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Giuliani is setting himself up to run for president. He should have a tough time of it because he's neither a governor nor a senator.
He did gain national attention because of 9/11 however.
Because of his moderate stance he might have trouble convincing the Republican party to support him, especially since he's probalbly going to be going against McCain.
So, what do you think of his chances? Can he do it?
GoslingLooking Up Soccer In Mongolia Right Now, ProbablyWatertown, WIRegistered Userregular
edited November 2006
With each passing year, the words '9/11' carry less and less weight, as the event becomes less and less of a tragedy and more and more simple history (see also: JFK assassination). By 2008 it'll have been seven years removed.
I'm going somewhere with this. Hang on.
The vast majority of Rudy's appeal since 9/11 has ben... 9/11. My memory's a tad hazy, but I don't recall him being the most popular mayor before then. He had one really good, really bad day. Ever since then I haven't heard a damn thing from him (or most anyone else) about anything else he's ever done. All it's been is "I was mayor on 9/11, so please vote for this completely unrelated Republican who's about a week away from getting his ass kicked in the voting booth." I know he's got a past that's more than shady, so it would come out eventually. And no matter how much he tried to ride 9/11, it'd come out again. And since people have mostly forgotten about that stuff, it'd hit as hard as any other blindside scandal. And when it does, he's toast.
Gosling on
I have a new soccer blog The Minnow Tank. Reading it psychically kicks Sepp Blatter in the bean bag.
It's kind of funny that a vague association with San Francisco is enough to make you a pariah in national politics and a vague association with New York City is enough to cement you as incredibly important in national politics.
This is going to be a big test of the weight of name recognition for Republican primary voters. It's true that he hasn't done a lot, but that means he has no voting record to criticize, which works in his favor. I would imagine he would have a hard time of it with the 700 Club and the like vehemently opposed to him though. I see this as a run for vice president.
TroubledTom on
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I hope people accuse him of being a hypocrite for being a pro-choice catholic, like they did with Kerry. Actually, the fact he's pro-choice should piss off the christian vote in general, and you can bet his opponent in the primary is going to hammer in on that point.
How do you think New York will vote on this one? On one hand, they elected the guy mayor once. On the other hand, they didn't vote Bush during his 9/11 campaign in NY back in '04 at the heights of his popularity, so I'm guess there's a lot of bad blood there. And they probably have more dirt on Guliani than most.
If Guliani doesn't win NY, and his entire campagin is, "I was mayor of NY during 9/11," than that would hurt his campaign. A lot. OTOH, if he does win NY, then that might screw over the dems in the electoral colllege.
Oh yeah, and let's not forget the recent asbestos lawsuits regarding the dangers for rescue workers during 9/11, and the fact that they're still finding remains EVEN NOW. I mean, no one in 5 years thinks to check the manholes?
Because of his moderate stance he might have trouble convincing the Republican party to support him, especially since he's probalbly going to be going against McCain.
McCain has no chance. He pissed off all of his maverick fans by trying to get closer to Bush, and he pissed off all his Bush fans by being maverick.
Because of his moderate stance he might have trouble convincing the Republican party to support him, especially since he's probalbly going to be going against McCain.
McCain has no chance. He pissed off all of his maverick fans by trying to get closer to Bush, and he pissed off all his Bush fans by being maverick.
You're hitting on a major difficulty any Republican senator is going to have in the next election: his voting voting record in the Senate. That's going to be easy to take advantage of for comparisons to Bush. That won't necessarily hurt McCain in a primary election, but it could help Giuliani in a national election, seeing as how he won't have one.
TroubledTom on
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The Republican pundits have done a very good job of immortalizing Rudy as a man who can do no wrong. Like an 08 I win button. The average joe seems to really respect this guy even now, a guy who is famous for exactly three things.
1. Getting the smut out of Times Square, replacing it with Disney smut.
2. Cheating on his wife, while she was having health issues. (A republican mainstay, actually)
3. Being in the right place at the right time and not making a total ass out of himself. Its horrible to describe the terrorist attacks like this but it nothing did more to help his or the Presidents political careers.
The guy is nice enough, fiscally consverative socially progressive (I wonder if this will last) and famous. He has better chances than just about anyone else at this point, on both sides of the coin.
