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[Hiberno-Britannic Politics] Helter Skelter

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    TastyfishTastyfish Registered User regular
    edited April 2019
    jothki wrote: »
    Solar wrote: »
    jothki wrote: »
    Solar wrote: »
    So is this just a symbolic measure, or is there any actual teeth to this becoming law?

    It will be law when the Lords pass it. It's got teeth. Do the teeth bite? Fuck knows.

    Does it actually require that an offered extension be accepted?

    Not exactly sure but it seems very much to suggest that the government cannot legally take a No Deal over an offered extension

    There has to be some limitations, since I doubt it would let the EU propose something ridiculous and have the UK legally obligated to obey.

    A new law can be passed if need be, til then - no option. Must seek to avoid No Deal.
    Of course any legal proceedings would be after we fall out...

    But the EP elections deadline happens before then, so maybe the case can be resolved before we actually leave given there are rumours that preparations for the elections are going ahead anyway, just in case (this is the civil service we're talking about).

    Tastyfish on
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    AldoAldo Hippo Hooray Registered User regular
    Leading to a weird question... Who do you want to vote for in EU elections? There are 9 options https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2019_European_Parliament_election and none of them are particularly concerned with the British people's problems.
    subtle dig at Farage *finger guns*

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    altidaltid Registered User regular
    SharpyVII wrote: »


    Boles is a former Conservative MP.

    Worrying insight in to the people influencing the PM regards Brexit.

    Wanted to follow up on this after reading the follow up tweet:



    So this guy was BBC and a hard brexiteer. Let’s look at the positions he held:
    Gibb is a former editor of the BBC's Sunday Politics and Daily Politics programmes.

    Gibb was head of BBC Westminster in overall charge of the BBC’s political programme output - Daily and Sunday Politics, Andrew Marr Show, This Week and Radio 4’s Westminster Hour. Prior to joining the political team at Westminster he was Deputy Editor of BBC2’s Newsnight.

    During the EU referendum campaign Gibb was editor of The Great Debate at Wembley Arena and Editor of the BBC’s General Election debate during the 2017 General Election.

    https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Robbie_Gibb

    I know I bang this drum quite a bit, but something has gone badly wrong at the BBC. Granted this guy is out, but it makes you wonder how much he influenced coverage while there.

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    Alistair HuttonAlistair Hutton Dr EdinburghRegistered User regular
    SharpyVII wrote: »


    Boles is a former Conservative MP.

    Worrying insight in to the people influencing the PM regards Brexit.

    Robbie Gibb was head of BBC Political programming during the period of the European Referendum if you want any more BBC hatred fuel.

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    BurnageBurnage Registered User regular
    altid wrote: »
    SharpyVII wrote: »


    Boles is a former Conservative MP.

    Worrying insight in to the people influencing the PM regards Brexit.

    Wanted to follow up on this after reading the follow up tweet:



    So this guy was BBC and a hard brexiteer. Let’s look at the positions he held:
    Gibb is a former editor of the BBC's Sunday Politics and Daily Politics programmes.

    Gibb was head of BBC Westminster in overall charge of the BBC’s political programme output - Daily and Sunday Politics, Andrew Marr Show, This Week and Radio 4’s Westminster Hour. Prior to joining the political team at Westminster he was Deputy Editor of BBC2’s Newsnight.

    During the EU referendum campaign Gibb was editor of The Great Debate at Wembley Arena and Editor of the BBC’s General Election debate during the 2017 General Election.

    https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Robbie_Gibb

    I know I bang this drum quite a bit, but something has gone badly wrong at the BBC. Granted this guy is out, but it makes you wonder how much he influenced coverage while there.

    I'm sure it's just coincidence that Nigel Farage appeared on Question Time thirty two times despite never winning any of the seven attempts he made to be an MP.

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    Anarchy Rules!Anarchy Rules! Registered User regular
    edited April 2019
    Aldo wrote: »
    Leading to a weird question... Who do you want to vote for in EU elections? There are 9 options https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2019_European_Parliament_election and none of them are particularly concerned with the British people's problems.
    subtle dig at Farage *finger guns*

    That's not how the European elections work - those options are the different alliances between the various national parties. Who we vote for is basically the same roster of parties as a general or local election (Conservatives, Labour, Lib Dem etc). The elected MEPs will then join an alliance with a similar political background.

    Not all of those 9 alliances have support from British parties. For example, the largest alliance in the European Parliament, EPP, is not supported by any UK political party (apart from a handful of Tory defections).

