January 2009
    I doubt your mom is Mayan. She shouldn't worry about the calendar if she doesn't use it. I'm sure the Jewish calendar and the Chinese calendar have similar attributes.

    If that's not good enough, just tell her it's like a calendar that only goes to 999, and resets at 1000 back to 0. It doesn't mean anything, it's just set up that way.

    But yeah, any time my friends bring this shit up, I ask if they actually use the mayan calendar. None do, so I tell them to focus on their own calendar.

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  • KatholicKatholic Registered User regular
    edited January 2009
    bigpanda wrote: »
    Quick search on the internets turned up this along with others....

    http://www.adishakti.org/mayan_end_times_prophecy_12-21-2012.htm

    One interesting thing is that the calendar actually ends on 12-21-12. If you add them all up it comes out to 9 which is also an end of a cycle. I wouldn't say it means anything, but is kind of interesting.

    God this sounds like the 23 enigma...

    Katholic on
  • The Lord of HatsThe Lord of Hats Registered User regular
    edited January 2009
    Try this explanation, courtesy of Dresden Codak.
    The last year cycle of the Mayan calendar does indeed end on December 21, 2012, but the reason for this is less mysterious than one might think. First we have to understand how the Mayans kept time, which is largely more complex than our own. They two systems, but the one of importance is known as the "Long Count", which dates using five values:

    Kin = 1 day
    Uinal = 20 days
    Tun = 360 days
    Katun = 7200 days
    Baktun = 144000 days

    A Mayan date like 6.3.3.8.0 would be 6 baktuns, 3 katuns, 3 tuns, 8 uinals and 0 days. A full Mayan cycle is 13 baktuns, which means it would end on 13.0.0.0.0, which would be 1,872,000 days from the initial date of 0.0.0.0.0, or more commonly known as the "Zero Date". Through some crafty archeological work, most experts agree that the Zero Date is August 11th, 3114 C.E. on the Gregorian Calendar.

    What's interesting, however, is that the Zero Date was initially of little relevance to the Mayans because their calendar system was based on its end rather than its beginning, meaning that the 2012 date was chosen first, then the cycle was retroactively applied to give the current date.

    The Mayans and other Mesoamericans were concerned on many levels the concept of emptiness, death, etc., which may help explain why they were the first to develop the number 0 and have still the only calendar system that incorporates it. Their astronomical observations are often based on the voids between star movements, like the the northern void where Polaris now resides today. 2012 marks the end of another age, but why was this date chosen in particular, if it is to be assumed at all?

    The most conventional explanation is that on this date the winter solstice sun aligns through the "dark rift" in the Milky Way galaxy, a rare phenomenon. Why this phenomenon is significant has its origins in Mayan mythology, namely the Sacred Tree, an image heavily referenced in their culture. Astronomically, the Sacred Tree is represented by the intersection of the band of the Milky Way galaxy with the ecliptic of the sun. This intersection is considered the doorway between life and death, among other things.

    It must be assumed that the Maya were able to predict the precession of the equinoxes, which is becoming increasingly more accepted amongst archeologists. It's not too surprising, seeing as their calender can be used to predict just about everything else. The relationship between the ecliptic and the Galactic Equator is one heavily referenced in Mayan mythology, so it's not much of a stretch to assume that the Maya would set the end of their calendar to correspond with what they viewed as a significant celestial event.

    The band of the sun passing through the dark region in the Milky Way represents a passing through the void, resetting the relationship between the worlds of the living and the dead. What most conspiracy and apocalyptic types fail to understand, however, is that this event doesn't hail the end of the world so much as it is the resetting of the cosmos so that a new age may begin.

    The Lord of Hats on
  • OremLKOremLK Registered User regular
    edited January 2009
    Tell her if she's really into the Mayan calendar, the only thing she needs to worry about in 2012 is buying a new one.

    Because that's what you do when you get to the end of your calendar.

    OremLK on
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  • EriosErios Registered User regular
    edited January 2009
    It doesn't mean anything, just that the Long Count calendar resets. If the reset coincided with the reset of the cyclical yearly calendar, then we might be in for a day of power. As it stands the reset MIGHT be a day of power, but is something I don't recall from Anthropology as I had to leave that class that day (either that or a new age). Basically, it's got less credence than the LHC producing superfluous antimatter and destroying the world.

    Source Terrence D'Altroy, professor of Anthropology at Columbia University, specialist on South and Mesoamerican cultures.

