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  • Andrew_JayAndrew_Jay Registered User regular
    edited April 2009
    Goumindong wrote: »
    You are entirely incorrect that high corporate taxes are paid by the firms employees.
    The study, and logic, say otherwise.

    People invest in Firm A, expecting some kind of return on their investment. Firm A goes about its business, paying wages (and other deductible expenses that aren't taxed, as you correctly point out). What's left over is profits. Profits then get taxed. The remainder from that exercise gets paid out in dividends.

    If investors were expecting a higher return - especially if a new increase in corporate taxes ate into that return - the firm is going to have to increase profits in some way, likely through cutting costs or passing the burden of the tax along to the consumer.

    This isn't radical teabaginomics. I'm merely taking this from a mainstream (or, if anything, left and progressive-leaning) economics professor.

    To briefly make the point I was trying to make at the start with a comparison to Sweden - low corporate taxes (at least there) are the foundation of the Nordic welfare state. They provide for employment and economic growth while government revenues are raised through higher personal income taxes and consumption taxes (the U.S. is rather unique in not having a broad-based consumption tax). There are very good reasons to prefer lower corporate tax rates as part of your tax mix - though no doubt none of last week's party-goers had them in mind.
    zilo wrote: »
    Lot of Stuff
    Thanks a lot for all of that.

    I still have difficulty seeing corporate taxes as a share of GDP as a proxy for what they really pay - your source even mentions that in the U.S. non-corporate taxes make up a larger share than other countries (so that 3.3% may be coming from a smaller population). A ridiculous analogy: if you took everything just one guy owned, sure, that tax would make a pretty tiny percentage of GDP but it would also be a huge rate for that one guy.

    But I will readily concede the point, and I see that Paul Krugman has numbers very similar to your own using this same proxy (corporate taxes paid as percentage of GDP) to determine how much corporations actually pay. I think the main thing that all of this back-and-forth proves is that the rate is ridiculously non-transparent. But thanks again for digging up sources and data.

    Andrew_Jay on
  • PantsBPantsB Fake Thomas Jefferson Registered User regular
    edited April 2009
    Tox wrote: »
    It'd be really nice if they did that, and then turned around and sold those stocks directly to the taxpayers. Like, being able to devote up to 50% of your tax money to buying stock instead, or something to that extent.

    It would be really, really, really good for the government to do that, and then push the stock off onto the taxpayers. Not only would it get the gov't out of the "nationalization/socialism" conversation, but it would give taxpayers collateral to use for loans, which would help boost lending.


    ....Is this a completely stupid idea? Or just slightly misguided? I know it's not perfect, but it's got to be a workable solution.

    Wait so you think that taxpayers should be able to use 50% of their tax payments to buying something? Why would anyone not do that? They can either get something or not get something? It would also be crippling on a macro-scale, a clear Problem of the Commons.

    There's already a mechanism for buying and selling stocks, its called the NYSE. If that isn't good enough, they could sell them in the manner that Treasury notes are sold (scheduled single bid auctions).

    PantsB on
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  • OptimusZedOptimusZed Registered User regular
    edited April 2009
    U.S. May Convert Banks' Bailouts to Equity Share
    By EDMUND L. ANDREWS
    Published: April 19, 2009
    (Appears on Pg. A1 of April 20, 2009 NY Times)

    WASHINGTON --
    ...In a significant shift, White House and Treasury Department officials now say they can stretch what is left of the $700 billion financial bailout fund further than they had expected a few months ago, simply by converting the government's existing loans to the nation's 19 biggest banks into common stock.

    Converting those loans to common shares would turn the federal aid into available capital for a bank -- and give the government a large ownership stake in return.

    While the option appears to be a quick and easy way to avoid a confrontation with Congressional leaders wary of putting more money into the banks, some critics would consider it a back door to nationalization, since the government could become the largest shareholder in several banks.
    Nationalisation HOOOOOOOOOOOO!!

    I'm getting socialist goosebumps.

    OptimusZed on
    We're reading Rifts. You should too. You know you want to. Now With Ninjas!

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  • DockenDocken Registered User regular
    edited April 2009
    Andrew_Jay wrote: »
    Goumindong wrote: »
    You are entirely incorrect that high corporate taxes are paid by the firms employees.
    The study, and logic, say otherwise.

    People invest in Firm A, expecting some kind of return on their investment. Firm A goes about its business, paying wages (and other deductible expenses that aren't taxed, as you correctly point out). What's left over is profits. Profits then get taxed. The remainder from that exercise gets paid out in dividends.

    If investors were expecting a higher return - especially if a new increase in corporate taxes ate into that return - the firm is going to have to increase profits in some way, likely through cutting costs or passing the burden of the tax along to the consumer.

    This isn't radical teabaginomics. I'm merely taking this from a mainstream (or, if anything, left and progressive-leaning) economics professor.

