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College Football 2016: Week 11 picks, pg99

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    NiryaNirya Registered User regular
    Hurricane Matthew is tracking to side swipe the SC/NC/VA coasts on Saturday according to the latest weather projection. ACC Conference posted that schools are monitoring the situation but no delays/cancellations announced yet.

    Top 25 games that may be affected include:

    Virginia Tech at North Carolina
    Houston at Navy (Annapolis)
    Michigan at Rutgers (if the storm gets that far north between 7:00-10:30 PM)
    Florida St. at Miami (more post-hurricane cleanup issues than live weather)

    LSU at Florida might be a bit soggy at game time Saturday, as well.

    SOUNDS LIKE THE CANES ARE BACK!

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    Baroque And RollBaroque And Roll Every spark of friendship and love Will die without a homeRegistered User regular
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    Butler For Life #1Butler For Life #1 Twinning is WinningRegistered User regular
    Michigan @ Rutgers is going to be the first CFB game I'll have been to in about two years

    oh, will I be ever so pissed if it gets moved up (I have a commitment earlier in the day, so I won't be able to make it)

    Rutgers, you screw everything else up, don't screw this up.

    And yes, I know they technically have no control over the weather. But I'll blame them anyway, because Buttgers.

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    enlightenedbumenlightenedbum Registered User regular
    http://www.sbnation.com/college-football/2016/10/5/13171930/ncaa-football-playoff-2016-projections-predictions-rankings

    S&P projects the playoff order right now based on performance and remaining schedule, they say:

    1) Michigan/Ohio State winner
    2) Clemson
    3) Alabama
    4) Washington
    5) Houston

    Self-righteousness is incompatible with coalition building.
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    Raijin QuickfootRaijin Quickfoot I'm your Huckleberry YOU'RE NO DAISYRegistered User, ClubPA regular
    I'm so sick of Alabama

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    ani_game_bumani_game_bum Optimistic, Rule-Breaking Nice Guy The Final World/DestinationRegistered User regular
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    Fleur de AlysFleur de Alys Biohacker Registered User regular
    I'm so sick of Alabama
    :(

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    Raijin QuickfootRaijin Quickfoot I'm your Huckleberry YOU'RE NO DAISYRegistered User, ClubPA regular
    edited October 2016
    Sorry. I'm sure if you're an Alabama fan it's great. I don't have a team that competes so I just root for parity.

    Except Notre Dame. They can lose every game.

    Raijin Quickfoot on
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    NiryaNirya Registered User regular
    WEEK 6: IN WHICH WE TRY TO RECOVER FROM WHAT LAMAR JACKSON AND DESHAUN WATSON DID, AND FAIL MISERABLY

    Straight-Up (spread in parenthesis courtesy of ESPN)
    Texas vs. #20 Oklahoma (-10.5) - THE RED RIVER RIVALRY! Turns out Oklahoma was probably not as bad as those losses to Houston and Ohio State would suggest, and they look to be in the driver's seat in the Big 12 again. Texas might not be as good as that victory over Notre Dame would suggest. And yet......last year we thought this would be a cakewalk for Oklahoma, and they ended up losing a game that gave Charlie Strong another year. Good thing Texas boosters are already leaking that Strong is gone at the end of the year already!

    #25 Virginia Tech @ #17 North Carolina (-2.5) - Did you know that Virginia Tech was ranked again? Me neither! Turns out Justin Fuente is a good coach. Meanwhile North Carolina beat Florida State on the road last week, which normally would be a big win, except this is 2016 where nothing makes sense and FSU appears to be average at best. Still, #ACCWheelofDestiny rolls on.

    #21 Colorado @ USC (-4.5) - Speaking of teams that are ranked again, Colorado! Welcome back to the 1990s, where I steal a joke to mention that Colorado and Washington are good again, and a Clinton is running for president. USC came back from the dead to actually show up against a bad ASU team, but let's see how they do against a Colorado team that wants to prove it belongs in the South conversation.

    #23 Florida State @ #10 Miami (-3) - Quick reminder that Georgia fired Mark Richt because of his penchant for losing games like this, and then hired a new coach that appears to be just as good at losing games like this. The big question here is whether the CANES ARE BACK or whether FSU can regroup in time to save their season.

    Washington State @ #15 Stanford (-7.5) - Wazzu got a solid victory over Oregon last week, and their offense looks to have rounded into form. Which is good, because this Stanford team looks very vulnerable after getting physically manhandled by Washington last week. Opponents have keyed in on Stanford's lack of a solid QB option, so someone on the Cardinal needs to step up, otherwise this year could get bad in a hurry.