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  • SentrySentry Registered User regular
    edited January 2009
    Try this... count up the number of times a large number of people, a prophecy, or some ridiculous equation has said the world is going to end...

    now, compare that to the number of times the world has ended.

    Sentry on
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  • NisslNissl Registered User regular
    edited January 2009
    (Conceding her new agey mindset) people have already covered the main point, which is that 2012 is just a new era in the Mayan calendar not The End.

    If she won't let go of having an irrational belief, maybe you could try to get her into the view of 2012 in Terrence McKenna's novelty theory or some of the "new consciousness on earth" new agey bs instead. At least she won't be freaking out as hard then.

    Also, get ready for her to do it again before 2027, because that's the new date those types are already shifting towards.

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  • DeciusDecius I'm old! I'm fat! I'M BLUE!Registered User regular
    edited January 2009
    Djiem wrote: »
    EDIT: Just noticed that betting my life on the fact that there won't be an end of the world isn't a very high-risk bet. Either I win or it's the end of the world.

    When you think about it, it's quite a literal bet.

    As for the OP and the Mayan Calendar thing, I'm pretty well just going to echo what everyone else here is saying and note that it's either the end of their calendar or the end of an era. If the world was really going to end, who gives a shit anyhow? It's not like you can do anything about it. I guess we'll find out.

    Oh man, maybe that's when mankind reaches a sigularityAWOOOOSH!

    Decius on
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  • EskimoDaveEskimoDave Registered User regular
    edited January 2009
    Thats a day before my birthday :(

    EskimoDave on
  • DeciusDecius I'm old! I'm fat! I'M BLUE!Registered User regular
    edited January 2009
    It's about two weeks after I turn 30, so if the world ends I don't really mind.

    Decius on
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  • DarkPrimusDarkPrimus Registered User regular
    edited January 2009
    To be more specific, why won't it? My mother-in-law is freaking the fuck out over this bullshit Mayan calendar crap, and I remember reading a very logical reason on here for why the calendar ends then that doesn't involve the end of the world.

    Because when the Mayan calender is done it's going to start over, just like other calenders.

    DarkPrimus on
  • ZombiemamboZombiemambo Registered User regular
    edited January 2009
    I hear that in 2012 another meteor is going to crash into Earth and all of the dinosaurs that went "extinct" are going to pour out of that fucking meteor like a flood. Of dinosaurs.

    But seriously, what everyone has said before. And if she brings up Nostradomus, two things:

    1) Vague predictions are a lot more likely to come true. On top of that, Nostradomus made countless predictions, and only a few of them came true.

    2) He predicted the world would end in 2012, which he mostly likely took from *drum roll* .... The Mayan calendar!

    Zombiemambo on
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  • SentrySentry Registered User regular
    edited January 2009
    I hear that in 2012 another meteor is going to crash into Earth and all of the dinosaurs that went "extinct" are going to pour out of that fucking meteor like a flood. Of dinosaurs.


    That could be a blessing in disguise.

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=47_YACSvSBA

    Sentry on
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    When I was a little kid, I always pretended I was the hero,' Skip said.
    'Fuck yeah, me too. What little kid ever pretended to be part of the lynch-mob?'
  • pacbowlpacbowl Los AngelesRegistered User regular
    edited January 2009
    Try this explanation, courtesy of Dresden Codak.
    The last year cycle of the Mayan calendar does indeed end on December 21, 2012, but the reason for this is less mysterious than one might think. First we have to understand how the Mayans kept time, which is largely more complex than our own. They two systems, but the one of importance is known as the "Long Count", which dates using five values:

    Kin = 1 day
    Uinal = 20 days
    Tun = 360 days
    Katun = 7200 days
    Baktun = 144000 days

    A Mayan date like 6.3.3.8.0 would be 6 baktuns, 3 katuns, 3 tuns, 8 uinals and 0 days. A full Mayan cycle is 13 baktuns, which means it would end on 13.0.0.0.0, which would be 1,872,000 days from the initial date of 0.0.0.0.0, or more commonly known as the "Zero Date". Through some crafty archeological work, most experts agree that the Zero Date is August 11th, 3114 C.E. on the Gregorian Calendar.

    What's interesting, however, is that the Zero Date was initially of little relevance to the Mayans because their calendar system was based on its end rather than its beginning, meaning that the 2012 date was chosen first, then the cycle was retroactively applied to give the current date.