    To briefly make the point I was trying to make at the start with a comparison to Sweden - low corporate taxes (at least there) are the foundation of the Nordic welfare state. They provide for employment and economic growth while government revenues are raised through higher personal income taxes and consumption taxes (the U.S. is rather unique in not having a broad-based consumption tax). There are very good reasons to prefer lower corporate tax rates as part of your tax mix - though no doubt none of last week's party-goers had them in mind.
    zilo wrote: »
    Lot of Stuff
    Thanks a lot for all of that.

    I still have difficulty seeing corporate taxes as a share of GDP as a proxy for what they really pay - your source even mentions that in the U.S. non-corporate taxes make up a larger share than other countries (so that 3.3% may be coming from a smaller population). A ridiculous analogy: if you took everything just one guy owned, sure, that tax would make a pretty tiny percentage of GDP but it would also be a huge rate for that one guy.

    But I will readily concede the point, and I see that Paul Krugman has numbers very similar to your own using this same proxy (corporate taxes paid as percentage of GDP) to determine how much corporations actually pay. I think the main thing that all of this back-and-forth proves is that the rate is ridiculously non-transparent. But thanks again for digging up sources and data.

    Ok, that study is absolutely horrible for a number of reasons (think hard about how they structured it), plus that economics professor apparently doesn't know much about barriers to entry - it exists for the movement of capital as well. Actually he comits the cardinal sin of assuming perfect information flow... which is a ridiculously stupid thing to do when talking about world economics. Also, virtually nobody gets the 'world rate of return'... its like comparing basket performance of the S&P... the vast majority of fund managers never beat it.

    Plus he doesn't factor in a massive amount of useful data, like vol trading, investor goals and 'animal spirits'.

    eg omg Thailand is getting 1000% return! will invest there. Actually no you can't because of barriers to entry. Also it goes up 1000% one year then down 2000% the next. Actually looking at what he is saying its fairly obvious he is an academic...

    Really, not the best links to put up. At least not compared to Zilo's stuff, which is mathematically is streets ahead of those links and much more reasonably aligns with respect to overall taxation burden.

    Docken on
  • PantsBPantsB Fake Thomas Jefferson Registered User regular
    edited April 2009
    The idea that corporate tax burden is shifted to workers is not a left leaning nor a particularly mainstream idea in economics. While some might say that in the long term it is born by workers in the form of lesser long term overall economic growth, there's little dissent that it the burden falls primarily, if not exclusively, on capital (ie investors).

    PantsB on
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  • monikermoniker Registered User regular
    edited April 2009
    PantsB wrote: »
    Tox wrote: »
    It'd be really nice if they did that, and then turned around and sold those stocks directly to the taxpayers. Like, being able to devote up to 50% of your tax money to buying stock instead, or something to that extent.

    It would be really, really, really good for the government to do that, and then push the stock off onto the taxpayers. Not only would it get the gov't out of the "nationalization/socialism" conversation, but it would give taxpayers collateral to use for loans, which would help boost lending.


    ....Is this a completely stupid idea? Or just slightly misguided? I know it's not perfect, but it's got to be a workable solution.

    Wait so you think that taxpayers should be able to use 50% of their tax payments to buying something? Why would anyone not do that? They can either get something or not get something? It would also be crippling on a macro-scale, a clear Problem of the Commons.

    There's already a mechanism for buying and selling stocks, its called the NYSE. If that isn't good enough, they could sell them in the manner that Treasury notes are sold (scheduled single bid auctions).

    Share buyback from the issuing company. It's not like they're going to want to have all that extra stock out in the market diluting its value.

    moniker on
  • ScalfinScalfin __BANNED USERS regular
    edited April 2009
    PantsB wrote: »
    The idea that corporate tax burden is shifted to workers is not a left leaning nor a particularly mainstream idea in economics. While some might say that in the long term it is born by workers in the form of lesser long term overall economic growth, there's little dissent that it the burden falls primarily, if not exclusively, on capital (ie investors).

    Yeah, if the corporations being taxed could charge more or pay less, they already would. How big the profit margin is only matters if it goes into the negatives and forces a shutdown.

    Scalfin on
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    The rest of you, I fucking hate you for the fact that I now have a blue dot on this god awful thread.
  • Darkchampion3dDarkchampion3d Registered User regular
    edited April 2009
    Scalfin wrote: »
    PantsB wrote: »
    The idea that corporate tax burden is shifted to workers is not a left leaning nor a particularly mainstream idea in economics. While some might say that in the long term it is born by workers in the form of lesser long term overall economic growth, there's little dissent that it the burden falls primarily, if not exclusively, on capital (ie investors).

    Yeah, if the corporations being taxed could charge more or pay less, they already would. How big the profit margin is only matters if it goes into the negatives and forces a shutdown.