    Anarchy Rules! on
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    daveNYCdaveNYC Why universe hate Waspinator? Registered User regular
    The House of Lords is taking care of business in regards to the Cooper bill. Looks like the fast-tracking is happening.

    Shut up, Mr. Burton! You were not brought upon this world to get it!
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    SolarSolar Registered User regular
    The chances of the Lords not fast-tracking it seemed very low. It'll get through and then, well

    We shall see!

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    daveNYCdaveNYC Why universe hate Waspinator? Registered User regular
    Solar wrote: »
    The chances of the Lords not fast-tracking it seemed very low. It'll get through and then, well

    We shall see!

    It's just nice to see one part of the UK government taking care of business in an efficient manner. It's not exactly restoring my faith in democracy what with it being the House of Lords, but things have been such a mess I'll take what I can get.

    Shut up, Mr. Burton! You were not brought upon this world to get it!
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    surrealitychecksurrealitycheck lonely, but not unloved dreaming of faulty keys and latchesRegistered User regular
    House of Lords has been better than commons for yonks - even if you look at things like the voting record of the lords spiritual who have consisitently been more socially liberal than the gov!

    obF2Wuw.png
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    PlatyPlaty Registered User regular
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    surrealitychecksurrealitycheck lonely, but not unloved dreaming of faulty keys and latchesRegistered User regular
    Platy wrote: »

    banks has been funding leafleting campaigns like this for a couple years too - due to sub 100k Tory membership ukip entryism plus leave eu have been very successful in scaring and influencing con mps

    obF2Wuw.png
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    BogartBogart Streetwise Hercules Registered User, Moderator Mod Emeritus
    Plus it's not like your average Conservative party member has particularly far to walk along the mental landscape before they're in UKIP nutter land.

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    klemmingklemming Registered User regular
    I'm actually surprised they didn't put crosshairs over them on that picture.

    Nobody remembers the singer. The song remains.
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    HamHamJHamHamJ Registered User regular
    edited April 2019
    tynic wrote: »
    KetBra wrote: »
    This is actually kind of nuts, from top to bottom.

    In saner times the government would have already fallen due to the manifest lack of confidence the Commons has in it.

    This is the bonkers bit, to me. Having a failure of a government lingering like a fart that won't go away because of a combination of legislative fuckery and a lack of cohesive will in the Commons seems positively unparliamentary.

    Fixed Parliamentary Terms Act 2011. Dumb and bad.

    Having done some research, I'm not sure this makes that much of a difference. As far as I can understand, before May would still get to decide if anything other than an explicit confidence motion counted as one. Given her flaunting of other parliamentary conventions I'm not sure the situation would be any different.

    HamHamJ on
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    AldoAldo Hippo Hooray Registered User regular
    Aldo wrote: »
    Leading to a weird question... Who do you want to vote for in EU elections? There are 9 options https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2019_European_Parliament_election and none of them are particularly concerned with the British people's problems.
    subtle dig at Farage *finger guns*

    That's not how the European elections work - those options are the different alliances between the various national parties. Who we vote for is basically the same roster of parties as a general or local election (Conservatives, Labour, Lib Dem etc). The elected MEPs will then join an alliance with a similar political background.

    Not all of those 9 alliances have support from British parties. For example, the largest alliance in the European Parliament, EPP, is not supported by any UK political party (apart from a handful of Tory defections).

    The alliances are formed beforehand, though, so looking at the alliances is the only sensible way to vote. For example: I will probably vote to keep Timmermans and the social-democrats in place, despite my frustrations with the Dutch socialists in our national arena.

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    kaidkaid Registered User regular
    KetBra wrote: »
    This is actually kind of nuts, from top to bottom.

    In saner times the government would have already fallen due to the manifest lack of confidence the Commons has in it.

    No kidding. This is lack of confidence made manifest. She honestly should just flat resign once this goes through because clearly she has lost all control.

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    ThirithThirith Registered User regular
    edited April 2019
    From the Guardian's live feed:
    booqvy2pm7nm.png
    Gotta love the irony of a Brexiteer talking about the tyranny of the majority with what seems to be zero self-awareness.

    Thirith on
    webp-net-resizeimage.jpg
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    surrealitychecksurrealitycheck lonely, but not unloved dreaming of faulty keys and latchesRegistered User regular
    edited April 2019
    HamHamJ wrote: »
    tynic wrote: »
    KetBra wrote: »
    This is actually kind of nuts, from top to bottom.

    In saner times the government would have already fallen due to the manifest lack of confidence the Commons has in it.