    The Mayans and other Mesoamericans were concerned on many levels the concept of emptiness, death, etc., which may help explain why they were the first to develop the number 0 and have still the only calendar system that incorporates it. Their astronomical observations are often based on the voids between star movements, like the the northern void where Polaris now resides today. 2012 marks the end of another age, but why was this date chosen in particular, if it is to be assumed at all?

    The most conventional explanation is that on this date the winter solstice sun aligns through the "dark rift" in the Milky Way galaxy, a rare phenomenon. Why this phenomenon is significant has its origins in Mayan mythology, namely the Sacred Tree, an image heavily referenced in their culture. Astronomically, the Sacred Tree is represented by the intersection of the band of the Milky Way galaxy with the ecliptic of the sun. This intersection is considered the doorway between life and death, among other things.

    It must be assumed that the Maya were able to predict the precession of the equinoxes, which is becoming increasingly more accepted amongst archeologists. It's not too surprising, seeing as their calender can be used to predict just about everything else. The relationship between the ecliptic and the Galactic Equator is one heavily referenced in Mayan mythology, so it's not much of a stretch to assume that the Maya would set the end of their calendar to correspond with what they viewed as a significant celestial event.

    The band of the sun passing through the dark region in the Milky Way represents a passing through the void, resetting the relationship between the worlds of the living and the dead. What most conspiracy and apocalyptic types fail to understand, however, is that this event doesn't hail the end of the world so much as it is the resetting of the cosmos so that a new age may begin.

    I tend to agree with this. It's really no more important than the turn of the millennium in our calendar (1999 to 2000)

    From Wiki:
    According to the Popol Vuh, a book compiling details of creation accounts known to the K'iche' Maya of the Colonial-era highlands, we are living in the fourth world. The Popol Vuh describes the first three creations that the gods failed in making and the creation of the successful fourth world where men were placed. In the Maya Long Count, the previous creation ended at the start of a 13th b'ak'tun.

    The previous creation ended on a long count of 12.19.19.17.19. Another 12.19.19.17.19 will occur on December 20, 2012, followed by the start of the fourteenth b'ak'tun, 13.0.0.0.0, on December 21, 2012.

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  • GorkGork Registered User regular
    edited January 2009
    EskimoDave wrote: »
    Thats a day before my birthday :(

    You think that's bad?

    It's my 30th birthday. As far as I'm concerned, that is the end of the world.

    Gork on
  • Panda4YouPanda4You Registered User regular
    edited January 2009
    End of the world? Hell naw; I'll be sorely diappointed if there won't be any dragons or unicorns though.
    Snappy avatar pacbowl, btw :wink:

    Panda4You on
  • DarkPrimusDarkPrimus Registered User regular
    edited January 2009
    Also, I don't know if this would help, but you can point out how many times other people have said that the world would end soon, and it didn't. It's a constant phenomenon, but some Internet searching can probably give you a dozen or two prominent examples of widespread doomsaying that never panned out. (One off the top of my head - in one of Paul's letters he says the Second Coming will occur within his lifetime.)

    DarkPrimus on
  • pacbowlpacbowl Los AngelesRegistered User regular
    edited January 2009
    Panda4You wrote: »
    Snappy avatar pacbowl, btw :wink:

    Thanks. Scanned it myself over a decade ago. Figured it would come in handy at some point. :P

    pacbowl on
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  • MidshipmanMidshipman Registered User regular
    edited January 2009
    pacbowl wrote: »
    I tend to agree with this. It's really no more important than the turn of the millennium in our calendar (2000 to 2001)

    Fixed.

    Midshipman on
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  • KalTorakKalTorak One way or another, they all end up in the Undercity.Registered User regular
    edited January 2009
    Midshipman wrote: »
    pacbowl wrote: »
    I tend to agree with this. It's really no more important than the turn of the millennium in our calendar (2000 to 2001)

    Fixed.

    Except not, because he said "the turn of the millenium in our calendar," meaning when the number "1" on the calendar changes to the number "2."

    KalTorak on
  • cloudeaglecloudeagle Registered User regular
    edited January 2009
    OP, you'd better act quickly to counteract her panic, since Roland Emmerich is about to make your life more miserable. That goober behind Independence Day, Godzilla and The Day After Tomorrow is going to blow up the world again in 2012, a movie coming out this year in which the Mayans were right and the apocalypse happens for some reason.

    Then again, the movie may help. The Day After Tomorrow was so damn stupid it was seriously used as ammunition by global warming deniers, so maybe 2012 will do the same thing to people worrying about the calendar flip.