    Against-the-Spread (spread in parenthesis courtesy of ESPN)
    #6 Houston (-17) @ Navy - Houston's big problem right now is they won't play a good team until November, so right now they're stuck just winning games. Oh the horror. Navy is a traditionally-tough team to face during the season, because the triple-option is death to play. Yet, this is a Navy team that no longer has their amazing QB from years past, and it showed in their loss to Air Force last week.

    Indiana @ #2 Ohio State (-29) - TEAM CHAOS got an upset victory over Sparty last week, and they're 29 point underdogs here. I'm not sure what that says about Ohio State that the people setting this line believe the Buckeyes can escape the gravitational vortex of TEAM CHAOS, but here we are.

    #1 Alabama (-14) @ #16 Arkansas - Alabama pulled off the upset over Ole Miss a few weeks ago, and now have to go through one hell of a workout here against the Razorbacks before we get to the Third Weekend in October next week. Arkansas is ahead of where they normally are at this point of the year, so this should be good.

    #5 Washington (-8.5) @ Oregon - Can Washington break the 12-game losing streak in this rivalry? Especially in a game where Mark Helfrich might be coaching for his job? Yeah probably; Oregon is real bad this year.

    GAME OF THE CENTURY OF THE WEEK (spread in parenthesis courtesy of ESPN) (AGAINST THE SPREAD)
    #9 Tennessee @ #8 Texas A&M (-6.5) - Texas A&M has looked like the more consistent team, especially in wins over UCLA and Arkansas. The Volunteers needed a miracle to beat Georgia last week, and haven't really looked very good for an entire game all year. Also, just from personal experience, Kyle Field is probably the most unfun place to play at on the road, so good luck Tennessee!

    Go here to enter your choices: https://goo.gl/forms/evE7nCfT0QDzRz4p2

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    OghulkOghulk Tinychat Janitor TinychatRegistered User regular
    damn you Nirya
    Texas vs. Oklahoma - Charlie strong is fully running the defense. Maybe that makes a difference. Who fucking knows with this inconsistent team (it's actually been pretty consistently bad on defense).
    Virginia Tech @ North Carolina
    Colorado @ Southern California
    Florida State @ Miami
    Washington State @ Stanford

    ATS
    Houston (-17) @ Navy
    Indiana @ Ohio State (-29)
    Alabama (-14) @ Arkansas
    Washington (-8.5) @ Oregon

    GOTW (AGAINST THE SPREAD)
    Tennessee @ Texas A&M (-6.5)

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    enlightenedbumenlightenedbum Registered User regular
    Taking the Hoosiers and those points. I think they're good-ish can can hold it down to like 45-17.

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    Zombie HeroZombie Hero Registered User regular
    FSU on the list again. I can't pick against them, especially not when playing the Hurricanes. I would say its an anchor on my overall picking record, but my terrible judgement probably takes care of that.

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    OghulkOghulk Tinychat Janitor TinychatRegistered User regular
    Should we do a backup incase FSU CAINES gets delayed or what have you due to Hurricane Matthew?

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    CogCog What'd you expect? Registered User regular
    Oghulk wrote: »
    Should we do a backup incase FSU CAINES gets delayed or what have you due to Hurricane Matthew?

    Judged a Hurricane victory in this case.

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    RehabRehab Registered User regular
    I think any points that we would get for those games go to these guys

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    Blackhawk1313Blackhawk1313 Demon Hunter for Hire Time RiftRegistered User regular
    It shouldn't get delayed given the timeline of the storm, I grew up in Miami, they are prepared and it won't impact them too much given the current track. That said not having it here would be somewhat merciful as I have no choice but to pick my team but my seething anger over their performance last week still burns. I emphasize that I've been a season ticket holder even back in the lost decade and having to watch that game and ending is up there in terms of pure rage and sadness in my mind.

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    SyphyreSyphyre A Dangerous Pastime Registered User regular
    Coinflip is my best guess on Texas/OU. That game is not decided by statistics.

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    Butler For Life #1Butler For Life #1 Twinning is WinningRegistered User regular
    some guy is reporting on twitter that Texas is trying to form a new conference without Oklahoma, and that the other big twelve members don't care that OU would be excluded because Nebraska has informed them that they want to come back

    this makes total sense and is not just some silly bullshit that likely has little to no basis in reality

    yup, definitely legit

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    NiryaNirya Registered User regular
    some guy is reporting on twitter that Texas is trying to form a new conference without Oklahoma, and that the other big twelve members don't care that OU would be excluded because Nebraska has informed them that they want to come back

    this makes total sense and is not just some silly bullshit that likely has little to no basis in reality

    yup, definitely legit

    Rivalry week is fun.