    This is the bonkers bit, to me. Having a failure of a government lingering like a fart that won't go away because of a combination of legislative fuckery and a lack of cohesive will in the Commons seems positively unparliamentary.

    Fixed Parliamentary Terms Act 2011. Dumb and bad.

    Having done some research, I'm not sure this makes that much of a difference. As far as I can understand, before May would still get to decide if anything other than an explicit confidence motion counted as one. Given her flaunting of other parliamentary conventions I'm not sure the situation would be any different.

    there was a process for this - making a vote count as confidence - but the more relevant convention is the one where the government invokes a no confidence after the defeat. this has particular historical resonance as it is what john major did after maastricht - every senior con I have talked to observed that before ftpa it would be unthinkable for her to have continued; and, moreover, the new rules on government formation made a lot more MPs wary of voting aye in any case when an explicit motion was brought.

    this is also reflective of a change in experience in cabinet - far fewer old hands with strong parliamentary history

    surrealitycheck on
    obF2Wuw.png
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    daveNYCdaveNYC Why universe hate Waspinator? Registered User regular
    That 'unthinkable' seems like wishful thinking in the Brexit political landscape.

    Shut up, Mr. Burton! You were not brought upon this world to get it!
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    Commander ZoomCommander Zoom Registered User regular
    yeah, in (modern) politics, everything is "unthinkable" until someone says "eff it" and does it anyway.

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    surrealitychecksurrealitycheck lonely, but not unloved dreaming of faulty keys and latchesRegistered User regular
    edited April 2019
    the power of the old convention was that if she had not nominated this as a no confidence or brought forward a no confidence the labour no confidence would have been vastly more likely to pass - all they would have to do is say "this is obviously the main business of the government, she is blatantly flouting clear convention in 2 different ways no confidence" and a lot of con MPs like eg Ken Clarke would have voted for it. the ftpa cleared the sense that this was the constitutionally appropriate response

    also the advice may would have got from cabinet would have been totally different - one of the effective purposes of nominating a bill as confidence was that it acted as a turbo-charged whip. vote with the gov or get a general election; its conceivable this might have been felt to be the only way forward if she had no expectation of getting repeat votes.

    EDIT: not to mention the advice from the whips would have stopped her holding the vote at all. they would have just said dont even think about it

    surrealitycheck on
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    SharpyVIISharpyVII Registered User regular
    I'm sure there's a metaphor here:



    LBC is a radio station/news website.

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    Commander ZoomCommander Zoom Registered User regular
    SharpyVII wrote: »
    I'm sure there's a metaphor here:



    LBC is a radio station/news website.

    WORLD'S LARGEST METAPHOR STRIKES ICEBERG, SINKS
    -- The Onion, from back in the days when they actually wrote fiction and satire, rather than just summarizing the reality we all live in

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    No-QuarterNo-Quarter Nothing To Fear But Fear ItselfRegistered User regular
    Ha!

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    RMS OceanicRMS Oceanic Registered User regular
    I feel sorry for the Onion

    Also I miss the Portadown News

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    JazzJazz Registered User regular
    SharpyVII wrote: »
    I'm sure there's a metaphor here:



    LBC is a radio station/news website.

    I guess Mark Francois opened his mouth again.

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    klemmingklemming Registered User regular
    Downing Street called their talks with Labour 'detailed and productive', so that's going nowhere fast.

    Nobody remembers the singer. The song remains.
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    surrealitychecksurrealitycheck lonely, but not unloved dreaming of faulty keys and latchesRegistered User regular
    interesting that apparently the extension letter is already being drafted

    split in cabinet apparently between idiots and barclay who want 22 may and hammond and cox (!) who want a longer extension with a "leave quickly if we actually pass the fucking thing" clause

    one possible element of the discussions with labour might be including guarantees from both political parties in the extension request that they will honour any commitments no matter what happens with elections, which would probably be quite helpful

    obF2Wuw.png
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    AegisAegis Fear My Dance Overshot Toronto, Landed in OttawaRegistered User regular
    and hammond and cox (!) who want a longer extension with a "leave quickly if we actually pass the fucking thing" clause

    How would this work practically with the EU elections? Once you start planning and holding those, then the "leave quickly" part would surely have to be amended to "but no earlier than the EU elections finishing" right?

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    BethrynBethryn Unhappiness is Mandatory Registered User regular
    I am so not in the mood for another six or more months of this.

    ...and of course, as always, Kill Hitler.
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    japanjapan Registered User regular
    Bethryn wrote: »
    I am so not in the mood for another six or more months of this.