Giuliani has too much bad history that he'll be torn apart in the primaries. Anybody remember the BS with Bernard Kerek, his Police Chief that was picked for Homeland Security a few years ago?
LondonBridge on
0
HarrierThe Star Spangled ManRegistered Userregular
edited November 2006
I wouldn't mind Giuliani as president. As has been mentioned, he's a more moderate Republican- a fiscal conservative, which we haven't fucking seen since, what, Ford? No, Reagan was not a fiscal conservative.
I think he'd have a hard time in the primaries, but he'd also do well on the national stage. People may not sit up and jump anymore when you yell out "9/11!", but the attacks are proof that Giuliani can handle himself when the shit starts flying.
If he's really pro-choice, it would piss off the Christian base. Then again, the Christian base is already fractured by the recently past election. By 2008, the GOP might not need their votes anymore; more realistically, it might be impossible to cluster the Christian vote around one party ever again. Fundamentalists might stick with the Republicans, but more progressive Christians and Catholics seem to be trending back toward the Democrats as social justice issues return to prominence.
Harrier on
I don't wanna kill anybody. I don't like bullies. I don't care where they're from.
The average New Yorker hates the guy becaseu he turned into a Republican party whore the second he wanted to run for federal office.
He'd get slaugtered in a national election. many northeasterners look at him as something of a traitor and opportunist and social conservatives will hate him becasue he's pretty socially liberal
I was just watching MSNBC and some of the things they said about him just made me realize he has absolutely no chance. He's a Republican who has been divorced three times, is pro-choice, and pro-gay rights. They even said that he moved in with two gay guys after his first divorce. Who is supposed to like this guy if liberals don't?
Hoz on
0
Irond WillWARNING: NO HURTFUL COMMENTS, PLEASE!!!!!Cambridge. MAModeratorMod Emeritus
edited November 2006
The way things are looking at the moment, Guiliani would have a rough run of it. This is because the electoral thumping has seemed to convince the different GOP factions that they need to retrench into their specific ideology. This might make sense if the GOP had, as articulated, a single consistent ideology, but they don't. What we'll likely see is tax-cut fanatics, militarists, and fundamentalists all expressing the view that Rudy is a sellout.
Which, you know, he kind of is.
Also, he has a lot of personal problems, which might not be a huge deal in NYC, but are definitely a huge deal in flyover country.
I was just watching MSNBC and some of the things they said about him just made me realize he has absolutely no chance. He's a Republican who has been divorced three times, is pro-choice, and pro-gay rights. They even said that he moved in with two gay guys after his first divorce. Who is supposed to like this guy if liberals don't?
The divorce thing isn't a big deal (Newt Gingrich), but, yeah, they won't take kindly to his history of not breaking gay people's kneecaps.
He's just a scumsucker, though. I normally don't judge candidates on their personal ethics, and instead focus on their legislative abilities, but Rudy's the definition of "oppurtunist" and "douchebag."
Wasn't there a story earlier this year about Giuliani firing somebody at... I don't know, some sort of window clerk position, because they were playing solitaire on their computer while there were no customers?
Wasn't there a story earlier this year about Giuliani firing somebody at... I don't know, some sort of window clerk position, because they were playing solitaire on their computer while there were no customers?
Wasn't there a story earlier this year about Giuliani firing somebody at... I don't know, some sort of window clerk position, because they were playing solitaire on their computer while there were no customers?
Wasn't there a story earlier this year about Giuliani firing somebody at... I don't know, some sort of window clerk position, because they were playing solitaire on their computer while there were no customers?
Or am I thinking of someone else?
That one happened on Bloomy's watch
Ah. My bad.
And the Big Boss's trip through the peons' cubicles was scheduled like a month in advance. If you can't put away the Solitare for an hour when you know that your boss's boss's boss's boss will be around, then you're too stupid to work anything other than cum-scrubber anyway.
Bloomie strikles me as a hardass but he's not an idealouge and he knows how to run an administration. His biggest mistep was all that stadium and Olympics hoopla but that was mostly his deputy mayor's idea.