    You don't tax negative income. Only profit.

    It can be taxed to be less profitable, but not unprofitable.

    Regardless, our corporate tax rate as written is fine, it's just that there are a gazillion loopholes that make actually paying the full amount highly unlikely. Obama doesn't have to raise the rates, just plug the holes like he said he will.

    Darkchampion3d on
    Our country is now taking so steady a course as to show by what road it will pass to destruction, to wit: by consolidation of power first, and then corruption, its necessary consequence --Thomas Jefferson
  • GoumindongGoumindong Registered User regular
    edited April 2009
    Andrew_Jay wrote: »
    Goumindong wrote: »
    You are entirely incorrect that high corporate taxes are paid by the firms employees.
    The study, and logic, say otherwise.

    No, they don't. The logic says that there is zero, absolutely zero, nada, zilch, none, no ability for firms to shift a corporate income tax to workers. They have zero incentive to do so, they have every incentive to pay workers as little as possible
    People invest in Firm A, expecting some kind of return on their investment. Firm A goes about its business, paying wages (and other deductible expenses that aren't taxed, as you correctly point out). What's left over is profits. Profits then get taxed. The remainder from that exercise gets paid out in dividends.

    If investors were expecting a higher return - especially if a new increase in corporate taxes ate into that return - the firm is going to have to increase profits in some way, likely through cutting costs or passing the burden of the tax along to the consumer.

    What you're not seeing is that labor is a market. And that means that your employers should be paying the market rate. And the market rate has very little to do with the rate of corporate taxes[it can increase and decrease demand, but that isn't going to do much, considering what we know of wages]
    This isn't radical teabaginomics. I'm merely taking this from a mainstream (or, if anything, left and progressive-leaning) economics professor.

    the piece you linked is laughable. In one sentence he claims that Canadian tax rates don't change the world rate of return and in the second he claims that Canadian corporations have the ability to increase long term profits across the board[This is basically saying that Canadian firms can individually change the prices of whatever good they're selling, the exact opposite claim that he made a few lines earlier] by increasing prices and cutting workers.

    The crazy part in the logic is that if canadian firms can make this money by simply moving the cost onto consumers, why they aren't doing that right now?. A: Because they cannot. A tax increase might reduce the number of firms in the market if all of their capital gets pulled and that might have some effects on the costs, but its unlikely. [especially if the reason for going overseas was cost, imports would increase which would keep costs to consumers roughly as low as it was earlier, offsetting the reduction in supply from domestic producers]

    Now, he may be progressive on some things, but his data and analysis doesn't really support his propositions.

    For instance on the second link there are a lot of graphs with the independent variable being social spending. But social spending is not what we care about, we care about tax rates. Anyone can simply increase their social spending by shifting their government spending further towards social spending. What you care about is the level of taxation that is required to support that amount of social spending.

    For instance, the U.S. could take all the money it spends on military per year and move it to social spending. Then we would shoot way up on that graph and we would look fantastic, like a perfect model of income and social spending. Almost as good or better than the states [Norway] that have oil. Ironically if we did this our friends might have to increase their military spending and decrease their social spending, but i will just ignore any subsidization effect there. The point is that social spending is a combination of two different factors, your tax rate AND the amount of money you allocate to social spending. This makes it almost useless as an independent variable. Unless he was trying to say "governments don't have to purchase non-social goods", but duh.

    edit: The real irony is that you're linking all these things supporting consumption taxes. And consumption taxes are good at incenting savings. but right now, that is the last thing we want to do, we want to incent consumption, not savings. And so consumption taxes are counter productive to that effect.

    Goumindong on
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  • GoumindongGoumindong Registered User regular
    edited April 2009
    Scalfin wrote: »
    PantsB wrote: »
    The idea that corporate tax burden is shifted to workers is not a left leaning nor a particularly mainstream idea in economics. While some might say that in the long term it is born by workers in the form of lesser long term overall economic growth, there's little dissent that it the burden falls primarily, if not exclusively, on capital (ie investors).

    Yeah, if the corporations being taxed could charge more or pay less, they already would. How big the profit margin is only matters if it goes into the negatives and forces a shutdown.

    You don't tax negative income. Only profit.

    It can be taxed to be less profitable, but not unprofitable.

    You can still cause a long term shutdown. Accounting profit =/= economic profit. But moving the capital isn't so easy and you're going to take a big principal hit

    Goumindong on
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  • ToxTox I kill threads they/themRegistered User regular
    edited April 2009
    PantsB wrote: »
    Tox wrote: »
    It'd be really nice if they did that, and then turned around and sold those stocks directly to the taxpayers. Like, being able to devote up to 50% of your tax money to buying stock instead, or something to that extent.