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    Karrde1842Karrde1842 Registered User regular
    I can never not pick against USC.

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    RehabRehab Registered User regular
    Straight-Up

    Texas vs. #20 Oklahoma (-10.5)
    #25 Virginia Tech @ #17 North Carolina (-2.5)
    #21 Colorado @ USC (-4.5)
    #23 Florida State @ #10 Miami (-3)
    Washington State @ #15 Stanford (-7.5)

    Against-the-Spread

    #6 Houston (-17) @ Navy
    Indiana @ #2 Ohio State (-29)
    #1 Alabama (-14) @ #16 Arkansas
    #5 Washington (-8.5) @ Oregon

    GAME OF THE WEEK

    #9 Tennessee @ #8 Texas A&M (-6.5)

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    OghulkOghulk Tinychat Janitor TinychatRegistered User regular
    It's 9:12pm and OU has still sucked for an entire year.

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    Romanian My EscutcheonRomanian My Escutcheon Two of Forks Registered User regular
    Oghulk wrote: »
    Should we do a backup incase FSU CAINES gets delayed or what have you due to Hurricane Matthew?

    Tomorrow night and Friday are supposed to be the worst of it, hopefully by Saturday the weather will have calmed down significantly.

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    OghulkOghulk Tinychat Janitor TinychatRegistered User regular
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    Randy ButternubbsRandy Butternubbs Registered User regular
    edited October 2016
    Straight-Up
    Texas vs. Oklahoma - OU is a pretty good team that's played two of the best teams in the nation this year and struggled. Texas is not one of those teams
    Virginia Tech @ North Carolina - I don't think UNC is much behind where they were last year and they get this game at home.
    Colorado @ Southern California - I'm not really sure I believe the Colorado return at the moment.
    Florida State @ Miami - FSU isn't good.
    Washington State @ Stanford - I'll regret this but WSU is too fun. I wish the air-raid was mandatory.

    ATS
    Houston (-17) @ Navy - Houston is actually good and playing weak teams for a while.
    Indiana @ Ohio State (-29) - My wounded pride makes me want to pick team chaos, and the spread is huge, but in the shoe I just don't know.
    Alabama (-14) @ Arkansas - Bama doesn't seem quite as dominant defensively as they were last year and this is a tough road contest for anyone.
    Washington (-8.5) @ Oregon - Not even 10 points? Yeah I'll take that all day.

    GOTW (AGAINST THE SPREAD)
    Tennessee @ Texas A&M (-6.5) - Tenn is definitely fun to watch if you're not a fan and don't have to deal with 8 weekly heart attacks. Don't really trust them to keep the magic going against a top tier opponent in one of the toughest road environments in the SEC.

    Randy Butternubbs on
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    rhylithrhylith Death Rabbits HoustonRegistered User regular
    If Arkansas beats Bama I will laugh for days.

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    Munkus BeaverMunkus Beaver You don't have to attend every argument you are invited to. Philosophy: Stoicism. Politics: Democratic SocialistRegistered User, ClubPA regular
    Straight-Up
    Texas vs. Oklahoma - I am letting my faith in friendship overcome my good senses here. Go @Oghulk ! If this was an anime, there would be a sparkly transformation about now.
    Virginia Tech @ North Carolina -After UNC came out of the Noles, I am not going to underestimate them again.
    Colorado @ Southern California - The Buffs are totally coming back, ya'll. Also: fuck USC, go UCLA.
    Florida State @ Miami - Mark Richt can handle rivalry games that don't involve certain coaches in Ohio.
    Washington State @ Stanford - Stanford gonna shit that bed.

    ATS
    Houston (-17) @ Navy - I don't have faith in Navy.
    Indiana @ Ohio State (-29) - Are you kidding? Ubran Meyer has no fucking mercy. He beat the shit out of a team that was coached by a guy who used to be on his staff. By 41 fucking points.
    Alabama (-14) @ Arkansas - Roll tide.
    Washington (-8.5) @ Oregon - What the hell happened that caused such a reversal of fortune?

    GOTW (AGAINST THE SPREAD)
    Tennessee @ Texas A&M (-6.5) - Fuck da Vols.

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    RehabRehab Registered User regular
    Is Jack McCoy going to post his picks?