I can't see Rudy beating John McCain. Rudy's whole thing is "I was the mayor on 9/11!". His political ads will consist entirely of that six second long video of him walking down a New York street with firefighters and cops like he's taking charge of the situation, like it's the fucking West Wing or something.
I don't have a problem with Rudy, really. Seems like a good chap, for the most part. But so does John McCain, and I think ultimately McCain's got more neo-con cred than Rudy does.
You must have missed the memo being a neocon is certaintly not a plus anymore.
Apparently not since last week.
Good job on that, by the way.
Fuckin' neo-cons.
Hopefully this means McCain will stop his "appealing to the far right" bullshit and go back to being the center-right bipartisan awesome dude I love.
Except that knowing how easily he will sell out the center-right bipartisans in favor of appealing to the wingnuts means nobody with any sense will ever trust him again. Seriously, I'd like to see him out of the Senate...he certainly would never get my vote for president now.
What did he do recently?
TroubledTom on
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You must have missed the memo being a neocon is certaintly not a plus anymore.
Apparently not since last week.
Good job on that, by the way.
Fuckin' neo-cons.
Hopefully this means McCain will stop his "appealing to the far right" bullshit and go back to being the center-right bipartisan awesome dude I love.
Except that knowing how easily he will sell out the center-right bipartisans in favor of appealing to the wingnuts means nobody with any sense will ever trust him again. Seriously, I'd like to see him out of the Senate...he certainly would never get my vote for president now.
Agreed, completely. The way he bent over on the torture resolutions nauseated me.
Rudy's not much better in that regard, either; he already sold out the fucking city to make nice with the base during the 2004 RNC, so I don't put anything past him.
You must have missed the memo being a neocon is certaintly not a plus anymore.
Apparently not since last week.
Good job on that, by the way.
Fuckin' neo-cons.
Hopefully this means McCain will stop his "appealing to the far right" bullshit and go back to being the center-right bipartisan awesome dude I love.
Wasn't he up to his ears in Abscam? Keating Five and all that? Anyways, he never really follows through with anything - just looks for an opportunity to get on camera, then talks big, and then quietly folds.
What kind of man endorses George Bush after Bush's campaign went after him for adopting an Asian baby ("A black baby born out of wedlock")? McCain really is an unprincipled shitheel.
You must have missed the memo being a neocon is certaintly not a plus anymore.
Apparently not since last week.
Good job on that, by the way.
Fuckin' neo-cons.
Hopefully this means McCain will stop his "appealing to the far right" bullshit and go back to being the center-right bipartisan awesome dude I love.
Except that knowing how easily he will sell out the center-right bipartisans in favor of appealing to the wingnuts means nobody with any sense will ever trust him again. Seriously, I'd like to see him out of the Senate...he certainly would never get my vote for president now.
Agreed, completely. The way he bent over on the torture resolutions nauseated me.
Rudy's not much better in that regard, either; he already sold out the fucking city to make nice with the base during the 2004 RNC, so I don't put anything past him.
that was pataki too. i think that cuntbag thinks he's got a shot at federal office too.
From the sounds of it, the republican primary should be AWESOME as the republicans pile dirt on one another and try to appeal to their "base." I was watching Scarborough the other day, and even Pat Buchanon basically said that MCain had no chance in hell. Rudy seems like a lame duck, and if the democrats can push the 9/11 commission reforms through, they can actually turn 9/11 against him ("Rudy spoke in front of our star 4 years ago, and assured us that George Bush was making us safer. But us New Yorkers knew it was anything but. The 9/11 commission report, which detailed what went wrong and what was needed to go right, was still being ignored. That's when we stepped in...")
I can't believe republicans are actually bringing up Newt Gingrich as one of their picks. I mean, Newt Gingrich? Does the contract with America ring any bells? The public was pretty clear this past midterm that congress fucked up. The same congress that Newt himself led to victory. Right.
OTOH, the Democratic primaries will be SAD. Because the party has basically been powerless right up until now, and have only a year to change the course of this country.
You must have missed the memo being a neocon is certaintly not a plus anymore.
Apparently not since last week.
Good job on that, by the way.
Fuckin' neo-cons.
Hopefully this means McCain will stop his "appealing to the far right" bullshit and go back to being the center-right bipartisan awesome dude I love.