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  • LewieP's MummyLewieP's Mummy Registered User regular
    edited January 2009
    Also, we got the millennium date wrong - its taken from the Gregorian calendar, and it has some basic errors/corrections in it. One of the funniest is that Jesus wasn't born on 25th December 0000 at all - He was born between 4 and 6 years before, and more likely in the Spring, so the real millennium was anywhere from 1994 - 1996! And then there's this lovely blooper!

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  • KalTorakKalTorak One way or another, they all end up in the Undercity.Registered User regular
    edited January 2009
    Douglas Adams has a great take on people who get pedantic about when the millenium actually changes. I wish I could find the text, it's in Salmon of Doubt, but the main point is that because of the arbitrary nature of calendars, numbers, base ten, and most of the measurements we take, the millenium is only significant because we get to watch all the numbers change and go "whoa, look at thta!"

    KalTorak on
  • GoodOmensGoodOmens Registered User regular
    edited January 2009
    The best part about all of this is that, if the world is going to end in 2012, if Hunahpu and Xbalanque or whoever is going to go all apeshit and annihilate us all, there would be precisely fuck-all that we could do about it. So why worry?

    I do wonder, though...I've never seen anything that explains exactly how the world will end.

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  • MagicPrimeMagicPrime FiresideWizard Registered User regular
    edited January 2009
    The ending of the Mayan calendar was just the end of a cycle of time. They didn't believe it would be the end of all things - just a switch over in their arbitrary time cycle. If they had survived there probably would have been a big celebration/party and they would have created a new calendar for the new cycle - but well, they never really got the chance.

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  • MidshipmanMidshipman Registered User regular
    edited January 2009
    KalTorak wrote: »
    Midshipman wrote: »
    pacbowl wrote: »
    I tend to agree with this. It's really no more important than the turn of the millennium in our calendar (2000 to 2001)

    Fixed.

    Except not, because he said "the turn of the millenium in our calendar," meaning when the number "1" on the calendar changes to the number "2."

    The Western calendar starts at 1, not 0. A millennium is 1000 years long. 1999 is the 999th year of the 2nd millennium, 2000 is the 1000th year, 2001 is the first year of the 3rd millennium.

    Midshipman on
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  • WulfWulf Disciple of Tzeentch The Void... (New Jersey)Registered User regular
    edited January 2009
    Just reminder her to bring a towel, and her Hitchhikers Guide. ;)

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  • jefe414jefe414 "My Other Drill Hole is a Teleporter" Mechagodzilla is Best GodzillaRegistered User regular
    edited January 2009
    Look, Thundarr the Barbarian predicted that a runaway planet would come between the Earth and Moon. This would split the Moon in half and destroy civilization as we know it. 2000 years later the world was run by savagery, super-science, and sorcery.

    I was waiting on New Year's Eve 1994 and it never happened.

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  • ComahawkComahawk Registered User regular
    edited January 2009
    jefe414 wrote: »
    Look, Thundarr the Barbarian predicted that a runaway planet would come between the Earth and Moon. This would split the Moon in half and destroy civilization as we know it. 2000 years later the world was run by savagery, super-science, and sorcery.

    I was waiting on New Year's Eve 1994 and it never happened.

    Or did it?

    Comahawk on
  • PojacoPojaco Registered User regular
    edited January 2009
    It ends in 2012 because they carved it in a circle and ran out of room!

    Pojaco on
  • Cyd CycloneCyd Cyclone Registered User regular
    edited January 2009
    Also, we got the millennium date wrong - its taken from the Gregorian calendar, and it has some basic errors/corrections in it. One of the funniest is that Jesus wasn't born on 25th December 0000 at all - He was born between 4 and 6 years before, and more likely in the Spring, so the real millennium was anywhere from 1994 - 1996! And then there's this lovely blooper!

    It wasn't really a blooper. Every country had anywhere from 10 to 18 days lost when they adopted the Gregorian calender. Before that, it was even worse, when, in the Julian calender, it could be Sept. 2 in somewhere like Tuscany but Sept 15 in Zurich, due to the local placement of the leap days, weeks, and months in the old Julian Calender. Part of the drive to adopt the Gregorian calender was to standardize Feast Days, as well as allow for greater trade between regions.

    As for the Mayan thing, if she's really new-agey, pull out Nostradamus or some other quack and show her all of their failed predicitions. Alternately, there's always Von Daniken to fall back on. Just say that the aliens return on 2012.

    Cyd Cyclone on
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