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    enlightenedbumenlightenedbum Registered User regular
    The CHAOS TEAM is actually kinda good, y'all. Beating MSU wasn't a fluke. Unless Lagow is throwing picks all day long. Which is how they lost to Wake.

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    Munkus BeaverMunkus Beaver You don't have to attend every argument you are invited to. Philosophy: Stoicism. Politics: Democratic SocialistRegistered User, ClubPA regular
    Rehab wrote: »
    Is Jack McCoy going to post his picks?

    Once he gets his lunch I'll get him to make his pick, and I'll be sure to write them down this time!

    Humor can be dissected as a frog can, but dies in the process.
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    Fleur de AlysFleur de Alys Biohacker Registered User regular
    rhylith wrote: »
    If Arkansas beats Bama I will laugh for days.
    Statistics suggest that one of Arkansas, TA&M, and Tennessee will beat Bama this year.

    And that will only matter if said team wins the SEC West.

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    MulletudeMulletude Registered User regular
    some guy is reporting on twitter that Texas is trying to form a new conference without Oklahoma, and that the other big twelve members don't care that OU would be excluded because Nebraska has informed them that they want to come back

    this makes total sense and is not just some silly bullshit that likely has little to no basis in reality

    yup, definitely legit

    LOL at the idea of Nebraska joining a conference with Texas again. That was a not small reason they left the 12. That and Beebe.

    The B10 is a lot more fair in their dealings for all the schools

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    enlightenedbumenlightenedbum Registered User regular
    Of the four teams they added, I like Nebraska the most by far. (Low bar, considering) Culturally they fit.

    Self-righteousness is incompatible with coalition building.
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    MulletudeMulletude Registered User regular
    edited October 2016
    Have read that Bob Devaney wanted us in the B10 when he became the AD and Osborne took over as coach. Kinda wish it woulda happened back then so we would have some rivalries built up.

    As it is, I don't have much dislike for any other B10 team. Not the way I did for Mizzou, Ksu, Texas and especially Colorado. Miss that because it makes the games more intense to watch.

    Mulletude on
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    OghulkOghulk Tinychat Janitor TinychatRegistered User regular
    I hope the Big 12 falls apart so Texas stops being a big dick in their conference and joins the B1G or the SEC

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    CogCog What'd you expect? Registered User regular
    Oghulk wrote: »
    I hope the Big 12 falls apart so Texas stops being a big dick in their conference and joins the B1G or the SEC

    We're a small fish in the B12 and we need somewhere to land. It can fall apart just as soon as we've secured a new gig.

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    a5ehrena5ehren AtlantaRegistered User regular
    LSU @ Florida has been "postponed" with no makeup date announced.

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    OghulkOghulk Tinychat Janitor TinychatRegistered User regular
    Cog wrote: »
    Oghulk wrote: »
    I hope the Big 12 falls apart so Texas stops being a big dick in their conference and joins the B1G or the SEC

    We're a small fish in the B12 and we need somewhere to land. It can fall apart just as soon as we've secured a new gig.

    Whats your school cause im a Texas alum and i hate our big swinging lbj dick need to boss everything around.

    Like no can we please just stop and go somewhere else

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    CogCog What'd you expect? Registered User regular
    Oghulk wrote: »
    Cog wrote: »
    Oghulk wrote: »
    I hope the Big 12 falls apart so Texas stops being a big dick in their conference and joins the B1G or the SEC

    We're a small fish in the B12 and we need somewhere to land. It can fall apart just as soon as we've secured a new gig.

    Whats your school cause im a Texas alum and i hate our big swinging lbj dick need to boss everything around.

    Like no can we please just stop and go somewhere else

    ....Iowa State

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    OghulkOghulk Tinychat Janitor TinychatRegistered User regular
    Cog wrote: »
    Oghulk wrote: »
    Cog wrote: »
    Oghulk wrote: »
    I hope the Big 12 falls apart so Texas stops being a big dick in their conference and joins the B1G or the SEC

    We're a small fish in the B12 and we need somewhere to land. It can fall apart just as soon as we've secured a new gig.

    Whats your school cause im a Texas alum and i hate our big swinging lbj dick need to boss everything around.

    Like no can we please just stop and go somewhere else

    ....Iowa State

    You are like

    one of the few acceptable Big 12 teams that I don't hate

    the unfortunate thing about iowa state though is they don't have the bball team that Kansas does, so if the Big 12 breaks up they'd probably go down to G5 unless the football program bounces back soon

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