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[British Politics] Not As F****D As We Thought!

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    The Fourth EstateThe Fourth Estate Registered User regular
    edited May 2010
    Tory Target 96, Brecon & Radnorshire, Lib Dem hold.

    Tories take target 5, Harlow from Lab.

    The Fourth Estate on
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    PantsBPantsB Fake Thomas Jefferson Registered User regular
    edited May 2010
    The Fourth Estate wrote: »
    Æthelred wrote: »
    The BBC's top headline has changed to "Conservatives heading for big gains".

    They still need 6 non-target seats in addition to all their remaining targets to hit the majority.

    It'd be pretty shocking at this point if the Cons got a majority. A hung parliament has been the most likely result since the debates.

    I also am not ready yet to assume the Lib Dem party is going to end up as disappointing as it appears right now

    PantsB on
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    The Fourth EstateThe Fourth Estate Registered User regular
    edited May 2010
    PantsB wrote: »
    The Fourth Estate wrote: »
    Æthelred wrote: »
    The BBC's top headline has changed to "Conservatives heading for big gains".

    They still need 6 non-target seats in addition to all their remaining targets to hit the majority.

    It'd be pretty shocking at this point if the Cons got a majority. A hung parliament has been the most likely result since the debates.

    I also am not ready yet to assume the Lib Dem party is going to end up as disappointing as it appears right now

    About 3 hours ago, it looked like a con majority was a dead cert, so it helps to repeat the hung parliament meme.

    The Fourth Estate on
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    DarkWarriorDarkWarrior __BANNED USERS regular
    edited May 2010
    But the exit polling of 59 is looking more and more likely when I was expecting 109.

    DarkWarrior on
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    Dr SnofeldDr Snofeld Registered User regular
    edited May 2010
    PantsB wrote: »
    The Fourth Estate wrote: »
    Æthelred wrote: »
    The BBC's top headline has changed to "Conservatives heading for big gains".

    They still need 6 non-target seats in addition to all their remaining targets to hit the majority.

    It'd be pretty shocking at this point if the Cons got a majority. A hung parliament has been the most likely result since the debates.

    I also am not ready yet to assume the Lib Dem party is going to end up as disappointing as it appears right now

    Yeah we've only had a third of the seats called so far... it's possible that the big Lib Dem numbers are there... I think?

    Dr Snofeld on
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    ÆthelredÆthelred Registered User regular
    edited May 2010
    Please, BBC, show me more of Gordon Brown's plane. Whatever will that plane do next!?

    Conservatives have caught up with Labour's seat count, now (not that that means much).

    Æthelred on
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    Anarchy Rules!Anarchy Rules! Registered User regular
    edited May 2010
    Yeah I didn't care much for the plane. Failed to show much emotion

    Anarchy Rules! on
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    The Fourth EstateThe Fourth Estate Registered User regular
    edited May 2010
    EDIT: Tories take Newton Abbott. Gah.

    The Fourth Estate on
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    DarkWarriorDarkWarrior __BANNED USERS regular
    edited May 2010
    Plane loses Eastbourne.

    DarkWarrior on
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    Dr SnofeldDr Snofeld Registered User regular
    edited May 2010
    I'm going to bed now, if I get woken up by a great wailing and gnashing of teeth I'll assume the Tories pulled ahead.

    Dr Snofeld on
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    ÆthelredÆthelred Registered User regular
    edited May 2010
    There's only one thing for it. Initiate the Omega Strategm.


    demos.jpg

    Æthelred on
    pokes: 1505 8032 8399
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    Anarchy Rules!Anarchy Rules! Registered User regular
    edited May 2010
    Goddamn. I should never have invested my false hopes in that plane. First the volcano, now this.

    Anarchy Rules! on
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    DarkWarriorDarkWarrior __BANNED USERS regular
    edited May 2010
    Plane found responsibile for molesting light aircraft later involved in suicide attempt that nearly killed Nick Farage.

    Polls suggest electorate cares little.

    DarkWarrior on
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    PantsBPantsB Fake Thomas Jefferson Registered User regular
    edited May 2010
    The Fourth Estate wrote: »
    EDIT: Tories take Newton Abbott. Gah.

    Nope Con pick up by 1%.

    How do recounts work?

    PantsB on
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    815165815165 Registered User regular
    edited May 2010
    Seeing the difference between the Lib Dem's seats and vote percentage upsets me every election. :(

    815165 on
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    ÆthelredÆthelred Registered User regular
    edited May 2010
    PantsB wrote: »
    The Fourth Estate wrote: »
    EDIT: Tories take Newton Abbott. Gah.

    Nope Con pick up by 1%.

    How do recounts work?

    The Tories are the Conservatives, Pants. :P

    When they say "recount" at the moment, they just mean the votes will be counted again quickly tonight. It's not a drawn out process.

    Æthelred on
    pokes: 1505 8032 8399
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    The Fourth EstateThe Fourth Estate Registered User regular
    edited May 2010
    Tory target 102, Devon North, Lib hold.

    Lots of Tory list pickups, but majority receding.

    The Fourth Estate on
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    Space CoyoteSpace Coyote Registered User regular
    edited May 2010
    Considering that this time last year the Conservatives had 43% of the vote (YouGov/Sunday Times 2009-05-08) and Cameron was considered the heir apparent, this election has been quite a struggle for the Tories.

    Space Coyote on
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    pots+panspots+pans Registered User regular
    edited May 2010
    Clegg's seat coming up. Isn't Sheffield Hallam one of the polling stations with loads of people unable to vote?

    pots+pans on
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    DarkWarriorDarkWarrior __BANNED USERS regular
    edited May 2010
    25 gaiins for Tories

    DarkWarrior on
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    RMS OceanicRMS Oceanic Registered User regular
    edited May 2010
    Sinn Fein hold Newry & Armagh.