Except that knowing how easily he will sell out the center-right bipartisans in favor of appealing to the wingnuts means nobody with any sense will ever trust him again. Seriously, I'd like to see him out of the Senate...he certainly would never get my vote for president now.
Agreed, completely. The way he bent over on the torture resolutions nauseated me.
Rudy's not much better in that regard, either; he already sold out the fucking city to make nice with the base during the 2004 RNC, so I don't put anything past him.
that was pataki too. i think that cuntbag thinks he's got a shot at federal office too.
Oh yeah, but it was Rudy who said, in front of millions of viewers, "My first thought when I heard the news that we were under attack was 'Thank God George Bush is our president.'"
You must have missed the memo being a neocon is certaintly not a plus anymore.
Apparently not since last week.
Good job on that, by the way.
Fuckin' neo-cons.
Hopefully this means McCain will stop his "appealing to the far right" bullshit and go back to being the center-right bipartisan awesome dude I love.
Except that knowing how easily he will sell out the center-right bipartisans in favor of appealing to the wingnuts means nobody with any sense will ever trust him again. Seriously, I'd like to see him out of the Senate...he certainly would never get my vote for president now.
Agreed, completely. The way he bent over on the torture resolutions nauseated me.
Rudy's not much better in that regard, either; he already sold out the fucking city to make nice with the base during the 2004 RNC, so I don't put anything past him.
that was pataki too. i think that cuntbag thinks he's got a shot at federal office too.
Oh yeah, but it was Rudy who said, in front of millions of viewers, "My first thought when I heard the news that we were under attack was 'Thank God George Bush is our president.'"
Fuck you, Rudy.
Yeah pretty much.
Derrick on
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Irond WillWARNING: NO HURTFUL COMMENTS, PLEASE!!!!!Cambridge. MAModeratorMod Emeritus
OTOH, the Democratic primaries will be SAD. Because the party has basically been powerless right up until now, and have only a year to change the course of this country.
As long as they focus on cleaning up the messes that have occured over the past six years, I'm tempted to think that Americans will give them a little latitude. The only people demanding an immediate precipitous withdrawal from Iraq is the left fringe, and I think most left and moderate voters will be cool with a clearly articulated phased withdrawal.
I could be wrong, since Americans are fickle and impatient, but it seems to me that the Dems big mandate this cycle is "christ, start to clean up this mess". If they can make improvement (or force Bush to veto improvements), I think we'll be strong.
Posts
I'm going somewhere with this. Hang on.
The vast majority of Rudy's appeal since 9/11 has ben... 9/11. My memory's a tad hazy, but I don't recall him being the most popular mayor before then. He had one really good, really bad day. Ever since then I haven't heard a damn thing from him (or most anyone else) about anything else he's ever done. All it's been is "I was mayor on 9/11, so please vote for this completely unrelated Republican who's about a week away from getting his ass kicked in the voting booth." I know he's got a past that's more than shady, so it would come out eventually. And no matter how much he tried to ride 9/11, it'd come out again. And since people have mostly forgotten about that stuff, it'd hit as hard as any other blindside scandal. And when it does, he's toast.
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How do you think New York will vote on this one? On one hand, they elected the guy mayor once. On the other hand, they didn't vote Bush during his 9/11 campaign in NY back in '04 at the heights of his popularity, so I'm guess there's a lot of bad blood there. And they probably have more dirt on Guliani than most.
If Guliani doesn't win NY, and his entire campagin is, "I was mayor of NY during 9/11," than that would hurt his campaign. A lot. OTOH, if he does win NY, then that might screw over the dems in the electoral colllege.
McCain has no chance. He pissed off all of his maverick fans by trying to get closer to Bush, and he pissed off all his Bush fans by being maverick.
You're hitting on a major difficulty any Republican senator is going to have in the next election: his voting voting record in the Senate. That's going to be easy to take advantage of for comparisons to Bush. That won't necessarily hurt McCain in a primary election, but it could help Giuliani in a national election, seeing as how he won't have one.
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hes a douche and he wont get anywhere.