    It would be really, really, really good for the government to do that, and then push the stock off onto the taxpayers. Not only would it get the gov't out of the "nationalization/socialism" conversation, but it would give taxpayers collateral to use for loans, which would help boost lending.


    ....Is this a completely stupid idea? Or just slightly misguided? I know it's not perfect, but it's got to be a workable solution.

    Wait so you think that taxpayers should be able to use 50% of their tax payments to buying something? Why would anyone not do that? They can either get something or not get something? It would also be crippling on a macro-scale, a clear Problem of the Commons.

    There's already a mechanism for buying and selling stocks, its called the NYSE. If that isn't good enough, they could sell them in the manner that Treasury notes are sold (scheduled single bid auctions).

    The problem with the government -just- selling off the stock on the stock market is that the massive sell-off would devalue the stock, thus repeating the problem. If, instead, the government traded the stock to individuals, many would simply keep it. I know I would. I mean, why not?

    I got around $1k in tax refunds this year, I would have taken it in stock, just to have some fucking stock.

    Tox on
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  • PantsBPantsB Fake Thomas Jefferson Registered User regular
    edited April 2009
    Tox wrote: »
    The problem with the government -just- selling off the stock on the stock market is that the massive sell-off would devalue the stock, thus repeating the problem. If, instead, the government traded the stock to individuals, many would simply keep it. I know I would. I mean, why not?

    I got around $1k in tax refunds this year, I would have taken it in stock, just to have some fucking stock.

    Because most people like their money in money form?

    PantsB on
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  • Darkchampion3dDarkchampion3d Registered User regular
    edited April 2009
    Tox wrote: »
    PantsB wrote: »
    Tox wrote: »
    It'd be really nice if they did that, and then turned around and sold those stocks directly to the taxpayers. Like, being able to devote up to 50% of your tax money to buying stock instead, or something to that extent.

    It would be really, really, really good for the government to do that, and then push the stock off onto the taxpayers. Not only would it get the gov't out of the "nationalization/socialism" conversation, but it would give taxpayers collateral to use for loans, which would help boost lending.


    ....Is this a completely stupid idea? Or just slightly misguided? I know it's not perfect, but it's got to be a workable solution.

    Wait so you think that taxpayers should be able to use 50% of their tax payments to buying something? Why would anyone not do that? They can either get something or not get something? It would also be crippling on a macro-scale, a clear Problem of the Commons.

    There's already a mechanism for buying and selling stocks, its called the NYSE. If that isn't good enough, they could sell them in the manner that Treasury notes are sold (scheduled single bid auctions).

    The problem with the government -just- selling off the stock on the stock market is that the massive sell-off would devalue the stock, thus repeating the problem. If, instead, the government traded the stock to individuals, many would simply keep it. I know I would. I mean, why not?

    I got around $1k in tax refunds this year, I would have taken it in stock, just to have some fucking stock.

    They wouldn't dump it all at once unless they are retarded. Could either just sell it back to the company or sell it on the market pieces at a time.

    Darkchampion3d on
    Our country is now taking so steady a course as to show by what road it will pass to destruction, to wit: by consolidation of power first, and then corruption, its necessary consequence --Thomas Jefferson
  • monikermoniker Registered User regular
    edited April 2009
    Tox wrote: »
    PantsB wrote: »
    Tox wrote: »
    It'd be really nice if they did that, and then turned around and sold those stocks directly to the taxpayers. Like, being able to devote up to 50% of your tax money to buying stock instead, or something to that extent.

    It would be really, really, really good for the government to do that, and then push the stock off onto the taxpayers. Not only would it get the gov't out of the "nationalization/socialism" conversation, but it would give taxpayers collateral to use for loans, which would help boost lending.


    ....Is this a completely stupid idea? Or just slightly misguided? I know it's not perfect, but it's got to be a workable solution.

    Wait so you think that taxpayers should be able to use 50% of their tax payments to buying something? Why would anyone not do that? They can either get something or not get something? It would also be crippling on a macro-scale, a clear Problem of the Commons.

    There's already a mechanism for buying and selling stocks, its called the NYSE. If that isn't good enough, they could sell them in the manner that Treasury notes are sold (scheduled single bid auctions).

    The problem with the government -just- selling off the stock on the stock market is that the massive sell-off would devalue the stock, thus repeating the problem. If, instead, the government traded the stock to individuals, many would simply keep it. I know I would. I mean, why not?

    I got around $1k in tax refunds this year, I would have taken it in stock, just to have some fucking stock.

    The government isn't going to dump stock into the NYSE, and if you want stock then take your 1k and buy some.

    moniker on
  • ToxTox I kill threads they/themRegistered User regular
    edited April 2009
    moniker wrote: »
    The government isn't going to dump stock into the NYSE, and if you want stock then take your 1k and buy some.

    psssh, I already blew that $1k on blow and hookers.

    Tox on
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