    Good news

    There is another two years of sorting out the future relationship in the pipeline

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    surrealitychecksurrealitycheck lonely, but not unloved dreaming of faulty keys and latchesRegistered User regular
    edited April 2019
    Aegis wrote: »
    and hammond and cox (!) who want a longer extension with a "leave quickly if we actually pass the fucking thing" clause

    How would this work practically with the EU elections? Once you start planning and holding those, then the "leave quickly" part would surely have to be amended to "but no earlier than the EU elections finishing" right?

    it would be a clause that would look like "if a withdrawal agreement satisfactory to both sides is passed during the extension period, and subject to timing considerations etc, the end date of this extension will be moved earlier" eg the 2 month technical extension if it is needed, or none at all if we have passed all necessary legislation and we and the eu are satisfied the exit will be orderly
    japan wrote: »
    Bethryn wrote: »
    I am so not in the mood for another six or more months of this.

    Good news

    There is another two years of sorting out the future relationship in the pipeline

    2 years? my dear boy... that implementation period is extendable! and if theres one thing we can definitely guarantee its that suddenly being confronted with the actual trade offs of relinquishing all that hypothetical new sovereignty in a free trade agreement will be slow as shit

    let us dream of a 10 year implementation period

    surrealitycheck on
    obF2Wuw.png
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    surrealitychecksurrealitycheck lonely, but not unloved dreaming of faulty keys and latchesRegistered User regular
    edited April 2019
    peaple close to starmer and liddington leaking that what seems to be shaping up is

    1) vote on the w/a with a government commitment to get a customs union + dynamic alignment on workers rights
    2) a chance for mps to vote on whether or not the whole package should be ratified in a referendum

    this seems like a credible attempt at compromise that is politically mad and i would be unsurprised if the whole thing was murdered in cabinet or simply felt to be untenable when tossed to the whips

    also some informal eu comments that the idea of a flexible extension - nominally long but short if not required - solves the problem of us coming back and asking for endless short extensions, but of course needs to get past eu leaders too

    EDIT: if that is what they offer labour need to no confidence the day after 12th april. angry conservative erg types will vote for it

    anything else gives us the truly unfortunate possibility of being "just a month away from leaving if we can pass the w/a" for the next thousand years...

    surrealitycheck on
    obF2Wuw.png
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    Alistair HuttonAlistair Hutton Dr EdinburghRegistered User regular
    What even is that. That's nothing. A commitment to have a vote to see if there will be a second referendum?

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    surrealitychecksurrealitycheck lonely, but not unloved dreaming of faulty keys and latchesRegistered User regular
    edited April 2019
    What even is that. That's nothing. A commitment to have a vote to see if there will be a second referendum?

    yes....

    this was teed up by hammonds earlier comments that it was not an absurd idea in and of itself and mps should be allowed to vote on it. the trick here is of course obvious

    QVF0HhCl.jpg

    talking of

    surrealitycheck on
    obF2Wuw.png
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    AntinumericAntinumeric Registered User regular
    What even is that. That's nothing. A commitment to have a vote to see if there will be a second referendum?

    yes....

    this was teed up by hammonds earlier comments that it was not an absurd idea in and of itself and mps should be allowed to vote on it. the trick here is of course obvious

    QVF0HhCl.jpg

    talking of

    God i loathe that man.

    In this moment, I am euphoric. Not because of any phony god’s blessing. But because, I am enlightened by my intelligence.
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    japanjapan Registered User regular
    japan wrote: »
    Bethryn wrote: »
    I am so not in the mood for another six or more months of this.

    Good news

    There is another two years of sorting out the future relationship in the pipeline

    2 years? my dear boy... that implementation period is extendable! and if theres one thing we can definitely guarantee its that suddenly being confronted with the actual trade offs of relinquishing all that hypothetical new sovereignty in a free trade agreement will be slow as shit

    let us dream of a 10 year implementation period

    Don't forget the trade offs between trade deals

    In which the americophile wing of the Tory party wrangles with the europhile wing and negotiate themselves into agreeing a set of internal regulations that rule out unfettered trade with either bloc

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    surrealitychecksurrealitycheck lonely, but not unloved dreaming of faulty keys and latchesRegistered User regular
    as we enter year 45 of the us-eu agricultural standards consensus discussion group as they argue over the uk food market,

    obF2Wuw.png
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    SpaffySpaffy Fuck the Zero Registered User regular
    I feel sorry for the Onion

    Also I miss the Portadown News

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