    RMS Oceanic on
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    chidonachidona Registered User regular
    edited May 2010
    BURNLEY.
    Yes, you bastion of British Democracy (oh God, what has this election done to me?)

    chidona on
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    DarkWarriorDarkWarrior __BANNED USERS regular
    edited May 2010
    Tories now have the most seats by 9

    DarkWarrior on
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    PantsBPantsB Fake Thomas Jefferson Registered User regular
    edited May 2010
    Æthelred wrote: »
    PantsB wrote: »
    The Fourth Estate wrote: »
    EDIT: Tories take Newton Abbott. Gah.

    Nope Con pick up by 1%.

    How do recounts work?

    The Tories are the Conservatives, Pants. :P

    When they say "recount" at the moment, they just mean the votes will be counted again quickly tonight. It's not a drawn out process.

    Edited as I quoted, I'm not that ill informed :P

    Many of these seats seem small enough that complaints involving lost postal votes etc could cause a problem

    PantsB on
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    The Fourth EstateThe Fourth Estate Registered User regular
    edited May 2010
    PantsB wrote: »
    Æthelred wrote: »
    PantsB wrote: »
    The Fourth Estate wrote: »
    EDIT: Tories take Newton Abbott. Gah.

    Nope Con pick up by 1%.

    How do recounts work?

    The Tories are the Conservatives, Pants. :P

    When they say "recount" at the moment, they just mean the votes will be counted again quickly tonight. It's not a drawn out process.

    Edited as I quoted, I'm not that ill informed :P

    Many of these seats seem small enough that complaints involving lost postal votes etc could cause a problem

    In my defense, the beeb called it for libs initially.

    The Fourth Estate on
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    DarkWarriorDarkWarrior __BANNED USERS regular
    edited May 2010
    Labour and hte LDs need some serious gains now to hold back a Tory government

    DarkWarrior on
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    BurnageBurnage Registered User regular
    edited May 2010
    You know, it's still not totally impossible that the Lib Dems wind up being second place in the popular vote.

    Hm.

    Burnage on
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    PantsBPantsB Fake Thomas Jefferson Registered User regular
    edited May 2010
    The Fourth Estate wrote: »
    PantsB wrote: »
    Æthelred wrote: »
    PantsB wrote: »
    The Fourth Estate wrote: »
    EDIT: Tories take Newton Abbott. Gah.

    Nope Con pick up by 1%.

    How do recounts work?

    The Tories are the Conservatives, Pants. :P

    When they say "recount" at the moment, they just mean the votes will be counted again quickly tonight. It's not a drawn out process.

    Edited as I quoted, I'm not that ill informed :P

    Many of these seats seem small enough that complaints involving lost postal votes etc could cause a problem

    In my defense, the beeb called it for libs initially.

    Yeah they've done that multiple times

    ed
    LD pickup in Burnley

    PantsB on
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    The Fourth EstateThe Fourth Estate Registered User regular
    edited May 2010
    Also, no UUP seats :P

    Tories need to do it by themselves.

    The Fourth Estate on
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    ÆthelredÆthelred Registered User regular
    edited May 2010
    Huh. I think the BBC presenters are using my chair. I got that from IKEA; it's pretty comfy.

    Æthelred on
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    HarrierHarrier The Star Spangled Man Registered User regular
    edited May 2010
    So... not as bad as it appeared a few hours ago?

    Harrier on
    I don't wanna kill anybody. I don't like bullies. I don't care where they're from.
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    RMS OceanicRMS Oceanic Registered User regular
    edited May 2010
    Yeah. We're officially in "nobody has a clue how this will end" territory right now.

    RMS Oceanic on
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    The Fourth EstateThe Fourth Estate Registered User regular
    edited May 2010
    Harrier wrote: »
    So... not as bad as it appeared a few hours ago?

    Much, much better :D.

    Could still all go wrong.

    The Fourth Estate on
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    Anarchy Rules!Anarchy Rules! Registered User regular
    edited May 2010
    Still pretty shocked by the screwup involving the voting. I thought we had enough polling stations to deal with this sort of thing

    Anarchy Rules! on
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    BurnageBurnage Registered User regular
    edited May 2010
    Just to sum up a bit. Our analyst Prof John Curtice says that at this stage, it's looking like we've got a real cliffhanger on our hands. It seems unlikely the Tories will have enough support by just relying on the backing of nine or so democratic unionists in Northern Ireland. But equally, it isn't at all clear that Labour and the Lib Dems would have enough seats combined to be able to outvote everyone else either.

    Burnage on
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    RMS OceanicRMS Oceanic Registered User regular
    edited May 2010
    Tories gain Carlisle.

    RMS Oceanic on
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    PantsBPantsB Fake Thomas Jefferson Registered User regular
    edited May 2010
    Con pickup in long time Lab Carlisle seat.

    PantsB on
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    DarkWarriorDarkWarrior __BANNED USERS regular
    edited May 2010
    See thats whats wrong with the system. 15,000 for Labour, 16,000 for Conservative so with the others thats about 22,000 disenfranchised voters.

    DarkWarrior on
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    The Fourth EstateThe Fourth Estate Registered User regular
    edited May 2010
    Tories take Carlisle. Not a target seat. Eurgh.

    The Fourth Estate on
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    DarkWarriorDarkWarrior __BANNED USERS regular
    edited May 2010
    Lib Dems didn't gain Rochdale.

    30 Con Gains

    DarkWarrior on
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