1. Getting the smut out of Times Square, replacing it with Disney smut.
2. Cheating on his wife, while she was having health issues. (A republican mainstay, actually)
3. Being in the right place at the right time and not making a total ass out of himself. Its horrible to describe the terrorist attacks like this but it nothing did more to help his or the Presidents political careers.
The guy is nice enough, fiscally consverative socially progressive (I wonder if this will last) and famous. He has better chances than just about anyone else at this point, on both sides of the coin.
id be surprised if anyone outside of new york really gave a damn though.
I think he'd have a hard time in the primaries, but he'd also do well on the national stage. People may not sit up and jump anymore when you yell out "9/11!", but the attacks are proof that Giuliani can handle himself when the shit starts flying.
If he's really pro-choice, it would piss off the Christian base. Then again, the Christian base is already fractured by the recently past election. By 2008, the GOP might not need their votes anymore; more realistically, it might be impossible to cluster the Christian vote around one party ever again. Fundamentalists might stick with the Republicans, but more progressive Christians and Catholics seem to be trending back toward the Democrats as social justice issues return to prominence.
He'd get slaugtered in a national election. many northeasterners look at him as something of a traitor and opportunist and social conservatives will hate him becasue he's pretty socially liberal
That piece of inhuman shit is dead to me.
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Which, you know, he kind of is.
Also, he has a lot of personal problems, which might not be a huge deal in NYC, but are definitely a huge deal in flyover country.
The divorce thing isn't a big deal (Newt Gingrich), but, yeah, they won't take kindly to his history of not breaking gay people's kneecaps.
He's just a scumsucker, though. I normally don't judge candidates on their personal ethics, and instead focus on their legislative abilities, but Rudy's the definition of "oppurtunist" and "douchebag."
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Or am I thinking of someone else?
That one happened on Bloomy's watch
And the Big Boss's trip through the peons' cubicles was scheduled like a month in advance. If you can't put away the Solitare for an hour when you know that your boss's boss's boss's boss will be around, then you're too stupid to work anything other than cum-scrubber anyway.
I don't have a problem with Rudy, really. Seems like a good chap, for the most part. But so does John McCain, and I think ultimately McCain's got more neo-con cred than Rudy does.
I might be wrong, though.
the neutrality of this article i am not sure of[/url]
Apparently not since last week.
Good job on that, by the way.
Fuckin' neo-cons.
Hopefully this means McCain will stop his "appealing to the far right" bullshit and go back to being the center-right bipartisan awesome dude I love.
What did he do recently?
Mario Kart DS: 3320 6595 7026 5000
Agreed, completely. The way he bent over on the torture resolutions nauseated me.
Rudy's not much better in that regard, either; he already sold out the fucking city to make nice with the base during the 2004 RNC, so I don't put anything past him.
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Wasn't he up to his ears in Abscam? Keating Five and all that? Anyways, he never really follows through with anything - just looks for an opportunity to get on camera, then talks big, and then quietly folds.
What kind of man endorses George Bush after Bush's campaign went after him for adopting an Asian baby ("A black baby born out of wedlock")? McCain really is an unprincipled shitheel.
that was pataki too. i think that cuntbag thinks he's got a shot at federal office too.
I can't believe republicans are actually bringing up Newt Gingrich as one of their picks. I mean, Newt Gingrich? Does the contract with America ring any bells? The public was pretty clear this past midterm that congress fucked up. The same congress that Newt himself led to victory. Right.
OTOH, the Democratic primaries will be SAD. Because the party has basically been powerless right up until now, and have only a year to change the course of this country.
Oh yeah, but it was Rudy who said, in front of millions of viewers, "My first thought when I heard the news that we were under attack was 'Thank God George Bush is our president.'"
Fuck you, Rudy.
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Yeah pretty much.
As long as they focus on cleaning up the messes that have occured over the past six years, I'm tempted to think that Americans will give them a little latitude. The only people demanding an immediate precipitous withdrawal from Iraq is the left fringe, and I think most left and moderate voters will be cool with a clearly articulated phased withdrawal.
I could be wrong, since Americans are fickle and impatient, but it seems to me that the Dems big mandate this cycle is "christ, start to clean up this mess". If they can make improvement (or force Bush to veto improvements), I think we'll be strong.