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Primary 2012: Trumpabee v. Rombargrich
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Fixed for my personal reactions.
In a couple of election cycles we'll have probably reached the point of never-ending campaigns.
Rigorous Scholarship
Already called it for Obama in local conversations. All the little details are just window dressing. I agree though, Indecision 2012 is going to be the greatest thing.
chair to Creation and then suplex the Void.
People have been talking about the main Republican candidates in the context of the 2012 election since November 2008.
That point is called "Canada".
Also on Steam and PSN: twobadcats
Well, it's hard to discuss the primary without discussing the election.
And the primary is happening in less than a year.
So while I agree with the sentiment, we aren't really any further from the first primary than we are from a movie or game release that might be discussed.
I don't know man. I think this might be Rev. Sharpton's year.
I did a political media Phalla in CF (with TDS as the mafia, naturally), because that's frankly more interesting.
I would like to petition Speaker to change "Newt Gingrich" to "Newt Gingrich's Book" in the OP.
As for predictions. !Palin wins Iowa and South Carolina in a walk, building enough momentum for Super Tuesday to take the nomination.
http://www.theonion.com/articles/morbid-curiosity-leading-many-voters-to-support-pa,18865/
not going to lie
I've thought about it
If not as the president, than as VP in the eventuals.
But from that list in the OP....
!predict Romney
unless every single moderate who wants to save their party from the nutjobs stays home, at which point it'll be Palin.
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I'm actually thinking the final ticket will be Thune and Bachmann as VP as a sop to the Teapers so they think they'll have a voice in the White House.
but then the Vp thing has to be, who do you pander to more, the old guard, or the teapers?
I don't see huckabee or gingrich or giuliani getting anywhere close. But yeah... those three
Pawlenty, Romney, Thune
if I had to pick a possibe trifecta, they would be it.
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The GOP has to pander to the Teapers, especially if complaints about the GOP's winner take all primary process start to gather "we was robbed" steam once "the RINO" wins a few early primaries.
Also, those crazy fuckers are motivated to heave their coal-powered Rascals down to the polling place and vote to save Medicare from Black Socialism, so alienating them too much isn't a good idea.
That's why Romney's not my pick, since RomneyCare is a bridge too far for the base to cross.
who is going to be willing to leave their homes and offices and voteon those days.
and more than likely, that will be the Teapers.
Unless the moderates get slightly unmoderate during it all and decided 'holyfuck what did we DO by being apathetic!?!?'
but at the moment, I just don't see anybody NOT highly invested (crazypants mostly) coming out for the primary votes.
which is why this is interesting.
do we, as a democratic base (by we i am speaking generally), try to help convince our moderate republican friends (i know some of you must have them somewhere) to go out on their primary days and vote for the not crazy. Or, do we sit back and just let nature take its course and we get Palin/Bachmann in 2012?
those situations are not too far out of the realm of possibility.
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Thus: Romney and Hunstman are double toast.
Next eliminate anyone who has ever said a kind word about a Democrat. So there goes Mitch Daniels.
Then you eliminate people who are "running" to sell their book. Go away, Newt.
And then you have the true contenders.
I think I'm going to register Republican and show up for the caucuses here, because the Dem caucuses are going to be super-boring.
Romney is going to lose a couple of close races early and go into super tuesday with maybe a handful of delegates and all his people are going to jump ship. I don't see it playing out any other way unless there's a major shift in the Republican electorate.
They tried to bury us. They didn't know that we were seeds. 2018 Midterms. Get your shit together.
They tried to bury us. They didn't know that we were seeds. 2018 Midterms. Get your shit together.
We have two years of heavy campaigning ahead of us, there's no reason the unheard of guy today can't be the nominee in 2 years.
Look at Obama.
Obama, the guy who gave the keynote address to a standing ovation in the 2008 Democratic Convention? The guy who people were talking about as a future nom?
I don't know though. That's a psychic wound I'd have to carry for the rest of my life, and she doesn't have much of a prospect here.
Yes. And was unheard of prior to that and not a huge deal after that until he announced his nomination. No one thought he was going to get it when he did either.
My point is just this: there's a long way to go. Flame outs and gaffes are going to happen. Who knows what politics will bring. I think its too early to start counting out too many people.
There seems to be a common thread of "We love Sarah but she's not ready to be president" theme, which I think is just how they square their ideology away with knowing she's a terrible politician.
I was pretty convinced after that Convention speech that he would run for president. I can't say that I expected it to be in 2008 (wasnt the convention speech on 06?), more like 2010 perhaps. but I was pretty sure that he would.
just like i was pretty sure I'd vote for him. And I only heard the speech on the radio.
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It was the 2004 Convention and everyone basically said "hey, that's our first black president." But yeah, people didn't expect him to run so early.
Maybe if they would just give me the 25,000 votes that I deserve.
The governors office won't answer my letters to that effect though.
I think Romney has good prospects but being Mormon and presiding over Massachusetts version of obamacare can't play too well with the base.
Palin plays well with some of the republican base but I don't think she will play well with the more informed primary voters of Iowa and New Hampshire.
Huckabee seems like he might win by default by sucking the least.
I suspect he will be the horrid, soulless compromise the GOP and TP settle on.
But you can FEEL like a perennial candidate, as in you seem like very other person that's ever run for the office.